Prime Minister Hailermariam Desalegn Resigns

[maakhiri1]

very true,  things will only go for bad to worse, before they improve.

 

 

[galbeedi]

 

[Che -Guevara]

The current favorite is the Amhara deputy. There is one fundamental fact about Abyssinia/Ethiopia of today and past, one group wants to dominate the rest. There is no room for compromise or reform. Ethiopia will be under iron fist of one group or will simply implode, there's no third option.

[Old_Observer]

13 hours ago, Che -Guevara said:

The current favorite is the Amhara deputy. There is one fundamental fact about Abyssinia/Ethiopia of today and past, one group wants to dominate the rest. There is no room for compromise or reform. Ethiopia will be under iron fist of one group or will simply implode, there's no third option.

The Amhara are resigned to the fact that the new structure is irreversible. The Amhara can only operate with mixed ethnic geographical provinces where they can pick and choose every province chiefs.

The Oromo wanted to go it alone, fooled by number of population, but even a small population state can throw moneky wrench. Before they got anywhere, seems have put everybody else including Amhara on raised anntennae.

The Amhara refused the invitation for revolution by Oromo, since the Amhara suspected that the Oromo were ready, but the Amhara had nothing ready to even bargain for a small piece of the result.

Now its being spoken of and discussed in Ethiopian government media and opposition that the Amhara have lion's share of Government control and employees (up to 70% is number being mentioned). If Oromo language becomes federal half of these will be wiped out first 6 months. Would that make one think twice?

 

[galbeedi]

OO,

you did not answer the question.

Is the Amhara deputy premier is front runner or someone .

Maybe the Abiy Ahmed guy is better than the Amhara. 

[Old_Observer]

5 minutes ago, galbeedi said:

OO,

you did not answer the question.

Is the Amhara deputy premier is front runner or someone .

Maybe the Abiy Ahmed guy is better than the Amhara. 

The Southern guy has better chance, but some years ago when he was governor of South Amharas were expelled from a district in the south for defoesting for farm. That may work against him.

Abiy is confusing. Are the Tigray going against him just to make the Oromo look like winners if he is elected.

The Amhara has one shortcoming, he was not a fighter against derg and joined late as well as he does not come from the power centers among the Amhara, you know the big subclans kind in Somali politics.

Now the SOE is being accused of arresting officials and police chiefs in Oromo. And the government have put enough doubt that the Oromo government was co-operating or using the QERO to come to power. If the SOE destroys the QERO infrastructure then Abiy, Lema...are welcome to be PM.

Most likely the Tigray and south would prefer the Amhara deputy since that will help in America at least appearance which is importnat and will also alley fears of kilils that have accused Oromo of wanting to come to power by chaos.

[Che -Guevara]

More civilians mistakenly killed by the Federal  forces and  Uncle  Sam growing impatient with TPLF.

[Old_Observer]

2 hours ago, Che -Guevara said:

More civilians mistakenly killed by the Federal  forces and  Uncle  Sam growing impatient with TPLF.

You mean the one in Moyale or you have heard other place?

Why do you need uncle Sam? Uncle Sam has always been inpatient with TPLF. Its just Amhara propaganda and lie that has been repeated adnausium about Uncle Sam bringing to power. Israel may have more inside than others and of course pro-israel in USA.

Deopending where you rely for your sources of information on Ethiopia, there is a lot of things said that is patently false, example Hilary Clinton was friendly to Ethiopia. Quite the contrary. She was friendly to an extent that the clinton foundation got 2 million dollars from Al Amoudi.

 

 

[Ifiye]

 

Brave Oromo youth vs Tplf cowards.

[Che -Guevara]

More Oromo refugees are streaming into Kenya.

[Ifiye]

End game is near.  Will the Tplf gangs declare independence or join with Eritrea or maybe listench to  Uncle Sam one more time and stay within Oromo/Amhara majority dominated Ethiopia.  

[Ifiye]

 

OO tries hard to portray a fictitious image of United strong Ethiopia.   

[Old_Observer]

Tigray is the last one to need article 39. No Tigray No Ethiopia that is accepted even by the most ardent Tigray hating groups.

Not only domino effect, but there are certain regions that wanted to give federal system a chance.

If Article 39 is to be used it will be the Somali and Afar in that order. Not there yet not even close.

This was not a discussion initiated by Tigray, Somali or Afar. Its just an Oromo and Amhara rumour who do not know or care what other regions think. It backfired big time and now those who started the rumour have to extinguish it and is double trouble.

 

The most important contentious point now is expanding EPRDF. In addition to day to day activities of government and also electing PM or keeping PM on current status and let the Deputy PM get priority and experience.

[Che -Guevara]

It's almost at the end of March and there is no new prime-minister. The government rearrested some of the detainees they released.

[YoniZ]

6 hours ago, Che -Guevara said:

It's almost at the end of March and there is no new prime-minister. The government rearrested some of the detainees they released.

Che,

Give it several years of heightened political temperature.

No real change will come as the elites run the show. You either take them out of power or accept their version of reforms on their own terms and in their timeframe.

They might allow some minor cosmetic changes (to buy time) as the Egyptian ruling elites did few years back. The counter revolution has already started and, the powerful elites will start turning the clock back to it's original domination era.

The Oromo have lost the momentum, they started something and could have finished it in their own terms with of course paying sacrifices. They decided not to go for it by all means and now have a hell of fight in their hands.

They should either have the metal to withstand  the counter attack or, stop pretending like those chanting Egyptian street amateurs we know where it all ended.

In short, no one will give power easily up in this part of the world.