The Jeegaan and Djibouti want to loot Both Somaliland and Somalia.

[galbeedi]

For seven years the Somaliland system of government was transformed as a business enterprise to loot the public purse, land, infrastructure , public buildings and houses, and every empty plot of land whether it is school property, parks or libraries. 

 

Every government office was used as  a vehicle to fraudulently embazel the property of the public for personal benefits. 

 

 Oil terminals, ports and public land were sold for pennies to the dollar. All the buyers need to do is offer few kickbacks and you could buy everyone and everything including ports, oil terminals, rich minerals from the mountains and about a dozen licenses for oil exploration. Most of those who stole the money including the former finance minister had left Somaliland and settled back to London.

 

The man who supposed to watch the shop had cognitive illness (Dementia and old age due to stroke) which enabled his family members and the Jeegaan coalition to rob every thing. His inability to govern  was apparent as early as 2011, yet critics of the leader and his administration were bought and silenced. Due to consecutive and successful elections help by the Rayaale administration,  millions were provided to alleviate poverty and enhance capital projects. Also, they got a lion's share of the hundred of millions of dollars  allocated by the international community for Somali relief and capacity building in the region. 

 

By promising to unite with the federal government in the near future, they got almost half of all aides allocated to Somalia from EU, US, Arab countries and Turkey. Unfortunately, all that money was looted and spent in huge villa's and buildings in Hargeisa. If you compare the so called Booli Qaran-- which was less than a hundred mansions built in and around Mogadishu in nineteen eighties by Siyaad Barre connected looters--this one is  hundred times bigger Booli Qaran, and  those who visited Hargeisa today are marveled the extensive looting and how the money is used to build mansions and buildings in Hargeisa. Yet, unemployment is 70% and the rural people are suffering, water is scarce everywhere and there is no plan to alleviate  this issues.

 

The rampant inflation felt by the poor and everyone in Somaliland is due partly by the excessive availability of huge money by the looters which are buying the few commodities that are available  in the market. The commodities in the market are limited and there is no local production of these goods. Inflation occurs when demand in goods and services in an economy rises more rapidly than the economy's productive capacity. When the  prices of food, clothing, housing, services and fuel rises, it will be felt by everyone except those who looted the public purse and have plenty of the unearned money.

 

Another major cause of the inflation is the increased supply of money in the market. Almost every year, the Jeegaan government had printed hundred of  billions of Somaliland Shillings and released to the market without proper economic policy. That is why you need a big dolly to carry one thousand dollars. They hired their own Jeegaan members across the civil service and allowed others to draw unearned salaries. The Siilaanyo palace alone had 120 full time employees plus a garrison of soldiers with 10% of the budget. Huge and rich nations do not even have that kind of workforce in the prime ministers office or the president. His wife had built two big hotels one in Mogadishu and one in Hargeisa. According to some researchers women embazel money more than their husbands and Somali women are not different. 

 

Now, welcome to the Jeegaan 2.0 .

 

Hundreds of Millions of public and private money had been spent to elect Ina Biixi and his Jeegaan coalition. Everyone was was aware that Muuse could not pass neither  the threshold needed to lead Somaliland nor become a respectable leader. C/raxman Cirro was a decent God fearing man who might have made few political mistakes, but the way he acted during the election showed that he was mature, good hearted man and his supporters wanted to show the people not a tough guy but a decent sensible guy who could unite the people. Unfortunately, the wrong guy became the leader and he is already sinking like a boat with big holes.

 

What did he do for the last 30 days?.

 

He tried to intimidate the youth by shaving their heads by force and issued gag orders to the media. This are minor issues but the big news everyone is hiding has taken place in Djibouti. 

 

Now it is apparent to everyone that the Jeegaan never planed to give up power no matter what. We know now that they have bought almost everyone including the election observers of the opposition  parties. Not long ago, tribal elders were given " Cimaamad" or few hundred dollars. In this Jeegaan victory, Hundred of politicians, elders and brokers became rich during and after the election. Mohamed Aw Saeed of Som Cable has spent almost half a million dollar to buy one sub, sub clan of Awdal in order to sway the vote.

 

SomCable, Djibouti and the changing of Somalia's 252 country code.

 

If Russian money laundering and foreign banks were the catalyst that brought The Donald Trump business from bankruptcies in early 2000, it was Mohamed Aw Saeed who single handedly defeated Rayaale and brought now Muuse Biixi. I do not want to rehash how Ina Aw Saeed and Rayaale clashed which needs more space, but we will concentrate how this oligarch from Djibouti , who has both business and family connection to Cumar Gheelle family,  is trying to make hundred of millions of dollar from the investment he spent on the Jeegaan fraud election.

 

Som Cable owned by Aw Saeed was working for the last ten years to keep the monopoly of all cable, internet and telephone in Somaliland and is also planning to expand through Somalia. The other competitor is Telesom, a pioneer in telephone in all of Somalia from Zaylac, Puntland all the way to Mogadishu. Ahmed Siilaanyo denied the Telesome business plan to bring cable from Oman two years ago. That business deal eventually came to the shores of Somalia through Boosaaso which was opened last week by Farmaajo . Everyone knows that business monopoly is bad for the consumers and the public who should be given the choice of buying services from different companies  in order to bring down prices. It is just a common sense.

 

Now, in order to get back the millions he spent in the Jeegaan election, AW Saeed want to change the Somali telephone code of 252 to the Djibouti country code of 253. For the innocent public or what we call in the north " Gaas Dhagoole", this change of number was presented as Somaliland trying to be independent of Somalia and get it's own number which is free from Somali control. That means without lifting a finger or putting any huge infrastructure, Ina Aw Saeed want to make money for every single phone call made from around the world to Somaliland while sitting in his Djibouti office. 

 

Telesom is a company with large shareholders around the Somali region. I do not know the percentage,  but in every region, the operators are local and they own a big share of the business. By the way the threat of the telecom companies to the Somali state is real and well known every where , and especially in the south.

 

Another overriding reason is also, the anti Jeegaan people of Somaliland own shares in the Telesom company. Since the aim of the Jeegaan is to suck life out of everyone, and deny any economic gains that might challenge their monopoly in power, they are willing to do the unthinkable of denying economic prosperity to the other clans and sell the country to the highest bidder .

 

Cumar Gheelle bites like a rat  and then soothes the wound.

 

In order  to replace his uncle Hassan Guuleed  ten years from late eighties , he allied himself with Menguistu of Ethiopia. While Hassan Guuleed tried to reconcile the Somalis, Geelle was serving first Mengistu and later Meles Zenawi till this day. THere were half a dozen men who were more senior or deserving to replace Guuleed, yet one by one , he either killed them, exiled them or put them in jail. No one can even whisper inside djibouti without making sure that no spy is listening. This year will be his twentieth year in power, yet for most Somalis the only dictator they keep cursing is Jaalle Siyaad. 

 

 He was the chief cabinet of his uncle's government who was in charge of  both internal security and intelligence. It was during this time that he cooperated with Mengistu to dismember Somalia and replace his uncle ten years after. He is shrewd politician and a gangster who knows how to play political games. Most of you do not know him,  but as early as 1977, he was a member of the vice police who used to oversee the red district used by the French army. Since this place is a family blog, we will leave at that. 

 

Just like the TPLF, Kenyans and others who are taking advantage of the weak Somalia,  Gheele is biting the weak Somali lion and soothes the wound at the same time. The Jeegaan is after money and power to loot the people and Geelle is one of the vehicles to achieve that goal. If we , the Somalis who understand culture , history and destiny ever come to power, Geelle, Ethiopia and others will back their boxes and leave the blessed republic of Somalia for good.

 

The Jeegaan is begging Djibouti and others to restart the unproductive and useless Somali negotiations for nefarious or business interest reasons. They are not interested to heal the wound among brothers, but to further their strategy to gain market for their financiers and gain access for foreign aid.  What would the federal government do about these oligarchs robbing the Somali people.

 

Also, both Djibouti and Ethiopia had forced him to rethink the Dubai port and base issue. Since UAE funded Egyptian army arrived in Eritrea things went from theory to reality. There is no guarantee that the UAE controlled base could be used solely by the Emities alone.So far DP World had not done their side of the agreement and Djibouti and Ethiopia want to scrap the whole port deal. The Hungry Jeegaan foreign policy led by a soft speaking  crook called Sacad Cali Shire cashed few million signing bonuses and gave away the whole port. The treasury is empty and the only thing that are doing lately is fire as many employees as possible until some foreign aid arrives.

 

They discard the Somali area code for Djibouti to help SomCable, they  scrap the port construction deal with Dubai. So, what people are wondering in this is , what does Somaliland get in return from these countries?.  

 

Is  it a green light for war in Sool?, is it a recognition and military help? or to help him  to oppress his people. Personally, I believe it is te later. Since opposition to Jeegaanta is getting bigger in Sanaag, Sool, Awdal, Togdheer and even Hargeisa, he needs the help of the Ethiopian regime to keep him in power. 

[Holac]

Quote

The Jeegaan is begging Djibouti and others to restart the unproductive and useless Somali negotiations for nefarious or business interest reasons. They are not interested to heal the wound among brothers, but to further their strategy to gain market for their financiers and gain access for foreign aid.  What would the federal government do about these oligarchs robbing the Somali people.

 

I got the sense the talks were more of a business opportunity than anything else. 

 

Thanks for the analysis Galbeedi. 

[Che -Guevara]

It's curious  Biixi is all of sudden interested in "securing" the border. There are some truths. The life of your average Somali in Sland has not improved during Kulmiye's time. Politics have been rigged to favor a few and their financiers. Differences are surfacing rapidly. International community is not interested in recognizing Somaliland. And lastly, it was a mistake to get involved in geopolitics.

 

The one way to make all problems go away is to start a war. Biixi is trying to frame it as Somaliland vs Somalia.  Interestingly enough, your average Somali is not really interested an all out of war. 

[galbeedi]

He is in a mess created by the last Kulmiye government. Other than the army no salary was paid  to civil servants in January, and war is the only  way to distract the people.

 

If he starts this war, he will be branded as warmonger by the EU and others, and large segment of the people don't want this war .

 

He is between rock and hard place

 

 

[maakhiri1]

Great analysis, as usual, thanks.

 

The biggest threat to SL is the hyperinflation,  Few Jeegaanta accumulated so much wealth and putting up prices everywhere.

 

 

[YoniZ]

Muse did not do well enough to heal the wounds from the election fallout. Instead, he sent illiterate Gadhcas to Burco to inflame the devisions. 

 

He might also thought, as Cold War era officer,  starting a war in the region will strengthen his administration.

 

Both are bad miscalculations that will haunt his nascent presidency for a long time.

 

The Djibouti thing and Ina Awsaciid, I will leave it to Galbeedi with a doctor adviced pinch of salt. 

[Suldaanka]

Galbeedi needs to seek new sources for information, as his latest read is full of innuendos and factual errors. 

 

I will leave it at that. Hopefully a number of events that are to take place in the next month or two will help Galbeedi re-align the campus and get the better signal of the goings on in Somaliland. Hopefully.