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Peace Dances in Jubbaland

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Somalia may accept former islamist warlord in port city: diplomats

June 28, 2013

 

madobe1.jpg

 

By Drazen Jorgic

MOGADISHU (Reuters) – Somalia’s government is expected to recognise a former Islamist warlord it had opposed as interim leader of a strategic port city, diplomats said, defusing a crisis over rival claims to the post that had raised fears of a return to clan warfare.

 

The threat of the kind of clan fighting that over two decades tore Somalia apart has hung over Kismayu since Ahmed Madobe, leader of the Ras Kamboni militia, was chosen by a regional assembly to lead Jubaland and its port in May.

 

The fate of Kismayu and the surrounding region in southern Somalia has been seen as a litmus test of whether the government can manage a federal state and cement a fragile peace in place since African peacekeeping troops drove out Islamist militants.

 

Western and regional diplomats, all with a close knowledge of Somalia and the workings of its government, told Reuters that Mogadishu had changed tack and was resigned to having the Ras Kamboni leader stay in charge, but on an interim basis.

 

“They recognise that they have to deal with Madobe,” said one senior Western diplomat.

 

Regional capitals and Western donors are nervous about any reversal of delicate security gains made in Somalia by African troops fighting against the al Qaeda-linked militants, seen as a threat to stability in the region and beyond.

 

Central government spokesman Abdirahman Omar Osman said Mogadishu, which had widely been seen to back another candidate, was ready for a deal but it had not decided on who it would be.

 

“We are willing to compromise provided that the legality, the constitution, and the federal institution and mandate is protected,” he said, adding senior government officials were in Kismayu for negotiations with the rival parties.

 

Even with the regional leader title, Madobe will only really control Kismayu and its immediate surrounds because al Shabaab Islamist militants still control much of Jubaland’s countryside.

 

LUCRATIVE BUSINESS

 

Dozens of people have been killed in Kismayu since May in sporadic clashes between Madobe’s Ras Kamboni militia, opposed by the central government, and fighters loyal to Barre Hirale, another former warlord seen as having Mogadishu’s backing.

 

Rival clans want control of port taxes, valuable charcoal exports and levies on arms and other illegal imports.

 

If a deal is struck, one government source said the interim administration would be in place for up to a year before a vote.

 

The situation has been complicated because of ambiguity over how Somalia, including its break-away regions, will be governed as a federation and because Mogadishu has little leverage as its poorly paid and trained security forces cannot impose control.

 

“Acknowledging that Madobe is the de facto leader in charge of an interim Jubaland administration would be pragmatic,” said Matt Bryden, a director of Sahan Research think-tank who previously coordinated a U.N. monitoring report on Somalia.

 

“The government can’t afford to become embroiled in this,” he said. “It doesn’t have the time, the resources or sufficient influence in Jubaland.”

 

Madobe was a governor of Kismayu during an administration that was routed by Ethiopian forces sent into Somalia between 2006-2009 with tacit U.S. backing.

 

The European Union’s top Africa official, Nicholas Westcott, said it was vital for a deal to improve security in Jubaland, a region which some analysts fear could otherwise break away.

 

“If Somalia is fragmented it will never be in position to develop or resolve all the conflicts,” Westcott said.

 

Source: Reuters

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nuune   

How come our Xaaji Xunjuf did not post this since he is quick to post anything concerning that region, I want to know why he did not POST this article from Reuters.

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Western and regional diplomats, all with a close knowledge of Somalia and the workings of its government, told Reuters that Mogadishu had changed tack and was resigned to having the Ras Kamboni leader stay in charge, but on an interim basis.

Its too late today , Sh Modaba should of accepted President Hassan offer to be interim leader for 6 month , Today the man is seen as a weak faction leader who cannot even manage to secure the city with help KDF. .. Vila Somalia has no love for this warlord. he is alone today , he has underestimated PM shirdon .

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“Acknowledging that Madobe is the de facto leader in charge of an interim Jubaland administration would be pragmatic,” said Matt Bryden, a director of Sahan Research think-tank who previously coordinated a U.N. monitoring report on Somalia.

 

“The government can’t afford to become embroiled in this,” he said. “It doesn’t have the time, the resources or sufficient influence in Jubaland.”

....

The European Union’s top Africa official, Nicholas Westcott, said it was vital for a deal to improve security in Jubaland, a region which some analysts fear could otherwise break away.

 

 

 

a one year or two year interim JUBALAND administration (not lower jubba, which was the Hassan and Shirdon government proposed) is a good compromise. After that the parliament of Jubbaland will elect another president , but the state's form and composition will not change.

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Wadahadal DF & Jubaland u dhaxeeyay oo burburay

28 Jun 28, 2013 - 7:45:14 AM

 

 

Magaalada Addis Ababa ee xarunta Ethiopia ayaa waxa wadahadalo u dhaxeeyay dowlada Federaalka Somalia iyo maamulka Jubaland ee dhowaan lagu doortay Kismayo ku soo dhamaadeen is-fahan waa.

 

Madaxweynaha Jubaland Shiikh Axmed Madoobe ayaa hogaaminayay xubnaha wadahadalka Jubaland, waxana la sheegay inuu ka qaybgalay kulankaas kadib markii cadaadis uga yimid dalalka IGAD.

 

Dhanka DF Somalia waxaa wadahadalkaas uga qayb galey wasiiru dowlaha madaxtoyada Faarax Cabdiqaadir oo ah ninka ugu tunka wayn Villa Somalia islamarkaasina lagu tiriyo inuu taladiisa qaato madaxweyne Xasan Shiikh.

 

Ilo wareedyo GO u waramay ayaa sheegay in labada dhinac mowqifyo kala fog ay kala istaageen, waxana mid kasta uu ku adkeysanayaa halka uu taaganyahay.

 

Wasaarada arrimaha dibadda Ethiopia ayaa gogoshan u fidisay labada dhinac ,inkastoo aysan goob joog ka ahayn kulankii dhexmaray.

 

Axmed Madoobe ayaa ka codsaday DF inay aqoonsato maamulkiisa ,isagoona balanqaaday inay ka soo bixi doonaan waajibaadka ka saaran dowladda dhexe,halka Faarax uu u sheegay inaysan aqoonsanaynin islamarkaasina shir dib u heshiineed ay Jubooyinka iyo Gedo ugu qaban doonaan Muqdisho dhowaan ayna haboontahay inay ka soo qaybgalaan.

 

Kala aragti duwaanshaha labada dhinac ayaa muddo bilo ah soo jiitamayay ,waxana Jubaland sheegtay inaysan u joojinayn cidii ka soo horjeeda halka DF ay taagantahay maamul u samaynta goboladaasi waa inaan hogaanka u qabanaa.

 

Xaflado lagu taageero Dhismaha Jubaland ayaa qaybo faro badan oo dunida ah ka dhacay ,waxana loo qabtay munaasibado soo dhoweyno kala duwan Shiikh Axmed Madoobe tan iyo markii la doortay 15 May,2013.

 

GAROWE ONLINE

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