Tripoli: Gaddafi the Hero?

[General Duke]

Gaddafi's forces: Bombed but not broken

 

As dictator stands firm, Britain lowers its expectations of 'victory'

 

 

The Western allies yesterday struggled to find a coherent strategy in Libya as Colonel Muammar Gaddafi's forces renewed attacks on rebel strongholds despite a no-fly zone and a fourth day of allied strikes against government military targets. In Washington, top officials insisted the US intended to hand over command of the operation to its allies within days, but wrangling within Nato continued yesterday along with confusion over what the mission was increasingly clear that despite the scale of the damage inflicted on Colonel Gaddafi's forces, the rebels were highly unlikely to achieve a military victory.

 

 

In London, a Government minister acknowledged the crisis could end in stalemate, and partition of the country. "A stable outcome where they weren't killing each other would, in a sense, be one way of achieving the humanitarian objective," the armed forces minister Nick Harvey told the BBC.

 

At the same time, he went further than any British minister yet and refused to rule out the deployment of British forces on the ground, claiming there was a clear distinction between sending in a full-scale occupation force – explicitly barred by the UN Security Council's Resolution 1973 – and a more limited operation.

 

Asked how long Britain would be involved in the military operation in north Africa he replied: "How long is a piece of string? We don't know how long this is going to go on for."

 

President Barack Obama, who last night cut short a trip to Latin America to return to Washington, called key leaders to try to agree a co-ordinating command role for the alliance and reduce the risk of the US becoming bogged down in another war in a Muslim country. According to US officials, the heavy "front-end" phase of the intervention will soon be over, with the main objectives achieved.

 

Officials in France and Britain have been working on a plan to pass political control of the campaign to a "committee" of states providing military support to the no-fly zone but with operational control being run under the Nato command structure. This would be backed up by a wider international "Contact Group on Libya" – similar to the one set up to deal with the aftermath of the Kosovo conflict.

 

This would be at foreign-minister level and would include countries not included in the "no-fly" coalition. It would be charged with examining the "whole shape and nature of the on-going crisis", a Government source said. It would also be expected to have a role in any post-Gaddafi political reconstruction in Libya. The three-pronged plan is intended to defuse a dispute over the medium-term political leadership of the anti-Gaddafi coalition. The US, Britain and others want the campaign to be run by Nato, but Turkey and Germany oppose this.

 

Last night, there was no sign the heavy Western bombardment had shifted the balance decisively in favour of the poorly armed anti-Gaddafi forces. Libyan government forces were fighting back last night on the eastern front line near the key city of Ajdabiya. The counter-attack followed the failure of rebel forces to take the city on Sunday despite air attacks having destroyed regime tanks and artillery. By yesterday evening, there were reports that the regime's troops were moving south once again to threaten the route to Tobruk and the Egyptian border.

 

US Admiral Samuel J Locklear, the on-scene commander of allied forces, confirmed last night that civilians were under attack by government forces in Misrata, Libya's third-largest city. The coalition was "considering all options", he said.

 

In Washington, complaints were growing yesterday from some Democrats as well as Republicans – with some saying the US was doing too little, others that the President was dragging the country into a costly conflict without properly consulting Congress. But Mr Obama himself has only added to the uncertainty by reiterating the US still wanted Col Gaddafi to leave power, although the formal goal of the intervention was merely to protect Libya's civilian population.

 

In one encouraging sign for Washington and London however, two Qatari fighter jets arrived at a Greek base on Crete yesterday. This brings nearer the direct Arab involvement in enforcing the no-fly zone that the US has been seeking to dispel the impression of another solely Western onslaught against a Muslim country,.

 

The French Foreign Minister, Alain Juppé, told the French parliament yesterday that a compromise deal would see a "political steering group" of coalition foreign ministers plus the Arab League take over political direction of the air campaign. Mr Juppé said the idea had been accepted by Britain and others and that the first meeting of foreign ministers would take place in Paris, London or Brussels in the "next few days". It was not immediately clear whether the US would participate in this group.

 

Avoiding a straightforward "Nato" political label is crucial, France argues, because the Arab world is hostile to the Atlantic alliance. It would also be politically cumbersome because of the opposition to the Libyan operations by Germany, Turkey and other Nato members. There is also an unspoken reason for French reluctance to hand over the campaign to Nato: Mr Sarkozy hopes to wring all the domestic political advantage he can from prolonging France's leading role in the Libyan operations.

 

The British Government too was last night involved in a round of frantic diplomatic activity to patch together a new coalition to take over policing the Libyan no-fly zone, as David Cameron spent much of the afternoon in talks with the Saudi Arabian Foreign Minister, in an attempt to persuade the Kingdom to provide symbolic financial support. Apart from Qatar, no Arab state has committed military forces to the no-fly zone but British government sources said they were hopeful that other Middle Eastern countries – in particular the United Arab Emirates – would be prepared to provide support to operations even in a minor way.

 

"What we are looking at essentially is a Nato-plus coalition rather like we have with Isaf in Afghanistan," one British official said.

[General Duke]

Gaddafi vows he will never surrender and rails against 'crusade on Islam'

 

By Kunal Dutta

 

 

Wednesday, 23 March 2011

 

Just as the world had started to wonder why the Libyan leader had not been seen in a week, Muammar Gaddafi appeared on the balcony of his encampment near Tripoli and made a defiant speech to his supporters, saying that Western intervention in his country was "unjust" and would be defeated in the end.

 

Appearing on Libyan state television and displaying the same fiery temperament that has become a signature trademark of his recent addresses, the Libyan leader denounced the coalition's bombing attacks, saying that the country would "never surrender" and that they would be beaten whether in the "long or short term".

 

The three-minute broadcast – brief by Colonel Gaddafi's usual standards – beamed onto Libyan television screens and filtered out across the world as a fourth night of anti-aircraft fire lit up the night skies in Tripoli.

 

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Regime figures in Tripoli had until now kept tight-lipped about his whereabouts, fuelling speculation that he had fled, while his appearances on state television had become sporadic since 22 February, when he was seen outside a ruined building in Tripoli, sheltering under a huge umbrella and denouncing reports that he had fled to Venezuela.

 

Last night, it was not clear whether the latest broadcast was filmed live, though foreign reporters in Tripoli were told that the speech was delivered from the residential compound in Bab Al-Aziziya, the same one that was hit by a cruise missile on Sunday night.

 

Dressed in black and clutching a microphone, Col Gaddafi branded his enemies "crazed fascists" and called for "all Islamic armies" to join him. He described the West's attacks as the "new crusader battle launched by crusader countries on Islam".

 

He added: "There are demonstrations everywhere against this unjustified assault, which breaches the United Nations' charter... This assault... is by a bunch of fascists who will end up in the dustbin of history."

 

His speech was signed off by a series of fireworks in the Libyan capital. Crowds of supporters cheered – some waving their flags in defiance and others shooting bullets into the air in celebration.

 

The appearance caught many of his critics by surprise, but the US was keen to play the incident down. Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, went on record to ABC News, saying that Col Gaddafi could be exploring "exile options".

 

"Some of it is theatre," Ms Clinton told ABC News in an interview, saying the United States was aware of people reaching out, "allegedly on Gaddafi's behalf", to try to assess their options.

 

"A lot of it is just the way he behaves – it's somewhat unpredictable," Ms Clinton added. "But some of it, we think, is exploring. You know: what are my options? Where could I go? What could I do. And we would encourage that." But this latest display of bravado on state television at such a crucial moment for allied operations, suggested that exile was the last thing on the Libyan leader's mind.

 

"I am staying here, my home is here," he said defiantly. "I am staying in my tent."

[Che -Guevara]

He's no hero but getting involved in civil war is never good idea.