US nothing for investing 3 years in warlord....

[General Duke]

Somalia: Bush Hawks Down

Inter Press Service (Johannesburg)

 

June 6, 2006

Posted to the web June 7, 2006

 

Jim Lobe

Washington

 

The takeover of Mogadishu this week by Islamic militias marks a major defeat for the administration of U.S. President George W. Bush, which had secretly backed a coalition of warlords that has reportedly been routed from the Somali capital.

 

While the victors, the Union of Islamic Courts (UIC), sought to assure the international community that they have no intention of setting up a Taliban-style fundamentalist state, U.S. officials have expressed strong concerns about their possible ties to al Qaeda associates believed to be in Mogadishu, including at least one individual who allegedly helped organise the 1998 bombing of the U.S. Embassy in Nairobi.

 

"We do have real concerns about the presence of foreign terrorists in Somalia and that informs an important aspect of our policy with regard to Somalia," said State Department spokesman Sean McCormick Monday. U.S. officials say their biggest fear is that the UIC will offer safe haven to al Qaeda and other radical Islamists as the Taliban did after it took control of Afghanistan.

 

Some independent analysts, on the other hand, said the outcome could actually contribute to Somalia's stabilisation after 15 years of rule by rival warlords, and even make way for the transitional national government that has been based in Baidoa since its formation in 2004 as part of a national reconciliation process to set up shop in Mogadishu.

 

"The so-called Islamists provided a sense of stability in Somalia, education and other social services, while the warlords maimed and killed innocent civilians," Ted Dagne, a Horn of Africa specialist at the Congressional Research Service, told the New York Times. He said radical Islamists within the UIC were unlikely to wrest control from more-moderate factions.

 

"In the short term, this is good news in that the warlords in Mogadishu have been dealt with, but, in the long term, it depends on what the courts' agenda is," one knowledgeable foreign diplomat told IPS. "They're probably looking at least for stronger roles in the education and justice sectors within the transitional government, but what their specific terms of negotiation will be is at this point anyone's guess."

 

The UIC's victory Monday capped two months of fighting against the forces of three Mogadishu warlords who called themselves the Alliance for the Restoration of Peace and Counter-Terrorism. The violence, described as the worst since 1991 when starvation and anarchy provoked the dispatch of a U.S.-led U.N. peacekeeping operation to Somalia, is believed to have killed at least 300 people over the past several weeks.

 

The warlords, who since the outset of the U.S. "global war on terror" have reportedly been paid by the U.S. to monitor and help "snatch" suspected terrorists in Somalia, began receiving more cash -- 100,000-150,000 dollars a month, according to the International Crisis Group -- to challenge the UIC's militias that were expanding their control over the capital earlier this spring, just as the transitional government in Baidoa was to convene parliament for the first time.

 

While the operation was reportedly organised by the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the cash reportedly was funneled through the Pentagon's Joint Combined Task Force (JCTF), a 1,800-troop force based in neighbouring Djibouti since shortly after the Sep. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on New York and the Defence Department. The JCTF is apparently charged with carrying out surveillance, "snatch", and related operations against suspected terrorist targets in Yemen and the Horn.

 

"Support for the warlords came at a really bad time and made a lot of people, particularly the Europeans who were trying to support the government, very angry," noted the diplomat, who asked not to be identified. "Convening the parliament was a big objective for everyone, but then it's overshadowed by the fighting in Mogadishu that followed the injection of money for the warlords."

 

The U.S. move also provoked some controversy within the U.S. government, although at relatively low levels that did not gain the attention of senior policy-makers.

 

In one case, a Kenya-based U.S. diplomat, Michael Zorick, reportedly submitted a dissent paper to both his State Department bosses and the Pentagon in which he complained that support for the warlords was counter-productive to U.S. aims in Somalia. He was subsequently transferred to the U.S. embassy in Chad.

 

Indeed, State Department officials and independent analysts have long argued that Washington's single-minded focus on catching suspected terrorists in Somalia, combined with its failure to support efforts to rebuild state institutions and, most recently, to provide real support to the transitional government, would prove self-defeating. But they were overruled by hawks in the White House and the Pentagon.

 

"The U.S. now has nothing to show for three years of investing in these warlords as the sole element of their counter-terrorism (CT) strategy in Somalia," noted John Prendergast, a Horn expert at the International Crisis Group here. [/b]"It's a travesty that this has been the only strategy Washington has followed after 15 years of no government, no state, in Somalia."[/b]

 

There simply hasn't been a U.S. comprehensive policy on Somalia; just a counter-terrorism policy that takes no account of the political context," noted the foreign diplomat. "Do you give priority to snatching individuals by any means necessary, including backing warlords, at the expense of a wider political process? That's essentially what the U.S. has done. One would hope that this could get them to broaden their thinking, but I think that may be a naïve."

 

The current chairman of the African Union, Congolese President Denis Sassou Nguesso, also criticised U.S. support for the warlord alliance during a White House visit Monday.

 

"We think, and what we told president (George W.) Bush, that most important is to establish a government that must help the Somali people to have a real government. We think that if this effort is needed, we have to move in this direction, in order that the Somali government can truly be established in Mogadishu," he said.

 

Ironically, some of the warlords who have benefited from U.S. backing fought its troops in 1993 when Washington was trying to crush resistance to U.N. efforts to pacify the country following the ouster in 1991 of President Siad Barre, a U.S. client during the Cold War, according to Dagne.

 

A disastrous raid in October 1993 by U.S. forces against another Mogadishu warlord in which 18 soldiers -- as well as hundreds of Somalis -- were killed, the subject of the book and blockbuster movie, "Blackhawk Down", led to Washington's withdrawal from Somalia and its subsequent refusal to commit U.S. ground troops to peacekeeping operations in Africa.

 

Regarding the warlords' recent ouster, Amb. Robert Oakley, who acted as special advisor on Somalia for the U.N. during the intervention in the early 1990s, told IPS, "That's a good riddance. If the provisional government can work out some kind of understanding with the Islamic courts, it does create the possibility of some stability."

 

He also said the U.S. "should work with the African Union, the U.N., and the neighbouring states" to promote such an understanding. "I wouldn't expect us to put a huge effort in there, but there's some possibility (of the U.S. doing so). I think it's worth exploring."

 

To Prendergast, Washington's most recent misadventure in Somalia recalls earlier debacles. "During the Cold War, U.S. officials armed strongmen to carry out our perceived national interests, and the consequences for Africa were disastrous," he said.

 

"It appears they've learned nothing since, as they're repeating the same strategy of arming strongmen and ignoring institutions. The consequences, predictably, are equally disastrous."

[General Duke]

CIA Funding Undermined Somali Warlords: Report

 

IslamOnline.net & Newspapers

 

 

"We've strengthened the hand of the people whose presence we were worried most about," said Prendergast.

 

CAIRO – Secret funding by Washington's CIA for Somali warlords against the Islamic Courts in Somalia has backfired, empowering the same groups the Bush administration has sought to marginalize, US government officials and experts have said.

 

"This has blown up in our face, frankly," John Prendergast of the International Crisis Group told The New York Times on Thursday, June 7.

 

"We've strengthened the hand of the people whose presence we were worried most about," added Prendergast, who worked on Africa policy at the National Security Council and State Department during the Clinton administration.

 

US government officials said support to the warlord Alliance for the Restoration of Peace and Counter-Terrorism (ARPCT) has dealt a sharp blow to US policy in the region.

 

They believe that the US activities in Somalia have caused to break the warlord's hold on the capital Mogadishu.

 

Somalia's Islamic courts on Monday, June 5, declared victory over the warlord alliance after four months of fierce fighting in the capital Mogadishu.

 

Up to 347 people have been killed and more than 1,500 wounded in fierce fighting between the two sides since February.

 

Warlords have controlled Mogadishu since the 1991 overthrow of president Mohamed Siad Barre.

 

The African country has lacked almost all the trappings of a functional state, such as national systems of education, healthcare and justice.

 

Short-sighted

 

A US official said that concerns had been expressed that US activities in the war-torn country were being carried out in the context of a broader policy.

 

"They were fully aware that they were doing so without any strategic framework," he said.

 

"And they realized that there might be negative implications to what they are doing."

 

Prendergast said US activities in Somalia were not closely coordinated among various American national security agencies.

 

"I've talked to people inside the Defense Department and State Department who said that this was not a comprehensive policy," he said.

 

"It was being conducted in a vacuum, and they were largely shut out."

 

Support for the warlords has also drawn severe rebukes from senior Foreign Service officers at the US embassy in Nairobi as short-sighted.

 

Leslie Rowe, the embassy's second-ranking official, earlier signed off on a cable back to the State Department detailing grave concerns throughout the region about US efforts in Somalia, according to several people with knowledge of the report.

 

Around that time, Michael Zorick, the State Department's political officer for Somalia, was reassigned from Kenya to Chad after he sent a cable to Washington criticizing funding Somali warlords.

 

CIA Trips

 

Through its Nairobi's station, the CIA channeled hundreds of thousands of dollars over the past year to the warlords inside Somalia, according to government officials.

 

This included trips to Somalia by Nairobi-based CIA case officers, who landed on warlord-controlled airstrips in Mogadishu with large amounts of money for the warlord militias, according to US officials involved in Africa policy making.

 

Support for the warlords has been approved during a National Security Council meeting about Somalia in March, according to people familiar with the meeting.

 

Porter J. Goss, who recently resigned as CIA director, traveled to Kenya this year and met with case officers in the Nairobi station, according to one intelligence official.

 

The interim government has accused the US of fanning the flames of civil war by backing the warlords, not only financially but also militarily.

 

The decision to use warlords as proxies was prompted by fears of using American personnel in such operations.

 

In 1994, US troops hastily left Somalia after a catastrophic intervention in the country left 18 American soldiers killed.