Why the Most Successful Country Does not Exist ?

[Jacaylbaro]

Ahmed Ali Mark Abley commentary on Somaliland that appeared in section of The Star, a daily published in Torronto, was not only directly to the point, but he raised quest that entire international community seems to avoid at all cost. However a casual glance at the geopolitics in the region would have enlightened you the reason behind this diplomatic anomaly.There are so many ironies one will wonder where to start. Why would the EU USA and UN for that matter keep quite when warlords who are purpotedly the only recongised leaders of the smouldering Mogadishu openly flaunt ill gotten wealth in bizarre weddings in Nairobi while at the same time turn the other way when Somaliland depsarately begs for fund to undertake capacity building for its fledging democracy?

 

 

The Western World are either shying away from being accused of neo-colonial interference as recognition of Somaliland by any of their number will be criticized as a repeat of the Berlin Conference of 1884-85. Such charge which is grievous to modern prudish politicians. The other reason is the relative minimal strategic value of the region to the key Western powers. Though the US fight against terrorism may have slightly recouped some of the strategic value lost with the demise of USSR, this is not strong enough to justify effective participation. This is perfectly demonstrated by the lowly diplomatic staff assigned to Somalia.

 

 

Ethiopian on its part is solely driven by its psychotic fear of re-emergency of powerful Somalia that will pursue expansionist ambitions at the expense of delicately balance conglomeration of hostile tribes of Ethiopia. The current administration Addis Ababa is a pursuing a policy of entrenching the status quo of statelessness and perpetual chaos.

 

 

Kenya on her part is not known for bold foreign policy. The Ethiopian take over of the peace initiative defrayed by Kenyans' tax is a clear demonstration of Kenya's seemingly irrational quest to always support those with the upper hand for the time being. From its embarrassing support for apartheid, Mobutu even toward his forceful dismissal to taking the Ethiopian stand however unworkable it is, Kenya is ideologically unable to take any leading role in foreign relations. Hence it cannot be realistically expected that Kenya can take any form of radical leadership in solving the impasse in Somalia even though it always shoulders the biggest share of the cost of the continued statelessness.

 

 

Additionally, the increasing rapport between Kenya and some leading Arab countries entirely remove any chance if there was any for the Kenyan government to take interest in Somaliland. Both Libya and Saudi Arabia have recently provided Kenya with huge fiscal and oil support and few months later unsurprisingly Kenya vetoed a yet another bid led by Ghana and Guinea to discuss AU Fact Finding Report on Somaliland which amongst other things recommended that Somaliland was a unique case that did not fall under the AU principle of not changing colonial border as inherited from the colonial powers.

 

 

Sudan and Egypt policy especially as regards Somaliland is solely influenced by the River Nile politics. They have repeatedly vetoed any inclusion of Somaliland in the AU agenda and even reportedly threatened to boycott AU in its entirety if their wishes were not respected. Behind this policy is the intention to keep an irredentist satellite state that is strong enough and readily available to be used to threaten Ethiopia in perpetuity. A centralized Somalia will be readily amenable to the whims of the Arab states and thus provide them with a strong bargain in how Ethiopia can use its Blue Nile.

 

 

Djibouti on its part is solely driven by economic reasons. An independent Somaliland will aggressively promote Berbera port in direct competition against Djibouti as demonstrated by the shift of Ethiopian freight cargo from Djibouti to Berbera. Such a scenario will be catastrophic for this city state while depends on its port for survival. Recent huge investment by Dubai port in Djibouti has slightly improved its competitive edge. However, such advantages can be easily wiped out by an internationally administration with intend to tap to Berbera potentials. A centralized Somalia is less likely to develop a peripheral port such as Berbera. All developmental resources will most definitely be concentrated on rebuilding of Mogadishu port and hence give Djibouti a breathing space to consolidate its take over by Dubai World.

 

 

 

 

Jamhuuriya Online

[me]

So all in all a united Somalia is in the interests of foreigners and not in the interest of the Somalis, is that what the author is saying?

[Caano Geel]

^ hhehehee, don't be spoiling the fantasy man

[Jacaylbaro]

Mr. me, as always ,,, you need to read the article first