Johnny B Posted May 18, 2005 Now that a DATE was set for the relocation of the TFG from neighbouring Kenya to Somalia. The chances of A/yousuf waking up in Baido are nill, So it has to be Jowhar he is heading . The picture looks like this after june 2nd. A/yousuf is in Jowhar. Hargeisa is building up for Lasanod again Baidao is calm after Deerow n co was beaten. No foreign troops has set food on Somali soil. Ethiopia is working on an exit corridor for A/yousuf through Hiiran, incase Muse sudi comes for dinner. You can carry on from there . how does it look in your view? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Sky Posted May 18, 2005 my picture of the somali landscape at june the 2nd looks like this: TFG sets base in jowhar TFG welcomes the first batch of AU troops Mogadishu warlords still not realizing its goals of clearing the city from militia and military hardware Baydhabo still in a tense situation Puntland increases its presence in SSC regions with its ceerigaabawi VP Somaliland dealing with a bolder dictator by the day All in all no major changes. artificial peace in somalia upheld, yet war is looming somewhere, anywhere Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
wind.talker Posted May 18, 2005 Hmm.. Both interesting perspectives. Let me chip in: TFG wants: - Temporary HQ in Baydhabo (under anti-TFG control)& Jowhar (under TFG control) - A.U. peacekeepers (but land 'em where? - probably Jowhar) - Restore federal gov't institutions - An attack on Jowhar directed from Muqdisho and Marka - The Somali civil war enters a new phase Anti-TFG group want to: - Retain stolen property and revenue generated from such - Retain status of sole superpower in certain Somali "fiefdoms" - Maintain control of Baydhabo (at all costs - as first line of defense against pro-TFG forces) - Maintain illegal farms in Shabeelaha and Benadir regions - Let the so-called Islamic courts continue to chop people's hands off in the name of Islam, while 2 city blocks down, Cismaan Caato's boys are allowed to slang drugs - Avoid the issue of returning stolen properties in the Marka-Kismaayo corridor - How do they do all this? They collectively scream: THE XABASHAS ARE COMING TO COLONIZE SOMALIA! (Ironically, a large sum of the weapons in Muqdisho today being used against the innocent civilians were handed out to the Muqdisho warlords by the Imperialist Xabashas)! CONCLUSION: - The Somali civil war drags on - until Somaliweyn crowd the streets of Muqdisho and demand an end to the injustices and war! Until ALL SOMALIS realize these warlords-acting-like-real-leaders are ALWAYS out for their own good, never the greater good (let's face it: Somalis won't realize this, ever!) Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Camel Mlik Posted May 18, 2005 my picture of the somali landscape at june the 2nd looks like this: TFG sets base in jowhar or Kismayo The first batch of AU troops COME TO SOMALI BEFORE THE TNG Mogadishu warlords and AU TROOPS GOING HEAD TO HEAD Baydhabo IN THE HANDS OF THE TFG Puntland WITH IGAD ON IT'S SIDE FIGHTS OFF SOMALILAND AND PUNTLAND TROOPS GO ALL THE WAY TO HARGEISA NO MORE SOMALILAND. TABLE IS TURN AROUND SOMALILAND IN THE HANDS OF THE TNG BY JULY AS WELL AS MOGADISHU AND THE REST SOMLAI. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
contraflow Posted May 18, 2005 I can't guess what excatly will happen but at the end we will continue to be refugess for probably another 20 years. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nuune Posted May 18, 2005 I can't guess what excatly will happen but at the end we will continue to be refugess for probably another 20 years. We have been refugees for the past 60 years or so, another 20 years is just too little and is NOTHING! If things continue like the way they are now, I am very sure we will be refugees FOREVER. BACK TO THE TOPIC: I don't think there would be a war, even if all warlords locked on in agreements, they can talk, debate, propagate, and so on, but I don't think there would be a war at the end, UNLESS Ethiopia crosses over with their buddy infront Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Johnny B Posted May 18, 2005 Originally posted by M.I.L.K: my picture of the somali landscape at june the 2nd looks like this: TFG sets base in jowhar or Kismayo The first batch of AU troops COME TO SOMALI BEFORE THE TNG Mogadishu warlords and AU TROOPS GOING HEAD TO HEAD Baydhabo IN THE HANDS OF THE TFG Puntland WITH IGAD ON IT'S SIDE FIGHTS OFF SOMALILAND AND PUNTLAND TROOPS GO ALL THE WAY TO HARGEISA NO MORE SOMALILAND. TABLE IS TURN AROUND SOMALILAND IN THE HANDS OF THE TNG BY JULY AS WELL AS MOGADISHU AND THE REST SOMLAI. MILK man !too wild shots out there !! Daydreaming is not forbidden , but the timespan talks against your input. All these dreams of yours can´t be realized in 15 dayz, except the one where puntland takes over hargeisa W.Talker, I can´t help but notice a redundancy of usage to lines like Stolen properies !! Return Stolen properties It doesen´t belong to you One could say that you´re napping those lines Bro, haven´t we left behind the victim mentality n moved on? Nuune , if u´ve been a refugee for 60 years, get off my thread. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
nuune Posted May 19, 2005 Nuune , if u´ve been a refugee for 60 years, get off my thread. loooool, okey Johny but you know at least, we gona be refugees for the rest of our lives, true, that is if things don't go as they are planned! Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Johnny B Posted May 30, 2005 ehem ehem ... June 2nd is not that far away now ,, After a quick review, it seems that am gonna nail in 1 point see my 3rd point ( Baidao beein calm after Mr red-shirt n Sheikh black Adam are beaten !!) {b]alot can happen in 3 days [/b] but i don´t think 3 days are enough for the attackers of Baidao to regroup n launch another offence. Another upphill battle for the MILK man n all in the YEY camp. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Johnny B Posted July 28, 2005 Well.. After a long manouvering , 1st to Djibouti, Qatar, Yamen, Bosasso, Galcaio...admitted ..Col Yey admitted it. I´m going to operate from here >( JOWHAR ) What happened to the Government decision to operate temporarily from Jowhar AND Baidao ? I woulden´t get surprised if Yey sneaks in Mogadishu´s night clubs late at nights n drives back to Jowhar. Now is the time to tell .. either we´re reconciled or not ,( i beleive the later ) the comming days are decisive for the government of the WARLORDS I´m not optimistic about Col YEY. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jumatatu Posted July 28, 2005 Originally posted by Johnny B: I woulden´t get surprised if Yey sneaks in Mogadishu´s night clubs late at nights n drives back to Jowhar. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites