Could the Turkish Drones Supplied to Somalia Pose a Threat to Somaliland?

[Deeq A.]

Could the Turkish Drones Supplied to Somalia Pose a Threat to Somaliland?

The recent delivery of Turkish drones to Somalia has raised concerns and sparked debates about regional security dynamics, particularly regarding Somaliland. Given the complex history and ongoing tensions between Somaliland and Somalia, the presence of advanced military equipment in the region adds another layer of uncertainty.

Somaliland, which declared independence from Somalia in 1991, has maintained de facto autonomy for over three decades, operating with its own government, military, and institutions. Despite lacking international recognition, Somaliland has established relative stability compared to other parts of the region. However, Somalia continues to claim Somaliland as part of its territory, leading to strained relations and occasional military clashes along their disputed border.

The introduction of Turkish drones into Somalia’s military arsenal has therefore raised questions about whether they could be used in a future conflict. Somalia has justified its acquisition of drones as part of its counterterrorism efforts against al-Shabaab, a militant group that remains a significant threat in the region. Turkey has been a key ally to Somalia, providing military training, equipment, and infrastructure support. While these drones are intended to strengthen Somalia’s defense capabilities, concerns persist in Somaliland that the weapons could be redirected for political or military pressure.

Furthermore, Somaliland’s authorities may view the drone acquisition as an imbalance in military power, potentially undermining regional stability. In a worst-case scenario, the drones could embolden Somalia to take a more aggressive stance regarding its territorial claims. Conversely, diplomatic channels could be pursued to ensure transparency and prevent military escalation.

Ultimately, whether the Turkish drones pose a direct threat to Somaliland will depend on Somalia’s intentions and how it chooses to deploy these assets. Regional and international actors, including Turkey, may also play a role in ensuring that the drones are used strictly for counterterrorism operations, rather than exacerbating political conflicts. Diplomacy, dialogue, and regional cooperation will be essential in preventing further tensions and maintaining peace in the Horn of Africa.

Abdihafid Ismail

Qaran News