Deeq A. Posted November 12 Insight about the Nov 13 elections 81% Turn out 24 Region Ciro best Ciro % Muse 24 % Muse Ciro increment Registeration Voters 2024 Maroodi-jeex 174443 40% 240332 56% 50% 497734 433029 Togdheer 137649 71% 65343 34% 90% 236279 193749 Burco 102039 68% 55058 37% 90% 183354 150350 Oodweyne 32456 102% 2453 8% 100% 38873 31876 Buuhoodle 4570 40% 6462 56% 50% 14052 11523 Awdal 103881 72% 52794 37% 90% 181801 143623 Borama 86615 79% 37555 34% 90% 138458 109382 Saylac 10875 54% 9292 46% 50% 25680 20287 Lughaya 5849 42% 7438 53% 50% 17663 13954 Baki 2510 0% -3593 0% 90% Sanaag 66352 79% 24371 29% 90% 119648 83754 Cerigabo 46413 93% 11191 22% 90% 71562 50093 Ceel-Afweyn 10842 73% 4572 31% 50% 21224 14857 Gar-Adag 7165 62% 5548 48% 50% 16547 11583 Badhan 3491 68% 1279 25% 90% 7386 5170 Dhahar 0 0% 0 0% 50% 2929 2050 Taleex -269 0% -2426 0% 90% Sahil 30263 41% 48498 65% 50% 92620 74096 Sool 16883 52% 20318 62% 50% 50105 32568 Total 537177 56% 448196 47% 50% 1178187 960818 993K Voters 2024 56% Ciro vote 10% Wining vote 148% % Ciro must add 17 Region Ciro best case Muse 2024 worst % Muse 24 % Ciro 24 % Muse % Abdirahman Voters 2024 Maroodi-jeex 174443 240332 56% 40% 60.0% 29.1% 433029 Togdheer 137649 65343 34% 71% 47.7% 49.2% 193749 Awdal 103881 52794 37% 72% 47.2% 50.3% 143623 Sanaag 66352 24371 29% 79% 46.8% 49.8% 83754 Sool 40040 36020 56% 62% 53.8% 43.3% 64328 Sahil 30263 48498 65% 41% 64.2% 33.8% 74096 Total 560621 463156 47% 56% 54.1% 40.0% 992578 523K Increment 261K Ciro new voters Must win districts for Ciro 0K 50K 100K 150K Must win district District Burco Borama Cerigabo Oodweyne Caynabo Saylac Bali-Gubadle Salahley Sheekh Lughaya 150K 109K 50K 32K 23K 20K 18K 15K 14K 14K Wining vote distributed across districts for ciro -50% 0% 50% 100% % 24 Wining vote District Oodweyne Cerigabo Xudun Borama Badhan Ceel-Afweyn Burco Taleex Salahley Gar-Adag Saylac Sheekh Bali-Gubadle Hargeisa Lughaya Caynabo Buuhoodle Berbera Gabiley 94% 70% 56% 45% 43% 42% 31% 28% 22% 14% 8% 3% -2% -6% -11% -12% -16% -33% -63% 41% Muse must lose Ciro must minimize the loss of the districts 0K 50K 100K 150K 200K 250K 300K District Must minimize ciro Hargeisa Gabiley Ceel-Afweyn Gar-Adag 322K 77K 15K 12K 226K Abdirahman 335K Ciro added 17 261K Ciro grab new voters Qaran News Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
