Xaaji Xunjuf

Proxy war between Ethiopia and Egypt Inside Somalia

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Waxaan maqli jirey, Geelloow geedkasta cuntee markaad Ciin daaqdid baa laguu yabaa

Haddad HSM hadba meel ka bood, getting involved in regional geopolitical issues is th end.

Is equivalent SL going to Taiwan because of few dollars but strategic mistake and disregarding how countries get recognition 

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Puntland minister claims Egypt exploiting Somalia for Nile River interests 

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Wednesday September 4, 2024

 

Garowe (HOL) — Puntland's Interior Minister Abdi Farah Said Juha has accused Egypt of leveraging Somalia in its long-standing disputewith Ethiopia over the Nile River. Juha claimed that Egypt is using Somalia as a strategic tool to protect its interests in the Nile, a vital water source for the country.

"Egypt has intervened in Somalia for its own benefit," Juha said. "They are fighting for the Nile, while Ethiopia is focused on securing its water access. But Egypt wants to turn us into a pawn in their broader struggle."

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Juha went on to criticize Egypt's historical role in Somalia, accusing the country of undermining efforts to build a stable Somali government. He said that during past peace talks, Egypt was one of the nations that sided with warlords, complicating the path to stability.

"Egypt's agenda in Somalia is much bigger than simply offering help. Their presence here could bring serious risks," Juha warned.

The allegations come amid heightened tensions following a military cooperation agreement between Egypt and Somalia, which reportedly includes the deployment of up to 10,000 Egyptian soldiers to Somalia who will join the African Union's peacekeeping mission. The move, part of a defence deal signed in Cairo in August, has raised concerns in neighbouring Ethiopia, which views Egypt's presence in Somalia as a threat to its security.

The GERD, Africa's largest hydroelectric project, is at the heart of the tensions. The dam, built on the Blue Nile in Ethiopia, is designed to provide electricity to millions of Ethiopians, but Egypt sees it as a potential threat to its water supply. Egypt relies on the Nile for 85% of its freshwater and fears that the dam could reduce water flow, affecting agriculture and the livelihoods of millions of Egyptians.

Since construction began in 2011, the GERD has been a point of contention between the two countries. Despite Egypt's objections,Ethiopia has already completed filling the dam's reservoir, further escalating the dispute.

Ethiopia's concerns over Egypt's presence in Somalia are tied to geopolitical dynamics. Ethiopia's Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has expressed frustration with Somalia's defence deal with Egypt, particularly as Ethiopia faces its own internal challenges, including conflicts in the Tigray, Amhara, and Oromia regions. Ethiopia, already in a bitter dispute with Egypt over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), fears the military buildup could destabilize the region and increase the likelihood of conflict.

Somalia, however, remains firm in its decision. Somali Defense Minister Abdulkadir Mohamed Nur dismissed Ethiopia's concerns, asserting that Somalia has the right to form alliances in its national interest.

Some experts worry that the combination of Egypt's military presence in Somalia and the ongoing dispute over the Nile could spark a low-scale interstate conflict. Dr. Hassan Khannenje, director of the Horn International Institute for Strategic Studies, has warned that tensions over the Nile could lead to clashes between Egyptian and Ethiopian forces, potentially drawing in other regional actors.

Somaliland, which declared independence from Somalia in the 1990s, has also voiced concerns about Egypt's growing military presence. Officials fear the involvement of external powers could further complicate efforts to maintain regional stability.

 

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Somalia is already losing parts of their own country KF puntland and Jubbaland are all allied now to Ethiopia and  The Bunker is attacking these states verbally.

its going to be interesting

 

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Ethiopian troops reportedly seize airports in Somalia's Gedo region as tensions rise 

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Tuesday September 10, 2024


FILE PHOTO

Mogadishu (HOL) — Ethiopian forces have reportedly taken control of key airports in Somalia's Gedo region, including Luuq, Dolow, and Bardhere, amid rising tensions following reports that the Somali federal government plans to deploy Egyptian troops near the Ethiopian border.

The deployment of Ethiopian forces has sparked concern among local militia groups, who are reportedly mobilizing in response. This escalation comes as Ethiopian troops are scheduled to withdraw from Somalia by December 2024, when the African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS) is set to expire.

Plans are currently underway for a new AU-led peacekeeping mission to replace ATMIS. Notably, Somalia has signaled that it will not include Ethiopian forces in the new mission, opting instead for Egyptian involvement.

Tensions between Mogadishu and Addis Ababa have worsened since Ethiopia struck a controversial deal in January with Somaliland, which declared independence from Somalia. The agreement grants Ethiopia access to Somaliland's coastline, including the potential establishment of a naval base. Somalia, which considers Somaliland part of its territory, condemned the deal as a violation of its sovereignty.

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