Warqada ay ciidamada qaranku beeniyeen isla markaana ay raali galinta ka bixiyeen

[Deeq A.]

Hargeysa,(Qaran news)- Afhayeenka ciidanka qaranku waxa uu maanta beeniyay warrqdan hoos taala oo ku qornayd Ingriisi isla warqdaasina oo English-kii ahna hoos ka akhriso
Afhayeenka ciidanka u hadlay waxa uu beeniyay in ay warqdaasi ay ka soo baxday oo ay qoreen madaxda ciidanka qaranka oo cid ku saxeexani ayna jirin.
Waxa uu hadana raali galin ka bixiyay warqdaasi oo si qaldan bogooda u gashay, isla markaasna ay xidheen qofkii galiyey talaabo sharciga waafaqsana laga qaadaayo.

Waxa uu raali galin buuxda siiyay xisbiyada mucaaridka Somaliland sidoo kale waxa uu raali galin siiyay cid kasta oo dhibstay.

Waana tan warqda uu raali galinta ka bixinayaa ee akhri wanaagsan.

Taageerada Caalamiga ah ee Soomaaliya: Waxay ka qayb qaadanaysaa xasilooni darada Somaliland.

Beesha caalamka oo ay ku jiraan dawladda Maraykanka, UK, EU, dawladaha Khaliijka Carabta, UN-ta iyo hay’ado kale—ayaa ka qayb qaatay arrimo dhawr ah oo ka dhacay Soomaaliya iyo Somaliland kuwaas oo horseeday xasillooni-darro gobolka. Tusaale ahaan waxaa inoogu filan colaadda ka taagan magaalada Laascaanood ee gobolka bari ee Somaliland una dhow Puntland. Waxa kale oo jirta in beesha caalamku ka gaabisay inay ka hadlaan arrimaha taagan ee u dhexeeya Somaliland iyo Soomaaliya, taasoo sii kordhisay muranka ka taagan maamulka hawada ee ay wadaagaan labada dal oo uu ka mid yahay dakhliga ka soo xarooda. In kasta oo lagu heshiiyey in Somaliland iyo Soomaaliyaba ay wadaagaan dakhliga ka soo xarooda hawada, Soomaaliyana weligeed qayb ka mid ah dakhligaas uma qaybin Somaliland, taas oo sii xumaysay xidhiidhkii iyo xasillooni darrada gobolka.

14-kii sano ee la soo dhaafay, madaxweynayaashii kala dambeeyay ee Soomaaliya waxay samaysteen ciidanka xoogga dalka Soomaaliyeed, iyagoo qorista iyo tababarida maleeshiyo beeleedyada. Ciidamadan ayaa loo adeegsan jiray caburinta ama la dagaalanka qabiilada ama qabaa’ilka iska soo horjeeda, sida ka muuqata Jubaland iyo Koonfurta Soomaaliya.

Dagaalkii Lascanod, askartii Soomaaliya ee ay soo tababartay Eritereeya iyo dawladda Maraykanku waxay la dagaalameen ciidamada Somaliland. Lascanod waxa ay ahayd magaalo nabdoon, inkasta oo bulshada deegaanku ay ka cabanayeen Somaliland, haddana xaaladdu waxa ay ahayd mid deggan. Si kastaba ha ahaatee magaalada Laascanod ayaa maanta noqotay magaalo ay ka howlgalaan kooxaha argagixisada ah, waxaana ku dagaalamaya maleeshiyo beeleed. Xukuumadda Somaliland ayaa ciidankeeda kala baxday, iyadoo ay meesha ka baxday awood la’aan taasoo sii kordhisay qalalaasaha.

Madaxweyne Xasan Sheekh Maxamuud ayaa intii u dhaxeysay 2012-kii ilaa 2017-kii waxa uu soo xulay ciidamo ka soo kala jeeda qabaa’il kala duwan oo u badan qabiilada Mogadishu Clan, qaarna ay ka soo jeedaan qabaa’il kale, waxaana tababaro siinayay Turkiga, Mareykanka iyo Uganda. Ciidamadan ayaa markii dambe loo daabulay inay la dagaalamaan qabiilka Biyomaal ee ku sugan magaalada Marka, dagaalkaas oo salka ku haya muran ku saabsan dhul beereed.

2017 ilaa 2022 Madaxweynihii hore ee Soomaaliya Maxamed C/llaahi Farmaajo ayaa ciidamo ka tirsan beeshiisa oo uu tababaro ku soo qaatay dalalka Eritrea, USA iyo Turkiga, ujeedkiisuna ahaa in la geeyo Somaliland oo aan la dagaalamin kooxaha argagixisada ah. Isbeddelkan diiradda lagu saaray ayaa horseeday xasillooni darro weyn oo ka jirta Somaliland, iyada oo iska hor-imaadyo hubaysan ay ka dhaceen magaalada Lascanod— gobolkaas oo nabad ku naaloonayey 32 sano. Taageerada beesha caalamka ee loogu talo galay in lagula dagaalamo argagixisada Soomaaliya ayaa taas bedelkeeda loo weeciyey colaado ka dhan ah Somaliland ama mucaaradad siyaasadeed oo Muqdisho ka dhaca.

Isla ciidamadan ayaa sidoo kale magaalada Muqdisho loogu adeegsan jiray caburinta mucaaradka siyaasadeed, iyadoo la arkayay markii ay socdeen dibadbaxyo markii madaxweyne Farmaajo uu diiday in doorasho ka dhacdo Soomaaliya. Ku-takri-falka deeqaha iyo agabka caalamiga ah ayaa walaac ka muujiyay cawaaqib xumada mustaqbalka fog ee ka dhalan karta in la tababaro maleeshiyo beeleedyo, gaar ahaan maadaama loo soo celiyay colaado siyaasadeed iyo kuwo dhuleed halkii ay la dagaalami lahaayeen argagixisada.

Arrinta yaabka leh ayaa ah in beesha caalamku ay si dadban awood ugu siiso maleeshiyo beeleedyada ku sugan gudaha Soomaaliya inay la dagaalamaan Somaliland, taasoo keeni karta xasillooni darro baahsan oo gobolka ka dhacda.

Mala-awaal ahaan, haddii ay Somaliland khal-khal gasho, waxaa dhici karta in kharashka ku baxa dib u soo celinta xasiloonida uu noqon karo mid aad u badan, marka la eego joogitaanka Xuutiyiinta Yemen, kooxaha argagixisada ah ee fadhigoodu yahay Puntland iyo budhcad-badeed doonaya inay saldhigyo ka samaystaan ​​Somaliland.

Aqoonyahano,Siyaasiyiin iyo Aqoonyahano badan oo reer Somaliland ah ayaa aaminsan in taageerada beesha caalamka ee Soomaaliya ay keeni karto colaad ka sii weyn haddii ay Soomaaliya weerar ku soo qaado Somaliland. Colaadda dhawaan ka dhacday Lascanod waa calaamad murugo leh, iyadoo askar Soomaaliya lagu soo tababaray Ereteriya iyo dawladda Maraykanku ay argagixisadu ka barbar dagaalamayaan si ay Somaliland u khalkhal geliso.

Doodda ka socota waddooyinka Somaliland ayaa ku saabsan in la sii wado ku tiirsanaanta taageerada dalalka Khaliijka Carabta iyo reer galbeedka ama in loo soo jeesto sidii ay u taageeri lahaayeen waddamo kale sida Ruushka, Iiraan iyo Shiinaha. Xukuumadda Somaliland ee uu hoggaamiyo Madaxweyne Muuse Biixi ayaa ah mid reer galbeedka ah, waxaanay xidhiidh la leedahay dalalka Khaliijka Carabta. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, arrintan ayaa wax iska bedeli karta haddii xisbiga mucaaradka ahi uu talada dalka ku guulaysto oo uu doonayo inuu la safto Shiinaha oo ay suurtogal tahay inuu saldhig milateri ka siiyo Somaliland. Si taas looga hortago waa in dalalka Khaliijka Carabta iyo Galbeedka ay kasbadaan quluubta shacabka Somaliland inta ay goori goor tahay.

Marka la soo koobo

Taageerada caalamiga ah ee Soomaaliya oo ay ku jiraan mucaawinooyinka ka imanaya Maraykanka, UK, EU, dawladaha Khaliijka Carabta iyo UN-ta ayaa si aan ku talagal ahayn uga qaybqaatay xasilooni darada Somaliland. Inkastoo gargaarka loogu talagalay in lagula dagaalamo argagixisada laguna hormariyo nabadda Soomaaliya, madaxweynayaashii kala dambeeyay ee Soomaaliya waxay u isticmaali jireen inay ku tababaraan maleeshiyo beeleedyo dano gaar ah ama qabiil. Dib-u-hagaajinta kheyraadka ayaa sii hurisay colaado la mid ah kii ka dhacay Lascanod, halkaasoo ciidamada Soomaaliya ay tababareen ay kula dagaalameen ciidamada Somaliland. Halkii laga xasilin lahaa gobolka, falalkani waxay horseedeen rabshado kordhay, cabudhinta mucaaradka, iyo welwelka sii kordhaya ee xasilloonida gobolka oo ballaaran. Xaaladdu waxay Somaliland ka dhalisay doodo ku saabsan inay ku sii tiirsanaan doonaan taageerada reer galbeedka ama inay xulafaysi la raadiyaan quwadaha kale ee caalamka sida Ruushka ama Shiinaha. Doorka beesha caalamka ee khalkhal galintan ayaa keeni karta cawaaqib xumo hadii aan wax laga qaban.

English version

International Support for Somalia: Contributing to Instability in Somaliland.

The international community—including the US Government, UK, EU, Arab Gulf states, the UN, and other agencies—has contributed to several issues in Somalia and Somaliland that have led to regional instability. A significant example is the conflict in Lascanod, a city in the eastern region of Somaliland near Puntland. Additionally, the international community’s failure to address the ongoing issues between Somaliland and Somalia has exacerbated disputes over control of the airspace shared by both countries, including revenue generated from it. Despite agreement that both Somaliland and Somalia share the revenue gained from the air space.Somalia has never distributed any portion of this revenue to Somaliland, further straining relations and contributing to regional instability.

Over the past 14 years, successive Somalia presidents have formed the Somalia National Army by recruiting and training clan-based militias. These forces have been used to oppress or fight against opposing clans or tribes, as seen in Jubaland and South Somalia.

In the Lascanod conflict, Somalia soldiers trained by Eritrea, and the US government fought against Somaliland forces. Lascanod had been a peaceful city, and even though the local community had some grievances against Somaliland, the situation was relatively stable. Today, however, Lascanod has become a city where terrorist groups operate, and tribal militias are fighting over control. The Somaliland government has withdrawn its army, leaving a power vacuum that has escalated the chaos.

From 2012 to 2017, President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud of Somalia selected soldiers from various clans, predominantly from the Mogadishu Clan tribe, with some from other tribes, for training by Turkey, the USA and Uganda. These soldiers were later deployed to fight against the Biyomaal tribe in Marka, a conflict rooted in disputes over agricultural land.

From 2017 to 2022, former Somalia President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmajo recruited soldiers from his clan for training in Eritrea, the USA, and Turkey, with the intention of deploying them against Somaliland and not against terrorist groups. This shift in focus has led to significant destabilization in Somaliland, with armed confrontations in Lascanod—a region that had enjoyed relative peace for 32 years. The support from the international community intended to combat terrorism in Somalia has instead been redirected to conflicts against Somaliland or political opposition in Mogadishu.

The same forces have also been used in Mogadishu to suppress political opposition, as seen during protests when President Farmajo refused to hold elections in Somalia. This misuse of international aid and resources has raised concerns about the long-term consequences of training clan-based militias, especially as they have been repurposed for political and territorial conflicts rather than combating terrorism.

The irony is that the international community is indirectly empowering tribal militias within Somalia to fight against each other and against Somaliland, which could lead to wider regional instability.

Hypothetically, if Somaliland becomes destabilized, the cost of restoring stability could be high, given the presence of the Houthis in Yemen, terrorist groups who are based in Puntland, and pirates seeking to establish bases in Somaliland.

Many scholars, politicians, and academics in Somaliland believe the international community’s support for Somalia could lead to a larger conflict if Somalia were to attack Somaliland. The recent conflict in Lascanod is a troubling sign, with Somalia soldiers trained in Eritrea and by the US gov fighting alongside terrorists to destabilize Somaliland.

The debate in Somaliland’s streets revolves around whether to continue relying on support from Western and Arab Gulf countries or to turn towards other nations like Russia, Iran, and China for backing. The current Somaliland government, led by President Musa Bihi, is pro-Western and has ties to Arab Gulf countries. However, this could change if the opposition party gains power and seeks to align with China, possibly offering them a military base in Somaliland. To prevent this, Western and Arab Gulf countries must win the hearts and minds of the people of Somaliland before it’s too late.

In Summary

International support for Somalia, including aid from the US, UK, EU, Arab Gulf states, and the UN, has inadvertently contributed to instability in Somaliland. Although aid was intended to combat terrorism and promote peace in Somalia, successive Somalia presidents have used it to train clan-based militias for personal or tribal gain. This redirection of resources has fueled conflicts like the one in Lascanod, where Somalia-trained forces fought against Somaliland troops. Instead of stabilizing the region, these actions have led to increased violence, repression of opposition, and growing concerns about wider regional instability. The situation has raised debates in Somaliland about whether to continue relying on Western support or seek alliances with other global powers like Russia or China. The international community’s role in this destabilization could have far-reaching consequences if left unchecked.

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