Iiraan retaliates

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

The two vassal qamiisweyne states - Sacuudiga iyo Urdu - helped Zionists, downing some drones in Urdu airspace. Waa yaab walaahi, they are truly unabashed ultimate puppets.

No wonder that so-called Jordanian king balaayo iska dhigaaye when Zionists allowed him and his military plane to airdrop little nafaqo-less food in Falastiin.

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

Uncle Sam pays them in debt and profited by the giants of American military industrial complex, of course. They in turn fund the corrupt politicians and two-head of same snake war hawk parties. Not a dime from the Zionists.

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

Surprised The Guardian published this today.

Why Israel’s attack on Iranian consulate in Syria was a gamechanger

The large-scale attack by Iran on Israel may have passed with relatively little damage, but it marks a significant transformation in the conflict between the two enemies.

A war that has long been fought through proxies, assassinations and strikes away from Israeli soil – often in third countries – has spilled into the open.

While senior Israeli officials have framed this weekend’s Iranian attack as “revealing the true face” of Tehran, the reality is that the proximate cause was Israel’s misjudgment in its strike on an Iranian diplomatic compound in Syria that killed two senior Iranian generals, among others.

After years in which both sides operated within the framework of a largely undeclared set of “rules”, Israel – as analysts have pointed out – bulldozed through every red line to attack a location that Tehran maintains was tantamount to attacking Iranian soil.

“Israel went too far in assassinating the Iranian general, probably, in a diplomatic location,” said Yagil Levy, a professor of military sociology at the Open University of Israel.

“Israel is led by the availability of its weapons systems. And whenever the country or the leadership feels that they have a good intelligence, a good opportunity and available weaponry systems that can do the job, Israel strikes,” he added.

“Israel doesn’t have a really strategic approach … the attempt to identify the [connections] between specific military actions and expected benefits is not in the repertoire of the Israeli leadership.”

And while much is made of Israel’s military strategy of deterrence, it is a principle no less strongly internalised in Iran, despite its years of trying to avoid direct confrontation.

Israeli commentators have framed the failure of the Iranian attack to do much damage as a defeat for Tehran and a victory for Israel, suggesting retaliation is inevitable following the first declared attack on Israeli soil by a foreign state since 1991, when Iraq fired missiles.

Iran would respond in this way.

“It came on the back of so many other Israeli attacks that claimed lives in the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps and alongside the breach of the Vienna convention in attacking a diplomatic [site].

“I think Iran’s calculation was that if didn’t respond, Israel will keep trying to push back and degrade the axis of resistance across the region. This was about reinforcing its red lines and some measure of deterrence.”

The pressing risk now for Israel and the US in the hours and days ahead is that – as six months of war in Gaza and Lebanon have already demonstrated – the contagion of the current conflict continues to spill relentlessly beyond its boundaries.

Washington had poured diplomatic efforts into preventing escalation in recent months and, despite firm military support for Israel, is certain to be pushing Netanyahu to moderate any Israeli response. But the attack on Damascus – which the US was quick to say it had not been informed about – was a reminder of President Joe Biden’s limited leverage in Israel, despite the country’s reliance on US military support.

While it was highly significant that Jordan joined the effort to shoot down incoming Iranian munitions, the broadening scope of the conflict presses on lines of fracture, not least in Iraq.

The decision, almost certainly coordinated between Hezbollah and Tehran, for the Lebanese Shia group not to deploy its huge arsenal of heavy rockets during the Iranian attack also suggests that for now at least there is a small window of opportunity to stop the conflict deepening further still.

The burning question is whether, as Vakil suggests, Israel will feel content to portray its defence against Iran’s attack as a “success” in and of itself or whether it will risk striking back at Iran and further escalating the war.

“Iran’s retaliation was choreographed and telegraphed,” wrote HA Hellyer, a Middle East expert and senior fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, on X in the immediate aftermath of Iran’s attack.

“[There was] almost zero chance it was going to inflict damage on Israel with that level of warning. The point was to make a scene, and it did that. Iran’s payoff? Reputational advancement as ‘resistance’ internationally.

“We need de-escalation, and it’s imperative [Washington] DC convinces Tel Aviv of its determination not to be drawn into an offensive war with Iran. Netanyahu has been expressing his desire for one for a long time, but will hold back if he is sure the US won’t stand alongside.”

[Xaaji Xunjuf]

8 hours ago, Che -Guevara said:

We are talking about nation states not tribal Somali regions. Interest before everything. Whether Arabs and Jews descend from  the same figure is beside the point.

it has everything to do with dna ethnicity    thats why the Arabs consider Iran a bigger enemy then the  israelis. with the abraham accords barhain uae  and sudan  have all established ties with Israel. Because iran is a bigger threat.

[galbeedi]

This attack by Iran could be a game changer.

The media isn't showing us but the main airbase in the desert was hit. Iran said it did not target population centers or economic hubs. In order to defend the the drones and missiles Israel has to ask the help from UK, US and even Jordan which means it can't defend herself from Iran.

The drones were meant to to overwhelm the interceptors which costs a million dollar each. Some reports say that it cost Israel $1 billion, add that to the a billion dollar freight ship sequestered by Iran yesterday from the Strait of Hormuz which supposed to unload the freight to UAE and transit though Jordan and then Israel. That is $2 billion in 24 hours.

The USA can't attack Iran. This Iranian local lake called Hormuz is their backyard. 30% of the world oil travels here and if Iran closes the strait, the barrel of oil will be $200 dollars in election year. The American bases in the gulf will be the target of Iranian missiles, the UAE will be quickly bankrupt.

Uncle Joe said he isn't interested a war with Iran, but the crazy Netanyahu wish to drag America to fight Iran. He destroyed Gaza and left without achieving anything but the suffering and destruction of the Palestinian civilians.  HisbuAllah is there, so is Syria, Iraq and Yemen intact with their forces. When you choose a bloodthirsty man as a leader who sells nothing but fear and hate the result is ugly. in 1994, during the Oslo accord , this neighborhood showed a lot of promise and hope, then Netanyahu and Sharon showed up to tear and the rest is history as they say.

 

 

 

 

[maakhiri1]

i think whole exercise was Iran to demonstrate that they can hit, they have not even used their superior weapons.

Anyway we, see what happens when Israel attacks, the issue is Iran does not have IRON dome.

 

[Che -Guevara]

Cheap drones and cruise missiles were meant to overwhelm, but Iran's real ace is the ballistic missiles which  were not intercepted, in order they could have hit anywhere the Iranians want.

[maakhiri1]

19 minutes ago, Che -Guevara said:

Cheap drones and cruise missiles were meant to overwhelm, but Iran's real ace is the ballistic missiles which  were not intercepted, in order they could have hit anywhere the Iranians want.

were the ballistic missiles used? i heard they put one thru, as demo, without real payload, and it went thru

[galbeedi]

1 hour ago, Che -Guevara said:

but Iran's real ace is the ballistic missiles which  were not intercepted

It is true. The ballistic missiles hit the base directly more than once. The drone travels around 200k/hour and it takes 7 to 8 hours to reach the target, but the missile is travelling 8-10,000 km/h, usually they lunch 20 to 3o minutes before the the drones reach the sky. Furthermore, as of lately,   Iran has developed Hypersonic missiles that travels 10 times the speed of sound and could hit  targets within ten minutes. The suicide drones are cheap to manufacture, probably few thousands a piece.

Crazy Netanyahu is playing with fire. Israeli airports were closed for the last 48-72 hours with hundreds of flights cancelled. They could hit Iran with cruise missiles, but the strength of the Israeli army is mostly fighter jets and bombers which is difficult to sustain 2500 km away from home. Iran is a 90 million people with vast country and no amount of missile will cause devastation compared to tiny Israel.

Iran could bring the missiles to Lebanon and hit Israel proper easily. The Iran regime has been building missiles for 25 years. They even transferred some of the technology for Hamas to build Yasin 105 RPG which devastated Israeli tanks. 

Uncle Joe says that both Iran and Israel must declare victory and go home. The Ayatollahs had satisfied the Iranian public who were clamoring for revenge and Israel had paid some price but could claim some small success of shooting hundreds of drones with help of US. Yet, the biggest casualty is the so called detrence of Israel to hit their opponents hard and scare them. Iranian president Raisi said from now on any attack will be answered . Hamas has changed everything. The Gaza war will be written in history books for years to come.

The stupid Arab press doesn't understand the game and are talking about fake war. They are saying how come Iran has informed USA and other countries about their attack. Fool Arabs don't get the plot. This is a proxy war and Iran has reached the category of huge powers avoiding coalition to fight directly just like the Soviet Union and America during the cold war. Both US and Iran don't want to fight, it is simple as that.

[Tallaabo]

 

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

Waa ogaa Xasan iyo dowladiisa damiinka oo Imaaraadka u taliyo meesha afleeris la soo istaagi doonaan. Isqor bilaa liis. Yaabkooda.

Lix bilood Falastiin la rusheynaaye ka aamusnaa, no baaq whatsoever. Laakiin hadda Imaaraadka ayaa gacma maroojisay.

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Xaaji Xunjuf]

These iranian attacks are pointless  the Iron dome of Israel destroyed al of the drones and Missles of Iran.