Illyria

No (s)elections in sight for FMSs whose term extensions expired

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Illyria   

Namely JL, SW, HS, and GM. In the last NCC leaders meeting, they all granted themselves an extension of a year to hold (s)elections, but nothing has been done as of yet. Could they be classified as functioning polities, or bona fide States on merit, and in their own rights?

Do bear in mind, the function (power) of holding elections is a power for the FMSs, and not a Federal power.

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This is a good analyses.

SPA_Policy_Paper_05_2023_ENGLISH.pdf

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Illyria   

The NCC agreement also outlines modalities for sub-national elections, as well as their timing and sequencing with national elections.

• Local Council Elections: The agreement outlines that OPOV district council elections will be conducted by June 2024 (i.e.in just over a year) in all districts in Somalia.

• Election of FMS Assemblies and Presidents: The agreement also stipulates that these would be based on OPOV between the two political parties that fared best in the local elections, marking a significant shift from the clanbased model all state assemblies currently use. These would take place on 30 November, 5 months after the conclusion of the local elections.

• Election of the House of the People: National elections would follow from district elections, once two parties had been selected through this process. The agreement did not clarify the date that the federal parliamentary and presidential elections would take place. However, the agreement stated that elections at different levels of government will take place every five years starting from the date elections are concluded. For instance, if local elections are successfully held in June 2024, the next local elections will be in June 2029. It could also imply the next federal elections would take place in 2027.

• Election of the Upper House: The electoral approach that would be used for the election of the members of the Upper House is not defined in the NCC agreement, although the constituency was agreed upon as the FMSs. The agreement also stated that the representation of the Benadir region in the Upper House would be clarified in legislation defining the status of Mogadishu according to Article 9 of the Provisional Federal Constitution.

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Illyria   

The NCC election agreement also proposes a move away from the current semiparliamentary system to a presidential system, eliminating the role of the Prime Minister and changing it to a Vice Presidency. The President and the Vice President will be elected on a joint ticket by the public. The system of government has continued to be one of the contentious political issues in Somalia. At the federal level, Somalia has only had a presidential system during the 21 years of military rule. The pre-1969 civilian government (the first republic) and the governments that came to power from 2000 (the third republic) have to date had a president and prime minister.

At the FMS level, Somalia applies a semi-presidential system. Puntland, Galmudug, and Hirshabelle have Presidents and Vice Presidents elected by state legislators. Southwest has no Vice President as yet, while Jubaland has two appointed Vice Presidents.

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