Updates from Las Anod: Warning-Some Graphic Images

[Che -Guevara]

5 hours ago, Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar said:

Why is Deni silent? Yaab. Xataa cambaareyn yar maaka soo yeeri weysay. 

He was finally forced to come out and say something much like HSM/

https://puntlandpost.net/2022/12/30/madaxweynaha-puntland-oo-ka-hadlay-xaaladda-adag-ee-ka-taagan-laascaanood/

[maakhiri1]

6 hours ago, Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar said:

Why is Deni silent? Yaab. Xataa cambaareyn yar maaka soo yeeri weysay. 

Very weak man, what can he do? In iska aamuso baa doortay, 

[galbeedi]

6 hours ago, Samafal said:

. But real turn around that will change status quo is if SSC militia in Lasanod switch sides

Local militia could be the real game changer in Laascaanood. It was the local militia led by Xaabsade that took over Laascaanood and handed Somaliland without firing a bullet. THere was no Somaliland presence in Laascaanood for 16 years until the Xaabsade militia moved from Puntland and switched sides.

Also, remember Somaliland police, especially the RRU are typical Cabdi Iley LIyuu police. They are trained to shoot people. This the real order that comes from the interior ministry. In Hargeisa they shot dead 7 people in very small demonstration in small Xaafad.

If things keep going like this expect big changes.

[maakhiri1]

SL are in SSC because of local paid militias,  even now or when there is conflict,  lots money follow to keep them quiet, including delivery of free Khat. The secessionist really know the danger and very scared ,  of Ssc raising up

But if locals rise up, it will take them a week

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

Merged the threads. Hope Che doesn't mind. 

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

1 hour ago, maakhiri1 said:

SL are in SSC because of local paid militias,  even now or when there is conflict,  lots money follow to keep them quiet, including delivery of free Khat. The secessionist really know the danger and very scared ,  of Ssc raising up

But if locals rise up, it will take them a week

How come divide and conquer only works on the Sool side? A much smaller deegaan that is Buuhoodle and nawaaxigeeda kama dhacdo saan after three decades. Is biyaha Sool different? 

[Che -Guevara]

1 hour ago, Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar said:

Merged the threads. Hope Che doesn't mind. 

LOL...on this sad occasion, I don't mind.

[Che -Guevara]

1 hour ago, Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar said:

How come divide and conquer only works on the Sool side? A much smaller deegaan that is Buuhoodle and nawaaxigeeda kama dhacdo saan after three decades. Is biyaha Sool different? 

There's a warlordism culture in the city. Mahad Cambaash is one such warlord. Hargeisa pays him handsomely.

 

Reer Buhoodle are different breed. And the secessionists gave up after Kalshaale.

[Che -Guevara]

 

[maakhiri1]

1 hour ago, Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar said:

How come divide and conquer only works on the Sool side? A much smaller deegaan that is Buuhoodle and nawaaxigeeda kama dhacdo saan after three decades. Is biyaha Sool different? 

Very good observation,  the tiny Buhoodle is different class, yes and is mostly do to local militias, the biggest problem SSC  face is not about SL, it is lack of unity among them

[baala xoofto]

5 hours ago, maakhiri1 said:

SL are in SSC because of local paid militias,  even now or when there is conflict,  lots money follow to keep them quiet, including delivery of free Khat. The secessionist really know the danger and very scared ,  of Ssc raising up

But if locals rise up, it will take them a week

 Very simplistic view. If that was that easy, Somaliland wouldn't have last 15 years. 

The fact is that the local subclans of the Dh*lhante are all at each other's throats. This even goes deeper in the Jufo level. And this local competition for resources and influence existed since yonks.

Both Somaliland and Puntland play these local clan dynamics against each other. However, the reason why those who are allied with Somaliland always win are two things;

1. Somaliland's economy is much bigger and the Somaliland Army's budget is much much bigger than Puntland.

2. Somaliland Army is much stronger and much more professional than the adversaries.

These two combined, makes any local clan who allies with Somaliland a winner. 

For example, the Jaamac Siyaad, is numerically very small clan when compared to others. However, since they allied themselves with Somaliland, they have become a very significant power broker in the region. 

Somaliland has also allied with other subclans, the latest which is the Hassan Ugaas in Boocame district who are facing land dispute with Ciise Maxamuud clan from Garowe. 

The interest is both ways. Those subclans that alley with Somaliland automatically become the winners. Those who ally with Puntland for example are the losers. 

These dynamics have existed since yonks and will continue to exist as resources are limited in this part of the world. 

 

[baala xoofto]

And By the way, do not read too much into these women and children protesting. They have a lot of things to lose if they continue. The Somaliland Army whether they are on the street or whether they are in the Baracks, they have all the time in the world on their side. They will just sit it out. 

The children need to go schools, the mother need to earn some living. 

It will back to normal soon. 

If there is any clan melitia that tries to attack Somaliland Army, as usually is the case, we will break their back and send them to the cemetery. 

[baala xoofto]

Things are already coming back to normal, shops are opening and traffic is returning. Women and children at maximum can sustain an upraising for a week. After a week, the food on the table becomes a huge issue. 

 

[baala xoofto]

 

3 hours ago, Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar said:

How come divide and conquer only works on the Sool side? A much smaller deegaan that is Buuhoodle and nawaaxigeeda kama dhacdo saan after three decades. Is biyaha Sool different? 

Buuhoodle is a border town. The road that divides the town halves it between Somaliland side and Ethiopia side. 

As it is a border town, it is very hard to 100% provide security. The cross-national security issue that any operation would generate is not worth the benefits that capturing it provides Somaliland at this moment. 

[baala xoofto]

This is Garowe. A lot of clan melitia are gathering there whose objective is to "liberate" Sool. I heard that before!!

It is that time of the year again. Fataa-dhug and bararakh.