The peacefull transition of power marks the end post 1991 civil war. in Somalia.

[Khadafi]

Sometimes, some events are game-changers. The fall of berlin wall and communism was such an event. I can today with 100 percent confidence say that Somalia entered a new phase when the first elections where held in Somalia and the TNG became the TFG. I would say say that post-civil war Somalia with USC SSDF SNM SPM and unarmed orgnisations like SNU are gone. That era past and buried. When Somalis elected a person who had affiliations with the ousted Barre that was stress-test for the young federal republic.  30 years ago Somalis were clapping the hands 1991 january but litte did thet know that society would literally collapse and we would have Somalia that reminds us from apocplyptic films like mad max with Mel Gibson.  Farmaajo failed, he failed utterly with his populism. He wasted his few years by trying to force the federal states to be vassal states under him. Little did he know that whole concept of federalism was created in order for the countrey to heal.

Everyone got a region. Instead trying harden the state instutions and becoming a symbol of change by demanding federal states to give clean water free education to the population he was seen as an uprooter.   Somalia is patronage state with funding coming fron the UN. He ousted the UN. The positive  and lasting effects of Somalia under Farmaajo was  his un-wavering alliance with Turkiye and Qatar. He never doubted and stuck with these gracious countries.

A close relative of mine openly supported Hassan Sheikh becouse he has firmer understanding how fragile the state is in Somalia. Hassan Sheikh saw the writing on the wall and recognised the Jubba land.  He then created the Security meetings where all regional states would meet.  His biography is one filled with working with NGOS with peacebuilding and his ties Islaax and sufism is commendable. Somalia faces now  two challenges.  Somaliland has no relevancy as the world sees it as a regional state within Somalia. Behind hum bug of the seccionusts the truth behind the closed doors Somaliland receives funding from FGS and demanded its share. What we southerners can do is commend the tribal 3 city state for having calm and security. Somaliland is a non issue. They are Somalis living in peace and should get every penny they rightly do so.  Its been 30 years, the younger generation of Hargeysaa are coming to Mogadishu, nobody cares anymore about three tribal cities demanding seperatism. Pan-Somalism alive.

1---The primary challenge to and a existential threat to FGS Somalia is undoubtlt Al-shabaab. Weather we like it or not, the terror group is more structural and has more dicipline as an as a blood thirsty organisation  thet gorges the blood of muslims. Al-shabaab have withstood Amisom and nothing is permanent as Barre said in a interview in 1978.  Amisom will leave, Americas battle fleed is leaving the middle east. If Al-shabaab cuts its relations with al-qaida and tries to potray itself as the taliban we really could see an afghabistan collapse. That collapse took weeks. In Somalia it would take days.

Security and securing a victory against all wings of al-shabaab, ictisaam  and establishing a culture of Somalis asking "where the hell did this ideology" come from is crucial.   The Civil war in Somalia has finally ended.  It is now time to end the khwaarij menace in Somalia.  Algeria went through it and the late Bouteflika defeated the takfiris in a bloody war. Turkey could here be more proactive. I do not see any reason for Xassan Sheeikh rejecting a military alliance with Turkey. They know how to the defeat an insugency, They defeated the communist-leninist PKK kurdish terror group that murderd consertvative muslim kurds and turks.  Xassan Shaykh needs to look for military assistance once the europeans and cadaanka cut their money and simply leave just as they did with Iraq and Afghqaanistan. That countrey my friends is Turkey and no one else. They sent Imaam Axmed Gurey 50000 cismaani mosqueteers (canisari)  and they could do it again,

Khadafi

 

 

 

[galbeedi]

Well said Khadaafi.

We need our Culema to openly debate the Khawaarij and speak against them. a decade or so ago, it was even impossible for Somali Culema to say anything bad about Al-shabaab. Hassan Sheikh had good relationship with Turkey when he was in charge last time and I don't see any changes on that front. 

Despite the allegations of corruption Hassan is known to be an able man who could accomplish things. I disagree with you on issue of Amisom and the collapse of the Somali security if they depart. While the current army hasn't achieved a lot, they have taken the battle to the extremists and prevailed when confronted. The Hassan Sheikh led army which were mostly clan militia with support of the heavy weapons of Amisom had liberated from Afgooye all the to Baraawe. If the Amisom is put to action instead of sitting in barracks we might be able to dislodge them from some regions in Jubbaland and Southwest.

Looking back, the  mistake  Farmaajo made was using state resources to try to oust regional leaders. Jubbaland could have been his home base of support while he tried to accommodate a Galmudug that was destined to be hostile. At the end, the biggest mistake of all was replacing Khayre. It exposed all the weaknesses of Farmaajo.

Yet, no one can deny the high hopes Farmaajo instilled on the hearts and minds of the Somali people. Many people appreciated his quite and reserved manner without never offending anyone publicly. At the end the populism of Farmaajo had inspired many, but failed to affect or move those who mattered most: the regional leaders and other stake holders.

Another observation of mine is how we never think outside the box.  No improvement has been made about the ballot casting system or voting. The so called NGO's who pay billions will never tell you where to improve to reduce tension or transparency.  Instead of 320 people voting for ten hours and intermingling like market where 40 candidates had 40 observers, electronic machines could have been installed within the parliament to make it easy. Or the parliamentary clerk could call the name of the person and raise their hands openly saying yes or no. 

Believe me it could have eliminated the secret ballot which is part of the corruption. No one should hide his/her vote to elect the president of the republic. This are the little things where you can effect some changes and reduce corruption.

If we all agree as you mentioned that the biggest threat is Al-shbaab, then everything else should take a back seat and concentrate on this evil group. Address the Bakaraha businessmen paying millions of taxes to keep the terrorist group to kill people. Check and monitor money transfers among the people and so on. But if we keep Hormuud, Dahabshiil, Amal and others to do business as usual and protect the financial industrial complex that has thrived through the instability, then we will not move the caravan.

President Hassan Sheikh have a great opportunity to change. He must confront studiously the armed militia in Mogadishu and eventually disarm them. These people and their stock piles of weapons feed the insurgents. 

Anyway, his premier and cabinet will say a lot how Hasan Sheikh is moving for the future. We say good luck to him.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Xaaji Xunjuf]

What a load of nonsense. Sharif sheikh Ahmed handed over power.  Hassan handed power over to the cheese fellow . So because now cheese gave power back to hassan civil war ended nonsense . As for somaliland today somaliland is stronger then ever and there is absolutely no threat coming from the bunker in xalane

[baala xoofto]

Nope. 

The only time when Somalia will claim to actually stand on its feet is when there is no more foreign forces baby-sitting them and changing their nappy/diaper every time they have disagreements. 

But when you cannot hold elections on your own without being humiliated like the below, then you cannot claim any progress.

This is how Farmaajo, HSM, Deni and other were strip searched by Burundi soldiers in your own country.

 

[Duufaan]

Separatists are rasist. But you would not mind if they were white especially British. people in Hargeysa still sing. "Ingiriis dhalatkiiyow waanu kuu dhadhabnee Xagee kaadhunkadaa"  

[baala xoofto]

1 hour ago, Duufaan said:

Separatists are rasist. But you would not mind if they were white especially British. people in Hargeysa still sing. "Ingiriis dhalatkiiyow waanu kuu dhadhabnee Xagee kaadhunkadaa"  

Reer Somaliland 26 Jun 1960 ayaa ugu danbaysay qof aan Soomaali ahayn oo ka amar qaataan. Let that sink in. 

[maakhiri1]

17 hours ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

What a load of nonsense. Sharif sheikh Ahmed handed over power.  Hassan handed power over to the cheese fellow . So because now cheese gave power back to hassan civil war ended nonsense . As for somaliland today somaliland is stronger then ever and there is absolutely no threat coming from the bunker in xalane

I rarely agree with Xaaji, but I am with him on this one, we are recycling PURE rubbish,  where in the world, failed, corrupt leader, who would have been locked up, for years, for his theft, grift, is chosen again, This county has not MOVED an inch forward.

Infact, it is even worse, that it was few years ago

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]