Somaliland

[baala xoofto]

McCaul, Smith Lead Bipartisan Letter on Increased Engagement with Somaliland

McCaul, Smith Lead Bipartisan Letter on Increased Engagement with Somaliland - Committee on Foreign Affairs

FOREIGNAFFAIRS.HOUSE.GOV

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Washington, D.C. – House Foreign Affairs Committee Lead Republican Michael McCaul (R-TX), Africa, Global Health, and Global Human Rights Subcommittee Lead Republican Chris Smith (R-NJ), and other...

 

[baala xoofto]

April 1st will mark exactly 1 year anniversary of the Waaheen Market tragedy. 

The heart of the city of Hargeisa once gutted by fire, is today a huge construction site stretching as far as the eye can see.  The new Waaheen Market will take shape come this April. A huge change from what it was just few months ago.

 

  

[baala xoofto]

Tomorrow is the grand opening day for Berbera Economic Zone. One of the largest Freezones in Africa. 

 

[baala xoofto]

Grand Opening of Berbera Economic Zone. 

 

 

[AhmedGuled]

The next step will be to build Berbera into a world class city. 

[baala xoofto]

An economic and energy partnership was recently signed by Somaliland and Taiwan, allowing Taiwanese multi-nationals to open shop and factories in Berbera's Economic Zone. 

 

[Dhagax-Tuur]

^ in few years ' time, Taiwan will be no more. Don't put all your eggs in one basket. 

[jamacabdi265]

baalo xooftooy; Magaladii 4aad, xuduudkii SL iyo beeshii 3aad ayaa gacantii SL dowladeeda ka baxday. Adna waxa ka hadlisaa jasiirada Taiwan, iyo xaflad suuqa Hargeisa Farxiya Fiska heesaheeda lagu niikiniyo. War miyanad damiir laheen oo miirqabin. 


 

[baala xoofto]

6 minutes ago, jamacabdi265 said:

baalo xooftooy; Magaladii 4aad ayaa gacanta SL dowladeeda ka baxday, ayaa adna Taiwan, iyo xaflad suuqa Hargeisa Farxiya Fiska ku niikinisaaa. War miyanad damiir laheen oo miirqabin. 


 

 

Wali ma magashay "Geel caruuri qaaday, ma foga". We are not rushing. We know the strength and weakness of our opponents, our aim is not to play their game, but play our game. They want us to engage in urban warfare and in the process lose lots of lives. 

When the same goal can be achieved in a different way and with a lot less life lost from our side. 

What we also know is that, the Clan melitia that have gathered in laascaanood will disperse and go back to their homes sooner or later. 

The locals and Somaliland army will be the only ones that will remain in and around Laascaanood in the longer term.

If the old saying went "Somalilanders sal fududaa...". Maanta waxa weeyan "Somalilanders culusaa...".  

We know that in the end, we will be victorious. And the opponents which ever name they come in or which ever flag they sport, will be defeated. 

 

 

 

[jamacabdi265]

Bala xooftooy, xisaabtada sadex melood ayee ka khaldan tahay oo sixitaan u baahan; 

1. Siyasada ila meereerso laga yaaba iney i@door iyo irir samale, oo bila samir, bila caqli iyo bila xasuus ah ka shaqeyso oo kaga badisay. laakinse saxiiboow nimankan Ilma Jeberti wa aabaha iyo hooyada ila meereerso. 

Waa nimanka 30 sano kadib isku dayay kacaankii lasoo nooleeyay oo xamar kusoo celiyaan. Wa nimanka 30 sano kadib Kismayo wali u kala fadhiya S@de iyo H@rti. Waa nimanka 100 sano kadib wali u heysta Darawiish iney nooshahay oo Gaalkii Ingriiska dagaal kula jiraan.

2. Dagaal kasta waxa u leeyahay falsafad qeexda guusheyda, oo ila Tsun-Zu iyo Bismarck wax ka shegeen oo ah: 1) hadaf dagaal, 2) weerar qeexan(offensive targeth, 3) ina shacab, siyasiin iyo ciidan lagu kiciyo 3da darren ee shaydaan oo kala ah dareen cadoowtinimo, naceyb iyo axmaqnimo, sido dagaalka u noqdo mid lagu Mireysan yahay oo non-linear u noqdo, Dhan kasta ka ima kara ama kasoo duuli kara. 

3. SL xoog kumee iman Sool iyo Las Anod wexe ku timi asxaab iyo ogolaasho qeyb hogaankii SSC ka mid ah. Laakinse maanta 5tii Gudoomiye, iyo xu-kigeen ee 10ka xisbi SL kasoo jeeday SSC wee is casileen(xaglatoosiye, Ataash, etc), Gudomiihii  Baarlamanka SL ee masuulka 3aad qaranka waa kaas idinku suuqa ku qaliyay oo ku ceebeeniyay, 3 wasiir oo Muse Shaqaale ahaan u xushay mcno siyasadeed ma sameyniyaan. 
 

Marka Saxiib xisaabta Boon, Borama iyo Berbera Kama shaqeyniso Boocame iyo Balidhiig, ee wax kale ma heysaa? Mise afarta ilmadeer oo waligood Burco dhaafin ayaa talo qaran ka sugisaa?

 

 

[baala xoofto]

Jaamacow, it is good that people put their views in writing, so I welcome your opinion on this. Obviously, we will compare notes as this issue will not go away. If the past is any guide to us, we can both agree that this issue is not going away anytime soon. 

You raised some valid points, but, these points are mostly based on current goings on, they don't reflect the past nor the future. 

There is a lot of things that will affect this conflict:

1. The current strategy Somaliland is to buy time - the primary goal is to let nature take its course in terms of political and economical and other factors. The anti-Somaliland elements all have different agenda and different goals. So this buy-time approach is make sure the anti-Somaliland elements show their true faces. The Alshababs, the Local Clans, The external factors. All these are competing for power and influence. 

2. The clan melitia from other regions i.e. Barri region, Mudug etc, will have to move back to their home towns one-way or another. The primary factor will be economic, but also other factors will force them including the very dynamic Somali politics - You never know something more pressing an issue will arise in their home regions.

3. The Sool clan clan cannot sustain itself an army big enough to defend Laascaanood. The current -Toolaayey - fund raising is never guaranteed. So give 6 months and it will be a different story. 

4. Somaliland will keep up the pressure for a political settlement rather than a military victory. 

[jamacabdi265]

Baalaxooftoo,

1. Qodobka 4 waa kugu raacsanahay, waana xalka kaliya macquul ah oona muhiim ah iney noqoto hadafka iminka ugu muhiimsan. 

2. laakinse qodobka 1aad ila 3aad lama qiyaasi goorta sida wax u dhici karaan, maadama la qiyaasi kareynin la iskuma haleyn karo iney so dhaweyso xalkaa (qodobka 4aad). 

3. Arinta kale mar hadii isleedihid wee kala daadaniyaan, sawmee eheen marka iney SL iskeed u tiraahdo ciidankayaga ayaa dib u qadinaa ila Oog sidey Garaadyadu naga codsadeen oo diplomaasiyad iyo wada hadal ayaa wax ku raadinaa, umadayada ma rabno dhiigooda siidata. Kolay hadii aaney diyaar u eheen wadahadal, optionkii ciidanka iyo dagaal markasta heysataa oo wa ku celin kartaa degmooyinkaa. Ta kale maadama arintu tahay Somaliland gudaheeda oo eheen laba wadan, uma baahnid heshiis caalami sida talaabada descalation u qaadid, waa talaabo kalsooni abuurid iyo goodwill keenisa, bila kalsooni iyo goodwill lama heshiin karo. Ciidan iyo dagaal wa talaabada ugu dambeysa, marka fursad kasta oo kale isku dayday oo weyday. Runtiina SL marna iskumee, oo waxa marka horeba kacdoonkan abuuray oo maanta xaalka saa ka dhigay waa fikirkaas khaldan oo ah xoog iyo ciidan wax ku xali.

[baala xoofto]

14 minutes ago, jamacabdi265 said:

2. laakinse qodobka 1aad ila 3aad lama qiyaasi goorta sida wax u dhici karaan, maadama la qiyaasi kareynin la iskuma haleyn karo iney so dhaweyso xalkaa (qodobka 4aad). 

We know the pain points in this conflict. Economy is the biggest pain, specially in this day age where both food & fuel are much more expensive than a year ago. 

The other issue include the very dynamic nature of Somali politics. Puntland is approaching an election cycle, it is the time of year when the coffers are emptied before a change of power in Garowe. 

We also know the politics and the changing nature in South Somalia. 

So all of these will have impact on Laascaanood issue. 

In the meantime, Somaliland will keep maximum pressure militarily and economically.

19 minutes ago, jamacabdi265 said:

3. Arinta kale mar hadii isleedihid wee kala daadaniyaan, sawmee eheen marka iney SL iskeed u tiraahdo ciidankayaga ayaa dib u qadinaa ila Oog sidey Garaadyadu naga codsadeen oo diplomaasiyad iyo wada hadal ayaa wax ku raadinaa, umadayada ma rabno dhiigooda siidata. Kolay hadii aaney diyaar u eheen wadahadal, optionkii ciidanka iyo dagaal markasta heysataa oo wa ku celin kartaa degmooyinkaa. Ta kale maadama arintu tahay Somaliland gudaheeda oo eheen laba wadan, uma baahnid heshiis caalami sida talaabada descalation u qaadid, waa talaabo kalsooni abuurid iyo goodwill keenisa,

Moving the soldiers to Oog will only embolden clan chauvinists. We know the psych of the Sool clan. Give them one inch and they will go for something bigger. So the only way is to make show them their strength. 

Like Gudoomiiye Saleebaan Gaal said at start of the conflict "Sool clan ha la gaadhsiiyo heer uu wada hadal aqbalo". This means, not going very hard but enough to show them that they have no other option but to come to the table. 

Quote

bila kalsooni iyo goodwill lama heshiin karo. Ciidan iyo dagaal wa talaabada ugu dambeysa, marka fursad kasta oo kale isku dayday oo weyday. Runtiina SL marna iskumee, oo waxa marka horeba kacdoonkan abuuray oo maanta xaalka saa ka dhigay waa fikirkaas khaldan oo ah xoog iyo ciidan wax ku xali.

The Army already pulled out of urban area. That is as much a space that can be given. 

They currently betting on the Daar00d-card - once that card is exhausted, they will come back to reality. 

It only needs two or 3 more major engagement like the one on 18th of March to get to that stage of realization. 

[Samafal]

14 minutes ago, baala xoofto said:

We know the pain points in this conflict. Economy is the biggest pain, specially in this day age where both food & fuel are much more expensive than a year ago. 

The other issue include the very dynamic nature of Somali politics. Puntland is approaching an election cycle, it is the time of year when the coffers are emptied before a change of power in Garowe. 

We also know the politics and the changing nature in South Somalia. 

So all of these will have impact on Laascaanood issue. 

In the meantime, Somaliland will keep maximum pressure militarily and economically.

Moving the soldiers to Oog will only embolden clan chauvinists. We know the psych of the Sool clan. Give them one inch and they will go for something bigger. So the only way is to make show them their strength. 

Like Gudoomiiye Saleebaan Gaal said at start of the conflict "Sool clan ha la gaadhsiiyo heer uu wada hadal aqbalo". This means, not going very hard but enough to show them that they have no other option but to come to the table. 

The Army already pulled out of urban area. That is as much a space that can be given. 

They currently betting on the Daar00d-card - once that card is exhausted, they will come back to reality. 

It only needs two or 3 more major engagement like the one on 18th of March to get to that stage of realization. 

Lol. You are betting on other factors to do your fighting, what happened to the mighty army? Can they not walk into the streets of Lasanod or better go back to Tukaraq??

[baala xoofto]

39 minutes ago, Samafal said:

Lol. You are betting on other factors to do your fighting, what happened to the mighty army? Can they not walk into the streets of Lasanod or better go back to Tukaraq??

Because of the nature of the conflict at the moment which the other side want to turn into clan-war, then the approach need to be different. 

The current approach is to exhaust the clan melitia so much that divisions and internal disputes become visible. As both men and money become exhausted. 

The economy of Laascaanood as a city is on its knees, that means all funding will be externally provided. How long can they sustain that? I think maximum 2 - 3 months. By 4month, you will see a totally different opponent.