AU special Envoy Olesegun Obasanjo meets Tigray President Debretsion

[Che -Guevara]

 

[galbeedi]

Che,

It means Abiy refused any American led negotiations. African problems resolved by Africans. I guess Mr. Feltman left empty handed. Abiy is making America small and irrelevant.

Uncle Sam never forgets these little  things. How about all those headlines about  rebels at the gates of Addis

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Duufaan]

AU envoy sees short `window of opportunity' on Ethiopia war

WWW.SANDIEGOUNIONTRIBUNE.COM

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The African Union’s envoy for the Horn of Africa is warning that there is a short “window of opportunity” and little time to reverse the crisis in northern Ethiopia which has drastically deteriorated in recent weeks...

This deal is a big win for Abiya, if materialized

[Duufaan]

 

[galbeedi]

If the TPLF water carrier boy from Nairobi is crying foul , then the coup had failed.

Duufaan,

If the TPLF agrees to withdraw their forces from Amhara, and the Amhara leave their region that is a win for Abiy. It seems Mr. Obasanjo got a good result quickly, which means both sides are tired of fighting,  especially Tigray.

The Americans keep talking about Eritrean forces leaving. Western Tigray bordering Sudan is controlled by Eritrean forces, and if they withdraw the TPLF will have the Sudan border to receive weapons. This is a big no.

The last chance left for the coup to depose Abiy would be Kenya to arm the Borana in Moyale/Nagele region, and create more insurgency in the south.That is why the coup leader Jeffrey Feltman is in Kenya. 

The emergency situation in Addis was a good move. The TPLF could have placed bombs in the city to create chaos which in turn could have panicked the whole city.

 

[Arafaat]

Possible outcomes that could be save facing for all parties and politically be a win-win for both ends of the political sides;

-dialogue and talks with broader spectrum of political actors (beyond the TPLF only), including OLA, and other opposition groups (save facing for Ethiopian government as they designated TPLF and OLA as terrorist);

-Goverbment of national unity, opposition forces joining government with PP vacating 40% of seats in cabinet for opposition and agreeing on potentially opening up political space for others(win for international or western interest);

-Re-run of elections in 2 years with more opportunities for political opposition to participate (big win for OLA/TPLF, and other regional opposition forces); 

-withdrawal of all troops to their original regional borders, including western Tigray  (win for Tigray, win for Abiy); 

-Withdrawal of Eritrean forces from Tigray, except Badme area which is internationally recognised as part of Eritrea which Tigray troops refused to leave, despite the peace deal Abiy made(win for Eritrea);

-Discussion on regional borders subject in agenda for dialogue or/and possibly tbd in a potential future referendum; m

-Immediate transfer of (international) funds, food and resources from central government to rebuild Tigray region (win TPLF), and possibly some funds to other regions; 

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[galbeedi]

Arrafat,

That is the probably the end goal of the negotiations.

This idea of Abiy leaving or TPLF disarming which the Amhara claim is a none starters for everyone. Despite the initial hard line, everyone must win something. Besides, unlike Somalis , these people don't have spare country other than Ethiopia.

 

 

 

[Tallaabo]

4 hours ago, galbeedi said:

Besides, unlike Somalis , these people don't have spare country other than Ethiopia.

 

I didn't know we had spare countries!!