PM Abiy Ahmed Declares War on Tigray: First bullets fired

[dhismahaguud]

 

[dhismahaguud]

Tigray refugees remember  the 1985 Ethiopian famine.

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

8 hours ago, dhismahaguud said:

 

Nice to see Faarax Macallin mocking the defeated Tigray leaders.

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[dhismahaguud]

I think Mr Abiye, Farmajo and the Eritrean strongman +Geele of Djibouti are working in creating a new regional block and they might be hoping to isolate the Kenyans.

[dhismahaguud]

 

[Che -Guevara]

16 minutes ago, dhismahaguud said:

 

I think Mr Abiye, Farmajo and the Eritrean strongman +Geele of Djibouti are working in creating a new regional block and they might be hoping to isolate the Kenyans.

That depends Geele and Afwerka making up.

[galbeedi]

Regional integration will benefit the whole region. In Ethiopia, almost everyone including the opposition believes economic integration. I will be the the first to welcome economic integration, especially common currency for the horn of Africa. It is a logical step. In fact, it isthe only way to compete with the larger economies of the world. 

Furthermore, it might eliminate by default the illogical idea of separation in Somaliland and other places.

Yet, a deal by despots with  zero democratic foundation might not last too long. Among these nations, the only democratically elected leader is the Somali president Farmaajo. The Arab league is almost 80 years old, and yet has to achieve peace and co-existence among its members, let alone trade. Each member is threat to the other. The greatest threat to Somali state today is emanating from the Arab league whom we are a member for almost 50 years. Even in the eighties, the biggest threat of Somali state after Ethiopia were Yemen and Libya.

 

Let these despots in Djibouti and Eritrea hold elections before they jump on economic integration.

[galbeedi]

By the way, yesterday Abiy Ahmed addressed the Ethiopian parliament and spoke without reservations. The speech had shown why Abiy had decided to crush the TPLF once and for all. He said that for almost a year he was prime minister just in name only. He narrated how they even had the keys to his office, how they disarmed his own security detail. He feared for his life with his own residence and decided to send his wife and children to America. He said, " they planed foreign visits and my travels without my knowledge , and they used to tell me when and where to go". He said Hailemarium Deselegn was a puppet .

He said, they put him under full time surveillance from the moment he left his house to his office. He said, they almost succeeded to kill him twice. He talked about how he felt liberated When the TPLF leadership went to Makale in September to organize their local election. That was when he replaced them and openly challenged.

In conclusion, he claimed having being a hostage of the TPLF for almost two years. He spoke like an angry man to justify the war.

Anyway, with the Oromo leadership in jail since the spring, Abiy could only trust the Amhara. Some Ethiopian Somalis believe that if the Somalis and Oromo do not support him , he could be a hostage for Amhara. 

[Che -Guevara]

Galbeedi,

We might have underestimated the man. He might even be taking the Amhara elite for a ride. The West is coming around, and they didn't even pretend to be helping the TPLF elite. It looks like ethnicity might not be as important to him as some people think. He made a good choice reconciling with Afwerka and leaving Somalis to themselves.

P.s. The TPLF cyber warriors are accusing Somalis trained in Eritrea to being part of the war. Other cyber warriors and 'analysts' Farmaajo is gunning for Kismayo Mekelle style. 

[Che -Guevara]

Tibor Nagy on Assistant Secretary for U.S. Department of State's Bureau of African Affairs

TPLF using violence to restore its lost hegemony says US diplomat who followed #Ethiopia since 1984. 

 

 

[galbeedi]

9 hours ago, Che -Guevara said:

P.s. The TPLF cyber warriors are accusing Somalis trained in Eritrea to being part of the war.

I met a Tigray guy yesterday and he said they have captured Somali soldiers in the north. THere is probably this narrative of the TPLF saying that they are fighting Ethiopia, ERitrea, Somalia and UAE.

The TPLF are hated by  everyone. For 27 years they didn't cultivate any meaningful relationship among other ethnics. Now they keep talking about others flowing their lead and leaving EThiopia, yet when they had the opportunity to help others leave Abyssinia, they did the opposite thing. Having despots and tyrants in Somali regions and other places had helped them stay in power, but they never gave the Somali people any freedom to have a say in the future. I even heard that Cabdi Illey asked them in 2017 to allow Somalis to prepare for an exit. THe TPLF thought they would control Abiy just like they did in Hailemarium Daselegn.

In 1998, they even attacked Eritrea, their only exit to the sea in the north. Even the Oromo agitating against Abiy just watched as the TPLF is invaded.

[galbeedi]

9 hours ago, Che -Guevara said:

Other cyber warriors and 'analysts' Farmaajo is gunning for Kismayo Mekelle style. 

It will take two or three days to take over KIsmaayo unless the Kikuyu intervene.

Ciidan xududihiisa soo xidhanaya oo sharci ku taagan cidna ma horjoogsan karto. Anigu beri hore ayaan sheegay . Qabaa'ilka Soomaalida iyo maamuladu laba saddex cisho ayey wax isku turtuuraan kadibna way kale joogsadaan. Tukaraq ayaa tusaale kuugu filan. 

Let us see how Kenya reacts. How a foreign army serving under Amisom confront a Somali army going to its border.

Folks, the era of separatism is probably over in this day and age. Armenian separatists with 30 years presence in the so called republic of Arthsak was taken over by the legitimate owners of the land , Azerbaijan. The Kurds in Iraq by now realized that despite the 92% referendum result, they can not dismantle Iraq. THe TPLF had plans for their own state but never declared openly in this war.

Even MUuse Biixi is defending his cousin Cabdi Xaaji of the Somali senate to have influence in Somalia. The future is more integration in the horn of Africa than separation.

 

 

[Che -Guevara]