Che -Guevara Posted September 5, 2020 Ethiopia's Tigray region to holds poll, defying federal government Ethiopia's Tigray region to holds poll, defying federal government WWW.MSN.COM Ethiopia's Tigray region to holds poll, defying federal government Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Saalax Posted September 5, 2020 Seems like Tigray want to secede. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Che -Guevara Posted September 5, 2020 1 hour ago, Saalax said: Seems like Tigray want to secede. It puts Abiy in difficulty situation. If he backs, down and accepts the election results, he loses what authority he has. If he attacks, there could be a bitter civil war It could be very consequential day for Ethiopia. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Che -Guevara Posted September 5, 2020 Why there are fears that Ethiopia could break up Why there are fears that Ethiopia could break up WWW.BBC.COM The feud between Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and the ruling party in the Tigray region is escalating. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Che -Guevara Posted September 6, 2020 Ethiopian lawmakers call region’s vote unconstitutional JOHANNESBURG — Ethiopia’s upper house of parliament on Saturday called elections planned next week in the northern Tigray region unconstitutional, amid a confrontation between the federal government and regional officials who have warned that any intervention amounts to a “declaration of war.” “The decision by the House of Federation treats the act of the Tigray regional state as void from the very beginning,” legal expert Kiya Tsegaye told The Associated Press. “This makes the election unconstitutional and illegitimate. I think this decision will be the base for the next legal action by the federal government.” Regional officials in Tigray have opposed the year-long postponement of Ethiopia’s general election, once planned for August, and the continuation of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s mandate beyond term limits. They have organized their own election for Sept. 9. The federal government has said the postponement relates to the COVID-19 pandemic and should be respected. Members of the upper house of parliament from the Tigray region boycotted its meeting Saturday. The Sept. 9 vote will elect members of the regional parliament, which in turn will elect the region’s cabinet and administrators. Ethiopia’s prime minister has ruled out a military intervention to deal with the confrontation, but there are fears that any punitive measures by the federal government could escalate tensions further. The standoff with Ethiopia’s northern region is just the latest challenge to the administration of Abiy, who was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize last year in part for the sweeping political reforms since he took office in early 2018. The loosening of the former government’s repressive measures, however, have opened the way for certain long-held grievances and requests by some regions for more autonomy. The former government was largely led by people from the Tigray region, exacerbating the tensions. Copyright 2020 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without permission. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mourad1 Posted September 6, 2020 There are so many ways to solve the problem. For example, Abiy could have chosen to put a take-care government in place for a year in order to engineer the federal elections. But this outright power move by Abiy has backfired and now he is stuck between Amhara extremists, Oromo nationalists, and Tigriyian secessionists. He has blown his credit nationally and internationally and soon the international community who always has come to the rescue of their beloved Abyssinian brothers will do that again by removing Abiy Ahmed from office. It is just a matter of time. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Che -Guevara Posted September 6, 2020 Who could replace him that they can keep those three at bay? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Mourad1 Posted September 6, 2020 4 minutes ago, Che -Guevara said: Who could replace him that they can keep those three at bay? Che, that's the million-dollar question. However, every time that Ethiopia seems to be on the brick of disintegration or full-blown civil war. There is always a miraculous solution presented by the international community and all suddenly, all of the national heavyweights factions of the country miraculously accepted the solution. Did you wonder, how did Abiy come to power? Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Che -Guevara Posted September 6, 2020 Mouradi1, Abiy was the compromise candidate favored by the IC and he was less polarizing, unlike Lemma. He was palatable to the Oromo because the Oromo masses thought he was one of them, and Amhara extremists believed they could manipulate. The Tigray was simply told to behave. The IC will definitely try to keep Ethiopia together. But unlike the Ethiopia of the past, what we have today is a highly polarized population, the rise of ethnonationalism with defined regional borders, and well-armed paramilitary troops. The center is losing power every day and the periphery is getting stronger. Abiy or any future leader cannot take the country back to a centralized system of governance and the current ethnic federalism will lead to further division and aspirations for complete autonomy or outright independence. I don't see Ethiopia adopting true federalism as we understand in other countries; the choice comes to heavily centralized state or ethnic federalism with even more autonomy. Even some in Western circles are beginning to imagine disintegrated Ethiopia. 1 Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Tillamook Posted September 6, 2020 4 hours ago, Che -Guevara said: Even some in Western circles are beginning to imagine disintegrated Ethiopia. Che, that has always been the plan. A “united” Ethiopia with such a huge population and vast resources, located where it is located has always been and will always remain a great threat to the dominant world powers. Just as in the era of colonialism, every policy and geopolitical strategy currently being pursued in the Horn of Africa by foreign powers is to prevent the rise of a powerful regional hegemon that can compete on the global stage located in such a sensitive place. The one thing, however, that I’m not sure of is whether this is a blessing or curse for Somalia. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Xaaji Xunjuf Posted September 6, 2020 I doubt Ethiopia will collapse any time soon. I some how believe even though how disunited Ethiopians are due to ethnic groups divisions. It will be a mess there are no clear ethnic borders especially between amhara and oromo. And amhara and tigray. Tigray cannot survive on its own it has no real resources and its very small. Amhara will never call for a separatist agenda. And oromo are divided on this. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Che -Guevara Posted September 7, 2020 Tillamook, Considering Somalis lack of cohesion and tribal divisions are so entrenched, I don't think there will no immediate benefit, but I do believe this will be beneficial in the long run as a stable Somalia will be in the interest of a lot of stakeholders. Quote Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
