Farmaajo and Trump are looking for an extension, but Joe Biden will move from his basement to the white house , and Hassan Khayre has a future.

[galbeedi]

With the sinking of American economy due to Covid- 19 , the chances of Trump re-election is going to the tank. In some American polls including those from Fox news, Joe Biden is leading in double digits. Uncontested strong red states like Texas are in play in this November. Trump and his enablers the , the Republican party could face the worst defeat in the last 40 years. 

 

That is why Trump want to delay the election which never happened in the American history whether they faced civil war, depression or other calamities. Folks, Joe bide is leaving from his basement to the white house without lifting a finger this November. It seems Americans had made their mind to get rid of the con artist president. The unforeseen problems are America could have to presidents by December or even January. With virus devastating many states, mail in ballots are the favorite for many states than going polls in person. Ballot counting could takes weeks or more, and people expect Trump to drag the outcome and go to courts to challenge the results. 

 

 Queen Elizabeth II once referred to 1992 as an “annus horribilis” for the royal family, yet this year of 2020 will be remembering like no other before it. It has destroyed trillions of dollars from the world economy and things will not be the same even after vaccine is developed by the end of this year. Dr. Anthony Fauci, the man who keeps contradicting Trump on weekly bases thinks a vaccine will be ready by end of the year, probably late November or early December , just  before Biden assumes office. After vaccine is announced by the end of the year , we might see some midnight crazy tweets from Trump claiming the virus was a hoax perpetuated by the democrats to unseat him. By some estimates, Trump and his family might end up in prison to make up the damages they caused to the republic.

 

Another curious issue is the Covid-19 disaster unfolding right wing-controlled countries around the world. Brazil is second only to USA in terms of death and infections rates, so does India. In America , some republican governors even believed the virus to be targeting the poor and minorities and rushed to reopen quickly , and now facing the worst of it. It seems the virus is becoming the great equalizer to level the playing field and check the powers of the right-wing nuts who happen to be out of control. In Italy, the devastation was centered in Lombardy, Veneto and the bases of the anti immigrant Northern league, while the Iranian president said a quarter of the population could be carrying the virus. Those who created the global free Market and nurtured the liberal democracy system throughout the world are happy the way things are unfolding globally. Everything they worked so hard had been dismantled within few years by the like of Trump, Bolsanaro of Brazil and Hindu nutcase Modi. For these powerful people, the virus in an opportunity to expose the incompetence of the right-wing leaders.

 

Even in our own good old Canada, those who tried to flow the red American states are losing the battle. Here Alberta  we had 20 0r 30  cases by early May and we were winning. Yet, the right wing premier of Alberta decided to flow Texas and Florida and rushed to open the economy. Now we are having 130 or more a day. The flattened curve is rising again. Conservatives used to be people of sound ideology on economy, family and business, but they are reduced to be xenophobic, corrupt and unstable leadership seeking revenge.Former conservative prime minister Mulroney sanctioning South African government during apartheid while his close friends Reagan and Thatcher supported the regime. He welcomed Mandella in 1990 and gave him the order of Canada. While Canadian right government respect the rule of law and have good relationship with the immigrant communities, some might tempted to flow TRump.

 

Farmaajo is a dead man walking.

 

Early in 2017, some us had complained that the current government is not moving for the  needed speed to affect real change. We were amused when they appointed over 60 members of cabinet in a nation that can't even function outside of Mogadishu, yet many said that is a necessary evil to please clans and special interest groups. Well, having a quarter of the parliament in the cabinet might have prolonged the tenure of the prime minister, but did not help the straitening of the institutions. 

 

It was eight years ago yesterday in August 01 2012, the provisional constitution was approved by the parliament. After eight years and two presidents nothing has been done on this file. Consultation and drafting of constitution don't need an army or Amison troops to protect them. Most of the national agenda and issue that need to be fixed are dragged for political and financial reasons. Like foreign mercenaries both Somali government members,  Amisom troops and NGO's work overtime to extended their projects as long as possible.  Some of you might have seen the Russian mercenaries who reached within 7 kilometres of downtown Tripoli ,but decided to camp in their zones, bring tons of food; booby trap their surrounding with mines and wait. Then Turkey came to help the locals. For them, a frozen conflict is the best advantage since they get a thousand dollar a day salary from outlaws of the gulf.  As an American citizen and former CIA protege, a victory by  Hafter  will not be the interest of the Russians, so, the project continues.

 

Farmaajo could not do or finish things he didn't do four years ago today. He is appointing a judiciary council just before the end of his term. Every fool who becomes president tries to tailor made the rule of law as his jacket in order to avoid the rules being applied justly. Every entity where Somalis had established a false government these problems exist. In Somaliland, after thirty years, there are no judiciary system or even a supreme court to adjudicate cases. The supreme court is a one-man Shaw appointed and fired by the president. The highest court supposed to be where a diverse opinion was debated by wise men.

 

We don't know the next moves of Farmaajo, but those who observe his moves said he keeps surrounding himself with insignificant people and sometimes with fools (Doqmo ayuu isku wareejiyey). What is the use of talking about popular elections without even securing the national capital? At least draft a new constitution and pass through the parliament for the next Somali leadership. It is important to replace the Meles Zenawi draft constitution passes by C/raxman Faroole and Shariif Hassan. Farmaajo could talk high of some of the minor geopolitical victories thanks to Ethiopia being a partner than antagonists like in the past, but if you look carefully, he didn't achieve anything meaningful. Of Courses Khayre had selected the current leadership of Galmudug which proved to be really good, yet if the achievement of every president is the creation of one regional administration, we are long way from succeeding . The only consolation Farmaajo has is unlike Trump, he could extend the election and buy some time to fight another day.

 

He might not realize , but Farmaajo is a dead man walking. Giving Banaadir a name only administration and 13 members of the useless chamber will not help the cause of his government or the future. If a leader cannot show real improvement in the first 18 months and shake things down, he cannot achieve anything in the last 8 months. Folks, the era of Farmaajo will be over, but the alternative could be even worse at the moment. 

 

The frozen conflict of Somalia is entering the fourth decade after 30 years. This nation needs extraordinarily leader who looks beyond silly debates, NGO contracts and the protection of others. 

 

KHayre has a future.

 

Unlike his predecessors, prime minister Khayre had free hand of not only managing the cabinet, but he also appointed and selected key government leaders like the governor of the bank and the intelligence leaders. According to international media, former prime minister Khayre sleeps only four or five hours at night. He personally supervises every government projects. Some say his great achievements were the rebuilding of the army, paying salaries of the security people and civil servants. On the other hand, his dictatorial attitude toward cabinet colleagues has slowed down government decision making. The biggest weaknesses of the Khayre cabinet is that most of the ministers are busy procuring contacts with the Nairobi based NGO's.  According to insiders, Most of the Ministries are dormant or stagnant. The only few ministries functioning are : the finance, transport and air aviation, foreign and petroleum resource. The rest doesn't have much to do. They mostly focus NGO contracts and when they leave office,  they lock the office and take their keys with them. There are hundreds of employees hired through foreign governments which pays their salaries.  For example, the Norwegian government pays the salaries of the people who work at the prime minister's office and other government Ministries. They reside $105 dollar night hotels beside the airport (over $3000 a month)and are taken  to these offices with security guards opening the office in the morning and closing after they have done the day. They do not have keys to their offices since they are private contractors. The Norwegians will not give the accommodation money directly to the employees, but the contract to the hotels are managed by people connected to the cabinet members. 

 

THese people earn close to $7500 American dollars ( $10,000 Canadian) which they never earned in their life while residing in the western countries. Soon a new prime minister and cabinet will show up and will be busy creating his own new contacts with the NGO's. These are the Mogadishu business everyone is busy with while national issues are put at the back burner.  Almost every Ministry employs this kind of people paid by foreign government. Yet, the regular Somali civil servant in Mogadishu earns $400 dollars if he is connected. Even people like C/raxman Bayle said while ago that Somalia is a project ( Somalia waa mashruuc).

 

Despite all that,  Khayre could be hundred times better than Farmaajo if he becomes president. If khayre ditches his NGO style of managing things and acts tough as he did in his early years (2017-2018) , he could achieve more than Farmaajo.  Unlike Farmaajo, Khayre seemed confident and well-spoken throughout his term as prime minister. Yet, in his last 12 months , he seemed to be dragging his feet or planning something else. We don't know what happen between Farmaajo and Khayre. Why would a prime minister oppose the extension of his government and contradict the president?. Who knows, maybe Farmaajo had agreed to serve one term and give way to Khayre for the next term, and then changed his mind. 

 

One thing is for sure,  If Khayre was the man who organized the election of Farmaajo behind the scene in 2017, he could definitely undo his work and defeat Farmaajo easily for himself or for his former boss Hassan Sheikh. 

 

Finally, Khayre has made history for the first time in current Somali political climate since 1991. He is the first prime minister who lasted more than three and half years since the Carta government of 2000. Second, when he was deposed by the parliament in illegal manner without the needed debate , he saw the writing in the wall and accepted defeat with grace and honour( Ilbaxnimo ayuu muujiyey). He could have put the country in protracted and losing battle through parliament while wasting money. You remember former prime ministers, Saacid, Sharmaarke and others who dishonorably fought a losing fight to keep their  job. . The Saacid guy even brought his family to the chamber and even recited useless lament to convince others.

 

By bowing out Khayre had made history and because of these actions, he might have another shot to seek the highest office in the future. 

 

 

[Khadafi]

During a vist to a Mogadishu for a pharmaceutical bushiness initative  a relative of mine who is an mp and a minister asked to if I wanted to meet the the head of the parliament.  As I did not want to be target by being seen by high profile relatives I first said no but  later agreed. We ment through several check point and had a informal meeting with Mursal. While engaging in smalltalk It emerged that he was one of those pioneer teachers sent to the distant lands of Somalia in order to teach and he said the best time of his life was when he sent to a tiny village in southern Somalia.

 

Anyways, after Iftar a few mps including the mp that head of the  elections and a few other allied mps had an informal meeting. The female chief that was assigned to organise the elections one man one vote is a highly intelligent and  vibrant woman. Somalia would certainly be better a place if we actually had such a lady as the president. As Cishaha was approaching I noticed that what was being said in the meeting was not based upon the reality in the grounds.  The mp was talking about talking ballotboxes Baladwaybe, Guriceel, Baidoa and Kismaayo. All other mp were nodding in agreement.  Qalbiga waxaan iska dhahay war dakaani ma fiyowtihiin ( these people sane).

These people talking about balllotboxes are hiding in Mogadishu because of Al-shabaab and they are talking about ballotboxes, Yaab!.

While at home I asked my relative, war qof yahow,  You cant even go outside without armed escorts  and you want ballotboxes in certain places in Somalia that al-shabaab has a strong presence in?. The relative smiled and said to me: " war waxaas dhab in ey ahayd maaad u maleyneysid".  Thats how politics in Somalia works.    Its politics based upon nomenklatura  Outright lies not based upon facts are presented as facts and part of the nomenklatura culture is that you remain silent and hope God finds a solution.

Everyone wants one man one vote. Bur is it reallt viable on the ground?  And what about  the Banaadiri-Barwaani miniority group that reside on the port towns of Somalia.  How will they the parliament if now laws are implemented protecting these somali groups whose demography has been severely damaged by the civil war.   During the pre Siyaad bare only 2 parliament members were elected from Mogadishu. The late Avokaate Raajis  and the honorable   Ismaacil Jimcaale. While Ismaacils people can be elected from Hir-shabeele what about Avokaate Raajis and the honorable Xaaji Dheere and Sakhawadin  the SYL members that were all banaadiri?.

 

Why should be Farmaajo get an extension.  The little political stability and the most positive sign that Somalia was  finally healing its wounds from its damaging war was  H-block president handing over the power to a president from the D-block without  violence and with political legitimacy.  Why change that?  Asxaabow, ha lis badalo.  NO EXTENSION.!

 

 

 

 

 

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

3 hours ago, Khadafi said:

Anyways, after Iftar a few mps including the mp that head of the  elections and a few other allied mps had an informal meeting. The female chief that was assigned to organise the elections one man one vote is a highly intelligent and  vibrant woman. Somalia would certainly be better a place if we actually had such a lady as the president. As Cishaha was approaching I noticed that what was being said in the meeting was not based upon the reality in the grounds.  The mp was talking about talking ballotboxes Baladwaybe, Guriceel, Baidoa and Kismaayo. All other mp were nodding in agreement.  Qalbiga waxaan iska dhahay war dakaani ma fiyowtihiin ( these people sane).

These people talking about balllotboxes are hiding in Mogadishu because of Al-shabaab and they are talking about ballotboxes, Yaab!.

Everyone wants one man one vote. Bur is it reallt viable on the ground?  And what about  the Banaadiri-Barwaani miniority group that reside on the port towns of Somalia.  How will they the parliament if now laws are implemented protecting these somali groups whose demography has been severely damaged by the civil war.   During the pre Siyaad bare only 2 parliament members were elected from Mogadishu. The late Avokaate Raajis  and the honorable   Ismaacil Jimcaale. While Ismaacils people can be elected from Hir-shabeele what about Avokaate Raajis and the honorable Xaaji Dheere and Sakhawadin  the SYL members that were all banaadiri?.

 

 

 

 

 

I don't see anything wrong if universal vote takes place on these magaalooyinka aad sheegtay. They are as secure as Muqdisho, if not safer than Muqdisho.

And about Banaadiriga, I think the seats will remain the same, quasi-based 4.5 but but voted by the general population. So if Banaadiriga have, for example, 10 seats now, then they will contest those ten seats. And they might get extra seats from metalaada Banaadir as well.

Rabi ha u raxmado Abuukaato Raajis Maxamed Raajis iyo inta kale geeriyootay. Reerkiisa ayaa aad u naqaanay.

[maakhiri1]

5 hours ago, Khadafi said:

During a vist to a Mogadishu for a pharmaceutical bushiness initative  a relative of mine who is an mp and a minister asked to if I wanted to meet the the head of the parliament.  As I did not want to be target by being seen by high profile relatives I first said no but  later agreed. We ment through several check point and had a informal meeting with Mursal. While engaging in smalltalk It emerged that he was one of those pioneer teachers sent to the distant lands of Somalia in order to teach and he said the best time of his life was when he sent to a tiny village in southern Somalia.

 

Anyways, after Iftar a few mps including the mp that head of the  elections and a few other allied mps had an informal meeting. The female chief that was assigned to organise the elections one man one vote is a highly intelligent and  vibrant woman. Somalia would certainly be better a place if we actually had such a lady as the president. As Cishaha was approaching I noticed that what was being said in the meeting was not based upon the reality in the grounds.  The mp was talking about talking ballotboxes Baladwaybe, Guriceel, Baidoa and Kismaayo. All other mp were nodding in agreement.  Qalbiga waxaan iska dhahay war dakaani ma fiyowtihiin ( these people sane).

These people talking about balllotboxes are hiding in Mogadishu because of Al-shabaab and they are talking about ballotboxes, Yaab!.

While at home I asked my relative, war qof yahow,  You cant even go outside without armed escorts  and you want ballotboxes in certain places in Somalia that al-shabaab has a strong presence in?. The relative smiled and said to me: " war waxaas dhab in ey ahayd maaad u maleyneysid".  Thats how politics in Somalia works.    Its politics based upon nomenklatura  Outright lies not based upon facts are presented as facts and part of the nomenklatura culture is that you remain silent and hope God finds a solution.

Everyone wants one man one vote. Bur is it reallt viable on the ground?  And what about  the Banaadiri-Barwaani miniority group that reside on the port towns of Somalia.  How will they the parliament if now laws are implemented protecting these somali groups whose demography has been severely damaged by the civil war.   During the pre Siyaad bare only 2 parliament members were elected from Mogadishu. The late Avokaate Raajis  and the honorable   Ismaacil Jimcaale. While Ismaacils people can be elected from Hir-shabeele what about Avokaate Raajis and the honorable Xaaji Dheere and Sakhawadin  the SYL members that were all banaadiri?.

 

Why should be Farmaajo get an extension.  The little political stability and the most positive sign that Somalia was  finally healing its wounds from its damaging war was  H-block president handing over the power to a president from the D-block without  violence and with political legitimacy.  Why change that?  Asxaabow, ha lis badalo.  NO EXTENSION.!

 

 

 

 

 

Where there is a will,  there is a way. Check  Iraq n Afghanistan,  far more dangerous and within few years there were one man one vote. 

Aslo, check Somalia, not the areas with Shabab,

Pl, Galmudug, Hiirshabale, Mogadishu,  there are.many safe areas.

Saxb, armaa adigu wareersaneeyd, oo aadan arkey waxa u muuuqda dadkan aad isahayd waa wareersanyihiin?

In doorasho dhacdo one man one vote, iyo shabaab waxaa ka wayn  is aaminaada somali dhexdeeda iyo nadaam ogaladaan. 

[galbeedi]

OOdweyne,

why you keep hijacking my article?. 

You probably didn't read what I said and jumped to your usual about me looking for a horse to ride. I never said I support Khayre candidacy or any of his future plans. I just stated the obvious weaknesses of Khayre and his strength. He always spoke well, whether that was just a bluster or sincere . I am just analyzing things here .

If someone asks me about Oodweyne , here is what I would say:

There is no one in SOL who writes English like Oodweyne. He seems Shakespeare in his eloquence and  delivery , at the same time he is narcissistic man whose clock stopped in 1991. He is a man who refuses to look to the future where tribal ideology might not survive in 21st century.

I live in continental North America. My country Canada has 5 time zone. A mosaic and diverse nation between three oceans. My neighbor in the left of me is German, on the right is a black Caribbean, in the front an Irish and Ukrainian. Yet, this fool Oodweyne want me to think like a villager who should be quarreling dusty poor people who need water and basic services.

i never I understand how someone who lives among a collections of nations around  the world would advocate to disintegrate a tiny nation in the horn Africa with no deep seated reason or cultural differences.. These so called Somali enclaves from Hargeisa to Garoowe, Hiiraan and Jubba would not have happened without the intervention of Ethiopia and its former leaders. Look at LIbya today. The local people want to manage their resources and have a representative democracy. Yet, those who want to steal its resources are empowering a renegade warlord.

As Sisi of Egypt decided not to send soldiers but create a tribal buffer zone by arming Libyan tribes. The same thing is happening in Yemen where UAE is arming a reprise entity. For me it is a simple as that. Anyone with geopolitical agenda could create a buffer and fake regions. I always believed that if can not have a united Somali state, then everyone must have their own way since tribes are confederates and the only thing that united us all is " Soomaalinimo". Yet, I do believe that things could be reversed if the right leader come along.

 

 

 

[galbeedi]

Very long drivel little subsistence. You keep talking about Blue dirac, yet you are the one wearing multicolored clothes and looking attention from  Gambia to Taiwan.I if a man keeps talking about balls constantly , it is either insecurity or he got the same balls as quails, very tiny, a pretender.

Fariid waxaanu yeeleyn muxuu nacas ku faanaa.

I could give you a long lecture, but it is not worth it. I said you write English well , but that doesn't mean you know how to gather your thoughts in an organized manner . Next time don't fill the page because I don't read except the first paragraph which tells the whole plot. Didn't they teach how to organize your argument and deliver in few words. Signor Che could help. 

Now go back to your London room and come back in a few months. 

Jawaabtaada soo koob wakhti uma hayne qashinka aad soo daadisay.