Options for 2020/2021 Somalia (s)election processes...

[Suldaanka]

Since it is becoming glaringly obvious that Cheeseman will not be in a position to even hold something similar to HSM's 2016/17 (s)election process, let alone a 1P1V election.  A group that calls itself the Somalia Atlantic Council has published two options.

I think the first option is the most plausible way forward. The second option they put forward will not fly at all. Cheeseman has no political credit to achieve anything. In fact, he has lost the trust of almost everyone except those still on his paycheck - who are only with him for the $$$$.  And secondly, 6 months is a blip in time.

 

 

Proposed 2020/2020 Election Options

WWW.HIIRAAN.COM

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In clear terms, the Somali people expects with no excuse or delay free and fair election in 2020/2021. But, because of the federal government’s abject failure and disinterest to organize and hold free...

 

[maakhiri1]

Don't you see what is happening around? There will be no elections,  may be 2022?

[Suldaanka]

I do not think Cheeseman and Co will be able to get any extension. Even if he tries to do it himself, he won't.

It simple. No one trusts him.

In fact, a lot of people in the opposition wanted to get rid of him before his 4 year term ended. So, everyone is just waiting for the 4 year term and he is toast.  

Some may have argued to give him benefit of the doubt and give him the same 6 months extension that HSM got back in 2016. But there is a huge difference, HSM actually had a process going which was supported by all stakeholders. And that process needed a little bit more time to materialise.

Cheeseman has neither a process nor the support or consensus to move anything forward. 

which is why it is pointless to give him a day let alone 6 months more. 

The best option is to have a interrim care-taker government with the mandate to hold elections and nothing else. 

 

[Old_Observer]

Suldaanka,

Never rely on people like us who can be cheated so simply.

Remember the whole talk here about the IMF WB pages and pages in SOL.

Farmaajo did not do diddly squats about it. He was getting information on what is being done from those who failed to get money like Abiy.
Farmaajo and Co. were just making propaganda out of nothing, the same way bankers make money out of nothing.

We all fell for it and applauded and some even danced...its so funny yet sad how we think we are so informed yet simply dupped to waste time over nothing.

Farmaajo will do whatever Abiy tells him to do.

If Abiy can get away in postponing or changing the election system in Ethiopia, Farmaajo will do the same. Including holding meeting in 4-5 places small groups of which 3-4 of these will be under Ethiopian observation.

[Suldaanka]

15 hours ago, Old_Observer said:

Farmaajo will do whatever Abiy tells him to do.

If Abiy can get away in postponing or changing the election system in Ethiopia, Farmaajo will do the same. Including holding meeting in 4-5 places small groups of which 3-4 of these will be under Ethiopian observation.

Abiye has the backing of the Amhara, if the Amhara are ok with the postponement, it will be postponed.

But with regards to Cheeseman, he has no backing of any major power in Mogadishu. Even before his 4 year term ends, he is getting all sort of threats that he will be kicked out of Mogadishu. But the consensus is that, the opposition powers in Mogadishu will not allow any postponement without a major reshuffle and representation from of Opposition in the interim government.