Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) IS HISTORY

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Old_Observer]

26 minutes ago, Che -Guevara said:

 

They all have one thing in common. All three are least powerful parties in their regions. TPLF is actually the only one that has always worked and had dominance in its own region.

SEPDM is finished with Sidama officially separating and others unofficially separate. Have never been able to fill a quarum for meeting since Abiy started interfering along with his Amxara friends.

ODP is not that strong in Oromia and if Jawar joins another party ODP is dead.

In Amhara the opposition Amxara party has more influence and both Amxara parties combined are not that strong. Too many problems in that region.

 

[galbeedi]

Cagjar would probably join the new EPRDF.

The Oromo party will split probably in three. Somalis, Afar and Sidamo are for grabs.

OO, what do you thing ?

[Che -Guevara]

I gotta agree with Observer. These parties forming the new party have little home support.  The only part that's intact is TPLF.

ADP will be challenged by NAMA, OPD by Jawar/OLF and Caqjar is becoming irrelevant fast. The ONLF checkmated him by inviting some Amhara to the conference and they continue to maintain the idea of self-determination. If they are smart, they should reach out to other Somalis.

[Suldaanka]

It looks like the road is clear for an Amhara return to power in 2020. 

They have divided the Oromos, isolated the TPLF, and they have under lock the Southern Nations, and somewhat at least half of Somali vote.

 

[Che -Guevara]

6 hours ago, Suldaanka said:

It looks like the road is clear for an Amhara return to power in 2020. 

They have divided the Oromos, isolated the TPLF, and they have under lock the Southern Nations, and somewhat at least half of Somali vote.

 

You really want them to come back

[Xaaji Xunjuf]

Che who do you want to rule Ethiopia amhara oromo gurage tigray or sidamo. Or maybe abtigis as prime minister.  Amhara fear a united oromo tigray fear a united amhara and oromo. Especially a shewan oromo and a shewan amhara. The amhara don't like abiye Ahmed and his pente group.  TPLF is deeply cornered.

[Che -Guevara]

31 minutes ago, Xaaji Xunjuf said:

Che who do you want to rule Ethiopia amhara oromo gurage tigray or sidamo. Or maybe abtigis as prime minister.  Amhara fear a united oromo tigray fear a united amhara and oromo. Especially a shewan oromo and a shewan amhara. The amhara don't like abiye Ahmed and his pente group.  TPLF is deeply cornered.

If I would have loved to disintegrate Soviet style least violence but I fear it might turn into Yugoslavia.

It doesn't  who runs it. Its all the same.

[Old_Observer]

On 11/16/2019 at 10:21 PM, galbeedi said:

Cagjar would probably join the new EPRDF.

The Oromo party will split probably in three. Somalis, Afar and Sidamo are for grabs.

OO, what do you thing ?

Your expected action of Cagjar was perfect.

Most Oromos, Afar, most of Amxara Kililka (the ground is very different from the internet), Tigray, and the rest of Ethiopia are federalists.

Those leaders who cannot rely or do not have reliable base are choosing unitary. Cagjar is one of them.

[Old_Observer]

On 11/17/2019 at 2:17 AM, Suldaanka said:

It looks like the road is clear for an Amhara return to power in 2020. 

They have divided the Oromos, isolated the TPLF, and they have under lock the Southern Nations, and somewhat at least half of Somali vote.

 

I am afraid you have been influenced by internet.

On the ground Just ONLF is enough to put Amxara out to pasture. Ethiopia is now full of 30 year olds and younger who know nothing but their regional autonomy. If you think there is a force or method to put Ethiopia back to unitary system, you may have to struggle for next generation.

Even Kililka that has now disorganized power can get together in a day if the autonomy is going to be eliminated.

You have 3 of the 4 Oromo groups, Afar, Tigray, half of Amxaa, and 80% of south and the rest that would fight for autonomous regions.