As Kenya surrenders to Farmaajo, Somalia demands more changes in IGAD security and economic structure.

[galbeedi]

Uhuru Kenyatta has surrendered according to Somali sources. In his press conference he kept calling president Farmaajo , ' my brother, my brother again and again, sounding like someone who was freed from a jail and isolation.

 

Uhuru said Somalis both public and private citizens could fly to Kenya and get their visa from the airport, and  flights from Mogadishu will fly directly to Nairobi without stop over. Kenya is reversing its previous visa requirements and other restrictions it imposed on Somalis traveling in order to retaliate the international court issue.

 

In fact, this reversal  by the Kenyan government came after thousands of Somali business and people left Kenya for Turkey, Djibouti , Qatar and other places. THere was  huge Somali capital flight from Kenya for the last six months. Also, as the budget deficit of Kenyan state deteriorates, they are trying to get more revenue by auditing and checking taxes of businesses from four or five years ago retro effectively.

 

Hotels frequented by Somalis from Mogadishu , especially the Somali parliament members who spend three weeks a month in Nairobi were feeling the drought. NGO's and other inter governmental agencies are holding their meetings in Addis mostly. Thousands of Somalis had changed their travel plans and decided to avoid Kenya. These actions by Somalis had hurt the Kenyan economy badly. If things get worse, the one way trade that comes mostly  from Kenya to Somalia , especially the multi million dollar Khat, could even cause more revenue loss for Kenyan exporters.

 

So, the Kenyan had caved in for their own interest.

 

Yet, according Somali government sources, the main issues in Nairobi were  more than trade. The main sticking points were mostly about IGAD. and the billions spent on behalf of Somalia for other armies including the Kenyans. We are all aware that the Kenyans would not last a day in Kismaayo without the EU paying them millions for their presence. In fact, the Kenyans and other lobby the donors yo keep the cash cow.

 

IGAD was created for peace, security and economic cooperation among the member states. Yet, its earlier version was supposed to coordinate mostly on issues of drought and development. The mandate of the new IGAD is extended. Among the issues it covers are:

 

* Promote joint development strategies and gradually harmonize macroeconomic policies programmes in the social, technological and scientific fields.

*Harmonize policies with regard to trade, customs, transport, communications, agriculture, and natural resources, and promote free movement of goods, services and people within the region.

*Create an enabling environment for foreign, cross-border and domestic trade and investments.

*Achieve regional food security and encourage and assist efforts of member States to collectively combat drought and other natural and man-made disasters and their natural consequences.

 

Yet, they haven't done or implemented even 10% of their supposed mandate. The Somali government objected the billions of dollars from donors that are spent in the name of these organization. Somalia objects the billions of dollars spent on IGAD member armies who couldn't improve the national security of the nation. It didn't lost to anyone that a couple of hundred well trained Somali army is achieving great military success while 20,000 IGAD member armies are stationed in military bases  and in Mogadishu. Also, the billions of development money is mostly allocated and spent in Ethiopia, KEnya and others. 

Somali army is taking more responsibilities. Top government leaders including the president and the prime minister are using Somali security forces for their safety. 

 

IN other words, Somalia had proposed to exit IGAD if certain conditions are not met. Djibouti is also willing to exit , and so does Uganda. Sudan and Eritrea are not an active members anyway. So, that does leave Kenya, Ethiopia and South Sudan. For the last 25 years Ethiopia and Kenya were alternating as the secretary generals of IGAD , something both Djibouti and Somali objected.

 

Somali had sent letters to the security council and the European Union who finance these IGAD soldiers in Somalia. Somalia want to control how the money is spent , the number of soldiers and their military activity. Somalia no longer accepts billions of dollars to be spent on her behalf without any checks. Somali had insisted that Kenyan military in Kismaayo must coordinate their operations with Somalia or will be asked to leave quickly. 

 

According to government sources, Uhuru offred Farmaajo to bring Ahmed Madoobe to Nairobi and talk to him about his concerns. Farmaajo rejected and said that ' if I want to talk to him , i can bring him to Mogadishu without the Kenyan help'. Among other things, Somali forces mixed with Amisom forces will be deployed to Kismaayo airport and every international flight to Kismaayo should be authorized by the Somali aviation agency.

 

For the last few months Somali foreign policy analysts were demanding the exit of Somalia from IGAD. While the noise of the opposition and the never ending Somali quarrel continues, the Somali government is implementing its agenda in regional and world stage.

 

The problem is that we Somalis want a new man with a white horse for every four years. I was one of those who were impatient with Farmaajo for the first two years when I couldn't see any improvements of the national army. Certainly 2019 has been great for the army and its achievements. In fact, I was talking today to my sister in law who were trying to get back their farm from Bariire area around Afgooye and she told me that Al-shbaab had left the area for good.

 

We must realize that policies and national programs take time to take hold. What this nation needs is continuity at the moment. A failed nation can't rise up by sheveling the deck while the ship is almost sinking. Brothers and sisters, let us give these duo Khayre and Farmaajo four more years to finish the job. 

Certainly we can not afford the likes of Shariif Ahmed. The man doesn't know how to quit. In 2009, the UN envoy Mr. Abdalla told him to write om a paper for 275 members and then contest the election in Djibouti. How can you fail when you have 275 hand picked members. To his surprise, he said, ' Bakayle aan dabin u dhigtay, Maroodi aana igu soo Dhacay' . Well Mr. Shariif that won't happen again.

 

Anyway, here baby Uhuru crying. 

 

 

[galbeedi]

Oh, one more thing.

Kenya also might have won in different ways. The case might be brought back.

Let me correct myself. That is a rumor not a fact.

[Xamarawi]

2 hours ago, galbeedi said:

Oh, one more thing.

Kenya also might have won in different ways. The case will be brought back from the international court.

Let us give Kenya that win. 

So all that hogwash you wrote you were using it to justify Farmajo betraying Somalia and handing the sea to Kenya.

You are a two bit propagandist.

[Xamarawi]

Cry all you want. Farmajo will go peacefully or like his uncle, cowering inside an amison tank. He will go come 2020. No single day will his term be extended.

Or sooner.

[Dalmar1]

5 hours ago, Xamarawi said:

So all that hogwash you wrote you were using it to justify Farmajo betraying Somalia and handing the sea to Kenya.

You are a two bit propagandist.

It seems that you too have noticed, that he goes full on retardical about how great Farmaajo is, then ends with ''O yeah, Kenya won and Somalia loses its Ocean''.

 

Farmaajo is an hypocrite and a traitor to Somalia, and no matter how much the yar-yars paint him as an hero, farmaajo is an Khaa'in -alwadan, end off.

[Suldaanka]

Uhuru Kenyatta didn't surrounder. He seems that he got what he wanted. The normalisation of relations was a one-way thing anyway, Cheeseman was turning the other cheek everytime Kenya upped the ante in its effort to humiliate them. Additionally, enabling direct flights between Nairobi and Mogadishu was always preferred, even during the Warlords era days.

But what this tells us is that the powers that be (read America) that has been working behind the scenes to bring the two sides together. In fact, the American Ambassador to Kenya was recently quotes as saying that Cheeseman pledged to settle the maritime issue outside court. Of course, N&N minions denied it, but who is going to take their word for it?

Additionally what happened in Nairobi last few days is just diplomatic dance moves to turn the pledges into a formal agreement.  

Again, the Kenyans have said the Court issue will be settled outside court, re-enforcing the US Ambassador's comments. And it seems that is how it going to end up.

[YoniZ]

8 hours ago, galbeedi said:

Oh, one more thing.

Kenya also might have won in different ways. The case will be brought back from the international court.

Let us give Kenya that win. 

And according to the self appointed Wadani foot soldier, this is a small, non relevant footnote!!! 

Oday sidee wax kaa noqdeen maalmahan, intaa waa lagaaga hanwaynaaye. 

[Che -Guevara]

Many have predicted and all assertions came to be false  No one is bringing back the case from the court. It's unfortunate people have been peddling this misinformation since Xasan Sheekh to take the case to the court.

Kenya's intentions much like Ethiopia is driven by internal issues, that doesn't mean that they will give up on the sea.

Somalis always read Western intentions. Their goal is purely driven by self interest. They will not commit to anything until the case is settled.

 

[YoniZ]

47 minutes ago, Che -Guevara said:

Many have predicted and all assertions came to be false  No one is bringing back the case from the court. It's unfortunate people have been peddling this misinformation since Xasan Sheekh to take the case to the court.

Kenya's intentions much like Ethiopia is driven by internal issues, that doesn't mean that they will give up on the sea.

Somalis always read Western intentions. Their goal is purely driven by self interest. They will not commit to anything until the case is settled.

 

That's is what we all route for. The case to be decided at ICJ.

But, don't discount the incompetence and the naivety of today's Somali officials. They can capitulate spectacularly at any time with shallow promises to support them against their arch enemies (i.e. other Somali politicians)

Hoteelka ayuu noogu yimi, kadibna, wax walba oo aan tabanaynay wuu naga ogolaaday, anaguna waxba maanu ka ogolaan tabashadiisa.

Warkaas ayey meesha lasoo shir tageen. Caruur ayaana hadalkaa loo sheegaa, ee cudi ka dhageysan mayso. 

What did Prez Farmaajo did gave in return for the all goodies that he received from Uhuru?

We will know the truth in the near future, and of course it will come in drips from either the Kenyan officials or their allies in the martime case. 

It is irony, that even Minister Cawad is aware, no one believe Somali officials' record. 

 

[cadnaan1]

Kenyans are talking about this picture

No Kenyan flag and farmaajo picture on the wall

 

[Dhagax-Tuur]

Like others said,  you're reading too much into this.  Kenyans have realised that its better for both countries to normalise the relationship despite the maritime border issue.  

They will probably wait until Farmaajo's term is up and deal with the next fellow, might probably be more accommodating,  who knows. 

[Old_Observer]

There is nothing Farmaajo would not do or agree to inorder to avenge the humiliation he got in Puntland, SWS and Madoobe.

Some of you may think Farmaajo won in SWS, but it was more humiliating than even what Farmaajo lost in Jubaland or Puntland.

Using Ethiopian soldiers to arrest your opponent in your own country and kill civilians in the process...is more humiliating than attempting yourself and failing in your own country.

 

The humiliating defeat in Puntland was also big. Abiy withdrew the consulate from Garowe to give propaganda musle to Farmaajo. Puntland response was priceless. Abiy had to return his counsulate running, hiding, bowing.

 

If Farmaajo had agreed with Kenya to build a school, to clear and make the border properly functional...etc everyone would have respected that. But when the sole purpose is to avenge against Moodabe, nothing good will come out of it.

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

Here comes the Tigrey agent and his never ending wish to see Soomaaliya never progress.

To him regarding any fact about Soomaaliya's unity, progress, development - anything positive, he seethes that in anger. He cannot even stand his Xabashi government new mutual respect policies vis-a-vis with Soomaaliya. Any decent person would have welcomed this, but not this Tigrey agent. His hatred cannot be hidden.

To this Tigrey guest (and agent), his former vassals such Shariif Xasan, Cabdi Ileey and Cumar Cabdirashiid are outstanding folks. Any Soomaali collaborator that stalls Soomaaliya's progress and stability is a hero of his. He would even praise and paint as saints his erstwhile anti-Tigrey sworn enemies (like Rooboow) as long as he thinks they can delay the progress.

 It is very unfortunate many decent Soomaalis - not his boot-lickers - in SOL cannot see this blatant ploy of his.

[gooni]

Taageerayaasha N/N, oo aan ka mid ahay waa inay kenya u arkaan walaalaheen abaal wayn nagu leh, soona dhaweeyaan heshiiskaas qiimaha badan.

Haday noqoto qaxootiga ay hayeen 30 sano.

Kismayo oo ay cadaw nooga xoreeyeen

Ganacsi xoog badan oo nairobi nooga abuurmay

Wixii maanta ka dambeeya dadku waa walaalo aan kala maarmin.

Waxaa kuusoo horay saaxiibadoodii shalay sida madaxweynayaashii hore iyo axsaabtooda.

Waa inay kenya ka difaacaan badda soomaaliya una arkaan cadaw dhagar u qarsoontahay, farmaajana la garan maayo waxa miiska hoostiisa looga dhiibay.

Puntland waxay codsatay hadda ka hor in wafti kastoo dawladda dhexe dirayso qof ama labo loogu daro si ay ula socdaan waxa lakala maacaashayo.

Snm waxay ka codsatay kenya inay aqoonsato xataa maalin kaliya ha noqatee, ayaduna taa badelkeeda ay ku taageerto badda iyo bariga koonfurta inay qaadato.

Walaalayaal munaafaqad yaan isla hortaaganahay xaqiiqdii bad iyo berina ma rabno oo waynagaa ka tahriibnay maalin cad.

Wasiirka arimaha dibadda ee soomaaliya waa nin degan oo caqli badan runtii.

Saxaafadana waxaa looga baahan yahay markay qof noocaas ah waraysanayso inay u diraan wariye xirfadle ah.

Wuxuu waydiiyay mudane nooga war bixi heshiiska labada madaxweyne?

Jawaabtii wasiirka
Waxaa lagu heshiiyay in cilaaqaadka dhaqaale duulimaad iskaashi dhan kasta uu caadi noqdo.

Suu'aal wariye 
Arintii badda ma lasoo qaaday mudane wasiir?

Jawaab wasiirka
Haa waxaana cadeeyay madaxweyne farmaajo in maxkamadda loo daayo.

Su'aal wariye
Maxaad ku qancinaysaan dadka mugdigu uga jiro markay akhriyeen Twitter'ka wasiirka arimaha dibadda ee kenya oo sheegtay in arinta badda is af garad la rajaynayo?

Jawaabtii wasiirka
Maxaad wasiirka kenya u rumaynaysaa oo madaxda soomaalida oo toos kuula hadlaysa u rumayn la'dahay?

Wariyuhu waa saxan yahay oo waxaa dhagaysanay dad badan oo beelo kale kasoo jeeda oo aan ku kalsoonayn in madaxweyne beel kale ah u matalo qadiyadd sidaa u culus.

[galbeedi]

10 hours ago, YoniZ said:

And according to the self appointed Wadani foot soldier, this is a small, non relevant footnote!!! 

 

Yoniz , 

On the self appointed Wadani, I take that as a compliment. Ninyahow, I dropped the ball this time.

Waxaan rabay in aan idhaahdo Farmaajo geel baa la siyee muxuu ku bedeshay?

I apologize. A rumor is not a fact.

THere was a rumor that Somali had agreed to arbitration after a 2021 or something similar. On maritime border issue, Farmaajo, you , I and anyone else knows that Somalia can not give an inch of its territory. 

 

Hase ahaatee maadaame cadow badani nagu dul wareegayo, in aanu wakhtiga ka faa'iidaysano oo balamaha sii fogayno danteens ku Jirta. 

 

When you are weak militarily , you can not bargain very well. Within two years, I believe Somalia could be in a better position.

Anyway, Nabad iyo Nolol calankoodu kor buu u socgaa.