Trouble in Ethiopia: Jawar vs Abiy

[Che -Guevara]

 

He's alleging that he was about to be assassinated when the government removed his security detail.

 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Che -Guevara]

Honeymoon is officially over!

 Abiy has no powerbase. 

[Che -Guevara]

 

[Suldaanka]

The Amhara are masters of divide and rule. They have now succeeded in dividing the Muslim Oromo and Christian/Amhara Oromos.

The path to return to power for the Amhara is now wide open. 

 

[Old_Observer]

3 hours ago, Suldaanka said:

The Amhara are masters of divide and rule. They have now succeeded in dividing the Muslim Oromo and Christian/Amhara Oromos.

The path to return to power for the Amhara is now wide open. 

 

Not so fast my friend.

The Oromo are almost equally divided by faith:

Islam

Protestant

Orthodox

Traditional faith (pre-judaic)

Islam is divided between Brotherhood the likes of Jawar and Traditional Islam

Protestant are bitterly divided between Protestant German and Pentecostal American

Orthodox are divided between those who coperated with Menelik and those who tried resisting

Each one has an organization. Abiy had support with one wing of the Orthodox those who cooperated and were soldiers of Menelik and the American protestants. The Brotherhood tried to use him, but has been out witted.

 

Amxara are gone, its just the noise of final call to close curtain you are hearing.

 

If there is any group to come back will be 3 Oromo organizations, Somali other than Abtigis, Afar, Agew, South and big part of Tigray. Abiy supporters inside or outside are all anti federalism.

 

 

[Old_Observer]

7 hours ago, Che -Guevara said:

 

Che,

The name Haile Fida is a great name in Ethiopia. He was leader of a party that pushed the Derg to do land reform and when they split Mengistu killed Haile Fida. Intellectual, humanist and progressive.

Abiy is surrounded by people who use mainly assassinations both from Derg and an old party called EPRP.

 

[Che -Guevara]

42 minutes ago, Old_Observer said:

Che,

The name Haile Fida is a great name in Ethiopia. He was leader of a party that pushed the Derg to do land reform and when they split Mengistu killed Haile Fida. Intellectual, humanist and progressive.

Abiy is surrounded by people who use mainly assassinations both from Derg and an old party called EPRP.

 

I knew I heard that name, missed opportunities.

[galbeedi]

1 hour ago, Old_Observer said:

Brotherhood the likes of Jawar and Traditional Islam

OO please stop spreading false information. Jawar has nothing to do with Muslim Brotherhood or such thing. He is just a traditional guy. He isn't associated with any religious movement, he is secular.

Che,

Abiy will lose big time if he disturbs Jawar . I know the Amhara criminals are pushing him to sideline the Oromo nationalists , but if he flows, it will be his own peril. The Amhara will never give him one single vote. He better keep the Oromo vote united and ask Jawar to join the OPDO immediately.

 

If this coming vote becomes three or four  horse race Jawar would get more votes than Abiy because, the largest Oromo base is south east of Ethiopia where the revolution started. We Somalis will give our vote to Jawar.

The Oromo better be smart and stop the Amhara treachery on its tracks or the Amhara will destroy them and take the power while the Oromo peasants are engulfed with civil strive.

The Amhara usually agitate, but will never go civil  war among themselves. They might have individual interest, but they have an overall unity that doesn't to be explained. 

The other day I met two Ethiopian guys and Amhara one said he was Ethiopian , but the other one said he was Oromo first. If the vote splits, the Ahmara could win.

The Amhara can take their boy Cagjar we will  keep Jawar.

 

 

 

 

[galbeedi]

I even heard from the news that Abiy was threatening the ugly Egyptian leader Sisi. He said, ""Some say things about use of force (by Egypt). It should be underlined that no force could stop Ethiopia from building a dam,"

he further said, ""If there is a need to go to war, we could get millions readied. If some could fire a missile, others could use bombs. But that's not in the best interest of all of us,".

When Sisi took over Egypt through the bloody coup in 2013 , he signed agreement with Ethiopia in order to get their support. Now he has  to walk back  to appease both the military and the public. He also gave Saudi Arabia two islands in exchange for cash. Personally, I do not mind Abiy attacking the Egyptian dictator, but he should be very careful. 

The evil Sisi might bomb the Dam or public support and create problems for Abiy.

[Che -Guevara]

Abiy is losing the plot. He looks like an aspiring dictator but with no real support, he might bite more than he could chew.

If he pushes his luck, the OPD might dumb him.

[galbeedi]

They will and the real dictator waiting in the wings is none other than Lema Magrasa, the defence minister. Our boy Abiy should be very careful.