Huge demonstration taking place in Mogadishu

[Suldaanka]

 

[Suldaanka]

 

[Suldaanka]

 

[Dalmar1]

Somaliland should stand firm in not accepting/participating any talks with the dying Farmaajo government, it will be a political suicide for Musa Bixi to hold talks to Someone (Farmaajo) who is about to be evicted by the people of Mogadishu.

Sonalilands Hargeisa Leader Bixi should only hold talks with Somalia's Native Mogadishu Leader and not a pretender from Gaajo/starved Gedo.

[Holac]

It looks like the opposition is deploying the same social media mobilization tactics Farmaajo has been using for years. 

[Mourad1]

Groups of anarchists and thugs will not be able to stop the government; "horaa loo soconayaa." Pretending to be outraged by the death of this young soul and the following demonstrations will not trick the masses in the capital who are overwhelming peace loving and law abiding Somalis.  

Somalis are becoming ever aware of the fact that there are groups among us that don't want Somalia's qaranimo to be fully restored. Restoring it will diametrically oppose these groups' interests. This tragic event and many more in the future will be used to try to damage the government. 

[gooni]

Ciyaalkan waxa laynaya waa adeeradood

Allaha u naxariisto intii dhimatay,

Dhimashadu qiimo lama leh siyaasiyiinta habawsan iyo kuwa sharciga u diidan si aan guryaha ay dhaceen loogu qabsan.

Dhiigga ciyaalkana waxay ka dhiganayaan energy' ay ku hadlaan.

Waxaa kaliya oo cusub labadaan sano oo farmaajo joogay, magtii meel ay u raadsadaan bay heleen xataa kuwii alshabaab laga dilay.

[Suldaanka]

Another huge demonstration against Cheeseman's failing administration to be held today in Mogadishu.

Cheeseman in a desparate attempt is trying to stop it.

 

[Holac]

My friends, we may have a Sudan-like event on our hands. 

Where is Galbeedi to comment on this "slowly" growing demo. Someone is watching TV. 

[Suldaanka]

[galbeedi]

Holac,

This demonstration will go away soon. They will not amount to anything serious to the government at the moment. People should have demonstrated by the lack of security in mogadishu and Shabaab killings if they were serious about loss of life.

The Bajaaj drivers were cash cow for  the police in major  intersections.It is unfortunate someone died but  that won't change much. 

The talk of people chasing out Farmaajo and his government is just false illusions and pure propaganda that will not change reality. Farmaajo is elected and will leave office when Election is held in 2020/2021.

These kind of demonstrations or antipathy toward the government will certainly help Al-shabaab to hide among the public or gain sympathy and shelter which in turn increase the vulnerability of the government.

Yet , there are major issues brewing in Somlalia that neither BBC nor local media has the capacity to investigate or analyse.

Here are couple of major things that might make things dangerous for the government in the coming days.

 

First,  the small American ambassador,  Mr. Yamamoto with the advice of IGAD and others had decided to revive the influence of the regional governments by agreeing to fund their security activities directly without consulting the federal government. As we speak, all of them including Puntland are broke without penny. Their cash cow is coming back both from the UN, Americans and the gulf mainly UAE. Even Muuse Biixi will get his money directly without the filter of the government.

Second, Khayre had passed some serious information to the American National Security agencies regarding some business people and politicians in Mogadishu. While some were mentioned as spoilers , other big businesses with a lot of clout in Mogadishu might have been added as financiers of terror and spoilers.  The is  list provided by Khayre to John Bolton. 

If this is true, the prime minister might have just declared war he can't win at this stage. As I said , these protest will fizzle but the larger wars are ahead.

According to a lot of people , FArmaajo doesn't want any Somali blood in Mogadishu in his name and will leave at the end of his term while building Somali military for the future. Khayre want real confrontation with his enemies but will not get that wish from Farmaajo.  

Just like Talibans and others are waiting for the eventual American exit, the opposition is waiting Famaajo out while throwing roadblocks for the next 12 months. 

Unlike what opposition says, Farmaajo has no interest to confront anybody or shed any blood for the sake of the state. That job awaits a tough minded leader who will eventually confront  the enemies of the state head on . If you want to save dolphins or polar bears, this job is not yours. I would have confronted my enemies in the first 100 days of the government. Within six months, " ninkii roon ayaa Reerka u soo hadhi".

Holac, I need you to raise some money for my campaign in 2020.

 

[Suldaanka]

16 hours ago, galbeedi said:

This demonstration will go away soon. They will not amount to anything serious to the government at the moment.

Famous last words.... 

 

 

[galbeedi]

Fiqi is just trolling like any opposition would do. Farmaajo is far from being dictator with Capital D. His secret service, army chief of staff, police chief , governor of Benadir and many other security people are not his clan or even lose allies..

If you want to know how doctors operate just fly 40 minute to Djibouti where a family runs almost everything.His main detractors are D block. The Puntlanders want his demise but would come openly, while those in Jubba are hostile to everything Farmaajo.

Farmaajo nin Qabiil ma 'ahan , laakiin muusan fahmin uu u ku fadhiistay kursi dhiig leh oo aan " Walaalow" ku sal dhigayn.

 

I suggested early that the way the government should acts is to move swiftly in the first one hundred days to show her tough intentions.  The so called international community usually would throw red carpets and collude your mind thinking that these are real friends who want to help.They had waited an when the time was up they came from the woodworks.

 

I still believe that he has a chance to change the horse and try something new. Yey, for many it could be too late. Besides, Khayre will not leave even if asked.They will both die with the same sword.I would try one of the Galmudug boys to shake up the system and put new blood to get out of the quagmire.

[Old_Observer]

I am afraid all those mileages to Asmara, Amxara and Addis Ababa have taken their toll, in the alliance world.

There is no way a Somali would love Asmara more than Djibouti. No matter how much friendship there is with Isayas and lack of it with Ghelleh among the personalities. Its always a bad idea to stick to much to a new PM in Ethiopia, before the dust settles. 3rd cabinet shuffle already, and no end, stability in sight yet.

Undermining Turkish contribution and participation was another major screw up.

Most likely things were beyond Farmaajo capability,  and staying too long in America, Farmaajo must have lost that Nomad character which Ilhan Omar seems to have preserved. Sometimes saying NO to someone.