Farmaajo must change direction and form a new government to salvage the two remaining years.

[galbeedi]

The Hassan Khayre led government is failing both on domestic security and international policy. 

Today , the sixth bombing as many day has rocked Mogadishu with deadly fatalities. Despite the " peace security brigade" formed to pacify the capital and intercept the bomb laden cars, nothing seem to be working.  Mogadishu is  already  the most fortified city in the world with blocked streets and checkpoints. Just like the colonial powers of the last century the government and their connected NGO's live in these fortified neighborhoods while the native populations resides outside these zones . Leaving the native population outside had allowed Al-shabaab to have free hand plot their deadly attacks in a way that impacts the nation. 

 

Would be Somali soldiers were trained by many nations for the last six years. Americans, European union soldiers, Italians , and African countries were some of the nations training these soldiers. Turkey , the most important partner of rebuilding Somalia,  has been training professional Somali soldiers for more than a year and was graduating hundreds of soldiers. Yey, no one can travel between Mogadishu and Jowhar. Is these soldiers become ghost soldiers after graduation? , or they just disappear when they no longer able receive their salary.

I always believed that a small but effective and well paid professional soldiers are the answers for the security issues. It seems that there is no shortage of soldiers but what is missing is the management and deployment of the soldiers . As the Farmaajo speech has shown , he delegated most of these tasks to the generals and the defense department. Yet, the blame should go to those who manage these generals and the prime minister himself. We have enough of the false bosting and promises of prime minister Khayre. He had enough time to pacify the capital or make his ministers accountable. 

Farmaajo must force Khayre to either shuffle the cabinet or ask him to resign. 

The area that need a change are mostly foreign policy department, internal ministry, defense ministry and national security. I would not ask him to change the army commanders and leadership  which needs continuity .

We do need to critically look the foreign policy of Somalia. Things are happening without  critical consultation and deep debate within the leadership. Farmaajo went to Eritrea and helped them get rid of the sanctions against Eritrea without no tangible exchange. Before the president flies to any country , he must have his foreign policy group ahead of him and digest everything before hand. He seems to be stumbling to surprises prepared by other nations. If others present a blue  print that t is too good to be true , it is the duty of the foreign ministry to read the fine print and analyse the future consequences. Abiy Ahmed looked the cards Farmaajo was carrying and took those who were useful for him and is now using now one by one.

Without notice , Abiy took him to Kenya un prepared and got nothing from Kenya. When Dr. Bayleh took the Kenyans to international court, the Kenyan president came to Mogadishu to resolve the issue. As Trump had shown with the Syrian Golan Height issue, the international rule and law that guided the world since the second world war is disappearing.

As Somalia passes one of our weakest time in history, predator nations could take advantage and annex some of the best and fertile land in Somalia especially the Jubba area. When you have landlocked nations like Uganda, Ethiopia, and Burundi debating Somali maritime territory and rules, we must all worry. They are probably shocked that how a failed state and dysfunctional government and people could own this prime real estate and ocean in the horn of Africa. In order to avoid theft of maritime resource and even the annexation of Somali proper, Farmaajo must quicken the withdrawal of foreign forces from somalia. It will diminish the future theft and domination by others.

Those and many others reasons must be a case to fire and replace the foreign minister and his team. If he is overruled and Farmaajo is carrying his foreign policy in a whimp , then there is no hope of shuffling or changing things. I have even Seen the prime minister fly to Kenya without the foreign minister and do his personal business with Kenyan leadership.

Waxaanu nahay dameer malab sida oo aan ogayn waxa uu sido.

We are carrying a gold yet we do not know the value in our back. 

As I stated in these pages, the defense minister is missing in action. No one knows him, and no one has seen  him speak or address the nation on the issue of soldiers and the missing salary. Same thing goes with the home affairs ministry. I have never seen him travel to the hotspots of the country. It was the first time today I saw him visit central Somalia. Just like the defense minister, the national security minister is an unknown hotel manager who usually discusses checkpoints or couple of soldiers who abandoned a check point.In other words , he acts like a police officer in Xamar Weyne.

Furthermore, the national intelligence man is money carrying election hacker who thinks he can buy anyone just like the presidential elections. He spends most of his days to bribe warlords in the media and unemployed social media personalities to increase the popularity of the government. While politics is important in any system, it must end somewhere and the real work of nation building, performing your duty and regular work is an everyday thing. These tasks need honesty, dedication and commitment. The Southern ways of shortcutting things or being shrewd doesn't build long term and stable system.

These and many other shortcomings can't be allowed to continue. Farmaajo is already in big hole and the chances to come out are very small, yet one must always try and dig himself out. To keep doing the same thing and not changing the course would be digging  deeper. 

There are few options. 

Fire the prime minister and appoint a new one.

Looking the choices Khayre made in his cabinet it is difficult to keep going the same bath. Having incompetent members of cabinet had allowed the prime minister to keep all decision making in his office and increase his workload. Weak members of the cabinet usually draw their salaries and try not ruffle any feathers. That is why the defense minister is not comfortable coming out to the media and make the case.Ministers are not allowed to make decisions and push the issues with confidence. 

The 66 men cabinet that is assembled are nothing but liaison  officers to help them inside the parliament to defeat motions. Other than few members of the cabinet most of them had failed or sidelined by khayre. 

Furthermore, Khayre had failed to build a sustainable relationship with the Mogadishu community. As a local son , he should had the courage to confront the Mogadishu instability without fear and repercussions. He no longer have the confidence of the locals and as a bad police  could no longer arrest or confront the anti peace elements. These and many other reasons should force Farmaajo to change course and get a new government for the remaining years. Renewing the mandate and getting a new government is one of the ways to energize the system.

Make an overarching cabinet shuffle.

Rather than micromanage everything, the prime minister must appoint known heavy weights to the cabinet and allow them to shine. Mr. Khayre must not expect his ministers to be school children that should be either muzzled or lectured. The last men who asked few normal questions---Yusuf Garaad and Juxa--were fired without cause. In fact, since Yusuf Garaad was fired the foreign policy of the country was going down the drain.Mr. Garaad had managed the gulf Arabs  and their blockade saga very well, he nurtured the Turkish bond and release hundreds of Somalis from foreign jails.

He must change at least  those who are involved in defense, interior, security and intelligence. In fact, it could be argued these three, the interior, defense and intelligence were appointed to fill their tribal slots without qualifications. 

If anyone of those options are impossible then you must expect to make your bed in that hole. If you do not change the course, you could become the worst president since Carta government. Do not listen to the unemployed social media kids and others who would never tell you the truth. Somalia is in the crossroads and change of course is a must.

 

 

 

[galbeedi]

 

Get a new prime minister, and call the help of Somali people. The chaos theory is on in the horn. Six bombs as many days is not a coincidence but a foreign plot to destroy the people. Are you telling me that a Somali group that can not fix a flat tire are building bombing?

The UN says Americans killed more civilians in Afghanistan than never before. Do you know how many wedding they bombed?  The chaos will continue

[Suldaanka]

@galbeedi

I will be highly surprised if Cheeseman replaced Khaire. Khaire has got Cheeseman on a chokehold. He is not going anywhere.

Anyway, Cheeseman is in the middle of a muddy field, he is only going down from here. 

The IC have  given him until July to get the  electrol laws passed. This was meant to be finalised in July 2018. This is highly unlikely, but lets assume this goes through. Lets assume they copy the Somaliland electrol laws word for word  just to save time. 

The biggest issue in my opinion is not about the laws at all. It is the people's mentality towards Multi-party elections. 

With a weak, fragmented clan based melitia, throwing multiparty elections will be akin to adding fuel to fire. Multiparty elections are by nature divisive and if you add the clan politics, it is even more divisive. And adding half-baked electrol laws, is like adding fuel and throwing a match on to it. 

There is no Goodwill left for Cheeseman. He has no oratory skills to bring people together. He has lost all politcal capital and is walking naked.

This is the reality. 

[Saalax]

galbeedi you are not familiar with Mogadishu politics. Most of those bombings are not even Al shabab but the usual anti progress elements trying to destabilize the government.  

[Duufaan]

5 hours ago, Saalax said:

galbeedi you are not familiar with Mogadishu politics. Most of those bombings are not even Al shabab but the usual anti progress elements trying to destabilize the government.  

I agree with you. Galbeedi understand very much understands what is happening Muqdisho and why.  He just do not want to blame the Somalis. It could be  that there is foreign involvement but it is a small group of Somalis doing this, who thinks they’re benefiting the cause. Some of bombing was mines underground and parking cars set for fire. It was not complicated. What more compulicated is the  how they were coordinated in six days. The anarchists were taking about  the Xalane people. It is more likely those Xalane people communicated some of their paid sleep cells. The  latest wave of bombing had only one purpose to create couse and stop the army registration the government started and the government announcement of getting army places in moqdisho vacated. Alshabaab plays very small role here.They have nothing going the rest of country for long time. They have very difficult recruiting people as they started kidnapping kids. For lately they were able to recruit people from the river but now they have very difficult. that group too.

 

 

I don’t think it is time for Farmaajo and khayre govermerment to change direction. They actually need to double down. It will be easy win for the whole anarchist  gruop including the  sessenionst.

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

6 hours ago, Saalax said:

galbeedi you are not familiar with Mogadishu politics. Most of those bombings are not even Al shabab but the usual anti progress elements trying to destabilize the government.  

Waa runtaa. Soomaaliya, gaar ahaan Muqdisho, cadow badan ayee leedahay, qaarkood Soomaali nala sheeganaayo laakiin niyadda ka baqtiyey, shisheeyana u adeego. Dad qaar waxee ku maal heleen qaska iyo qaxa, marka wey adagtahay inay maamul wanaagsan rabaan haddaan loo xusul duuban meel la iska saarin. Barbaarta kaliya ma'aha waxa wax dilo, qof walba wax garanaayo og taas

Yuusuf Garaad just wrote this:

Yuusuf Garaad: “Waxaan ogahay in Shabaab kaliya aysan Xamar dad ku dilin

Wasiirkii hore ee arimaha dibadda Soomaaliya Yuusuf Garaad Cumar ayaa ka hadlay xaaladaha amaanka ee magaalada Muqdisho iyo dadka ka dambeeya qaraxyadii ugu dambeeyay ee ka dhacay magaalada Muqdisho.

Yuuruf Garaad Cumar qoraal uu soo dhigay bartiisa Facebook wuxuu kaga hadlay xaaladaha amaan ee magaalada Muqdisho, waxaana uu ku yiri qoraalkiisa:-

Qaraxii iigu horreeyay oo ka dhacay meel aan joogo waxay ahayd 2013. Weerarkaas waxaa soo qaaday saddex wiil oo labana ay isqarxisay midna lagala hormaray oo la dilay isaga oo gashan jaakad qarax ku rakiban yahay.

Isla markiiba waxaa tuhun la geliyay cidda ka dambeysa weerarka. Xataa shisheeya ayaa ka qeyb qaatay far ku fiiqidda jiho aan ahayn Shabaab.

Ilaa markaas waxaan arkayay marka uu qarax dhaco dadka qaar keena tuhun ah in weerarku Shabaab ahayn ee ay ka dambeeyaan dhinacyo kale. Ma ogi xaqiiqadeeda. Mid ayaanse ogahay. Shabaab keliyihi Muqdisho dadka kuma dilo.

Baaritaan cilmi ku saleysan ayaa loo baahan yahay in weerar kasta lagu sameeyo waxna laga barto.

Xuuraansi ka sokow, Maaddooyinka laga sameeyay qaraxa iyo tabta loo sameeyay waxay wax ka sheegaan cidda sameysay. Xataa waxaa laga ogaan karaa qofka qaraxa sameeyay cidda tababbartay.

Goobta la beegsaday, goorta iyo xeesha weerarka iyagana khubaro akhrin taqaan ayaa jirta. Diiwaanka warbixinnada weerarrada Shabaab haddii uu jirana wax baa lagala dhex bixi karaa.

Baaritaan iyo dabaggal noocaas ah ama ka sarreeya maaddaama aanan arag cid natiijadiisa ila wadaagta, anigu waxaan weerarrada u sameystay miisaan fudud. Waxaan hubiyaa in weerarka uu fuliyay ama uu qeyb ka yahay qof is qarxiyay. Haddii ay jawaabtu haa tahay, Shabaab oo keliya ayaa haysta dad isu qarxiya, adeegsadana.

Xigasho

[Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar]

Farmaajo iyo Kheyre oo qorsheynaya inay xaalad deg deg ah geliyaan Muqdisho

Madaxweynaha Soomaaliya Maxamed Cabdullaahi Farmaajo iyo ra’iisul wasaare Xasan Cali Kheyre ayaa mar kale xalay kulan ka yeeshay ammaanka faraha ka baxay ee magaalada Muqdisho, oo maalmihii dhowaa ay qaraxyada caadi ka noqdeen.

Kulanka ayaa looga hadlay sida wax looga beddeli karo xaaladda magaalada Muqdisho, waxaana waxyaabaha yaabka leh ee la isku soo qaday ka mid ah in magaalada la geliyo xaalad deg deg ah muddo 3 bilood ah, sida ay saraakiil ka tirsan Villa Somalia u xaqiijiyeen Caasimada Online.

Tallaabadan ayaa u ogolaaneyso dowladda in ciidamo badan kusoo daabusho magaalada, la xiro dhammaan waddooyinka magaalada, gur-guri loo galo, islamarkaana ugu yaraamn la hakiyo qaraxyada joogtada ah ee magaalada.

Qorshahan ayaa la sheegay in madaxweynaha iyo ra’iisul wasaaraha ay mabda’ ahaan isku raaceen hase yeeshee waxaan weli la hayn qaabkii loo fulin lahaa. Waxaa sidoo kale laga cabsi qabaa in baarlamanku ansixinayaan iyo in kale marka madaxweynuhu ku dhowaaqo, maadaama dastuurka dhigayo inay qasab tahay in baarlamanku ansixiyo.

Madaxweynaha iyo ra’iisul wasaaraha ayaa lagu warramayaa in ka cabsi qabaan in qorshahan aysan xildhibaanada baarlamanka ogolaan doonin, taasi oo darteed aan weli qorshahan loogu dhowaaqin.

Waxaa sidoo kale jirta in beesha caalamka aysan ogolaan doonin qorshahan, taasi oo mar kale isku dhac ka dhex abuuri karta madaxda dowladda iyo beesha caalamka, oo horey ugu kala tagay cayrintii wakiilkii QM ee Soomaaliya, Nicholas Haysom.

Madaxda dowladda ayaa la rumeysan yahay ina taageero hoose u raadi doonaan qorshahan ka hor inta aysan ku dhowaaqin, ayada oo laga yaabo inay ka tanaasulaan haddii aysan taageero ku filan u helin.

Xigasho

_________________

Waa soo dhaweynayaa. Ha lagu soo rogo Muqdisho state of emergency. Kuwa maanta dacaayadeynaayo amaandarrada - ka mid yihiin Mahad Salaad iyo C/raxmaan C/shakuur - iyagaa isla beri qeylin doono, kana soo horjeesan doono. Maantana iyagaa ugu qeylo badan.

[Duufaan]

Waa arin fiicaan. Haday sidaas sameeyaan waxaan maqlidoontaan. Moqdisho amnigeedu faruhuu kabaxay waxaa xigo doonta reer Muqdisho ayaa loo danleeyahay 

[cadnaan1]

Just 4 days ago UN office was sending text message to their staff members warning about possible 4 car bombs  have entered the city and one of them is truck bomb,

Government did not take any action on this information and this is not the first time that warning message coming out from xalane.

[galbeedi]

Folks and friends,

Let me try to be a referee in this matter. There is a lot of correlations here. As OOdweyne said, "

47 minutes ago, Oodweyne said:

the “level of insecurity” of Mogadishu is a "direct corollary" (or it has almost a causal link) to the sheer government’s incompetence of Villa Somalia crew. And therefore, fix that, and you are half-way there in actually getting the root cause of this bedeviling problem.

The buck stops at the feet of the Vilaa-Somalia residents. Since they would take credit for every victory the government achieves, the must also take the blame of the failures of the government in terms of security.

Having said, I also believe there must be a correlation between the unending instability and certain residents of the city. While some insecurity is politically motivated from the oligarchs and criminals , certain bombings are the whole mark of Al-shabaab. Non Al-shabaab gunmen might leave bomb laden cars in businesses or committ drive by shootings.

Suicide bombings and multiple gunmen jumping after the suicide and willing to die are specifically the work of Al-shabaab. 

Also, Intelligence people would tell you that Al-shbaab has direct contacts to almost every entity within Somalia including Amisom. Sometimes they even coordinate to avoid one another. Avoiding one another in certain geographies is something the Ethiopian army has used successfully. Some of you might  disagree the existence of these moves, but in Afghanistan , the Italian contingent used to pay the Taliban weekly money to avoid targeting them or clashing with them. Since the Italians were forced by America and Nato, they tried to survive and avoid casualties while CAnadians and others were dying weekly of EIDS.

3 hours ago, Miskiin-Macruuf-Aqiyaar said:

 magaalada la geliyo xaalad deg deg ah muddo 3 bilood ah, sida ay saraakiil ka tirsan Villa Somalia u xaqiijiyeen Caasimada Online.

 Emergency situations or declaring a curfew from dusk to dawn has been always my argument. No nation will allow the constant murder of its citizens by violent and evil people.  Declaring an emergency situation in Mogadishu could be a way to find out the weapons hidden within the city. As I said , when the Zope area bomb killed over 500 people a year and half ago , it was the right  time to cordone the whole city and disarm. Yet, the political environment of the city at the moment could not be discounted. 

I do believe that the current government led by Khayre can't convince the locals to cooperate and give their weapons willingly. THey seem to be hostile to his leadership and doubling down might cause more trouble.

Let me be clear and speak in political tone. Khayre isn't the only one  to be blamed of the security failure but, in any government when you hit a wall and things get worse, you rethink your strategies and re-energize your base in order to buy time and space. If an emergency situation is a must, then a new prime minister  with a new mandate must be brought to the scene with renewed credibility and energy.

Farmaajo still got two more years. We all agree that despite Somali army in Baraawe, Marka and Jowhar, the Mogadishu quagmire is still unresolved. If he can't pacify this town , Farmaajo will be be finished sooner or later.

Now, is Khayre capable of pacifying Mogadishu? I do not think so.

Either Farmaajo should bring either Cali Geedi who is hated by certain segments of Mogadishu but has the ability to crush his opponents, or swallow his pride and give the keys to Galmudug boys who have been in the opposition for the last 14 years. Give them the premiership and demand them to clean the city.

Whoever comes must project a different image than Khayre within Mogadishu. Guys, there is no other way. He must change the course or keep hiding in his room until the flood comes to his room.

 

[gooni]

Xukumadaan farmaajo ka hor, ama xukuumadihii ka horeeyay, dilalka qorshaysan iyo qaraxyadu inta badan waxay ka dhici jireen suuqa bakaaraha

Hadana waxaa kaliya oo lagusoo koobay wadada maka al-mukarama see wax u jiraan?

Haddii aad aaminto Geedi baa wax toosin kara laf cad baad toobin ku haysaa waxaadna aqbalaysaa in jufo walbaa mansab ku doonto dhiigga shacabka.

[galbeedi]

Mr. Gooni,

Geedi tusaale ayaan u soo qaatay, laakiin suurtagal ma ahan raiisul wasaare ayaa Muqdisho laga soo xulayaa , haddana degaankii uu ka soo jeeday waxba kama qaban karayo wax shaqaynaya ma ahan. 

Ninku haddii uu degaankiisa wax ka qabanayn oo Tolkii aanu soo xidhxidhyn dawladi ma imaanayso. Bal iii sheeg maxaa jagada loogu magacaabay haddii uusan Xamar nabadayn karayn.

Qaraxu waa mid nidaam ku socda. Wakhtigii Hassan sheikh xataa baarlamaanka iyo madaxtooyada ayaa la qarxiyey o rag hubaysani galeen.

Shabaabka dhul badan oo caasimada ka mid ah ayaan loogu tagin sanad dhan. Babuur badan oo la diyaariyey ayaa la sheegaya. Xataa UN ta ayaa sheegaysa qaraxyada soo socda.

Waar bi'i waaye kaaratada bedel oo dhiig cusub keen. haddii kale adiga iyo wiilkan Dayniile ka yimidba godka ha la idinku soo galo.

[galbeedi]

Oh , by the way one more thing . 

Since Trump had destroyed the rule based world , many countries around the world are in danger of annexation and total theft of their land. 

Since Somalia is occupied by the Kenyans who using iGAD and other foreign powers, they could take some of our regions to increase their maritime boundaries. AS such we need a strong foreign minister and other prominent Somalis to defend us in the international arena and media. 

You have to know that colonial powers of yesterday can't intervene directly in somalia, but they might use fourth rate powers like Kenya or Uganda. 

Waar waxaanu u baahanahay rag culus oo Soomaliya masraxa aduunyada ka difaaca. ma ciyaalkan yar yar ee reer Daynille iyo Garoowe ka yimid ayaa aduunka inga difaaci kara. Mida kale,  xageed ku aragtay reer Koonfur miisaan leh oo arrimi dibad wax ka keeni kara.

[gooni]

Galbedi

Ma jiro nin awood, reerkiisa uu ka helay xamar ku nabadayn kara, ama dayniile halagasoo xusho ama kaaraan waligaa ha u fadhiyin arintaas.

Haddii aad aado kan kaaraan beri kii dayniila sidiiyoo kale yuu biyaha wadada ka leexinayaa.

Su'aashaydii hore oo ahayd maxaa bakaaraha looga wareejiyay qaraxyada?

Waxay iigu muuqataa markii xukunka loo dhiibo beelaha isku sheega inay muqdisho xoraysteen caam ahaantooda adigoon kala saarin waxay iska raadsadaan suuqa bakaaraha ayagoo shaatiyo badan oo is garanaya qaar koodna la midaysan yihiin xagjirka.

Farmaajo waa madaxweynihii ugu horeeyay oo soomalida kale ka yimid oo la joogay labo sano waxayna ku heshiiyeen inay isugu tagaan wadada maka al mukarama ayagoo isticmaalaya shaatiyadii midabada badnaa oo lagu yaqaanay.

Ka gudub waxaasoo dhan xalka waa fogyahay aragtidayda khayre iyo farmaajo waa niman daacada oo ciidankoodii iyo sirdoonkoodii labada waxaa furfuraya dhul jiif dibadda laga maal geliyo oo aad u fara badan.

Hadii aad raysul wasaare cusub laga dhigto reer gurceel ama reer kaaraan laga yaabee bil ama labo inay neeftuuraan oo isaga kaa dhigaan dad wax qabanaya laakiin xal waara oo fog khayraa ugu dhaw aragtidayda iyo aqoonta aan beelaha u leeyahay.

Xalku waa sadex afar ma'ahan mana la helayo hadaan raxmad eebe cirka kasoo degin

1- in la helo qabiil aduunkoo dhan ama aduunka barkiis taageero oo qabiilada kale maquuniya taasna way adagtahay sida muuqata.

2- in la helo culumo aan dadka laynayn oo ilaahay dartiis ku walaalooba qabiilna ka madax banaan taasina waa adagtahay sida muuqata.

3- in la helo ciidamo aan oranayn Qaajaa i haydo oo wadanka dhiigooda iyo qalbigooda u mideeya taasina way adag tahay in la helo sida muuqata

Mid afraad iima muuqato oo aan ka ahayn in barlamaan noogu mashxarodo afartii sanoba mar dawlad aan dhismaheeda daacad laga ahayn.

Hadii aad rabto inaad macluumaad dheeraada hesho dhagayso idaacadaha BBC iyo VOA waxaad kala baranaysaa xataa wariyaasha beelahooda ayadoon cidina kuu sheegin.

[Old_Observer]

9 hours ago, galbeedi said:

Folks and friends,

Let me try to be a referee in this matter. There is a lot of correlations here. As OOdweyne said, "

The buck stops at the feet of the Vilaa-Somalia residents. Since they would take credit for every victory the government achieves, the must also take the blame of the failures of the government in terms of security.

Having said, I also believe there must be a correlation between the unending instability and certain residents of the city. While some insecurity is politically motivated from the oligarchs and criminals , certain bombings are the whole mark of Al-shabaab. Non Al-shabaab gunmen might leave bomb laden cars in businesses or committ drive by shootings.

Suicide bombings and multiple gunmen jumping after the suicide and willing to die are specifically the work of Al-shabaab. 

Also, Intelligence people would tell you that Al-shbaab has direct contacts to almost every entity within Somalia including Amisom. Sometimes they even coordinate to avoid one another. Avoiding one another in certain geographies is something the Ethiopian army has used successfully. Some of you might  disagree the existence of these moves, but in Afghanistan , the Italian contingent used to pay the Taliban weekly money to avoid targeting them or clashing with them. Since the Italians were forced by America and Nato, they tried to survive and avoid casualties while CAnadians and others were dying weekly of EIDS.

 Emergency situations or declaring a curfew from dusk to dawn has been always my argument. No nation will allow the constant murder of its citizens by violent and evil people.  Declaring an emergency situation in Mogadishu could be a way to find out the weapons hidden within the city. As I said , when the Zope area bomb killed over 500 people a year and half ago , it was the right  time to cordone the whole city and disarm. Yet, the political environment of the city at the moment could not be discounted. 

I do believe that the current government led by Khayre can't convince the locals to cooperate and give their weapons willingly. THey seem to be hostile to his leadership and doubling down might cause more trouble.

Let me be clear and speak in political tone. Khayre isn't the only one  to be blamed of the security failure but, in any government when you hit a wall and things get worse, you rethink your strategies and re-energize your base in order to buy time and space. If an emergency situation is a must, then a new prime minister  with a new mandate must be brought to the scene with renewed credibility and energy.

Farmaajo still got two more years. We all agree that despite Somali army in Baraawe, Marka and Jowhar, the Mogadishu quagmire is still unresolved. If he can't pacify this town , Farmaajo will be be finished sooner or later.

Now, is Khayre capable of pacifying Mogadishu? I do not think so.

Either Farmaajo should bring either Cali Geedi who is hated by certain segments of Mogadishu but has the ability to crush his opponents, or swallow his pride and give the keys to Galmudug boys who have been in the opposition for the last 14 years. Give them the premiership and demand them to clean the city.

Whoever comes must project a different image than Khayre within Mogadishu. Guys, there is no other way. He must change the course or keep hiding in his room until the flood comes to his room.

 

Its about time some out of the box radical advices are taken:

 

1. Move the government for 6 months or a year to Jowhar or Baidaba

2. Leave only foreign ministry since Embassies and consulates are there

3. Set up government for the city from both power houses or divide it into 3 sub-city regions. In any case make them fully responsible. No tax collection no federal funds

4. Hold a conference and set framework responsibilities of regions and Federal

5. Dedicate full time on cleaning up regions starting from Jowhar or Baydahaba which ever is chosen

6. Agree formula for disbursement of federal funds to regions example: population, security safest gets most since they need full admin..not safe get less since they only need army and militia for most part

 

Negotiate with Somaliland a modus vivendi..how to live in this transition accept Somaliland foreign co-operation with countries, Somaliland not even to say Hi let alone interfere with any warlord or entity in Somalia set up joint committee with Somaliland for all interactions.

 

 

 

etc...