Folks, it is Ramadan and in this sacred month we all try to avoid inflaming conflicts and sensitive issues. I for one tried to refrain to discuss the Tukaraq war in great details for the last week or so. Yet , it is our duty to warn and analyze this war in an objective manner. Taleex and laascanood are ingrained in our modern history. Both Taleex and Laascaanood have a very important part of the modern history of Somalia. There were historical events that had huge impact to the direction of Somali for the last hundred years. It was 1920 when the Darwiish movement was defeated by the British. The British used modern weapons and airplanes to decimate the modern Somali independent movement after 21 year of struggle between 1899--1920. That defeat of the Darwiish in Tallex and the one in Laafoole in the hand of the Italians against Sheekh Hassan Barsame and others in 1924 ,opened a new page for the colonial powers of Italy, Britain and Abbesinia in Somalia. That struggle had showed that the fiercely independent Somali nomad can not be be caged or colonized without heavy price from the colonials. These days we see some nostalgic Somalis about the colonial period yet, from 1920-1960, the British never developed or created an economy for the region, nor offered any technical training to lift people out of poverty. Faarah Omar, one of the Somalis who were more educated than most described the colonial administration after the second world war as " Deaf and Dumb". The British opened the first schools as late as 1948. just as 1920 was a crucial year that changed Somalia forever, another event in Laascaanood also had a different impact on the country. In 1969, almost 49 years after Taleex bombing , the second president of Somalia C/rashiid C. Sharmaarke was assassinated in Laascaanood by one of his bodyguards.That event and the succession quarrel that followed, paved the way for the military to take over the country. That take over had changed both the direction and the character of Somalia for many years to come. Now, exactly 49 years later in 2018, another war is going brewing in a small town called Tukaraq. This is probably a tribal war, yet it could have a great repercussions for Somalia and its future .The protagonists of this war are probably ignorant of the historical nature of this skirmishes, but the Tukaraq war of 2018 will shape the unchangeable borders of the country. Usually, the biggest changes of the world takes place through war. A tribal war that might end tribal administrations. There are two characters that makes this as a tribal war. First, the nature of the battle and the confrontation between armies makes this rather a tribal skirmish than a war among states. Tribes usually fight about three to four hours maximum. A gun mounted pickup truck might wage an offensive and over run the defensive positions. The other group would mount a counter attack and push back the other side. While the technicals retreat or charge, most of the casualties are the foot soldiers walking. JUst like the war between Caydiid and Cali Mahdi in the early nineties, no one takes new ground. As many of you had pointed out, poor soldiers will die , yet things might not change on the ground. In 2006, during the war between the Islamic Courts and the invading Ethiopian forces, a fervent Somali was touting the ability of the forces of the " Maxakamado' to confront their enemies. To his disappointment, I told him that since these people are non state actors they can not sustain a prolonged war so, i expect the Ethiopians to defeat them in two or three weeks. Established states could fight 18 hours or more with constant reinforcements and ready made logistics. For tribes, four our would a huge sacrifice. I added that unlike the Courts, even a weak Somali army with few thousand of soldiers could have slowed down their advance for months. Watching these tribal skirmishes convinces me more than ever that a genuine Somali leader could unite the country with one single division of mechanized army. Second, the Sool arrangement with Somaliland had always been a tribal agreement that allowed the locals to control Laascaanood especially for those who had grievances with Puntland. In 2007, when Somaliland allied militia of Xaabsade took over the city, it was purely a tribal militia of Xaabsade moving from Puntland to Somaliland. Rayaale and Siilaanyo both understood the gentlemen's agreement that kept Laascaanood nominally within the Somaliland system without aggravating the tribal connections of the Harti( Beentii lagu wada joogay iyo maamuladii lagu sugayey Soomalia ayuu run mooday) Now The " Gaas Dhagoole" Biixi shows up without understanding the issue. After 911, the neoconservatives had pushed America to wage so many wars to different parts of the world that the average American never heard of. The typical American in Kansas or Montana have no clue were Kosovo, Somalia or Yemen is in the globe. The same analogy could be said about the North Gabiley and west Hargeisa based Muuse Biixi about Taleex or Lasanod. A man who had grown in the Hargeisa ghetto doesn't know culture and history just like Farmaajo and company in Mogadishu. In 1912, a British colonel by the name of Richard Corfield was put in charge of the Somaliland Camel Constabulary. He was instructed to maintain order but was clearly told not to confront Sayid Mohamed C. Hassan's Darwiish army. He disobeyed the order and launched an attack which resulted the death of his army and the capture and decapitation of Corfield. Those of us who went to highschool memorize those famous poems by the Sayid: Adaa koofilow jiitayoon dunida Joogayne Jahanamo la geeyoow Haddaad Aakhiro u Jihaado. You have died , Corfield and no longer in this world A Merciless journey was your portion. When hell destined, you set out for the other world. It is very strange that a hundred year after the struggle of the Darawiish, young and poor Somalis from Hargeisa, Borama and Burco have been forced to following the footsteps of the former colonial officers or to recreate the old colonial order where thousands paid the ultimate price. Muuse knew very well that it was tribal animosity and pride that destroyed Somalia, and when he attacks his opponents, he never misses a chance to belittle others , yet he walked to the tribal minefield of Tukaraq like a blind man. Mercenaries and paid ministers from Sool region , sipping tea in Maansuur Hotel, gave him the wrong information. The people of Sool always considered those who worked in Hargeisa like people taking care of their family through that system while Somalia is in upheaval ( Waxa la dhihi jiray waa niman caruurtooda ka Biilanaya nidaamka Hargeisa). They were probably sidelined or blindsided by the octogenerain Cali. Kh. Galaydh who wanted to take their place without doing any heavy lifting. The Biixi adventure of going to the colonial border had unleashed a great deal of trauma among the Sool people which became the catalyst for their temporary unity. Elders had openly rejected when their Hargeisa based ministers came to town, and in return the ministers called the RRU to shoot , arrest ans intimidate those who opposed the presence of Somaliland. As we speak, the Sool community Garads and elders had spoken unanimously against the presence of Somaliland soldiers. The internal problems of Sool community is not over. At the moment the tide is against Somaliland, yet pushing out Somaliland from Sool without any plans might not resolve the problem. The only sustainable strategy to end the recurring conflict and disable both Somaliland and Puntland is to help the Sool people to form their own administration. Somalis are tribes and we must understand that without unifying common state no tribe would refer the other for their affaires. The Garaad community might share lineage with Puntland, yet the only way to unite them is to be independent. The federal government can not ignore these problems for ever. They must understand that what is at stake here is not about Puntland or Somaliland but unity and the independence of Somalia through the people of Sool region. We know that Farmaajo and company are working overtime to get another term in office without accomplishing their duties toward the unity file. If these drastic actions are not taken, another deadly civil war might start between the locals. Do not expect any solutions from the likes of Cali Khaliif. If his Khaatumo project failed he supposed to come back and retire or offer an opportunity for others to find solutions. Finally, Mr. Biixi has one option. He must withdraw to his original position or lose everything including Somaliland. Forget about going to the border or capturing Garoowe. Everyone knows that if you lose Laascaanod, Somalialnd itself might implode, and the least of it is losing power. Digging your heels in the mounting pressure from the Sool community will be futile. Mr. Biixi seek peace and withdraw .