Tillamook, Not just secessionists, all Somali politicians play together while the public gets played. So, I don't take their supporters seriously. On a side note, earlier, I saw Kheyr and Abdishakur making kisses and hugs...I couldn't help but laugh.

Yes, they might play the same game in regions surrounding Amhara state where there are some districts with Amhara majority. Anyway, any negotiation is a big win for TPLF, and the people of Tigray no longer feel attached to Ethiopia.

He loses credibility and any leverage if he accepts! Also, many Amharas are openly saying they got their land (Welkait, Humera, etc) back from Tigray, so they won't fight Abiy's wars.

Here's fun exchange

That I am aware. But we are talking in the context of the latest development.

Under the deal, Azerbaijan will have a direct link to the western region which borders Turkey. The Armenian will still have a link to Stepanakert through the Lachin corridor.

There's even internal division with the armed forces hence his reliance on Amhara militia and special forces. Politically, he really has no base.

The Armenians were too arrogant and now they are crying genocide.

Galbeedi, Abiy has apparently asked South Sudan for some manpower. I think the involvement of foreign forces will backfire. People are already tolerating the Eritreans who Amharas hate. As for TPLF, for a few days, it looked like they are losing fast. But they slowed and at times stopped the federal forces' advance. The terrain definitely helps the TPLF, and they need resources. It is not clear where they can get the resources or how they will smuggle into Ethiopia. They need the Western Oromo war to pick up. Amharas are overstretched and unlike in the past, every region is armed. As the people most dispersed in Ethiopia, they will suffer tremendously if they pick a fight with everyone. The TPLF fired three rockets tonight at airforce terminals in Bahir Dar.

MMA, They might getting the attention they need. The west is stepping in slowly as Abiy's desired quick victory is not coming to fruition. If this drags on for months they will be a better position to negotiate.

RANKING MEMBER MENENDEZ STATEMENT FOR THE RECORD ON PREVENTING CONFLICT AND SUPPORTING DEMOCRATIC TRANSITION IN ETHIOPIA https://www.foreign.senate.gov/press/ranking/release/ranking-member-menendez-statement-for-the-record-on-preventing-conflict-and-supporting-democratic-transition-in-ethiopia

Is back to the future for TPLF? In November 1983, U.S. analysts wrote of the expanding Tigrayan insurgency in Ethiopia: https://cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP85T00287R000500100001-7.pdf

Don't call something else now?