Che -Guevara

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Everything posted by Che -Guevara

  1. Galbeedi, Tplf wants others to do the dirty work in Addis Ababa. The reality is they'll have no real influence in any future state.
  2. Talk about undermining Abiy and by extension Cagjar. US might might trying to avoid a blood bath in case Abiy Government falls.
  3. We can be sure of one thing, any American troop presence is never good. That has been the case since the Korean war.
  4. Ethiopia’s Civil War Is a Problem U.S. Troops Can Help Solve Bloomberg - Are you a robot? WWW.BLOOMBERG.COM
  5. The headline is misleading. The General only was referring to evacuating Americans, and others in Ethiopia.
  6. Blinken concerned that Ethiopia could implode There have been protests in Washington supporting the Ethiopian government and others supporting Tigray US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, who is due in East Africa next week, has said that he fears that Ethiopia could implode if the civil war continues. Discussing different ways forward, he told journalists in Washington DC that "out and out conflict... could lead to the implosion of Ethiopia and spill over into other countries in the region, and that would be disastrous for the Ethiopian people". The other path, he said, was a ceasefire and negations - adding that the US was backing the African Union mediator, ex-Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo. Mr. Blinken is expected to leave for Kenya on Monday, where he will be discussing the situation in Ethiopia. He will also be going to Nigeria on his first official trip to Africa as Secretary of State.
  7. Treasury Sanctions Four Entities and Two Individuals in Connection with the Crisis in Ethiopia HOME.TREASURY.GOV WASHINGTON — Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) designated four entities and two individuals pursuant to Executive Order (E.O.) 14046 in response to...
  8. She is the former Former Minister of Women, Children and Youth of the Federal Democratic Republic of Ethiopia.
  9. Arafaat, Good arguments, but identity is central to Ethiopia's politics, and different governments since Melenik have found a way to exploit that. While you and others frame the current situation about the direction of Ethiopian politics and the nature of the future Ethiopian state, the reality is the past, present and the future of Ethiopian politics are the same, an oppressive centralized state that favors one group over others. That has been the case since Melenik. The Derg tried to take the country in a different direction, but eventually, even Mengiste was forced to use identity in order to recruit and fight the Tigrian and Eritrean rebels. This was despite his so-called nationalism. True, Ethiopians are not as primitive as we are in terms of transcending tribal politics, but the struggle of Tigrians dates back to the 1940s ( May–November 1943 Woyane Rebellion). Selassie sought the help of the British Royal Airforce to put down the rebellion. That rebellion was not necessarily about identity. It was indeed about autonomy. But the rebellion's core support was based on identity. So was the TPLF struggle of the 70s and 80s. In effect, the talk of secession become common those decades hence the formation of deceptive federalism and the inclusion of Article 39. The Tigrians considered themselves as Ethiopian as Amhara, but they understand the share size of their population means their influence will decrease tremendously. This is particularly evident if Ethiopia remains true to its nature of a centralized state favoring one group over others. We are not talking about a civic-minded citizenry that will elect politicians based on merits. The majority of Ethiopians will vote along tribal lines that is if they are allowed to vote. Either way, Tigrians will come short. The bitter experience of this last year has shown them what is in store. There is geopolitics in a play, no doubt, but that has its limits. No amount of American influence can stop a hyped ethnic war with so aggravated groups all of whom committed horrific crimes. The best American could hope for a settlement that favors no one and stops the country from exploding. Even then, the core issues will remain unresolved. If you think there is a way that satisfies groups, please share. Lastly, I wish no harm on anyone especially civilians. I have witnessed war. But horrific crimes have been committed in Ethiopia. These crimes will figure greatly into any settlement. Some nations might not be as forgiving as others. Furthermore, most ethnic groups have empowered extremists among them, from Fano, Oromo Qeerro, etc. Even worse, the PM himself asked the common people to arm themselves and labeled the junta as something to be eliminated. Amharas openly call for the extermination of Oromos and Tigrians. What I wish has no bearing on the reality on the ground. And I am under no illusion as to what an outright civil war means for the region. It will be a catastrophe of monumental proportion. Somalis will not be spared and we can end up worse than what we are now. All of this does not mean we should ignore the possibility of implosion and brutal ethnic wars.