Is this part of the ‘Oromumma’ politics and its expansionists strategies?

Xaaji, the issue Talaabo has raised isn’t about liking or disliking personalities but that the social contract of clan equity which formed the bedrock on which Somaliland was build on, has been violated and trampled on by said ‘Jeegaan’ politics. Hence the deep political polarisation, disarray and distrust impacting even the social, economic domains of communal life far beyond the political arena. Surely you can’t deny this, and neither will the problem dissipate by simply blaming it on a bad apple, while troves of elites supported said politics for own benefits and gains. Only if we, the silent majority, speak up and speak out on the own problems can find a solution and a pathways forward. Resorting in denial and endless arguments will only ensure that one stays in this perpetual cycle.

It doesn’t look like elections are taking place anytime soon. The electoral law adopted should have been signed by now, but clearly one isn’t ready to do so.

Emotionally filled sentiments overriding any form of rational thought. We really have to protect elders from themselves and put a maximum age in place for them to be active in politics or any public position. 70 years should be a reasonable age and most mental decay sets in.

The Guurti has today confirmed the passing and validity of the electoral laws, paving a path to elections in November 2024.

It seems all the Soldiers turned politicians suffer from the same hubris that leads to their own downfalls and their peoples demise. Let us hope Muse will the last soldier standing.

I understand why Ethiopia wouldn’t care about igniting another local tribal war, as it’s already engulfed in tribal conflicts. But I don’t understand why any leader in Somaliland would take the risk to spark a fire that would be the fuel and justification for an armed rebellion. Clearly we have not learned anything from the recent events and our recent history?

Somaliland and Somalia agreed earlier this month they would restart the talks and develop a roadmap within 30 days. They both need to return to that as agreed asap. Let not support from Ethiopia, Egypt, US and others distract us from our problems and issues at hand, which is that we need a way forward for the Somali people and that can only be resolved through dialogue and negotiations.

Nobody is against Ethiopia using Berbera Port and even acquiring a share in the Port Management, in fact this was offered to Ethiopia numerously. I don’t think even anyone would be against Ethiopia basing a contingency of marines at the recently completed Berbera Military Port and Airport and contributing to regional security, like other militaries have presence on Somali bases in Mogadishu, Kismayo, Baidoa. They But clearly Abiy’s intentions go beyond having access and utilising a second port (Berbera) next to Djibouti, and they go beyond just stationing marines at the existing military base and airport in Berbera. Abiy envisions an expanded empire that annexes coastal lands in to Ethiopia, which is a recipe for disaster and regional instability.

Ethiopia makes it clear it wants an own commercial port, it would mean the end of Berbera Port and the expected economic benefits Somaliland was seeking.

Both Somali’s and Ethiopians should have a reality check and look at the state of the countries these leaders inherited and came to power in, and the state of Somaliland and Ethiopia today after six years under their leadership. That should be an indicator of what is to come old this deal and what it might mean for both Ethiopians and Somali’s.

As we are witnessing the latest development of the Ethiopian-Somaliland Red Sea deal the risks of, exacerbating existing regional tensions and the potential ignition of a regional wide conflict in the Horn of Africa, have significantly increased. Ever since the Somali-Ethiopian war of 1977, conflicts in the region have been largely contained within the boundaries of countries in the Horn of Africa. But now for the first time in half a century we are seeking significant risk and possibility of a regional wide conflict in the region that could engulf all the countries in the Horn in a devastating war beyond National borders.

Xaaji, these are good points and I hope one will really speak more in-depth in to the issues at hand, and past the semantics, and atleast come with a few outcomes that are signs of reapproachment and give hope to mutually solve things.

The Horn of Africa needs more trade—but not at the cost of more war - Ethiopia Insight WWW.ETHIOPIA-INSIGHT.COM Ethiopia should address its landlocked status firmly rather than forcefully.

Worrisome narrative.

Wa reer Sool, warkoodu wuu cad yahay.

MPs speaking out against the Ethiopian land grab

It’s understandable that SSC-Khaatuma cant completely depart and say farewell to its brotherly Puntland alliance, specially given that Somaliland leadership is threatening war and revenge from Oog and isn’t ready to accept the political realities and thus choose a peaceful pathways of diplomatic talks.

As long Somali’s agreed to solve the Somaliland debacle, I don’t think anyone would consider having an Ethiopian naval base in the region and Ethiopia knows that. Keep in mind that Ethiopia hasted this initiative and deal immediately after hearing of the Djibouti meeting and agreement to restart the talks between Somalia and Somaliland, and rapidly organised for Muse to come to Addis Abeba to sign the deal. Ethiopians are smart and up to date, and perhaps even understand Somali’s current state and trajectory better than we understand ourselves, as we tend to be blinded by clan dynamics and distracted by clan based politics we loose track of real politics.

I was quite surprised by his statement, and wondered what made him say that. Was he pressured by Addis to show a different Somali opinion on the matter or was it on his own initiative and he believes that Kilinka has some sort of benefit in this matter? For example this leased land would be sort of extension and fall under Somali region.

This is an interesting portrait of Abiy Ahmed, from a month ago before this latest saga on the Red Sea deal with Somaliland started. What is quite contradictory about Abiy is that while he seemed quite genuine at first about Horn of Africa integration, and building a political and economic Union in the region that moves towards gradual integration and harmonisation, he does the opposite by this latest move bringing the region on the brick of a potential war. Furthermore, what is even more antithetical is that through an integrated Horn of Africa Union, Ethiopia would have gotten access to the lands, markets and sea of its neighbouring countries and would have been the centre and powerhouse of the region, instead its risking now to become the pariah shunned by the whole region and further dividing the region with all erecting measures against eachother. Che, was right all along Abiy is not the man we all thought to belief he was, perhaps its even worser that he seems to be a maniac driven by hubris and day dreams of chasing grandiosity.

Ciyaari wa galin dambe. It’s not sensible to throw everything you have at it, incl the kitchen, as this is issue requires much political manoeuvring and will be a long game. And Somalia has quite tools political, legal and diplomatic options they should utilise at the right time.

Xaaji, I understand your mistrust of Somalia in the talks. But the issue isn’t just about having international observers, it’s more important that the Somali government needs to see Somaliland as its own predicament, and one needs this sense of responsibility, urgency and prioritisation in order for one to take responsibility and ownership to resolve the political dispute through talks. And so far this has been lacking, further exacerbated by Somalilands mephahone diplomacy as mode for communication.

Personally I have not issue with movement people beyond tribal lines and national borders. But fact remains that as long as the Somali State is weak, Somali people divided and fractured, and the Somali culture fragile that high levels of Oromo migration lead to cultural assimilation of natives, as per example of Dire Dawa and now Jigjiga.