Old_Observer

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Everything posted by Old_Observer

  1. One has to try evrything and as such in this regard, I do not see the wrong. If the deal with this devil prevents the recruitment and indoctrination of next 20 next 100 Shabab, it will have been worth it. Its easy for you and I sitting on your sofa to be "moralistic" about this while supporting parliamentarians and government stashing millions and changing nothing in the lives of people except more meyhem and conflicts.
  2. What choices? When Turkey, Saudis, Qatar had decided to get rid of him. When France, Britain had decided to get rid of him. When Israel had decided to get rid of him. When all these interests worked together to plunder and destroy the country of Syria. What choices did he have other than die fighting. That is what he did. They did what they could in the circumstances, short of sinking ships of western countries. The Russians put assets everywhere and denied targets to western countries. Assisted Syria in capacity to shoot down the missiles which was very successful in ding so. Has a lot to do in Germany and Italy not involved. Has factor of Turkey in becoming almost neutral.
  3. Me thinks Puntland has too many internal and external problems all at the same time and not quite clear direction from all the options. The president needs to make some trips to Djibouti and Kilil as well as Addis Ababa. I am afraid as Terrorism gets squeezed out from South west and central will move to Puntland. All versions like Ahlu Al Suna will never forget to hit at Puntland if the right opportunity avails. Just too many problems and not much help from SFG that is so preoccupied in Mogadishu.
  4. lol galbeedi, I think you are giving too much credit to Ethiopia. Do you forget that Ethiopia is a poor third world country? Or were you involved in some campaign with the likes of Shiek Aweys and failed flat on your face against Ethiopia? The current regime of Ethiopia got involved with both Bay and Bakool and also Puntland at very difficult times. Some relationships established in difficult times are hard to break because galbeedi is dead set to always consider Ethiopia as enemy. The interaction may be more or less, but do not expect the people in Puntland or Bay and Bakool to see Ethioia as an enemy. They have no bad experience with Ethiopia. Somalia is not on its two feet, because Bay and Bakool has friendly relations with Kilil or federal Ethiopia. Somalia is not back on its two feet because of what happens in Mogadishu and Ethiopia has less role than Kenya or Uganda there. You cannot conduct nation's business by persobnal preference or emotions. I know not many people are focusing, but Jubaland will be biggest player soon.
  5. galbeedi, This is unexpected mistaken view from you. Totally unexpected. Maybe you were tired or you may have wanted to post this on another thread. The image of the Somali is a totality of every territory, every country where the Somali has activity and impact. From so much "hate" you have on Illey, which I hope is envy which is positive, you totally missed to recognize that in these 2 years, the contribution of the kilil people to the image of the Somali. The image of the Somali for good or bad is galbeedi in Canada, Minister and board of education, city council members across Canada + UK + USA+ Australia+ Djibouti+Somaliland+Mogadishu+NFD+ of course the best Somali image in the world Kilil. The kilil people cannot participate in Mogadishu, but its humiliating when you see time after time so much resource and opportunity wasted over trivialities in Mogadishu. It subtracts from the Somali people's success stories and image instead of adding to the positive success stories from everywhere. Illey unlike you is very proud when any Somali succeeds anywhere. Of course his primary responsibility as leader of 6-7 million Somalis is the kilil and is an Ethiopian citizen.
  6. Can somebody clone this man and distribute one each for all horn of Africa countries. One for Djibouti maybe do it from Europe, one for Somalia maybe do it from Garowe to avoid the accidental bombing and elimination in Mogadishu, one for Ethiopia and do it from Addis Ababa, One for Sudan and do it from Egypt, one for Eritrea and do it from really far away place.
  7. Only destroying Syria, regime change in Iraq and destruction of government in Lebanon and more sanctions on Iran and Russia can save Trump from resigning or getting impeached. He will do them all. The man could not prevent the Saudi's or modfiy the Saudis in Yemen with majority of his advisors and Pentagon wanting that. Britain behind the scene is ready to work with Shiia to give them their turn and make a big comeback for herself. America wants to weaken Turkey using Kurds, but Britain wants the opposite close and solid friendship with Turkey against Russia, but weaker turkey by weakening Turkey's real Suni firnds or potential protectorates.
  8. Do you think Farmaajo has time ffor that? Don't you think Farmaajo will get yet another new and side issue, while there are more urgent and more weighty issues on his desk?
  9. I hope you are right and happens that way. Its very frastraing and sometimes humiliating to see parliamentarians, governments moving chairs and not a single issue is publicly argued. I was hoping both the president and PM come out and accuse Mr. Jawari of delaying and holding up constitutional file. The next day after he departs all Somalis regardless of countries or regions would expect the president and PM to immediately start the consitutional file. That would be acceptable to everybody and if they show in practice to work one can accept the removal of the speaker for the good of the country's agenda. I hope you are correct and changes and moving forward comes tomorrow.
  10. There is video showing intercept and destruction of about 20 missiles from US, UK and the has been empre metoo France. No airspace of Russian protected was targeted. The Russians had moved their forces into many places and told western countries that those areas are untouchable. Syrian Ambassador to China: "Thank you Russia for standing up for us and standing by us." Regional administrator in Syria: "We have been bombed, but we will endure, life goes on, I am going to work"
  11. I am afraid, this government will be no different to the ones previous. Same tactics used. No issue mentioned, just getting rid of speaker. If the PM had clearly shown that Jawari was preventing an issue from going forward, now the people would ask OK you got rid of Jawari, and we expect you to work on the issue. That is why the PM raised so many trivial issues, but not a single agenda that is critical for the country. Its like replacing one corrupt with another and having your turn at the till, but not changing the system to prevent the next corrupt.
  12. My friend big mistake. If Trump detroys Syria he will be praised by those who is who in America. Media 100% almost Senate and Cingress Absolute majority His supporters will stick with him Evangelicals who can't wait for Allah's (swt) schedule to end of time want to speed up the end of world will support Trump 100% What is left? is not significant.
  13. Comey just speeded up the schedule. Trump had started hesitating and Comey book made sure Trump bomb Syria and bomb it quick before MPs in Braitain scuttle the whole project as they did during Obama.
  14. When Clinton had Monica Lewinsky and impeachment he just bombed Sudan and Afghanistan When Trump has so many scandals over his head bombing poor Syria. There must be some guy or group over his head telling him if you do not bomb Syria we will impeach you next will be if you don't bomb Iran we will impeach you. I hope Trump or Israel did not kill the investigators who just arrived in the morning in Syria, and next week another batch was to go. no need now. Comey's book speeded up the bombing schedule.
  15. This man needs to make a name for himself before facebook goes down. May not get same traction on the ground for sure. Ethiopians have really outplayed this government in exile, transitional government in exile..etc and there are so desperate and dispondent demoralized folks that pay them money. Its a good money making venture if there are unhappy people, but do not want to risk life or limb.
  16. Britain can destroy EU, no isolation. One more Hungary, Austraia and Poland and EU will be facebook club. Astralia, Canada and NewZealand are all not only loyal to crown rule, but also controlled by same group of folks. Australia, Canada are just a little self respecting than France and Britain, but when chips are down they are British.
  17. I think our galbeedi might know more on this one. Can't help it. I see already the Amhara going bananas for the PM speaking Tigrigna and most importantly first sentence mentioning the sacrifice Tigreans paid for the current achievements in the country and specifically mentioning the parent and children of the martyrs..oh the internet is mostly Amhara cursing and cussing. They are so stupid and ignorant they expected PM to visit them before Jigjiga or Meqelle. Incredible. I think these folks are stupid. It looks like they were expecting the PM to be against Ethnic federalism...which means going against Somali, Afar and Tigray in that order and all the rest including Oromo. It looks like he realizes the forces in the country. I knew who ever became PM has to get blessing of Illey. Very few opposition in Ethiopia understood how much it means for the Somali in London to demonstrate with the Ethnic Federal Flag. The Afar making it clear that if the Oromo were going to trade Ethnic federalism for PM position the country will be in trouble.
  18. If things continue the way they are: Russia, China, Great Britain and Israel will be the most powerful countries America, Turkey, Iran next countries Germany, France, Japan, next next countries Korea, Brazil, Argentina, Indonesia, Philipines..next next next... galbeedi will not like it, but Ethiopia is now 29th overall and 21st without navy in the world, if it continues next 10 years with relative peace and development will be 1st in Africa along with Algeria and maybe 17-19th. Egypt is just pile of junk and millions of soldiers and reserve they cannot use. Nigeria and South Africa are already falling behind. Your Egypt maybe no.1 in the world for collected junk of tanks, ships etc but so useless. They made transition from eastern equipment to western very bad and now mixing eastern again bad. Britain will take over from America (Australia, Canada and New Zealand supplementing)
  19. Lets be realistic. If the elite are in government, yes everywhere in the world the money has to come to the elite. What is needed is that the elite should have clear programs associated to any money that comes. Example: Money that comes from royalty of oil would be invested on roads and airports transporatation infrustructure. There is some regulation already with the federal government. Where ever it extracted natural resources has to build roads even if not roads used for the resource extraction and transportation, has to provide clean water if the area did not have previous etc. Most of federal government is not keen on energy resource extraction unless they can do themselves most of the work. Even gold mines are done with that policy. 10% for sure, but more than that is who bears the cost of security, who bears cost of moving people if needed, who bears cost of infrastructure and very important what will be minimum percentage of local labour, what will be the rate of technology transfer? Example in how many years can Ethiopian (mostly Somali) Engineers and workers to take over the operation completely? So far every infrastructural project has been signed with how many years to take over. I don't see any oil or gas projects going forward in Ethiopia. Oil is going down and further down. There is no reason to risk conflict for something that you can buy and use like most of the world. Lack of oil has not affected Ethiopia negatively, but the extraction of oil definetely will affect Ethiopia negatively. Imagine the price Somalia paid for oil that is still in the ground and no hope of getting it out soon. Its simply pointless for these countries to go for oil production. Let it stay in the ground. One day whether its Ethiopia or Somalia will have the capacity to extract it, refine it and use it themselves.
  20. In what way is Assad so horrible, that Syria has to become next Libya?
  21. Ducale, I watched the video and then more like that. Its amazing. The only places left with somehow original names in the last 2000 years are in Yemen, Syria, and Northern Ethiopia. Everything else with the power of money and propaganda is new names made to look like it has been there since beginning of time. The Persians as well have some names from old, but a lot changed since the Ottomans, British and Americans ruled or influenced over them. Even countries like Djibouti are becoming seemingly old where as reality is a little more than hundred years.
  22. I don't think this project is going ahead, but if it does the only once who have a share are Ethiopia, Kilil and Djibouti. If you are true Somali Ethnicist what one should promote is to increase the share and benefits of Kilil and nothing else. To promote irridentism again is to promote an idea that has sos far brought nothing, but failure and suffering to the whole Somali Ethnic. Its also fake and no one is willing to go to the end with it. One simple example is late president Barre signing away irridentism with Kenya during the Ethiopian counter offensive to save his power in Mogadishu. The only reason late Barre did not sign the border with Ethiopia was the minister of Ethiopia took it out of the agreement, not to humiliate the Somali. If you are an Ethnicist then you would think that Ghelleh, Illey, Bixi, ......SFG are the proper order in their contribution to the dignity of the Somali people.
  23. None of them can avoid war now or sooner it seems. I was reading a French analyst where he concluded that Great Britain wants to become empire again and is interested in both Russia and America going at it. Its the same America did with Britain, France and Germany/Russia. They all killed each other and America took over from her "allies" the empire. Hope all these preperer's material especially the financial warnings on youtube get translated and distributed to the diaspora. The nuclear staff is too far removed from Asia, Europe and north America for us.
  24. Noble idea and necessary, but right now you will have a lot of Somalis as enemy. There is a big Somali group that jobs and interest is dependent on this shenanigan. One way to weaken this business is refuse neighbouring countries getting paid for any help or hindrance they provide. When Ethiopia and Djibouti did it on their own it was in and out, they do not have economies and interests to stay long in Somalia. Kenya would not have come with such force and depth if there was no money getting paid. First get these countries out. Don't fight them. If you fight them you go back to square one, because each country has friends in Somalia. Djibouti, Ethiopia, Kenya have each enough friends in Somalia. Only ask that they do the help from their own money.
  25. Wrong. The only way any meaningful Somali stand and progress is by unity of all the Somali people in the kilil. Unless you are working for the Oromo as usual lol, you canot be calling for division and conflict of the Somali people in the kilil. ONLF should join the kilil and consolidate debvelop and strengthen what has been achieved. If you have a Somali kiil that is strong, united, organized and armed Ethiopian regimes have no option, but do only things that are in the interest of the kilil. You forefeit your land if you are not for the people. A country is people first not some hilll or valley. Remember the Amhara loose because of that understanding, late Barre lost because of that understanding. They did quit a conference with their business folks. The conclusion was that TPLF forgot Tigray and spent too much time and energy on the rest of the country. TPLF did not punish corrupt Tigrean businessmen and when tried to punish these corrupt Tigreans allied with those against TPLF. Its unbelievable that there are people in Africa that can discuss like this in public and open. Tigray is too far and has no interest natural or social or cultural to be enemy to the Somali. Remember for someone to be enemy has to have interest or serve someone's interest. Its neither. No need to waste time and resource over fantum enemy. The enemy of the people at this time is one who divides the people by this or that useless aims and targets. The Somali people in Ethiopia is not lesser than the Oromo, Tigray, Amhara or anyone else. Is confident. Is organized structured, is united for good purpose peace security and development.