Old_Observer

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Everything posted by Old_Observer

  1. I understand of being too busy, but this kind of relatnships have great economic and security pay back. Mr. Bixi and Illey can gather nomads and build a road between villages, can together view football games betwen Somalis different cities, celebrate a holiday by taking turns, take vacations in each others...etc. After that a phone call between the two can settle any issues quite easily. Ghelleh visits kililka often, of course Dirdawa being his home town and having investments there helps.
  2. galbeedi, With this much info you can be a consultant. Its looking like an American election and with all that money. Good of you for Qandala that quiet corner, the real horn of Africa Alula could have been money maker if only there was peace and government that can sell the place. I think they have relatives in Ethiopia and Sudan for the unique product they have there where empires at one time paid blood and bones for.
  3. Puntlanders know what is at stake. Will be quite, orderly and satisfactory. One cannot play silly with terrorists and their part time or full time supporters shadow. Both the US and China need this place to be peaceful and orderly as well.
  4. Madoobe is lookinf far ahead into ports. Kismayu has real chance of competing with any other port in the horn. Kismayu in short distance can reach most people than Djibouti and plus South Sudan is most convenient. Kenya will be against this for sure as a matter of interest. If you think gas is what makes Illey important, then I am afraid you have not folowed Ethiopian politics lately. Generally speaking the Oromo would have looked to the Somali as an ally, but things do not work by nature only. The Somali happen to be competitive at break neck speed unexpected with development and security. That is the main reason Illey got attention in Ethiopia and also among Somali around the world. People had so much confidence in the kilil holding up together that there was no panic of whatever happens in Ethiopia. BTW I might blame Mogadishu for the failure of my schedule of the new PM. This UAE thing really went all wrong in Somalia. Between president, PM, parliament, Federal states..it all went wrong. Somebody dropped the ball. Farmaajo had good working relationship with Hailemariam. It does not mean they were friends, but knew they have to work together, they need each other and have to live together. I don't have concrete reason why my schedule failed but the suspects are: SFG Ethiopia new PM and American entourage Ghelleh I will nail one of them soon.
  5. Best description and this time you didn't ven say a single word on the preference of this or that system. Galbeedi might know more but in Canada the system works this way between French and Anglophones. In your Britain also works this way in some parties with Engish, Scottish and Wellish, am I right?
  6. Why don't you give it a try? That answer is not good enough. Can you think deeper than that? Its a two way street. It was good for Ethiopia and good for Somalia if my schedule has succeeded. What was role of Ethiopia and what was role of Somalia in the failure of my schedule?
  7. President Uhuru Kenyatta will tomorrow and Monday host the new Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiye Ahmed for a state visit. The Ethiopia Prime Minister Ahmed will hold talks with Uhuru on regional integration, peace and security. This will be his third foreign visit, after Djibouti and Sudan, since his swearing-in on 2 April. Key among the discussions will be regional stability and the two nations border security. President Uhuru had in April invited Ahmed for a State Visit to discuss ways of enhancing relations between the two nations. In an invitation letter delivered by Foreign Affairs, Cabinet Secretary the President stated that the two countries have always worked together from the beginning. The Head of state congratulated the new premier and the people of Ethiopia for what was the political transition which has a very good lesson for Ethiopia for managing diversity but also for African continent. Ahmed was appointed by Ethiopia’s ruling coalition in March and sworn in as Premier on April. Meanwhile Uhuru on Friday at State House, Nairobi, received credentials from five new ambassadors to Kenya. The diplomats included Mozambique High Commissioner Tsombe Constantino Lidimba, Jacek Bazanski (Poland) Syanga Samuel Abilio (Angola), Yacin Elmi Bouh (Djibouti) and Khalid Khalifa Almualla (United Arab Emirates). Welcoming the five ambassadors to the country, President Uhuru said Kenya remains committed to enhanced partnership and the promotion of trade with other countries. Source: The Star _______________________________________________________ Yacin Elmi Bouh (Djibouti) I know this person. Brilliant move by Ghelleh. So important. Djibouti in Kenya should not be seen as province of Ethiopia. Illey should also make similar choice as the Somali Kilil representative and diaspora Somali affairs in the Ethiopian embassy in Kenya.
  8. I had these statements made here in SOL country long before Abiy, Lema, Shiferaw, Gebyehu, Mekonen etc were candidates: 1. Who ever is next PM of Ethiopia should show respect to the Somali people in Ethiopia, they were among the top saviours of the country called Ethiopia 2. First group of countries to visit Sudan, Djibouti and Somalia 3. Second group will include Kenya, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, the quarelling Bedews etc 4. Then US, European, China, Russia etc May schedule has failed big time. Kenya from second group has joined my first group, but biggest failure of my schedule is Somalia not visited. Who is at fault for this what I consider catastrophic failure? BTW did Mr. Madoobe know this schedule before I did, that would be another failure in the schedule as well. I was hopping Bay and Bakool or Puntland would be first to visit Addis after visiting Jigjiga. Mr. Bixi should visit Jigjiga ASAP.
  9. Unless you are doing it intentionally, you have misread the conversation. Discussions, negotiations between Somalia and Somaliland was to be sponsored by AU. Since Somalia and Somaliland could not both confidently and contineously trust Ghelleh (both sides at different times accuse him and are suspicious) then Ghelleh said to prevent other powers from interference and also to make it more intensive and serious it should be done by AU. First he suggested by IGAD, but since here again Eritrea and Somalia did not want. Ghelleh did not have good communication with both at the time and he came up with AU. Meles and Fraiser are not saying Somaliland independence to speed up. Quite the contrary they make it clear that both US and Ethiopia have no inclination this or that way, but have interest that negtiations should start and speeded up. Wouldn't you want that if you have interest of the Somali people at heart, even if you hated Ethiopia, kenya or US or anybody else? Don't you want Somalia and Somaliland to sit and talk, like yesterday? What Ghelleh could achieve was that both Somalia and Somaliland should not fight, should not prevent each other from development. Ethiopia also fully agrees and supports this. Only M. Shiek had enough courage to say, until we solve this problem lets develop our areas, if we re-unite the development will be there, if we go our separate ways the development will be there for the Somali people. What is wrong with that? The same principle A. Yusuf stated of the kilil. You have decided to stay in Ethiopia, make the best of it, develop your area. I have fought to take you away from Ethiopia and join the Somali people under one flag under one government, but no more. I support your choice. Have peace and prosperity where ever you are. You will be pride of the Somali people if you succeed. What is wrong with that? Don't define the Somali people by real or percieved enemies. Define the Somali people by what is in their interest and what they want. And then define enemies and friends based on that. Example: Absolute majority of Somalis from the kilil have no interest or wish right now to join Somalia, to join Djibouti, to establish their own country or to separate from Ethiopia. Therefore enemies and frends of the Somali kilil are defined based on this interest. Any one even the "super Somali" who wants to wage war between Somalia and Somaliland is an enemy of the kilil since the kilil will be affected immeediately. Any one even a "super Somali" who wants the kilil to fight in Ethiopia at this time is an enemy of the kilil since he wants us to be fighting a phantom enemy until we are destroyed with draught, famine, underdevelopment etc. Ms. Fraiser may have the geostrategic view of America, in the back of her mind, but Meles has the 6-7 million Somalis in the back of his mind.
  10. According to some groups Kenya has never been a concern and also the Oromo are never a concern. Only the Xabeshi. There is a political group in Somalia whose life depends in demonizing the Xabeshi. If they can't find a Xabeshi connection to anything, then they become unemployed in politics. Very sad.
  11. Whether wikis or something else, the fact remains that Ethiopia's interest and Ethiopia's wish is the same: 1. Somalis should sit together and talk seriously among each other and decide/agree compromise what ever 2. Do this as soon as possible, the issue is not ging away by not talking seriously 3. The delay is only making you bitter towards each other and cannot plan or develop both of you 4. Get us to help with what you agreed, but don't get us involved to take sides from the begining. We will not take sides. That is the policy and all actions from Ethiopia are based on that. This is only one more peace of information to show you that Ethiopia has no intention to take this side or that side, before Somali themselves come to a conclusion. 10 years with no agreement, except Shieks president that did something noble "let us not oppose eacch other for development projects" until we solve the issue. For that he got pumeled.
  12. That has not worked, since from what I know from 2006. Its about time the people there learned something and copy from what some tribes tried and worked elsewhere in your area. How about giving it to the most "un-natural" and all those who think are "natural' obey an agreement? And you my friend, of al people, should get out of this mentality of "natural" rulers thinking. Many times it has worked giving power to smallest or even outsider. Kismayu should try this. As for Mr. Madoobe he is just a survivor as a person.
  13. No body knows for sure why the Americans are maing big deal of this and not being specific. First was from vicinity of Chinese base, later is from chinese base..etc. The target seems to be Ghelleh not the chinese, since Ghelleh told the Americans to stop flying there if they do not have any specific information. He was right, what if the French, German, British, Japanese are doing it as staged false flag. It seems was false flag to start with to threaten Ghelleh that there will be war in his country.
  14. Looks like a too early start for next year. Only Trump will have campaigned for longer than Puntlanders in the end. Let the facebooks start as well.
  15. And I am waiting per my schedule for ethiopian PM to go to Mogadishu, even if its one hour and also announced after he leaves safely. Sudan and Djibouti already done. Of course kilil being no.1 in Ethiopia. Not surprised of Mr. Madoobe. He is now from Kismayo and may have raised this issue with President Farmaajo ports. He was also recently in UAE and UAE is leaving no stone unturned trying to pull Ethiopia by itself, proving impossible now. This is in the other direction.
  16. Not known if there is secret agreement of Sudan acquiring shares in GERD, but the two countries signed agreement for the security and defence of GERD. An agreement that allows Ethiopia to go armed in Sudan and fight any time and Sudan the same. Similar to what Ethiopia did when fighting ICU in 2006, Attacking escaping ICU from Kenya side which was least expected and surprise shock to ICU. President Farmaajo, get moving visit Kismayo and sign at least MOU with Ethiopia or even parts of NE Kenya. Before every thing is locked in and railroads built, that are hard to change. Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali arrives in Sudan to discuss trade issues and Nile dam (Xinhua) – Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Ali on Wednesday arrived in the Sudanese capital Khartoum for a two-day official visit to discuss bilateral cooperation and mutual concern. Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir and senior government officials received the Ethiopian prime minister at the Khartoum airport. Al-Bashir and the Ethiopian leader will discuss bilateral cooperation in trade and economic exchange, border security and regional and international issues of mutual concern, said Sudan’s State Minister for Foreign Affairs Mohamed Abdalla Idris quoted by official SUNA news agency. He said the talks come in continuation of the recent talks held by the two leaders in Ethiopia’s Bahir Dar, and as a culmination of exchanged ministerial visits by the two sides. The Ethiopian prime minister is scheduled to visit institutions and development projects, namely the agricultural ones, he said. Meetings of the Sudanese-Ethiopian Business Council will also be held during the visit to discuss trade issues and role of the private sector.
  17. Ethiopia now has a stake from Somaliland Berbera (today's Zeila) to Djibouti (today's Tajura) to Portsudan (today's Suakin). Back to Abyssinia minus Eritrea. As long as Isayas is there, Eritrea will only be base for countries that cannot compete in Djibouti like UAE and Egypt. Sitting duck all sarounded and country going down for easy catch by Sudan or Ethiopia or combination of the two. Internally its like 1989/90 Somalia or Ethiopia.
  18. Ethiopia acquires ownership stake in Port Sudan Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, who has been in Khartoum during the past two days, struck a deal with the Government of Sudan that gives Ethiopia an unspecified amount of ownership stake in Port Sudan. A number of countries, including wealthy Gulf states, are increasing their investments in sea ports on the Red Sea as they compete for influence in a strategic corridor vital to shipping lines and oil routes. More from Reuters: (Reuters) – Ethiopia and Sudan have agreed on a deal allowing the Horn of Africa nation to take a stake in Sudan’s largest sea gateway port of Port Sudan, officials said on Thursday. Several countries including wealthy Gulf states have ramped up investments in seaports along the Red Sea and East Africa’s coast as they vie for influence in a strategic corridor that is vital for shipping lanes and oil routes. While the likes of Saudi Arabia, Qatar and Turkey are using some of the ports for military purposes, Ethiopia – which lost its access to the sea following the secession of former province Eritrea in 1993 – is aiming to strike deals in a bid to diversify outlets and reduce port fees. The deal between Addis Ababa and Sudan was reached in Khartoum on Thursday at a meeting between Ethiopia’s Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and Sudan’s President Omar Hassan al-Bashir. “The leaders of both countries agreed to develop Port Sudan together,” said Meles Alem, spokesman for Ethiopia’s Foreign Ministry. “This deal entails that Ethiopia will be a shareholder of the port as well,” he told Reuters. No financial details of the agreement were disclosed. Another official said that the agreement would enable Ethiopia to have a say in the level of port handling fees. The deal comes two days after Ethiopia reached a similar arrangement over the Port of Djibouti, Djibouti’s main gateway for trade. “Access to a diversified range of ports is a strategic imperative for the government of Ethiopia. That is perhaps one of its most important priorities in terms of trade and development,” said Ahmed Salim, vice president at the Teneo global advisory firm. Ethiopia’s involvement supported the financing and development of the Sudan and Djibouti ports, he added. Djibouti had been seeking investors for its port since it terminated the concession for Dubai’s state-owned DP World to run the port in February, citing a failure to resolve a six-year contractual dispute. The agreement with Ethiopia gave Djibouti the option of taking stakes in state-owned Ethiopian firms. The companies that it may look to invest in include Ethiopian Electric Power and Ethio Telecom – one of Africa’s last remaining telecoms monopolies. It was not clear if Sudan’s agreement involved a similar arrangement with Ethiopia. Djibouti’s location is of strategic value to countries such as the United States, China, Japan and former colonial power France, all of which have military bases there. The deal with Djibouti also followed Ethiopia’s agreement to acquire a 19 percent stake in the Port of Berbera in the breakaway Somali region of Somaliland. DP World retains a 51 percent stake there, while the government holds the rest. Meanwhile, Khartoum’s deal with Ethiopia came in the wake of another arrangement signed with Turkey, which wants to rebuild Suakin – a ruined Ottoman port city on Sudan’s Red Sea coast – and construct a dock to maintain civilian and military vessels. Qatar has also agreed to develop the same port to the tune of $4 billion.
  19. Mr. Yariisow, Welcome to Djibouti, Addis Ababa, Nairobi and other cities. That is what politicians and ministries do. They do not produce anything usable, yet they consume. That is the issue and you may have to live with it. What do you think Rome's mayor think about Italian gov and parliament? Just play them each other as to who will spend more in your city.
  20. galbeedi, If an idea or dream survives more than a generation, its hard to change unless you raise a generation with an opposite idea. I am not sure how it will be solved, but negotiating with the likes of president Martin is very destructive way to go about it. Derg tried in both Eritrea and Kililka to negotiate with organizations that were not significant on the ground. Result was hastened destruction. Actualy in Eritrea was a large organization called ELF. Both Isayas and Meles got together and in one year wiped it out of Eritrea. The organization in kililka was lucky and smart. Was smart because it told other organizations what Derg wanted to do and was lucky because Derg was falling down in the north and soon in kililka as well. You mean Somaliland Somalia meeting or war? Whether the rest of us like it or not Somaliland has been as a Somali unit for more than a generation. Deal with it as a unit. Anything else is dangerous. Divide and rule can only work with a big difference in size, wealth, development difference.
  21. On the other hand, isn't president Martin president of Somaliland? Which means promoting Somaliland independence by his actions.
  22. Why is that both OodWeyne and galbeedi are so enfuriated by Ghelleh. If I am to compare, Ghelleh is the most Ethiopian than any Somali leader, governor, MP or president anywhere. Then he is president of Djibouti. Somalilanders have some influence in both Djibouti and Ethiopia. Ethiopia for example would never say this or that about Somaliland Independence. It can and does say one thing. What ever it is has to be peacefully done. On this there is unanimity in Ethiopia. Djibouti on the other hand has more. Its the same with Ethiopia, no war in this part of the world, but Djibouti is also not accepting Somaliland Independence. It prefers some other arrangement up to confederation. The Ethiopian stand is genuine what is believed internally and said outside are the same. If the Somali in the old Republic agreed to part ways or find an accomodation is the same for Ethiopia. The kililka is also same as Ethiopian. Somalilanders are big enough, mature enough and Somali enough to be told what is good for them. They are Somali enclave big enough to choose their own and do what they want. That is fairly solid. For OodWeyne a regime change in Djibouti may help, but for galbeedi nothing will change, it is what it is no matter who comes in Djibouti. It is a small Ethiopia. When the Tigray, Somali, Afar were down and counted out, Djibouti was also down and out and as soon as change happened in Ethiopia Djibouti changed overnight even same personnel. Somaliland and Djibouti need to have good brotherly and if necessary good mafia talk and share the Ethiopian market. Then Ghelleh might be eaxctly same with Ethiopia in policy and action to wards Somaliland.
  23. As Illey has made a Somali saying: "This Cry is for more than a goat" This American cry is for more than a game of pilots and spies. Something is being set up. Heaven help Djibouti Ethiopia.