Old_Observer

Nomad
  • Content Count

    3,669
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    30

Everything posted by Old_Observer

  1. I am afraid you are just buying more bitterness and more separation for nothing. What does Somalia benefit by denying or actually just delaying foreign aid? You will not stop USAID or Inernational development agencies of Canada, Britain, Australia. Lobying one parliamentarian which Somalilanders can do is enough for their foreign offices to find a way. This is an example where some Somalis put effort on pointless politics. This is nothing like UAE/Ethiopia Berbera deal. If Somaliland stays in Somalia, at least you have a region that is better, If Somaliland separates you have millions of Somali who are better than some. Either way its benefit to Somali people.
  2. https://www.garoweonline.com/en/news/somalia/somalia-farmajo-in-addis-ababa-for-igad-summit
  3. First split happened: Some Somali said this should be WSLF war and never Somalia war and even the SNA should only fight in Ethiopia as volunteers and members of WSLF. Those were demoted, arrested and few disappeared. 2nd split happened: We should not withdraw. We were defeated as regular army, but not as the Somali people's liberation struggle therefore should continue as irregular fighters of WSLF. Too late for them. President Barre then was at mercy of Mengistu. He had already signed to kenya that no Somalia govt will interfere with NFD. And agreed same with Ethiopia in Djibouti and in Yemen. Those who wanted to continue the war by other means were obstacle to this. Had President Barre left these folks to fight or even just stay around doing political work, even if kililka would not separate, but the Somali in Ethiopia would have had better position in 1991 and better deal from the begining. It took about 15 years to get the Somali in Ethiopia in a reasonable and almost respectable position. All this for mistakes of President Barre and greed of some kililka people that supported his decision blindly.
  4. But the issue is quite serious. In 1994 some journalist in Europe studied why Italian companies were getting lots of contracts from Europe and even America for hazardeous waste disposal. The secret was these compaies had agreements with locals around Somalia and Eritrea. Djibouti was always protected and also does not have sea. That helped. Even Kenya was not protected from this mafiosi business.
  5. That is simply propaganda. TPLF, OLF, ONLF and later EPRDF had supported Eritrean independence since 1978. It was also Meles (was another leader of TPLF named Sebhat old man) that saved Isayas from his base in border of Sudan being over run by Ethiopia. They were helping each other and quareling all the time. But that is not the point. My point was because not liking Ethiopia we should not automatically be so praising Isayas. 4,000 Somali have reached Eritrea in 90s. Guess how they were received. No work permit, have to pay exorbitant amoun for UN travel document, Eritrea receives dollars but gives the Somali in Nacfa and never allows the refugee's local committee to work directly with UN agency. There isstill camp near Massawa with few hundred Somalis to this date. In Ethiopia: The committee of the camp works directly with UN. Somalis that can afford to travel have easily accessible Travel document, some even Ethiopian citizenship, have schools, some were settled and given farm lands. OK its hard to compare since in Ethiopia the Somalis from the republic are among their people, but still compare it to Kenya and Eritrea its night and day. There is more than 100,000 Somalis from the republic in Addis Ababa with full work permit that allows them to work and live like locals. Lets not just go by enemy of my enemy is my friend.
  6. Mourad1, I have no problem of you supporting an Oromo, but I am afraid thinking the Oromo will have different interest in Somalia or with Somali people in general, other than that Ethiopia as a country has is mistaken. The Oromo might even have more of what you think Ethiopia had in the past history. My oly point in this thread is don't break your head, don't question friendships among yourselves for an issue which does not amount to anything. UAE maybe pushing or bankrolling this, but should not be something to accupy the Somali people.
  7. The Ethiopian government wants it for its local politics, just propaganda The Opposition in Somalia wants SFG seen in bad light The poor people are left to waste time and talk nonesense over something meaningless Farmaajo says yes we signed MOU Kyre in Scandinavia says is nothing It looks to me another UAE created or pushed issue. Confirmation will come when Federal state or parliament or senate members mention about it. Why not just fix and work on Somalia. There is nothing much a Somalia government can do about Ethiopia even if it tries. How come Kenya which is wealthier than Ethiopia and probably better government accept it cannot be more influential than Ethiopia in foreign relations? I understand nationalism, but this kind some Somali have is simply self=destructive.
  8. When a politician does not have clear and solid answer to his main job, will talk about everything else under the sun, but his primary job. That is what all of them do.
  9. You of all people should not go that far. Somalia under Zaid Barre had even more accolades. Actually Somalis are only people that fought colonialism in the beginning. The South African one is different and the Sudanese one happend in Khartoum not before the europeans had landed and ruled Khartoum. But when the bottom fell off and the inside became outside what happened to Somalia...we all know what happened. Eritrea is even more closed 100 times more closed than Somalia was in 1990. I would say put things in perspective. Not go overboard with praises so that your criticism will also be reasonable. I am not here to argue for Ethiopia, but It was Isayas who called Clinton at 2:00AM to tell Ethiopians to stop. It is Isayas whose 25km deep over 1000 km length of his country who cannot put army without permission from Ethiopia, just like Egyptians can't in Sinai without permission from Israel. Its Isayas who cannot set foreign base in his country without Ethiopian permission. Aslk Qatar that spent 12 years in Eritrea. Ask UAE that only set up base after 3 months in Eritrea. Eritrea begged US to have a base, but America said first end state of war with Ethiopia. Anyway my main point is even if you are fuming mad on Ethiopia, no reason to go overboard with things that may or maynot be true.
  10. President of the UNITED STATES OF SOMALILAND President of FEDERAL STATE OF PUNTLAND Protocol does not permit. They are different status. Me thinks.
  11. These things produce a different result than intended. Bixi actually could prove to be beneficiary. Somalia is in no position to stop USAID, ID Britain, CIDA...But the shear inconvenience will generate so much bitterness not easy to forgive. If one thinks that Somaliand will come begging to the Mogadishu, From past experience in Ethiopia during the worst case famine, it generated the wrong result and people overthrew both the Haileslassie regime and the Mengistu regime. It only generates bitterness and any reconciliation becomes impossible.
  12. No my friend is not that bad for them. I don't expect even America to go all out cutting its relations with them. Its just there is a perfect storm. America wants China severly decapitated or removed from the area mainly Djibouti Saudi and UAE want to do Yemen war from African side Eritrea America, Israel, Saudi want to deny Iran any place here What do you expect them to do other than stay low? Any wrong move can bring the hammer and political groups in Ethiopia can take advantage on it and do a lot of damage. They smell blood and Abiy can talk the talk, but is not going to provide jobs all that unemployed.
  13. How parallel Ethiopia and Somalia were going. There were officers in Ethiopia who said that the war in Eritrea should have been done in Tigray. They were proven right. Mengistu sent 60,000 in one battle in Eritrea, were close to expelling EPLF from its base and operating area, then the Tigray sent some 4,000 and defeated the Ethiopian army. Then a coup was attempted. When it failed some generals who were shot were run over by tank. So that they would be really dead as if machine gunning them did not kill them. Then shortly in about 2 years the whole thing folded. These two countries differences was months some Somalia first then happens in Ethiopia and some Ethiopia first then happens in Somalia. In Ethiopia people have nearly forgotten Derg Military. A generation that does not know anything is now almost close to power, education, some development and different kind of politics. If only Somalia can have a government even a bad one, since people will be united against bad government. People would have been so busy with development and economy would be less of what we are doing in this thread.
  14. Discussion of this kind is not good for the soul and morally negative. This kind of discussion comes when someone is looking reasons to explain the inexplainable. People in kililka hardly talk about 77 war. There is not much official or public information or commonly agreed information. Therefore everyone that discusses it tries to see things from what happened after. Since what hapened after is not good, then somebody has to be blamed. I find it takes your energy down, and makes you be suspicious even things you thought you knew better.
  15. lol Victory has many fathers, defeat is an orphan. Amazing to see Germans usually poised converted to crying. Iranians look like lacking a bit in the coehisiveness.
  16. Actually he is now stronger by foreign demand only. In his country he is much weaker. 1987/8 Somalia. You know when the people of Somalia still had the confidence, but President Barre was negotiating with Mengistu? Its the same situation internally in Eritrea. How long that can last is anyones guess. But for now he has got perfect opportunity. That is why I suggested Ghelleh and others stay under the radar. Avoid even losses temporarily. America and the Gulf boys are in a hurry and can railroad anyone remotely on their way. I agree. But they still have place in Ethiopia. Oromo needs them badly. If the Amhara find out that the Oromo has just replaced Tigray, that is more dangerous for them than anybody else. Somali so far is holding and the situation will not get worst. The Somali from east and South from west can be trouble for Oromo, therefore will have to just ignore the Somali and leave him alone. That is what the Somali people want mainly is to be left alone and manage government, security, econmy on his own. They the Oromo also are not that united internally.
  17. Shiek Alamoudi fell victim to circumstances. First by Saudi internal Then by Egyptian request to hamstrang Tigray and to take his investments. Oromo have already taken his gold mine and given it to themselves. Excuse was environmental standards lol Isayas for sure is smiling as well. Only Sweden, Tigray, Ghelleh are on his corner, but are all sidelined or not influential on UAE, Saudi and those behind them.
  18. Turkey is a bit disappointed in Somalia. The pace of bringing order and peace is extremely slow. Qatar is not matching UAE dollar for dollar in Ethiopia, Somalia, Djibouti and Sudan. UAE is overtaking Saudi Arabia in America or others.
  19. Rumour has it that IRAN should be eliminated by all means. lol galbeedi what happened to your team KSA.
  20. Beleive me they know better and more than anybody else. Its all being co-ordinated there in America. Financed by UAE and Saudis.
  21. Quite the contrary all his enemies are in trouble Meqele, Djibouti, Khartoum..even Somalia Eritrea is now most wanted peace of territory against Iran and for the war in Yemen.
  22. lol The Egyptians have won hands down. Signs: Djibouti is sidelined in Ethiopia. I hope next 6 months Ghelleh stays low and does not do anything provocative. GERD if not scrapped or downscaled will go according to schedule Egypt wants Somalia will be punished for refusing base for Egypt. The delayed and meaningless visit is a diplomatic message Tigray and kiilka have just enough influence and power to keep themselves safe for now. That is big win for Egypt. America, Israel, Saudi, UAE want Eritrea against Iran and war in Yemen. Everything will be done to smoothen this. Hopefully the Eritrean dictator will not go overboard and harm Djibouti and Sudan. Everything came tgether with Power of America, money of Arabs. Chinese will also stay low and take a break. That is what I say.
  23. There is no clear direction so far. Things have not taken shape. Everybody wanting Tigray dead body is one thing, but what do I get out of it is the most important. The cloud of doubt on the PM has not gone yet. Don't count out China and Turkey yet. UAE has deep pockets, but cannot plug big hole in Ethiopia. Don't count out Ghelleh too. He does not want to stick his naek while people are drunk with facebook, but he still has the key to so many critical things. Keep your hat, so the wind does not blow it. You will have enough time t tip it or lift it. Things can go in different directions.
  24. Its all mixed bag for now. There is too many political issues, but its the economy that will push things to clear up fast. You cannot feed lectures to people for long. The Economy is not showing few things that are hidden: There is few industries that are not working. Since Ethiopia is not an industrial country the effects so far is not big. 25 billion is not big even for Ethiopia. What makes it big is the industry that was planned to service it is not working. GERD could have brought 2 billion a year and was planned to start 700MW this year. Not happening. No body mentions it. Egyptians all of a sudden not writing single word about it. I think is delayed if not canned. For kililka this happened at wrong time. Roads, dams were moving fast now is slowing, because the federal government has put on hold all programs, especially anything that needed imported parts.
  25. lol That is funny and sad. This internet is speeding the bad things for us third world and the good productive things for first world. We feel we are in with internet but we use it for destructive things other use it for money making things even from mouse click.