Old_Observer

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Everything posted by Old_Observer

  1. I think so many problems around the world are happening with fake news or ouright lies. It has always been normal practice for major powers, but now an average Farax can create fights with fake news. A shoe in Emperor for Ethiopia was deposed by fake news manufactured by the British, by a sigle picture of him wearing Afar/Somali clothing. The Amxara then told the church that the Prince has converted to Islam and was excommunicated. Guess what He was Oromo, very close to Afar, Somali and Tigray.
  2. "Nothing is as dangerous as allowing the same citizen to stay in power for long time. The people get used to obeying him and him to leading them, from here, usurpation and tyranny emerge" Simon Bolivar
  3. Those who played part in the ugly, bad, good what ever good there was in some areas from human perspective of the 90s all do hide some time, come out other times and then go back to hide. That has been their life. Remember during ICU days a lot of the Jess types were coming out on both sides and this time as well some are making noise from different areas.
  4. Not necessarily at this time. Unity in Somalia is the only way to tackle the pressure. Kenya can go into creating conditions on the ground that will make Somalia postpone the whole thing. Somalia is not strong enough to create problems in Kenya, which normally would have been easiest thing to do.
  5. Plus even if one wants to politicize, Agjar knows cordial relations with Djibouti, Somaliland, Puntland, central south and southwest areas is crucial to anyone in Kililka. Alliance no matter how close in Ethiopia is not reliable, and a Somali no matter how friendly with Oromo or Amhara will never be an insider. Where as a Kililka person can feel easily at home in any region of Somalis. Since Kililka is a microcosm of the Somali people, having every clan of Somalis in it, Abtigis will be well advised to stay out of any regional or clan conflicts outside Kililka.
  6. What is the point of withdrawal if they are going to be replaced by Ethiopia and Eritrea? Farmaajo is saying AMISOM is needed absolutely, but he wants even more AMISOM, but Eritrea and Ethiopia. Since the whole thing does not make sense and no logic or fairness in it, the question should be why they kick out Brundi and not do it proportional as done everywhere and has been done once in Somalia already. The reasons are simlple. The main target to be kicked out is Djibouti, but did not want to start with Djibouti where it would be obvious and scandalous and dangerous. The method is also chosen to bribe Uganda, so will be last to leave, most to make money and longest to make money.
  7. A Phone call from Macron to Sissi stopped Arabs from inviting Syria to Arab League. This happened when even Saudi Arabia has stated that KSA has no objection to Syria being invited back in the Arab League. Egypt should have been first country to restore its relations with Syria, but will be last the way things are going. No self respect. _________________________________________________ Egyptian lawmakers back changes that could keep Sisi in power till 2034 On Feb 14, 2019 Addis Ababa, February 14, 2019 (FBC) – The Egyptian parliament on Thursday approved in principle proposed constitutional amendments that would allow President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi to stay in power until 2034. Parliament Speaker Ali Abdelaal said that 485 MPs of the 596-seat assembly voted in favour of the changes, comprising more than the two-thirds majority needed to pass the amendments. The proposed changes will now go for a review in a parliamentary committee and then return to parliament for a second vote before they are presented for a national referendum expected before the middle of the year, according to Reuters.
  8. Oil is still important and will remain so for long time to come. The third world has no chance of leap frogging the western industrial system. There may be many Somali engineers working in Artificial intelligence, but can't take that nomad to AI based/controlled technology without going through the 19th and 20th century technologies. If Somalia wants to use the oil, has to be with far away countries. America, Japan, China, Russia. Never with close by countries. Even the Turkish would not be preferred since they have enemies in the area and Somalia is not strong enough to stand solidly with the Turkish and plaugh on. Here is what Meles Zenawi said about oil in the Ethiopian parliament. "Oil has been a curse for Ethiopia. Everywhere around the world oil has brought war and instability with it. If I have my way, oil in Ethiopia should stay in the ground until such time that we are strong enough to defend it, we are developed enough to do at least 80% of technical the work ourselves..."
  9. You have not lost an iota of the nomad attitude to life. Free, frank, independent and forwardly. "She should rather be a lion in a day than a sheep or fifty years." galbeedi SOL 2019
  10. All that hoopla and unreal propaganda gives way to reality. Economic feasibility, historical reliability, future developments and current financing...all came together to reality. The Mugadishu, Addis Ababa tour and propaganda pushed by UAE through Asmara/Eritrea never made sense. The Djibouti Ethiopia pipeline always made sense from every aspect, including even political changes in the region. Kililka, Djibouti, Somaliland, Puntland will always be closer to each other regardless of shifting sands. With Eritrea the smallest of changes is an earthquake and no body in the right mind will invest on secretive one man promises. ONLF and others should support this and bargain that the management on Ethiopian and Djibouti sides and workers be from Kililka and Djibouti. Other investments in water works, roads, education and technical training...comes with. __________________________________________________________________ Ethiopia and Djibouti sign agreement to construct 767km pipeline project On Feb 15, 2019 Addis Ababa, February 15, 2019 (FBC) – Ethiopia and Djibouti have signed an agreement to construct a 767km pipeline project linking the two countries. Ethiopia’s Minister of Mines and Petroleum, Dr Samuel Hurcato, and Minister of Energy in Charge of Natural Resources of Djibouti, Mr Yonis Guedi, signed the agreement in Addis Ababa today. Dr Samuel on the occasion said the agreement, which was signed after extensive negotiations, ensures the mutual benefit of both countries. When it is completed, the project will generate foreign currency besides creating more employment opportunities allowing the country to export natural gas from Calub Hilala fields, according to the Minister. Mr Guedi for his part said the project will further cement the long-standing ties between the two nations. About 700 km of the pipeline stretches from Calub Hilala fields to Djibouti border within Ethiopia, while the remaining 67 Km is within Djibouti. According to the agreement, the construction of the pipeline commences this Ethiopian fiscal year and will take two years for completion.
  11. Ilhan Omar: Anti-Semitism? Or Fear of Open Debate on Israel? February 12, 2019 Why Are They Really Mad At Ilhan Omar? What does being a woman of color have to do with it? She said no more than other critics of American policy in the Middle East. Marc Steiner, Charles Lenchner, and Phyllis Bennis discuss the issue. https://youtu.be/kyaHrzEBClY https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=1&v=kyaHrzEBClY
  12. galbeedi, I would add one more reason: To avoid the most pressing issues in Somalia on the land. Constitution being the most fundamental. Abiy must be envious of Eritrea and Somalia rulers. No constitution, no regions, no elected regional governments, and 300,000 conscripts, in the way. What Farmaajo is missing is that Eritrea today is where Somalia was in the late 70s early 80s where all the seeds for future fracturing was planted, under what seemed a smooth running fast developing shining country.
  13. Basically agree, but Americans do not want to pay for it. Trump has radically changed the system. America will be everywhere as long as there is someone paying for it. Who will pay for Somalia is a big question.
  14. MMA, The Ugandans, Brundians, Turkish, Kenya, Tigray Ethiopia, Oromo Ethiopia, Eritrea....have come and some gone after that 2006/7 ICU later Shabab incident, but it is stuck in your mind, as if that is the single incident that determined the situation 1991/2, 2004, 2006, 2009......to date.
  15. I read some excerpts and the writer seems to be fair minded. Its difficult to write something historical that you participated, with less bias and with some writers out right lies.
  16. Exactly. If he was for Somali autonomy he should have opposed this measure, at least in comment. This committee is bypassing the house of federation in which the Somali have fairly equal number with Tigray and half of Amhara. The criterion in house of federation is one member for every ethnic and one more for every million people in the Ethnic. Even though Tigray and Somali are equal in total numbers, Somali is one Ethnic, but Tigray is 4 Ethnic there for Tigray has 3 more members in house of federation than Somali. Which roughly translates to 6 members for Somali and 9 members for Tigray. The committee is unconstitutional and is side lining the federal system where all constitutional and ethnic issues are supposed to be dealt with.
  17. The road he has chosen is not good. A Somali can go forward in one of two ways: Either he consolidates in the Somali region and the rest of Ethiopians respect this power and invite you to participate. This is strengthening the home base. Or a Somali goes to Addis Ababa and gets appointed to the region. He is always under scrutiny and very difficult to be autonomous for good or bad. This seems to be the road Abtigis has chosen. He is trying to please other Ethiopians before Somalis. The problem is other Ethiopians are not settled on anything. Things are in flux. Having good relationship, visits and friendships with all bordering Somalis is always a good thing. At least unnecessary small issues are resolved easily and clan influences from other areas are minimized.
  18. Donald Trump has changed the game completely and fundamentally. Until the era of Donald Trump, America paid directly and from its coffers who ever has to be bought. This was true from war lords in Mogadishu to PMs and Presidents in Warsaw and every place in between. Now its others who have to pay, but America still commands. The President of Poland offered a military base for America, which costs will be completely paid by Poland and named Trump. NATO countries are paying now 100 billion they did not pay last year. Arabs have to pay for every base and weapon America uses in their area. Europeans and Arabs have to pay for Africa and Middle East. Israel may be the only case where it gets paid by Arabs and on top of that America continues to pay directly. America wants the Chinese kicked from Ethiopia and Djibouti, but Arabs and locals have to pay for this work. Yamamoto plan does not carry a penny from America only a to do list. Arabs want to prevent Turkey from Horn of Africa and Yemen, well America can help, but the money and manpower need to come from Arabs and their mercenaries from Africa. The disputes in America between Democrats and Trump is now making its way to the rest of the world everywhere. In Britain Trump wants regime change, in Germany and France Trump wants total system change in addition to regime change. So many regimes are becoming road kill of this conflict, and American system change, everywhere in the world. Africa is in trouble. There is not a single country that can pay itself let alone to pay for others. For example in Somalia, every joe and harry wnats to be a player, but all are empty pocket. Ethiopia, Djibouti, Kenya, Eritrea, Egypt...are all beggars, but each one wants to be big. The only thing they can offer is soldiers, even those somebody has to pay for them, and this time it is not America. Who ever pays can be Americas representative for the whole area. During similar situation during President Nixon Vietnam, Iran, Ethiopia..changed/started to change irreversibly. Same will happen now to many countries, especially in Africa and central/South America. In Somalia and Ethiopia including Djibouti and Eritrea..the big question is will they continue as countries all the 1900 will be overhauled? What do you think?
  19. There is no way Gedi will have any significance with Isayas of Eritrea. 2006/7. Remember Djibouti, Ethiopia, Sudan, Yemen were in and Eritrea was out.
  20. Summary: Title is his main speech "Separatists may want the Somali to join them, but they will not succeed" music to Amxara. 1. Illey group is separatist and we have prevented it 2. Illey group made Oromo and Somali who lived peacefully for thousands of years, fight 3. We are successful in eradicating the conflict Illey created with Oromo, except in Moyale and some small areas 4. Jigjiga is a city for all Ethiopians we are fighting those who try to make it a Somali and make others unwelcome 5. Somali kilil will not be with Tigray. The Somali is for unity, freedom and democracy in Ethiopia He did not say Illey or Tigray by name, but by new nick names given to them. One of them is separatists, narrow nationalists..etc. He is trying to show he is more Ethiopian than Illey. People in power seem to forget history very fast, but history is cruel and will show truth in a short time. The minute he finishes destroying Liyu, Media, Education and autonomous rule (no matter how little), he will be done. For now Agjar is the darling of the Ethiopian unitary empire, way ahead of the Afar, Sidama, Oromo. Isayas must have worked on him, since Isayas was most angry at anyone thought to be close to Tigray.
  21. galbeedi, Ask someone to interpret this for you its in Agjar in Amharic.
  22. Let alone then, even now Isayas is interested in becoming President of HOA. The problem is Djibouti, Sudan and Kenya are not in, therefore will be conflict soon if things continue the way they are. They have started accusing Sudan for problems in Amxara region between Amxara and Agew. They have started accusing Ghelleh for some Afar and Somali unhappiness with new rulers in Ethiopia and also with Afar in Eritrea. In Somalia its even worst. Isayas only had some friends in Mugadishu and of course Farmaajo home. Isayas is unhappy most with Puntland. You might remember their exchange with Adde Muse in 2006/7. ONLF is convinced that Isayas will be against them now and be more Ethiopian than the Ethiopians themselves. Let alone separation, Isayas is dead set against autonomy. He has openly spoken that the TPLF system and structure has to be eradicated and unitary state formed as soon as possible. The reason Amxara are singing the loudest. Take this: Not a single person of those who started struggle with Isayas are alive. All dead by shooting, in prison or suspicious car crushes and other means. The speaches all are: If it was not for TPLF we would have lived as one country. How things change? Isayas was praised by Clinton, because he offered to fight and lead alliance against Sudan. When the TPLF said not against Sudan, Isayas closed the embassy of Sudan and gave it to rebels then from South, supported Darfur rebels and created a group in East by his border. Abiy is completely under Isayas. By Security, by UAE, by America...Best indicator is relations with China, relations with Turkey and relations with Djibouti and Sudan. Internally total campaign on TPLF and those suspected of siding with TPLF or are strong on autonomy of their region.
  23. The face book propaganda was that Abdi Illey and his government were Sadam, Gadafi, Mengistu....and deserves the same fate. Many Somalis who wanted power without work applauded enthusiastically when indescribable fake news and false flag operations were conducted to destroy everything in Kililka. The good along the bad all at once. For those of you who bought into the fake hope of justice, democracy..in Kililka, I have bad news. The most important crime of Illey as presented to court in Ethiopia is "overthrow of the constitutional order". In an Orwellian way it means separatist as told to most Ethiopians except Somalis. Arresting someone and keeping them in jail without a case, should not be encouraged at any time, yet that is what most people are doing and saying. Even on human right violations, the cases the Ethiopian Abiy government is bringing is what happened in the false flag incident to churches, which at best is after the fact that various forces has already invaded Jigjiga by then to orchestrate the false flag operation. Ethiopian Orthodox Christians were the first once to call this false flag, since such thing has never happened remotely by Somalis while in the rest of Ethiopia has happened in numerous places. Nothing could have made the Somali an overnight church burning, christian killing, but a false flag operation can. ___________________________________________________________ Ex-somali region president dismisses criminal charges against him as “coordinated lies” Wednesday February 6, 2019 Former Somali regional state president Abdi Muhamud Omer, a.k.a, Abdi Iley, has today told judges at the federal high court fourth criminal bench in the capital Addis Abeba that the multiple criminal charges brought against him were “deliberately coordinated lies.” Abdi said this at a reading of charges brought by the federal Attorney General against 47 individuals including himself. The charges were originally fielded at the fourth bench on January 30 but the judges have adjourned the reading for today due to absence of defense lawyers. The charges included accusations of incitement of inter-communal violence and attempt to violently overthrow constitutional order. When asked by the judges if he understood the charges Abid told the judges that he recognizes all charges as “deliberately coordinated lies” against him. Out of the total of 47 defendants in the same case, only six are currently under police custody. They include, Abdi Iley; Rahma Mohammed Haybe, former head of women and children’s affairs bureau; and Abdulrezak Sehane Elmi, former head of the diaspora affairs office of the Somali regional state; as well as Ferhan Tahir, former police commissioner commissioner of the region, and two individuals: Worseme Abdi and Guled Abel. Prosecutors told the court that they were working to bring to the court some of the absentees but would like to get more time to do so. In today’s hearing, unlike Abdi’s, the court did not receive an early plea from the other defendants in the case but adjourned another date for February 27 to receive together both their early pleas and defense statements. The defense lawyers on their tern filed a complaint to the court saying that the prosecutors did not attach the list of witness names along with the charges, something they said was prohibiting their abilities to prepare defense statements. The court has ordered prosecutors to submit a response letter to the complaints and said it will deliver its verdict on February 13. Background On January 25, the Attorney General’s office revealed that the August violence resulted in the killings of 58 people while 266 were injured. the report by the AG also revealed a gruesome details which were previously unreported, including the discovery of a mass grave where the remains of 42 of the victims was found. Eight more bodies were discovered inside the premises of St. Michael Church in Jigjiga city. The report also said ten women were raped in just a span of three days but added there could be more unreported cases of rapes. And properties worth about 421 million birr were also vandalized in the violence.
  24. The main targets s far with the new list of 12 added has been: 1. Education 2. Water works 3. Pastoralist projects 4. Media Education and Media are targetted to make happy those Ethiopians who were accusing kililka of being a country within country. Too much autonomy..etc. Water works was most successful social, economic and developmental activity in kililka. It looks like the main pillars of autonomous society are first once to be destroyed in name of corruption, human rights violation...etc. Anti federalist Ethiopians couldn't be happier. Killing two birds with one stone. Members whose immunity is removed have been serving the regional state in various senior positions in the regional state. Their immunity is lifted due to their alleged involvement in manufactured security crisis in the region sometime in July 2018 which resulted in the deaths of dozens of civilians, among other forms of damages. They are also implicated in corruption. Among them are: 1- Mohammed Reshid Isaq (speaker of the regional council) 2- Kedit Abdi Ilsmae (former Trade and industry office head), 3- Ahmed Abdi (former finance office head), 4- Fertune Abdi Mehdi (former Water resource head), 5- Suad Ahmed Farah (former deputy head of the region), 6- Abdihalim Mohammed (former Water development office head), 7- Majida Mohammed (former head of the region’s president office), 8- Ayan Gulande (former Gode town Finance office head), 9- Mohammed Heryo (former education office head), 10- Abdi Momamed Abbas (former pastoral and rural development office head), 11- Mohammed Bille (former technique and vocational training office head) and 12- Nesra Hassan (former advisor to the office of the regional administration office)
  25. Its actually more positive and most meaningful than just having international match in Somalia after so many years. Ironically its more meaningful to Eritrea than Somalia. I know this is hard to believe for some of you. Eritrea has in the past 20 years lost 3 teams. They go for international match and never return. The country has had withdrawn itself from many matches. What a better way than to send their team in a place where its least likely to disappear and look great in the eyes of Somalis as being first team to come to Somalia. Hopefully this will lead into greater better things for all involved, and will not stop at being a show dictators do when in a mood. What do you think the impact is?