Old_Observer

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Everything posted by Old_Observer

  1. Bad idea. There is enough for both of you. If you try to bankrupt each other that is quick way for both to go down. Remember Djibouti is more strategic and more useful as the closest to the gate. There are also more countries invested in Djibouti than in Somaliland or any other.
  2. Is somebody trying to invite someone to Somaliland? And this is call sign between them.
  3. Yes. Agree, but these paradises should know what ever goes up, must come down. Its the way down that needs to be managed and dictators are worst at managing it. Dictators and kings like Marcos of Philipines, Haileslasye Ethiopia, do not know when how to quit and pass on to their progeny. The prime minister is now using the same card Gadafi tried to use. Refugees. The prime minister is saying there are 1 million refugees.
  4. Its more like, the Military hijacing the whole thing. But its better this way, than the country being destroyed. Too many conflicting forces that cannot live or work together. Middle man came and relieved them all. Their military looks like neutral and saving the country when in the precipice.
  5. If the comedian wins in Ukraine, he has a good chance of stopping the war. Few are profiting, but the country is going down and further down.
  6. They have all the connections from the British Empire. You have a big community there. I was always wondering, what is the problem? Better late than never. Security and order is what they need the most.
  7. Which planet do these people live. Don't they live in UK. Never heard of NE, never heard of Scottish, Irish Welsh Don't they live in America? Don't they live in India? Don't they live in Canada? Why is tribalism bad in Somalia, but great in America? Inferiority complex of some is amazing. Use it for efficiency. If you want something positive done, its great organization, natural to get a tribe to do something.
  8. The internet is so fast. Another one making the rounds is with Yemen (A. Salih), Somalia(A Yusuf), Ethiopia(Meles), Sudan (Bashir) next Djibouti with Afwerki the left standing.
  9. That is great point. They did just that. They even called it a coup just for good measure, which split the opposition already and confused all the countries that were salivating at destroying the country.
  10. Not possible with America and Israel commanding.
  11. Sudanese are experts in regime change. Never had any disasters. They have done this many times. This looks transition more than a coup.
  12. Did someone ever post this on site where Farmaajo or his internet army can see it? His government seems in ICU of politics. Intensive care not Islamic courts.
  13. Not sure if applicable. The 1984 Famine/starvation was in Tigray and another province south of it. In Tigray they were awarded 2 years ago by UN as the most greened. A gold medal. The help they got was water usage technologies from Israel, program management and consulting by Britain and some other countries maybe Turkey or Germany. Now you can see in pictures how green it is. The people were paid wages in cash and in kind to work on it for few years. This while doing their other work as well. Herding their animals, farming their plots..etc.
  14. Not so fast. Ethiopia may have share or part ownership and Ethiopia was exempted in the exclusivity for certain size, volume, distance from Doraleh..etc. Example exclusive port for meat and live animal. Another port for Potash.. Djibouti can also go to Sweden or Swizerland for another court, unless the jurisdiction was mentioned in the agreement. Note that Russia was ordered to pay 50 Billion for the oligarch, but Russia said was political case and made it unenforceable. This case is also political. Even the vulgar talk of UAE can come back to serve them ill. The Chinese would never have invested, had they received any doubt from their lawyers. UAE is just bluffing for the most part on this. Only the Doraleh is in dispute and Ghelleh knows the worst amount that can come from it. As long as Ethiopia draggs its feet or has no money to use Eritrea or road to Somaliland, Ghelleh is safe.
  15. lol In that case some rain is due. Who will rain in on their hottness, Puntland, Djibouti..?
  16. Did the visit from Eritrea recently affect the case lately in a negative way? This case has been going on for long time. Me thinks recent political developments with UAE, Ethiopia, Ghelleh visit to Mogadishu, Eritrea...may have brought the case to the fore. What do you think? I would say invite the Bank to open branch in Somaliland. Is it allowed? The Tigray did not allow Bank and telecommunication to foreign. That was one of their biggest disagreements with America and EU.
  17. I think, its less to do with clan. The case is with the boss of the palace, the woman. Even IOGelleh has no room to apply his DONness. Its the lady herself. Women make terrible Dons.
  18. Afwerki is into the same ways and tools he uses when in trouble. Religion. Mind you all his protectors and funders are Arabs/Moslems yet he oppresses and isolates the Moslems in his own country. But the population is OK, much better than him. You know how Sudan played role in Gadaffi's downfall. Afwerki fears the same. His defense minister, Afwerki loyalist for life was shot in what some people say attempted coup and may not recover his functions. Those who welcomed Abiy/Afwerki the most, your Amxara friends are also openly accusing Afwerki in interfering in internal affairs. Their friendship with Abiy as you might known already is also not good. They had songs for him, they declared he is gift of the all mighty..etc that is all forgotten now. Afwerki is in panic, because the Amxara whom he thought would fight the Tigray are not going for it. The Tigray cannot do anything now, until America comes to doubt. Abiy going back to china is an opportunity for the Tigray and if he returns to Turkish, then the Tigray will recover since those were two countries where Tigray were really invested their hopes. No money, no jobs, no internal peace (Ethiopia has close to 3 million IDPs, 2 Million of them since Abiy came to power) and a lot of factoreis not working, some burned during the power struggle....not good.
  19. That was the best opportunity for Somalia in a long time and the current government just squandered it, looking for quick and cash money from EU and Arabs. Turkish were capable in everything: Construction Agriculture Education and most of all defense. At this time the Turkish are too busy. Missed opportunity. Sudan case is understandable. The Americans would not be happy about it. But Ethiopia could have brought them with AMISOM. Sudanese are very generous. They allow Somalis to study and work. They give scholarships. That is perfect proverb/wisdom speak. and fit for the situation.
  20. Perfect description. The Oromo and Somali are now bringing this method to Ethiopia. Since Eritrea is a one man government, the government does that daily. If you refuse they open shop beside you selling the same products, but no customs, no taxes for them. And they bankrupt you in no time. Sometimes they stand police people in front of your shop as if somebody has been murdered and no body comes to that street let alone to your shop.
  21. If you have any window to suggest a solution, I would say the following: Have something that is not pleasant for the Don and also for Bixi Send a personal friend of the Don to make a deal Mr. Arap settles with maybe 10 or 20 percent of what he has in Djibouti with the condition that he forgets there is territory or country called Djibouti even for friend's chit chat The Don ignores Arap in Somaliland and possibly Kililka Something like that will work. Those in Somaliland who are circling are only vultures trying to get a cut in the possible transaction. Public pressure and noise is enough to make these vultures fly away.
  22. Eritrea accuses Sudan, Turkey and Qatar of supporting opposition Islamist groups April 3, 2019 (KHARTOUM) - Eritrean government Wednesday has accused Qatar, Sudan and Turkey of supporting opposition radical Islamist groups to hamper bilateral relations between Asmara and Addis Ababa. JPEG - 15.9 kb President Afwerki speaks at state dinner on the honour of President Kiir on 18 August 2018 (Photo shabait.com) Relations between Khartoum are strained for several years because of Khartoum support to Addis Ababa before the reconciliation between the two countries in July 2018. However, this stunning rapprochement was not followed by a normalization between Eritrea and Sudan as President Isaias Afewerki shunned all attempts made by Addis Ababa saying he wanted to Khartoum to explain why it had accused him of supporting opposition attacks and closed the border in January 2018. However, relations between the two capitals remained calm as they avoided escalation. Nonetheless, the Eritrean government on Wednesday morning issued a statement accusing Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) and Qatar’s operational services of backing the opposition (“Eritrean Muslim League” under the mantle of “Eritrean Ulama’s League/Eritrean Rabita-i Ulama”). The statement said that the Qatari services funded the groups and neighbouring Sudan has allowed its territory to be used for "the nefarious aims". "These subversive acts have been ratcheted up especially in the past year with the singular aim of obstructing the peace process and positive developments in the ties between Eritrea and Ethiopia in particular and the whole Horn of Africa region in general," said the Eritrean government One year ago, on 23 March 2018, Asmara accused Sudan and Qatar of supporting a radical group led by Mohammed Jumma who had plans, according to Asmara, to organize political and military activities against the government of President Afewerki. Sudanese government did not react to the Eritrean accusations. Sudan Tribune
  23. Eritrea Accuses Turkey, Qatar and Sudan In a press statement released today, the Eritrean Ministry of Information accused Turkey of conducting “acts of subversion” against Eritrea. In addition, it accused Qatar of collaboration by providing “funding and operational services … in collusion with the Sudanese regime which allowed its territories to be used for the nefarious aims.” The statement explained that “these subversive acts have been ratcheted up” over the last year with the aim of “obstructing the peace process and positive development in the ties between Eritrea and Ethiopia… and the whole of the Horn of Africa.” It added, that at the beginning of this year, Turkey has opened an office for the Chairman of the obscure “Eritrean Muslim League.” The Eritrean Government has been accusing Qatar and its allies since Isaias Afwerki distanced himself from Qatar, and stood with the Saudi-UAE alliance in the war they are waging in Yemen. Turkey is a major ally of Qatar. On March 19, PM Abiy made a visit to Qatar but details of his talks with the Amir of Qatar are still unknown. Last year Saudi Arabia and the UAE sponsored the agreement reached between PM Abiy and Isaias Afwerki; both were hosted by the leaders of the two countries to sign the agreement. Observers believe that “PM Abiy’s attempts to normalize relations between the countries of the Horn of Africa and the Arabian Gulf countries will not bear fruit as long as Isaias Afwerki is involved in it.” Isaias has been either at war, or on a diplomatic rift with almost all the countries of the region. Until two years ago, Qatar was the major patron of Isaias Afwerki but then he joined the Saudi-UAE alliance at the expense of his long relationship with Qatar. Saudi Arabia and the UAE have been boycotting Qatar since June 2017. In 2018, the UAE provided training for a number of Eritrean ruling party cadres on Internet trolling techniques to fight the media and activists opposed to the Eritrean ruling party. It’s worth noting that the trolling cooperation’s first target was the Eritrean League of Ulema. In its statement of today, the Eritrean Ministry of Information emphasized the name of the group “Rabita/League”, a phrase it uses to invoke emotional differences between the Eritrean Muslims and Christians. __________________________________ As usual an old regime trying to use religious issue to survive telling Christians that Moslems will take over if you don't defend me. Actually that part of the world has the least problems of this kind except what King Haileslassie and now Afwerki tried as means of holding to power.