Old_Observer

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Everything posted by Old_Observer

  1. That is the key. Maintenance of general unity. Even if you do not actively do something just shuting one's mouth up and not looking for alliance outside of Somali is more than enough to keep unity. If Illey and supporters had acted would have done a lot of damage, but accepted the false flags. One Oromo Executive stated on Ethiopian TV that If the Tigreans had done even the smallest thing, they were capable to turn Ethiopia into Syria, they had the military..etc. So if nothing else Ethiopia should thank them for doing nothing offensive. So far the Somali people understand the risks and ONLF is also behaving very responsibly. Actually more responsibly than Abtigis.I am certain the Somali will come out much better shape if something dramatic happened in Ethiopia. The last 10 years, a lot of work has been done to restore confidence of the people and elders.
  2. Did it remind you the difference between listening it on Radio and today's media?
  3. It does not look good. 1991 has all makings of oil companies 2005 ICU has all makings of water (ethiopia-egypt) and oil companies
  4. The worst time in my opinion. Oil is bad even when you have somewhat stable government and country, but is terrible in the current situation. You know that just one oil company French or British can raise an army in a month and start trouble or bribe some AMISOM country.
  5. They have been on the ropes for a long time, but too arrogant and too ignorant to see it. They tried to look bigger than what they really are. When Tigray came to southern and central Ethiopia, it was all over for the Amxara since Tigray is the origin and main for just about everything Ethiopia is known for: Xabeshi, Christianity, Islam even Jewish is all centered and started in Tigray. The language Semitic once are all in Tigray, Axum is in Tigray..... Example: It did not take any time for Tigray and Somali to work together something the Amxara could not achieve in 100 years.
  6. I think so, but the Somali is still considered armed and dangerous from the image of Illey days. So, if Abtigis makes short statement and speak as a Somali only he will be OK. He was too much in a hurry to make a name in Ethiopia rather than just govern and develop his people.
  7. In Amxara kilil its well organized well funded (All the washington and california diaspora). Gun running has been going on for a year. Open hate propaganda against Oromo and Tigray has been going on for a year. Its led by a person chief of security, militia, Liyu ..of the kilil Its well connected with Eritrea and probably armed support. Addis Ababa except for killing some officals not much to do. Abiy: These are forces who want us to fight ethnic against ethnic. The shooting they did was against individuals and no ethnic should feel threatened. That is what he said. It seems directed to calm Tigray, since they are capable of going to Amxara kilil and turn the place up side down if Tigray feels they are under threat.
  8. You need a base a kilil to do anything in today's Ethiopia. If you take over Addis Ababa just one kilil can reverse the result. That is how Tigray set up the whole thing. Its not like other countries. Example the army is organized in 4 areas with total and complete leadership and weapons depots..everything. There is gebneral staff for each area and the command is set each member is from different Nationality. Example Northern Command: Commander Oromo Deputy Welayrta South Logistics Amxara Operations Tigray etc. Politically: If you don't have enough strength in your home base forget it you are a nobody. Me thinks Abtigis was in the group or very close to Amxara and Ginbot 7. He might come out on the losing end but not dangerous. Winners will be Federalists no matter what happens.
  9. The Amxara radicals were running out of time. General Assaminew was the one training militia gangs etc and calling for war against Tigray and Oromo. The Agew have had enough in Amxara kilil. They will have their Kilil and are closest to Tigray. General Assaminew few days ago made a statement that the Agew are making trouble and destroying Amxara unity as messengers of Tigray. He openly spoke cutting them and Tigray to pieces. Dr. Ambatchew is accused by Assaminew being to close to Oromo Abiy and preventing Assaminew from waging war on Agew and Tigray and Oromos in Amhara kilil.
  10. Looks like the activities are well organized and co-ordinated, but made to look like confusing just to hide the fact that the Amhara radicals coming to their demise at least for a decade. General Seare Mekonen may have been killed by Amxara or Oromo in their fight since he would be only one capable to reverse any coup. He was highly regarded in the forces more than among Tigray. He is considered a professional and never associated with radicals of any group or ethnic. General Assaminew who was going to overthrow the Amxara Government because its too close to Oromo Abiy, would have been killed anytime by Agew anyway. He has burned a mother with her Children from the Agew who are fighting for self government from the Amxara kilil. Who could go for a coup. Radical Amxara Derg Mengistu people and other Anti Oromo anti-Tigray from the past (Anti federalists) This may also be directly connected with Addis Ababa. The Group that Abiy had threatened that there will be war if you continue with your ways. They had set up parallel government Amxara in Addis Ababa. This group had organized major demonstration and meeting in Bahir Dar Amxara kilil for Tomorrow Sunday. That could be the trigger.
  11. Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan claimed on Wednesday that former Egyptian President Mohamed Morsi was 'killed'. Erdogan also lambasted Cairo for insufficient efforts to save the former president. Egyptian Foreign Minister Sameh Choukri has strongly condemned Turkish president Erdogan's statement that former Egyptian President Morsi was killed, calling it the "repeated, irresponsible accusations by the Turkish president about Egypt". On Wednesday, Turkish President Erdogan alleged that President Mohamed Morsi was "killed" and blamed Egyptian authorities for not taking any measures to save the former head of state. President Erdogan raised hopes that the United Nations will look into Morsi's death and bring those responsible to justice. Meanwhile, Egyptian parliament decried Erdogan's claim as 'intervention in Egypt's internal affairs'. According to al-Mayadin broadcaster citing the parliament's representatives, the coup d'etat that saw Morsi ousted crumbled "Erdogan's plans and hopes". The official called the Turkish president "a tyrant and a dictator persecuting everyone in his country who opposes him". Morsi, ousted in 2013 in a coup d'etat led by the incumbent president Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, died aged 67 on 17 June, as a result of a heart attack during a court hearing on an espionage case in Cairo. Following his demise, Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights voiced concerns over the conditions of Morsi’s detention and the provision of necessary medical care. The authority also called for an independent probe into the former Egyptian president's death. Amnesty International also supported the call and reiterated that it was necessary to launch an investigation into the matter. Reacting to the calls by the UN, the Egyptian Foreign Ministry accused the organisation of 'politicising' Morsi's death.
  12. US Blames China for Harassing American Troops in Djibouti China’s growing military and economic footprint in Africa has been a source of serious concern in Washington. Tensions are at their highest point in Djibouti, where the two rivals operate military bases in close vicinity to each other. The United States military has accused China of harassing troops stationed at its military base in the African nation of Djibouti and attempting to sneak into the facility, which Beijing firmly denied. Rear Admiral Heidi Berg, director of intelligence at the US Africa Command (AFRICOM), told reporters during a phone briefing that China had taken “irresponsible actions” toward US troops stationed in Djibouti, according to the Washington Times. Djibouti is home to Camp Lemonnier, Washington’s only permanent military outpost in Africa. The base, which supports roughly 4,000 troops, is a hub for the US intelligence-gathering and counter-terrorism operations in the region, including those against Daesh* and al-Qaeda* in both Africa and the Persian Gulf. It sits just over 10 kilometres away from a Chinese military support base, set up in 2017 near a critical seaport which is partly controlled by China – something that has raised serious concerns in Washington. Rear Adm. Berg accused Chinese personnel of trying to “constrain international airspace” by barring aircraft from flying over their base, beaming ground-based lasers at American pilots, and flying drones in a bid to hamper American flight operations. She went as far as to claim that Chinese troops conducted “intrusion activity” with “attempts to gain access to Camp Lemonnier” (in other words, an attempt to infiltrate the base). An AFRICOM spokeswoman was quoted as saying that “the United States takes appropriate measures to ensure the force protection of its personnel and assets” and that “lasing incidents had occurred in the past” but are “no longer an issue”. China’s Foreign Ministry was quick to refute the allegations. "The Chinese side has consistently abided by international law and the laws of the host country, and is committed to safeguarding regional security and stability," a spokesperson for the ministry told reporters on Monday, as quoted by Chinese media. According to China’s account, it was the United States that misbehaved. US warplanes had flown over the Chinese base with the aim of gathering military intelligence, Zhang Junshe from the PLA Naval Military Studies Research Institute, operated by the Chinese armed forces, told Global Times. It is not the first time the two superpowers have traded accusations over their activity in Djibouti, a small nation in the Horn of Africa which oversees the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, a key shipping lane linking the Mediterranean Sea and the Indian Ocean via the Red Sea and the Suez Canal. Last May, the Pentagon claimed that Chinese service members had, on two occasions, fired military-grade lasers at military transport planes landing at Camp Lemonnier, causing two minor eye injuries. The Pentagon lodged a complaint about the alleged incidents and urged the Chinese military to investigate them, but Beijing responded that it had conducted “serious checks” and deemed the accusations groundless. China, for its part, has complained in the past that US was sending low-flying aircraft to conduct spying operations near the Chinese base.
  13. That should be minimum for each and every Somali no matter how many internal differences one have. No alliance, common front, political friendship should be made with outsiders who do not respect the minimum requirement of the Somali. I hope Abtigis will correct the big mistakes he made in the first part when the second part of the interview is to be posted next week. He can say what he wants or believes about other Somali or leaders, but he should always consider that a lot of life and limb has been paid even for autonomy.
  14. The more the better. Add America, Russia, Turkish anyone that has few dollars and boats that can bring them there.
  15. Poor Mohamud Dirir facing corrupt and undignified Africans representing assignments from France, Britain, US, UAE ..anyone that can spare few pennies to corrupt them. Abiy is also undermining Mahmoud Dirir, because of UAE and Eritrea. Abiy talks the good talk, but not solidly supporting M. Dirir. ___________________________________ African Union, IGAD envoys at odd over Sudan’s transitional authority June 19, 2019 (KHARTOUM) - African Union Envoy and the IGAD Mediator for Sudan are at odds over the formation of civilian-led authority in Sudan as their difference may further complicate the situation in Khartoum, said sources close to the file said. On 6 June the African Union’s Peace and Security Council (PSC) suspended Sudan’s membership at the regional body in order to put pressure on the ruling Transitional Military Council (TMC) to hand over power to a civilian government after the bloody raid on the pro-democracy sit-in area that resulted in the death of over 100 protesters. Further, based on the principle of subsidiarity tasked the east African bloc of IGAD and its Chair the Ethiopian Prime Minister to mediate between the Sudanese stakeholders "with a view to speedily establish a civilian-led Transitional Authority in Sudan". Immediately after the visit of the Ethiopian Prime Minister to Khartoum on 8 June, the African Union Chairperson and Chadian diplomat issued a statement to express his deep appreciation for "the close collaboration between IGAD and the AU Special Envoy Mohamed El Hacen Lebatt "to bring the Sudanese parties to the negotiating table. Reliable sources close to the file in Addis Ababa told Sudan Tribune that Lebatt seeks to hamper the mission of the Ethiopian mediator Mahmoud Dirir as he continues to work in solo in a way to affirm his role in Khartoum. Lebatt and Dirir now have different views on the position to adopt vis-à-vis the military junta in Khartoum and "how to establish a civilian-led authority in Sudan," said the source which preferred anonymity due to the sensitivity of the issue. Lebatt backs the view that the military council can hand over power to any civilian government the junta can pick to lead the country during an agreed transitional period and to task it with the preparation of general elections, according to the source. While Dirir believes that the African Union should back the deal struck by the military council and the opposition Forces for Freedom and Change (FFC) who led the protest movement before the al-Bashir collapse, he added. If the African Union backs the military council and did not broker an acceptable for the two parties that may lead to the continuation of protests and political instability in the country, and also discredits the regional organisation, the source further stressed. The military council in Khartoum is speaking about the formation of a caretaker government, as the political forces that were allied to al-Bashir’s regime are now regrouping and forming new political entities calling to involve them in the transitional institutions. The IGAD Council of Ministers will convene an extraordinary on Sudan Wednesday 19 June to discuss the political crisis in Sudan as the junta says they want to control the collegial presidency and refuses to give it to the FFC. The former Mauritanian foreign minister worked in the past as AU envoy for the Central African Republic, from February 2016 to August 2017. With the continuation of the CAR’s conflict, Lebatt was replaced by a Burkina Faso diplomat and he had been appointed as a Special Adviser to the Chairperson of the AU Commission, in charge of Strategic Issues. (ST)
  16. 45 minutes outside the Somaliland capital city, That is a big factor in the 3rd world and having one or two great guys that start it all.
  17. Sissi is so confident of the American, Saudi, Israeli, UAE patrons ..that he ignored the culture and tradition and also totally disrespecting the people and the whole Middle East and Africa. I did not like Mursi for his approch and steps he would have taken in the interest of Egypt, but he was man enough to treat humainly even Mubarek who had killed and tortured a lot of Mursi friends and colleagues. A day will come where the now murdered Mursi will be more important in history of Egypt than Sissi. Egyptians are afraid since half the country works either for the army or Mukaberat, but when all that pent up anger explodes nothing will stop it. Mubarek gets salutes and coffee seved by high officials inside court room Mursi could not get the help provided to any man in the street that falls with that condition. 20 minutes nobody even came close to him let alone to help him. These people especially the judge are not normal human beings. Waiting for him to die. There is even rules how to make an animal die fast so it does not suffer.
  18. I like his bravery and style. Not that because he is Kililka friendly, but he selects winning strategies.
  19. Puntland seems to be moving with the world at any given time: World had kingdoms Puntland was kingdom World had Navies and Puntland had navy gun and 3 machine guns of the day on boats. The Italians had a hard time eliminating these and brought an armada to bomb eveything around. The world has President or PMs elected by Parliaments and electoral college and Puntland has the same Federal system is most advanced and most close to people system of Govenance todsy even UK wants to be federal. Puntland already experienced in this form of governance And now measuring performance first 100 days with style and fashion too.
  20. The UN refused to shut down its Darfur operations and hand over to Sudan since there was enough peace and order and both Chad and Ethiopia (imagine when poor Ethiopia says there is enough peace and order and can take back its 5 thousand and also helicopeter etc units from Darfur, but others do not agree) who have direct involvement had confirmed and agreed with the assessment. This was the month in 2019 the hand over should have been done:but but but... 1. 3o year rule of Al Bashir is shaken with 4 months of demonstrations 2. The government is 'overthrown' yet no agreement what to replace it with and lastly but most importantly olaaala New violence in Darfur Under reported violence in Darfur No government to hand it to in Khartoum UN is here to stay. What a coincidence. 'Scorched earth': Latest attacks in Darfur reveal ongoing 'hidden' violence WWW.MIDDLEEASTEYE.NET Fears that under-reported violence in western Sudan region could spiral if UN enacts plans to withdraw peacekeepers
  21. Previously I never liked them for: Never ruling themselves in 2000 years except for once under Jamal Abdulnasir They lost the Gaza to Israel, yet they now maintain the prison Gaza for Israel Always trying to take advantage without any moral limits of Sudan, Ethiopia, Somalia, Yemen..in the service of wealthy Arabs. Egypt was encouraging Somalia to fight Ethiopia, but Egypt went in hiding when the war started. Egypt also never showed up to help with peace, food, medicine in 91/92. Now I really despised them: They sent security and army to Late Mursi village to prevent them from gathering They prevented gathering mourning or reciting in any Mosque They buried him in Cairo, probably empty kasket and refused him burrial at his home town One lawyers comment says it all: “We didn’t think that the dispute with the government would reach this low level - preventing people from burying a dear one.” 'He was killed in a courtroom where the judge is heartless and knows nothing but vengeance and oppression' - El Adwah lawyer Media is now posting that: The late president had asked the judge to allow him to speak, but in closed session since its a secret. In 5 minutes later the man was dead.
  22. That is all good. What is needed to avoid the catasrophe galbeedi is talking about is something labour intensive. Textiles, Assmebly..etc. And who is going to produce food. Agriculture is becoming an after thought all over Africa. The agri food conglomerates have achieved what they want, sell food to whole world.
  23. How is the Somaliland portion organized. Is there a public corporation, agency, authority or is just some ministry taking care of this activity?
  24. If I am not mistaken that was late Turabi whose government Al Bashir overthrew, that wanted to change the HoA. The Sudanese even tried to find peaceful solution to the TFG and ICU conflict. Did not succeed. They were also ready with a Brigade to come and help the re-establishment of Government, that also did not work. The best thing they did was they gave residence permits, some scholarships, work permits, UN travel documents..etc.