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Everything posted by Old_Observer
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Everyone in the world knows this facts: Egypt is incapble of fighting on its own as proven in Libya, Yemen and its own country Egypt can only move any sizable army to Sinai only after Israel's permission (Camp David agreement) Egypt is so tretcherous would sell a family member for few bucks anywhere anytime to anyone The first Egyptian to rule Egypt was Jamal Abdelnasir in 2000 years Egypt survives on US subsidy including bread to serve and obey Israel on anything and everything top of list Gaza No Islamist will be influenced or detered by Egypt. Need no worries.
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And which one would be the right end of the stick?
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Tension is high in Oromia as Ethiopia is in a state of emergency
Old_Observer replied to Deeq A.'s topic in Politics
Actually its opposition that are physically threatening MPs. Jawar had issued his army to intimidate and threaten Oromo MPs. Me thinks a lot of plans were disrupted by the SOE. There may have been a plan to take over the country Ukrainian style. Block all roads, burn few things, kill some people and paralyze the government. Jawar in safe and warm house in America forgets this is third world or doesn't give a shit. UK and US are threhening that the SOE is not good for investment, but China and Russia are least concerned as far as foreign countries go. EU is also cynical of the American double dealing. -
That would be the ultimate lesson to this "arab animals" who think civilized on Ferrari. But fr that to happen Djibouti has to split in two. The Afar would not allow to be swallowed up by sea of Somali. Even a brother has to have his house.
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can't wait 20 days more to a 100 day report? wow to computer age. In the case of Djibouti: Even today Djibouti is most important country for Somaliland, regardless of the forum bravado or ill informed views on Gheuelleh. Don't try to jump your brother to get to Ethiopia. He has the key there too.
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Ducale, No matter how angry, no matter the level of shock, never ever make an exception. Its all downhill. Death is death, but the method is for the living. This is the highest manifestation of culture it affects even the way you wage war. Better stick to punishments that have served society in past and present.
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The intention of the British who are the brains of these "civilized" Bedewin, was to neutralize Puntland not to "humanize" her. The Chinese are best option for Puntland, but the big risk is the Americans who can move Shabab ISIS there in a hurry with some help from Mogadishu. Puntland has been able to avoid AMISOM or other shenanigans for now, but is easy for her enemies to move ISIS there. Catch 22. Better focus on other things for now on fishery, roads, farms, get work permits and send Puntlanders for expats income etc and forget oil, ports the 2 most dangerous for now. Train and provide army for hire as well. You can have defence capability paid by others.
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PUNTLAND’S SHAM SHOWDOWN AT TUKARAQ: WINNERS AND LOSERS
Old_Observer replied to maakhiri1's topic in Politics
Suldaanka, Its not open ended. As far as Ethiopia and Djibouti are concerned Puntland and Kilil 5 matter more than Mogadishu if it comes to it. Other powers that be I don't know, but when something breaks loose the two countries will base their decisions on Puntland and Kilil 5. Poor Puntland. Every body wants her to fight against somebody. ONLF wants Puntland to be against Ethiopia. Somaliland wants her to fight with Mogadishu Mogadishu wants her to fight against Somaliland Everyone of the above wants to use Shabab and Gaalkayo to pressure Puntland.- 24 replies
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Uganda blames Somalia for the killing of Somali soldiers
Old_Observer replied to Deeq A.'s topic in Politics
You are correct. But when you make dust of your city any Joe can blow it to your face. A lot of this will happen, even Shabab can use it using its members and suporters in SNA. The situation allows for anyone who has some penny to their name to be a player. -
This is funny. Suldaanka, Does this mean next animal that needs civilizing is Somaliland? And the next animal after is Puntland? I think you did not think about Somaliland in your haste to make Gheuelleh look bad. These Bedewin will soon see their money taken to the cleaners by Israel. Let them do what Bedewin does when had enough caffaine.
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Uganda blames Somalia for the killing of Somali soldiers
Old_Observer replied to Deeq A.'s topic in Politics
Dahireeto, But in all fairness that is the modus operandi of any military including that of SNA. You fire back if fired upon. The name of it is friendly fire. Especially since its hard to identify Al Shabab even the SNA can have friendly fire incidents of its own. Americans destroyed a whole team of their own in Afghanistan. -
Tallaabo, You got it. There is no better way to achieve peace than having common and interlinked interest in life. The Somali from kilil 5 will wish the best in Somaliland more when he has interest than any other reason. The reason why the kilil is building airports roads on its own not waiting for federal government is to get early investment flow and is already paying off. As much as Somalilanders were active in Djibouti will be active in kilil 5 as well. Even with some temporary and small problems both Somaliland and kilil 5 have worked well in terms of security. Both might not make pronouncements of love, but both are happy with the internal workings.
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Somaliland's own GERD dam project (Xumbo Weyne) ends in failure
Old_Observer replied to Deeq A.'s topic in Politics
It is world problem. Its just that when it happens on the poor countries its more visible and our corrupts: 1. don't just skeem they take the whole bag. 2. So arrogant and ignorant don't hide they carry the bag openly 3. Never use it for investment but womens jewelery, houses, all useless things that last only one generation etc -
Kagame and Meles might have chosen this after 5-7 years in power. Meles wanted to be a professor in a specially made for him univeristy where only candidates for generals and ministers would graduate. He had enough people to run the show and make him Mao. He really wanted to retire. Kagame: Get this. He agreed with Israel for it to return all Eritreans Tigray to Ruanda with 4,400 cash in hand to each and also work with UN, EU agencies money raining with full support of jewish media and banks...what a business Gheulleh as you said is traditional, but this is where all the most sophisticated and deep pilosophy has to meet the road. He is on the road. He has perfectly balanced the Afar, Somali and Ethiopia. Of course he skeems from everything especially the lady from Somaliland is capable one, smart and polite not acting like these kenyan and ghanian wives rude, crude and ignorant village embeciles.
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I think the conflict in Puntland was with wrong information and fake news. Puntland did not deal like an independent country Puntland did not deal anything that affects any other region or SFG, its like a city giving contract to a company to collect its garbage not that small potatoes but nothing to intefere with sovereignity or integrity of Somalia. Its unfair to ask somebody to wait for you forever when you cannot manage the Capital and wheeling and dealing from the Capital to your hearts content. Since road work to Ethiopia is involved Illey is also aware of what it is and welcoming the deal.
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http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-43188739 Oodweyne, Super power China wants continuity so does everyone else. It is easy to change Prime minister when the Bank is private and MPs are half working for other countries. Not Premiere that controls everything from the Bank to the slums. This make Ghuelleh look like a family elder.
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Oodweyne, I am only comparing commerial side of it. Some people think that 30 years is a long time, forgetting 30 years have been spent already in doing nothing. If some Somali principality or kingsom had played it the way singapore and now the Bedewin Arabs did, we would not be on a discussion forum now we would all be in some other forum playing in big leagues. Its in that aspect I see it. And if the whole thing is done without bloodshed it will be there for centuries. I do not see this from Greater Somalia kind of political glass. The one thing that need to be avoided is Somali kilil involvement. Both you and Djibouti need to pay Illey a cut starting right now. Don't be selfish and think that you can sideline him. Ethiopia at one time had all these ports. Its with selfishness of a king from central, having nothing to do with sea from adam and eve days that brought this situation. It will also work for other useful objective as well, we leave it at that.
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The whole country is only enough for Military bases and Ports. Rent is high and even the French who use to own this shindig are now servants. Do not pay rent like others, but have to defend the country from Arabs, thsat is their job and payment. I don't see a way for Somaliland undoing all this. Somaliland should target its market to Somali Kilil and Central Somalia. Djibouti has already seeding done up to Sudan, South Sudan.
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