Oh galbeedi, what happened. Your Oromo brotherhood network out of service? Inetresting picture you have there made from some 6 pictures. Movie production should be next. I think you know what Weyannie means? EPRDF will be expanded but not disbanded. The Somali will be in as equal to the Oromo, South, Amhara and Tigray. Next Afar and next other regions. maybe by some changed formulae. How would you like that? I know you will be against it, since the Oromo are dead set against it.

Tillamook, You think its Tigray AI playing games on you? You think this is Jewish Orthodox and Chritian Orthodox Computer that generated this? This is true and verifiable spend few minutes and you will learn why the relations between Eritrea and Ethiopia is influenced. It is not semantics, these are real people.

Priceless

Here we go again. Another accusation on Ethiopia which comes when there are inernal problems too hot and too heavy to handle. UAE influences regions and Qatar/Turkey influence President and PM. That was in the hearing of congress in America. There is enough Somali population now and last 20 years, who is aware of this punching bag, Ethiopia. Ethiopia comes wheever there is internal problems that does not want to be spoken openly.

I also need to know how you figured that out. Just kidding. Terrorism in Djibouti, Kilil, Ethiopia has also been reduced close to zero. I think one needs to look some rich very rich financiers for Shabab or ISIS beyonf these poor and backward societies. One thing is for sure Djibouti, Kilil, Somaliland, Puntland are all very serious about this. It means downfall if they play with such dangerous weapon. Regardless of their other competition they seem to work co-operatively on this. Somaliland would be rained by the others if get caught playing dirty. No Somaliland authority will risk this. Can be hanged from tallest post. But there is a limit. One cannot keep doing the same thing all the time. What is the point every 2-3 years Shabab shows up, Puntland mobilizes defeats it and then 2-3 years later shows up again. And in those 2-3 years Puntland cannot have business confidence to plan and work on big projects.

There is nothing to prevent now. All Arabs/Moslems are tripping each other to that entity. Eritrea, Ethiopia, Djibouti have no problems. It may be contageous lol If you are talking in military power, that also may be close to truth. Why not copy the winner. Let alone Somaliland countries like Turkey, Ethiopia, Egypt, UAE are all copying from same.

Mooge, Its all good, but you do not want to be killed today for a chinese possiblity of tomorrow. Remember the difference: The chinese do only commerce. government, security, safety, health, education and defence is all your business. With Americans everything is their business, but liberal in commerce. The modus operandi is opposite. That is why its so difficult to dance to both music. The chinese will build road, but you need to secure the construction and functioning of the road from terrorist from other governments from local opposition..everything. The moment Puntland starts building good road to kilil, Shabab, ISIS, ICU...and new names will show up. Is Puntland capable of doing that on its own as has done so far? I am doing a lot of reading as to what happened in the 1890-1900. In some cases its exact repeat in others player changes and close repeat.

I understand where from galbeedi is coming and his whole unflenching anti kilil attitude. Even if there is strict check at the border depending of what information the agencies both sides get and share, it benefits both Somalis in keeping their mutual security and safety. What galbeedi is missing is that the Somali kilil has complete trust and proven reliability of keeping its territory by itself with no need of having soldiers from different cultures and societies roaming the kilil.

I hate to say it, but as the westerners say "the devil is in the details" I am sure the agreement has numbers. By volume of money, by containers, by weights etc. I cannot believe Somaliland signed by geography of no port development acroos all her sea shore. Unless during days of colonialism nobody signs that kind of agreement these days since business is changing very fast. The agreement between Djibouti and Ethiopia for example is full of numbers, yet the Ethiopian opposition will tell you that the Tigray have tied Ethiopia completely to benefit their friend Gheulleh. Which is never the case. Its just that Ghelleh needs guarantees to build all the ports, roads, railroad at least until he recoups his investment. DP also needs guarantee at least to recoup its investment and that is a number related/based on real on the ground number that can be seen, verified.

Incredible. Now you are bragging about everything you did wrong. That TFG was one of the best hopes to re-establish Somalia. Yet the dirtiest plitics was played by some Mogadishu politicians accusing Puntlanders of coming on Ethiopian tanks to retaliate for the 1991. Of the two between south and north Mogadishu one was holding a welcoming party to TFG the other was preparing with ICU to go underground and fight. Here is what one Somali in Mugadishu said at the time: "The future of Somalia is very bleak and Somalis will share the same fate with Iraq and Afghanistan," Mogadishu resident Abdullahi Mohamed Laki told The Associated Press. "The transitional government has no broad support in the capital." Forget the empty talk of soldiers killed from this or that side and buildings destroyed....that is war propaganda. There is a saying "We have said all the bad words, but the goats are gone/taken" That is exactly what you are saying. Actually Meles had to promise to get Ethiopian soldiers out in weeks, that is how he got majority support in Parliament. Late A. Yusuf as well was convinced did not need Ethiopians soldiers if Mogadishu folks held to what they agreed. Ethiopians and soldiers from Puntland wanted to wait until the locals in Mogadishu have organized themselves. And here you are bragging of something that did not happen, but not concerned of what was lost. The Ethiopian soldiers will always have more Somali in them than any other country's even more than that of Djibouti or Kenya, yet you seem to be more welcoming Brundi and Uganda soldiers than Puntlanders and bragging (falsely) about it.

That is the most misunderstood part of the agreement. The purpose of the limitation is: No other port in the territory of Somaliland will be developed without invetment or permission of DP world to compete or take business away from Berbera. It was the same in Djibouti so Djibouti built 3 other ports. 1 is only for Potash export from Ethiopia (new product new business) 1 is only for meat and live animal (mostly new business and new product of processed) 1 was ok with DP world since the capacity of the Djibouti port was overwhelmed. Example: If DP world and Somaliland had agreed by volume lets say 2 billion worth of business, then once that is fulfilled Somaliland is free to deal with the extra.

There are even Ethiopians who get mixed up on that, until they find out when an Eritrean goes what? The Tigre are more than 80 percent Moslems and Tigray are more than 90 percent Christians. The Tigre BTW I did not point out are also in Eastern Sudan (about a million). I was just pointing out the Eritrea Ethiopia only. There was funny cartoon from Amin Amir where the Sherifs and Aweys were talking Tigray this Tigray that in their conference in Eritrea, until young Aiidid came and told them there is more Tigray dominance here than in Ethiopia. It was priceless.

Did you see Amin Amir's cartoon. It perfectly describes what is "brewing". I still think the SFG should have passed the resolution, filed it in all international bodies and move on. Not even dwell on it. Not much good will come out of it. The Ethiopian minister is outraged too that some SFG folks tried to use this for enmity to Ethiopia, and you can imagine what some Ethiopian opposition do with such a thing. The dwelling on this seems more targeting Puntland rather than Somaliland. That plus UAE money to regional hot spots can become undoing of current achievements. Ethiopia recognizes that Somalia have every right and responsibility to oppose and invalidate the agreement, but not to make it political fight between countries or regions.

I fully agree with you, but from different angle. I still think UAE and Djibouti will at least partly reconcile and that will limit Berbera development the level of it. Ethiopia for sure will invest at the very least a good road which will be less than 300km all together. That is in the works long before the DP issue happened. The Djibouti Ethiopia business is only affecting tip of the kilil. From Somaliland will be a lot more. Unless Ethiopia really takes off for next 10 years as the last 10 years, the volume through Somaliland can only be 20%. But that 20 percent can be even more than Somaliland's capacity if Ethiopia continues same growth.

Amazing galbeedi, You seem not to care about facts, only the conclusion you want to reach on a post. Are you sure you know what is happening in the Somali kilil, I do not think so, unless your information source is as always the Oromo who want to show the Somali in bad light and contradictory. Do some investigating of your own, ask some of your friends that see hear and understand what is happening n the ground. The Somali kilil is gateway to Djibouti or Somaliland. Trade from Somaliland side would cover more geographic area and trade from Puntland would even cover most area, that is why as long as Djibouti is not threatened, the kilil wants the Somaliland project also to go ahead and the Ethiopian government agrees with the kilil. Don't try to put down a fellow Somali, and that based on false information, just to make a statement on unrelated issue. I know you are angry with the kilil for 2 reasons: The Somali Not supporting Oromo on their way to Ethiopian Palace And that the Somali have relative peace and development in Ethiopia and have chosen to stay in Ethiopia

Conclusions: AMISOM withdrawal is solely money based not based on strength of Somalia army Al Shabab cannot be defeated and cannot be negotiated with (wow what a dawner) Al Shabab is using marginalized communities who see no hope with the formulae, the non marginalezed cannot unite The federal Gov is not united, corrupt, and collection of various interests 2.5 million Somalis displaced next draught next crisis could be catastrophic. IDPs cannot farm, cannot develop always at risk for eviction by stronger clans. SNA is mistrusted by some important clans, poorly organized, Qatar Turkey control President, PM and UAE/Saudi control regional states On the other hand: Each of the presenters and members of the committee are showing bleak situation because they want American money directed to areas of their interest. Also want to show that Trump actions are bad. More money for this more money for that as each will benefit Congress wants to show Chinese threat to be more important than Somalia Congress worries more about Kenya and Ethiopia than the 12 million Somalis America itself is influenced by UAE - Qatar tug than Somalis None of the advisors consultants for example proposed radical change or solution. Only one of the consultants asked one question: The question should not be why Al Shabab is strong, but why the SFG is so weak Why have some regions withstood Al Shabab and are least supported (Puntland is one he seems to have had in mind)

That is hipocritical and you know it. FYI Tigre are an Ethnic, found only in Eritrea, that are about 1.5 million people. Their Language is Tigre Tigray are in both Eritrea (about 2.3 million) and Ethiopia (about 6 million). Their language is Tigrinya. Both these peoples have same origin like cousins. Both Tigre and Tigrinya are far enough to need an interpreter, but close enough to make out 25-30 percent communality. Bth originate from Geez (like latin for Europeans that is only used now in Churches). Geez Tigre Tigrinya Hareri Silte Amharic (Tigrinya Agew and Oromo mix) seems how they born and grew separately. Back to topic. The Target, the reason, motivation of the whole excercise is Ethiopia for persons like you. That is a fact. Just do not take the Somali people to another war with Somaliland before you even have a house in Mogadishu. This time will be total devastation. People in the hinterlands do not have economy to last a season unlike the 90s where they had ability to withstand some months and years of chaos. Even then the famine happened and foreign countries had to help. If as you say the target is Somaliland, then don't you think that you are only deepening the bitterness? If you are willing to act and war based on your past sentimentalism, don't you think Somalilanders would have past sentimentalism as well? Negotiation should be the only and only way. Its humaine, constructive and better relations regardless the results, for tomorrow. Its also guaranteed to bring results. Will also limit foreign interference.

I am afraid the one subject you do not like, having a temporary capital somewhere other than Mogadishu is one major factor for presence of AMISOM. Imagine the amount of time, resource, life and limb spent just on the Capital city. Past glory can not substitute current problems. How can you have soldiers from Bay to pacify Mogadishu? Will not work. SFG come to the Bay clean up the Bay then take men from Bay anywhere you need them. Support and work with Puntland and then you can take men from Puntland to Balcad. Not the otherway round. My friend. You cannot fight Shabab while praising Saudis for faith reasons. A Saudi family that did not contribute a sack of wheat for the hungry, but willing to spend millions to pressure Somali governments to bend.

What kind of culture does prevent one from knowing the fact that: Turkey is a country Europeans are afraid of being colonized by. Saudi Arabia does not run from the Holy cities but more from Telaviv, London and Washington Why would a Saudi spend money on Kurds, knowing fully the risk to Turkey, but to follow Israel UAE and Saudis are parallel even in religion, not even close I hope Somalia can assert capably to her interest and dignity, without being football of middle and super powers. But not under any condition like you. Mine is without war. There should not be war with Somaliland that will bring back things to 1991 and this time with Somalia being more in focus and cross hairs of so many countries guns, can bring real devastation on the poor people in the regions. Far worst than 1991-2 since at that time people still had wealth, farms, camels, goats, modern facilities. Now very little. Can you ask your Oromo friends to raise my paygrade when they get to Ethiopian palace, since you seem to have so much connections? Can you also ask Illey to accept anything and everything the Oromo wants him to obey and be intimidated?

Everybody is suing for peace in Afghanistan. Pakistan America NATO Everyone wants to end this nightmare, how is the problem. America trying to avoid Vietnam 2 where helicopters cannot land but see a sea of people from far that needed to be evacuated. Pakistan wants negotiated settlement where she has more influence and the Chinese are not affected by their own Taliban problems NATO just simply wants to get out Only Turkey and Iran can save the situation through negotiations and get help of Euroasians and Pakistan. The Afghan people, killers of Empires have only one difference with Somali. The Somali fell to colonialism first and the Afghans fell in the 21st century. Iran might be able to secure all bordering countries in its favour before attacked by Israel.

Like Mattis, Nicholson sees a window open for the U.S. and Afghan governments to reach a peace deal with some members of the Taliban. He cited Afghan President Ashraf Ghani’s recent invitation to the Taliban to talk without preconditions, the Taliban not rejecting it out of hand and the ongoing U.S.-led military campaign among the factors that could force a negotiated settlement. "All Wars must come to an end" at some point or another. “Yes, the Taliban is in the city,” Nicholson said. “Yes, there are facilitation networks in the city. These networks need to be identified and destroyed, and then the safe houses or whatever locations they have developed need to be identified and eliminated.” U.S. and Afghan governments plan to build the number of Afghan special forces from 19,022 to 33,896 by 2020, according to a Pentagon report to Congress released in December. http://nationalpost.com/news/world/as-taliban-bombs-cause-kabul-mayhem-secretive-raids-part-of-u-s-effort-to-stop-attacks

Compared to traditional routes, passages via the Arctic can be 30 to 50 percent shorter, cutting time, costs and fuel. They have great economic potential for the world, particularly trading powers such as China. The Arctic routes will further drive global transport costs down by offering an alternative route to shipping companies, breaking the monopoly of some of the world's key waterways, such as the Malacca Straits and the Suez Canal. http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-11/03/c_136726129.htm https://beltandroad.blog/2017/12/24/the-ice-silk-road-sino-russian-cooperation-in-the-arctic/ Cheaper and faster logistics Transporting cargo by sea remains cheaper than rail or road, explaining why 90% of the world’s goods are still transported by sea. For China, the Northern Sea Route is cheaper and faster than the Southern Sea Route which runs through South-East Asia, India, the Middle East, Northern Africa, the Suez Canal and the Mediterranean Sea. The NSR runs along the northern shores of Russia through the Arctic Ocean. The distance between ports in Northern China and Western Europe, the North Sea and the Baltic Sea are reduced by 25-55% using the NSR. Improved trade security Given the continued importance of the trade for China’s economy (both for its raw material imports and all its exports), it comes as no surprise that China wants to protect its key trading routes and open up others to offer reliable alternatives. The majority of China’s imported energy supply – e.g. over 80% of oil imported by sea – comes through the Malacca Strait, a route that risks closure by rival powers in the event of escalating geopolitical tensions. Moreover, instability in certain African and Middle Eastern countries continues to add risk to trading routes through the Gulf of Aden, Suez Canal and the Mediterranean; in the process increasing insurance premiums paid by Chinese shipping companies. The NSR provides an alternative and arguably safer route given the probability of tensions with Russia is far lower. Resources opportunity Development and extraction of natural resources in the Arctic present a sizeable commercial opportunity. The Arctic contains abundant deposits of nickel, copper, coal, gold, uranium, tungsten, and diamonds, and currently produces 10% of the world’s oil and 25% of natural gas. Prestige As China becomes a stronger maritime power, leading explorations into previously uncharted territory becomes a motivating factor. China currently has four Arctic bases, two of them operating all year round. Their maintenance requires regular and timely supplies of food and equipment; consequentially China has started work on its second large-scale and the first self-made icebreaker, the “Xuelong 2“, which is set to be completed in 2019. Xuelong – the first icebreaker – was constructed has been in use since 1994. Sino-Russian cooperation in the Arctic All of these four factors point to increased Sino-Russian cooperation in the Arctic. Russia’s existing strength in the Arctic is reflected in its icebreaker fleet, currently the largest in the world with 40 icebreakers. This is a contrast to the United States which only has two ice-breakers, although only one is able to operate in the Arctic across the entire year. Russia’s experience and infrastructure in the region could serve as a base for collaboration; and China has the financing capabilities to spur further development. That can be seen, for example, in China’s $12 billion worth financial backing of the $27 billion Yamal Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) project in Northwestern Siberia. The Chinese investment was made in April 2016 and helped to set the project on track despite the financial pressure faced by Russia from international sanctions. Once completed, the project will help satisfy China’s demands for LNG. Moreover, Russia, facing sanctions from the US and Europe, is incentivised to improve trading routes to China. Combined with the trade security issues facing China, the Ice Silk Road presents a mutually beneficial project for both. And indeed the security aspect should not be overlooked as the militaries of the two countries have already held joint military exercises in the Baltic and South China Seas. The backdrop of Sino-Russian ties is conducive for the development of the Ice Silk Road, a key pillar of China’s Belt & Road Initiative. During the Belt and Road Summit held in Beijing in May 2017, President Vladimir Putin delivered the second keynote address after President Xi – the positioning of his speech in itself speaks volumes of how the two nations see their relationship developing into the medium term. The Ice Silk Road stands as the latest manifestation.

Well its your preference, but in my view, religion has not much to do if any of the war in Yemen. There are 2 provinces in Saudi Arabia that should have returned to Yemen 3-4 years ago. The Saudi also are trying to prevent a defeat, so that it does not encourage others to challenge the family/tribe/clans ruling Saudi Arabia. Both America and Israel also wanted base in Yemen, which was not feasible, but the late Ali Saleh offered to Russia. He was also trading with North Korea.

galbeedi, Someone is able still to dictate every country direct or indirect. That is America. They even dictate to the Chinese, can blow Pakistan to smittens by India. They are in Afghanistan disrupting so many things of Russia and China. I agree so many countries are trying to rise up, but will take long time. As for Ethiopia, its not totally out of the system, its just that it is a very small bit safer than the rest.

I wish. Would have made money in both cases 24 hours. How about Tigray AI What do you think of the question: Whay Somalia did not ban Ethiopia from doing any business in Somalia? Give it a try. Its only fair. Yes the minister took it personal. You will hear about it. I am absolutely sure unless Somalia PM does or say something to address it.