In 2011, when Shariif Ahmed objected the unilateral invention of Kenya in Somalia, even the good man Farah Macalin went to Hargeisa and said he supports Somaliland to exit the union. So is this move from you is anger to stick to Somali government or genuine desire to dismantle Somalia. Many times I said that while Somaliland declared many others are on the way out . THey might be here physically but are already out. Wadankani dib u xorayn buu u baahan yahay

You really went overboard this time. Farmaajo and the current government has nothing to do with the sea. signature. Actually it was signed under Shariif Ahmed government whom you seem to be supporting. Furthermore, I thought you were a Jubbaland guy not Kenyan spokesman. We might be dysfunctional nomads but we are not cowards. The Kenyans didn't own much of a business before we showed up. Everything was owned either by Asians or Europeans. For most of you history started in 1991 but according to Somali Generals , the Kenyan soldiers used to throw their guns and run away when they see a Somali soldier. Just like the South African savages we helped liberate from the colonials these Kikuyo want to rob the Somali shops in the future, but unlike South Africa we will have guns to defend. Dalmar, you raised a good point.

The Somali lion is badly wounded yet, the Kenyan hyena is still afraid of us. Too bad they had their Kenyan in chief as Obama and there will not be another one. Soon just like the Jews we will have Somali politicians from around world stages, the chief justice of the ICC in just one of them. Ilhan Omar might table a legislation in US congress to sanction Kenyan clear cutting of trees for coal and other misdeeds. Despite the tough talk from these young educated class , Kenya is very weak and venerable. A small Somali band of guerrilla will burn them easily. Besides, I didn't know that we are so powerful. One thing for sure is that if the Somali lion lion wakes up those fears could be real. Just like the British are higher than the Spanish in Human food chain in terms of power and prestige we will always better than the Kenyans. deep down they know it. Now, our own young educated class must take a page and give a lesson to these Kenyans. Those young guys who supposed to answer and debate our issues in the world stage are either busy with waving false flags like Suldaanka, or mesmerised with Puntland, Jubbaland , HirShabbele or these useless enclaves. aaway wiilashii yar yaraa ee halkan nagu wareeiyey? Waar waa qayrkiin oo Ugaali soo cunaye orda ooo iska dhiciye. Habeen iyo maalin halkan ayey nagula murmayaan iyagoo tuulo gaajo loogu dhintay oo biyo la'aan ah amaanaya. Waar kaca oo Kikuuyada qayrkiin ah u jawaaba. Wiilka Soomaaligu Sodon markuu dhaafo xaafadii yarayd ee uu ka soo jeeday ayuu dib ugu noqdaa. Ah , this nation needs a leader.

We have been told that Somalia needs an army. with all these mechanized trucks in Jubbaland in these pivtures combined with Galmudug and Puntalnd the federal army , you get enough. Miyaa ciidamadaan la qarameeyo inta mid kale la raadinayo.

I have not seen India build rail roads in Africa but $4.2 billion to build on existing tracks is a lot of money. Also, there is already an electric transmission lines that bring Ethiopian electric to Djibouti. The cost is 6million dollars per kilometer for single track railway. That means the TPLF crooks must have pocketed the rest of the money. The ill educated TPLF doesn't even compare other parts of the world where similar projects are built. Everyone knows that Djibouti has huge revenue issues and can not pay back anything. In Djibouti , even the ticket agents are Chinese these days. Somalia has no business of debating anyone on the issues of security. A tough leader must keep the caravan of securing the country going while the dogs bark. Why debate these useless tribes can not even the basic salaries of their police while walking on red carpet.

Suldaanla, While there will be people who wear these colors with pride, these parades are becoming like most communist or dictatorship parades. People are mostly forced ro march. I know that in most towns in Somaliland, students, public employees and even universities are forced to march. I some towns the ruling class clan wears the colors while others refuse. As times go by , 18 may will disappear just like 21 October or other revolutionary days created by Juntas.

The only law and order that exist in Somaliland is s the one among the people.The police usually arrests those who commit useless crimes like wearing a hat of Somali flag or raiding the homes of people who disparaged the dear leader. There are so many murders in a day light and the culprits are rooming in the countryside. In Sanaag dozens of people are murdered last year and no one arrested them. There are no real police who will go after real crimes, as usual they chase the poor and the weak. If the tribes abandon the goodwill to keep the peace , then may God help us, because the police are incapable of resolving crime or going after real criminals.

Oh man, you want your own country humiliated by another one. This has nothing to do with Farmaajo, it is Somalia and Somalis that are humiliated. No wonder Kenyans put Apophis and his ilk knowing they will serve well putting knife in the back of Somalia. Walaahi Dalkani Gacan bir ah in lagu qabto ayuu u baahan yahay. OO, Exactly. Eritrea, Abiy and Arabs. to many fronts. The foreign policy is dysfunctional, they need a heavyweight minister. Farmaajo must bring back C/raxman Bayle as foreign minister. He sued the Kikuyo few years back and forced the Kenyatta kid to land to Mogadishu. Kenya is venerable.

The Iran strategy is that if they can't ship oil no one will. The conventional wisdom is that neither Iran nor USA want war. Even the Saudis understand that war with Iran will be disaster for her and especially for her allies. Dubai and Abu dhabi will be the first casualties of war. One single missle to downtown Dubai and they are done. The problem is these Persians got the numbers of Arab dictators, and also they can smell the American bull shit from far away. On the other hand these Houthis must be disarmed and join the peace process. They shouldn't be allowed to threaten Saudi Arabia or Makkah and Medina. We can't accept that. If the price is right, we Somalis could defeat the Houthis very quickly. My condition would be total unification of Somalia, and 40,000 men armed and paid well and will give ten thousand of those boys to defend Makkah. Heck, rather than die in the high seas or killed in tribal war, our boys will be dying defending Makkah and Madinah. We get the worldly dollars and the Akhira rewards of defending the birthplace of Islam. I know the Saudis got big toys, and all the air power but wars are won by booths on the ground, by men on the ground. My God, when these ideas of our will be implemented for change. Farmaajo, thing out of the box and take a side for huge price. In 1951, Turkey , Ethiopia and others joined the Korean war on the American side and both rewarded. Turkey joined NATO later and King Haile Selassie got all he wanted including annexing the Howd and Reserve in 1954.

After all, this Cabdulaahi Deni guy isn't that bad. He seem to be a reasonable guy with measured and well balanced speech. He is definitely someone this Farmaajo government and future governments could work with. Totally different the old guards of Puntalnd leaders we used to see.

The EU rejected American moves in the gulf and even rebuked them waging war. Here an adviser to Federica Mogherini even going further saying : "I don’t think it’s possible, because to be honest, I don’t think the United States has the military capability of actually conducting a war in Iran. I mean, they can certainly go to war,” she said. “The point is that they want to win it. I mean, they haven’t exactly been able to win a war in Iraq, and it’s a country that is incomparably smaller and weaker. So I don’t think that it is a realistic objective.” After Sable rattling and sending some ships to the region , TRump said, " I am waiting for them to call and talk". These Persians are not Arabs, and they said, it is all about waging psychological war against us and we won't be talking to Trump unless he reverses. As you said the gulf boys could be the losers even on the hint of war. Be careful for what you wish UAE.

One thing I agree with you is Farmaajo can not match the toughness and eloquence of Ahmed Madoobe. Even the disorganized opposition from Mogadishu is riding him as the man who would confront Farmaajo. I do not think that Farmaajo will win re-election, that is given. don't you think that in the Jubbaland parliament there are other clans who also votes that might switch to Seeraar , after all money counts in Jubba just like in Mogadishu.

Apophis, I am not against OG. Mr. Seeraar ( The ****) is a lost cousin of mine and I am supporting him.

Do you see the guy with the : Macaws iyo Shaal" ? that is the interior minister. seem relaxed with no agency.

It is very strange. I saw this report yesterday from some news outlets who reports fire in that port. Yet, few hours later the port authority and UAE denied the incident saying it was false. It is probably fireworks and false flags for the next war. The problem is the Emirates need lessons to create one. This one was a failure.

By the order of the so called international community, Somali leaders met in Garoowe, Puntand , to resolve some issue about the next election and how to divide the money coming from Nairobi. By the normal world standard the major issues are negotiated by bureaucrats and mid level politicians or ministerial delegations to push the process ahead. At the end the principles, mainly either the prime minister or the president arrives and discusses the main sticking points before signing the document. If there is impasse between the groups, the main disagreement points are put aside and those agreed upon are inked collectively while showing maturity and understanding. That is the real world. Here in Garoowe, without prior preparation or memorandum of understanding of the issues, everyone including the president sat down in a room and debated almost every thing about a week. In the land of dysfunction and anarchy , you start the whole thing from the top in order to satisfy the the men who are carrying the Nairobi money in their bags. Puntalnd leader C/laahi Deni and Hir-shabeele leader Waare want some money to manage the affairs of their regions, and might get their wish for some badly needed cash. They have also shown some class including the South West leader Lafta Gareen . On the other hand, Galmudug leader Xaaf doesn't care anything else other than to extend his term to another three years. Madoobe, the man of the hour, want to extend his term one more time while obfuscating his intentions and adding some other issues that doesn't concern him including the issue of the national capital and Somaliland. On the orders of Hassan Sheikh, he want to create a former president Hassan Sheikh style of of the so called leaders council (Golaha Hogaanka) comprised from the president, prime minister, deputy prime minister ( the later added to make it 4.5 and add Somaliland in the mix), the parliament speaker and the regional presidents. Just before he was defeated in the last election, Hassan Sheikh created " Golaha Hogaanka" brought MOhamed Jawaari , the leader of the parliament and sidelined and ignored the rest of the parliament. Madoobe want the same way Hassan Sheikh did and wanted to dictate the terms to the next road maps to the Farmaajo government. Th president told him that those issues concerning the election will be managed by the parliament and the regional governments had nothing to do. . He reminded Madoobe that his main task should be to hold a fair and free election in JUbbaland. This tough guy will not take no for an answer. Mind you that Madoobe is different than the rest of those weak guys sitting in the table. He was the only Somali leader who had seen real combat, not only as a commander , but on the front lines as a soldier both in the Islamic courts war against Ethiopia in Mogadishu and the war in Jubba against Ethiopia (Muuse Biixi has mostly taken his own pictures driving jeeps but never fired a real bullet) . Madoobe was badly wounded couple of times. He is a real veteran of war. So, Madoobe is not your average Somali leader who could be intimidated by DEni, Farmaajo or anyone of those weak boys sitting the table across him. I do not know the accuracy of the news, but some reports indicate that Madoobe might even tried to punch people to get his way. Looking back his combat experience and toughness, Madoobe would have been useful to us if Somalia someday wanted to kick its enemy out of the country especially the Kenyans. To bad he is on the wrong side of history at this stage. We wish if he was on our side. Who knows a real leader might have even convinced Madoobe to abandon the Kenyans and rule the land without them. Spending seven days in a room with his regional rivals and leaving empty handed is a humiliation for the president and for the country. Folks, we are not just talking about Farmaajo, it is about the office of the president demeaned in way that makes the leader even weaker to perform his duties. If you spend that much time in one place including your prime minister and leave empty handed with nothing to show, that is unacceptable. The only Farmaajo could redeem himself is to eliminate Madoobe one way or another. Farmaajo can't allow Madoobe to come back and make life difficult for him for the next few months. Mr. C/naasir Seeraar, the man who is challenging Ahmed Madoobe seem to be a tough guy who can openly challenge Madoobe despite the threat of violence from Madoobe. He is also also a local guy who could create a more equitable and inclusive Jubbland than Madoobe.I t is the first time we have seen a real challenger to Madoobe in Jubba. Either Farmaajo will eliminate Madoobe now or will ever be the weakest leader Somalia even had in its history.

I think the Sudanese military is on the side of the people at the moment. The Egyptian Brotherhood made a huge mistake of taking the whole thing to themselves. They refused to shared power with the secular democrats who started the revolution without even giving them the prime minister while holding both the parliament and presidency. They even dismissed General Mohamed Tantawi, the army chief who deposed Mubaarak. Sudan must avoid the Arab fat boys from the gulf whether its Qatar or UAE.. Let the army supervise the and work with the transitional military government without huge upheaval. The Brotherhood in Sudan is one of the oldest and experienced in the region. They used to get along with Bashiir. Finally, keep away the the agitators paid to saw anarchy.

Well, if you see on the other side of the coin, it is the Kenyans who need those flights than us. Since invading Somalia in 2011, Kenya lost 80% of tourism in the country, but that business is replaced by the UN activities in Nairobi. THey are the third largest UN offices after New York anf Geneva. Their flights stary early morning until dusk, they are the largest flights by volume in Mogadishu airport. I would ban all flights coming from Kenya until they reverse their decisions including KHat. It is dog eat dog world , no more diplomacy or or cooperation. Have you seen the man who is the leader of the United States diplomatic chief in the world, Mr. Mike Pompeo. You do not need intelligence, shrewd diplomatic tactics or even negotiations. Threat and intimidation is the new diplomacy. We don't send anything to them other than corrupt politicians seeking cash from the NGO's. Close their flights.

f I have had the opportunity, just like general William T. Sherman , my army would march from Afgooye to Kismaayo, and from Balcad to Lowyacado. Somali tribes can have their enclaves but my mission would have been to secure the whole country first. I hor joogsan maayaan maleeshiyo beeleed. Certainly I wouldn't debate Xaaf, DEni or Madoobe to secure my country.Secure the whole country first and debate later. Anything the Somali tribes created for the last thirty years could be reversed. If there is a will, there is a way.

Tilamook, Wasting just five minute of your time isn't that bad compared the thirty years we lost arguing for nothing. Except Gaas Dhagoolayaal , there is movements in Somali issue these days. Events I described are all accurate except my opinions which are one man's view point. You could argue that the chances of this happening is zero, on your side, but in politics there is always the art of making things possible. Any way, who the hell is JRR? Talllaabo, I agree with you that losing 50,000 or 5% of the population is huge anywhere especially a Somali clan or group. I am also sorry about many innocent non combatant civilians who lost their lives. Not only that community but a lot of innocent Somalis who lived in Hargeisa at that time also died due to revenge , crossfire or just been caught in the conflict. War is a horrible Yet, a lot of people in Somaliland consider unthinkable for the state to bomb the city in order to expel the rebels. Any government regardless of its status whether dictatorship or democracy will defend the country against any rebel groups that tries to dismember it , and would use any force available to repel that. Most Somalis don't comprehend real wars that took place around the globe. After the destruction, there is hope and rebuilding, always. If you study the American civil war, you will be shocked how many blood and destruction were inflicted especially the Southern Confederates in order to unite the country. General Sherman burned Atlanta, Columbia, South Carolina and other towns in order to weaken the south's ability to wage war, and ransacked much of the south in order to break the moral of the south. What I mean is that the events that happened during the cold war which was waged from the Ethiopian side and the Somali side will not be basis for separation or unity according to the international community. Others had designs for our borders since 1948, 54, 60. We all need way out of the mess. Daahireeto welcome back. waa lagu waayey .

There is nothing friendly about Kenya.They want to humiliate the Somali government. It is a war, a political war. Nin ku dilay hadh kuuma jiido.

Xaaf wants three years extended to his term because he made a deal with Ehlu Shaytaan group, and these Madoobe guy reminds me of the world lords of yesteryears making useless excuses. Can you imagine Madoobe want to dictate to the government while refusing to hold free election. Let them go to Nairobi and complain.Next time wasiirka federaalka waa in ay la fadhiistaan.

The great Somali comedian AHN Cabdalle Raage had said few things about freedom to talk. The legend of the story goes like this : while he was either riding a taxi, bus or a car--- I do not know the exact vehicle---with one of the daughters of late president Siyaad Barre (AHN) , he farted on purpose to annoy one of the teenage girls of the president. She was shocked how openly the man has made noise and complained. He said your father has denied us to talk and silenced us, and now you want to deny us the release of the air from rear ( Aabahaa ayaa afka na qabtay adiguna ma dabadaad na qaban). If you are in Hargeisa these days, the most famous words in the street are don't shush me ( Waar Afka ha na qaban). Somalis every where are denied basic rights of human beings. The right to a decent job, the right to vote, the right to reject injustice and the right to live in save homes in their own country . Some had achieved peace and certain rights, yet the biggest freedom the Somali nomad can not be refused is the right to room the land as he wishes , and the right to speak his mind. You can't shush the oral society of Somalia, yet the Somali despots do not know any better. As they say, " misery not only loves company" but also want to talk and talk . It is the ultimate freedom that is left for the Somali man while everything else is unreachable.. That is why after a week of work , we all want to sit down with our friends in coffee shops and chat, although lately it is becoming difficult to sit down in one place for more than an hour. Waar Afka hana Qaban. A man from the diaspora who used to talk as he wished in the Somali media had met Muuse Biixi during the campaign of 2017. After few discussion of freedom and dictatorship, Muuse Biixi jumped in and said, " do you know who is the dictator"? . dictator is a man who comes in front of the media and talks as he wishes without even checking the accuracy of his thoughts and offending everyone as he wishes. That is the dictator. That fellow didn't understand Muuse is agitated by those who have a microphone, especially in the diaspora. In Hargeisa, where everything from the palace gossip to the ministers nepotism and government business is in the open, Biixi has difficulty to silence people. If he was familiar with the Twitter like Trump , he would have answered every noise from his detractors with midnight Tweet. Few Weeks ago , he might even had thoughts of arresting professor Samatar and Cali Khaliif in his head, but decided only to stop them traveling to Borama. He even put letters in private hotels warrining them the consequences of hosting these free speech promoted by these two strange guys. Some are demanding that these two guy be silenced and denied the right to free assembly and speech. According to Muuse, if people kept talking openly, especially about the sacred day of 18 May, things might crumble under his watch. The problem is that you can't silence people who are unemployed and got plenty of time to talk and talk. Misery loves company and want to talk. Sometimes he want to try and ignore the barking of the politicians and the public, but some fool will go to the media and remind him to do something about it ( Waar ninkan madaxweynaha iyo qaranka wax ka sheegay maxaa wax looga qaban la'aayahay).Sometimes a local police or even a minister might try to take the initiative , but suddenly it backfires. A member of parliament emboldened by the two professors questioned the SNM 18 May and thrown to jail without due process. Just like another street criminal he was locked after someone complained . This lock up of the member is probably a rude warning to Samatar and Khaliif. Last year , he said, " those young boys strolling the streets needs discipline and hair cut" . Next day The police decided to the take the initiative and started to shave the heads of the boys in public. After a public outcry they reversed the hair cut. Yet, despite all the talk, Hargeisa had decided not to talk about the current events , especially the unity drums waged by the regional governments and the international community. The Egyptians, Emirates, Qataris, Americans, Ethiopians, Eritreans and the whole world wants to push the unity issues sooner rather than later. The Middle East is changing , Again. Folks, the world is changing and a lot is brewing in our region , and the world powers want to remake the middle east one more time. A lot of things could happen before Trump leaves office. The Palestinian issue will be resolved either by hook or crook. The latest proposal already leaked to the Israeli media could be the new framework for the so called New palestine. Despite his pro-Israeli viewpoints Trump want to accomplish what he calls the deal of the century. In this proposal, the Palestinians will get the West Bank without the jewish settlements and will have border connections with Jordan. They will keep the Gazza Strip and a huge land from the Egyptian Sinai will be leased to Gazza to make airports, warehouses and other industrial land since Gazza is already crowded. Jerusalem will be the capital of both states but the city will be managed by the Israeli municipal government while the Arabs would have palestinian citizenship, and both communities can't sell their houses to the other. A four lane highway will connect Gazza to the West Bank. The land lost to settlement will be compensated by the Sinai land offered by Egypt. The Saudis will pay $10 billion dollars to sell the deal to the Palestinian leadership lad by Mahmuud abbas. The dilemma is whether Hamas led Gazza would accept the deal. While these deal gives a lot of settlement land to Israel, it might allow the Palestinians to have an independent state and live in a country without conflicts for the near future. Another issue, for the push to sideline Iran, one way or another, is despite its huge army Israel is no longer a force that can invade or occupy Arab lands anymore. Few years ago the Israeli tanks could not cross even few kilometers inside southern Lebanon with heavy casualties. With tens of thousands of rockets HisbuAllah could hit anywhere in Israel. Just Like Hisbuallah, the Palestinian Hamas is becoming a formidable force that is not going away. Last week Hamas had fired 700 missiles to Israel , and even hit Tel Aviv. Israeli planes destroyed houses , buildings and killed three dozen palestinians. Yet, Hamas rockets killed four and wounded many Israelis, and as usual, Israel is reluctant to take casualties. Invasion of Gazza could be even worse both for casualty and world opinion. Gazza is already an open prison blockaded both from land and sea, and bombarding that crowded place will alienate the international community even more. .Reports even indicate that the latest ceasefire brokered by Egypt was demanded by Netanyahu. In other words, these missiles could get more dangerous as times pass. So, the Jewish state had decided with the help of the gulf and the Saudis to crible Iran economically first and militarily if possible through the United State. On the later, Israel could create a catastrophic event that could culminate a war between America and Iran. The removal of the Palestinian issue from equation will facilitate the rapprochement between the gulf and Israel in particular and the Arab world in general. After that century old conflict is removed , the next step is to prepare the confrontation with Iran. Let alone a big war, but even small skirmishes between Iran and america in the narrow strait of Hormuz will disrupt world oil supply. OIl and commerce from UAE, Saudi, Qatar, Iraq , Iran and Kuwait pass through here. A disruption will affect the world energy markets. Saudi Arabia had already built pipe lines from the east to the west to export in the Red Sea. As commerce diverts to the Red Sea and to another narrow lanes of Bab Al Mandab, Somalia will be the strategic gateway to Asia and the southern Atlantic. 30% of world crude oil and other traded of goods pass through the Strait of Hormuz every day. Let alone war, if disruption happens oil could hit $100 dollar or more again just by the news of conflict. Also, oil producing countries, including Russia and OPEC are privately encouraging war in order to increase the price of oil. Three or four years of war would increase their coffers with billions of dollars. Iran could put mines, torpedos or even speed boats to harass and discourage oil tankers. If Iran is squeezed and denied to ship oil as Trump plans, it might try to fight back and destroy the gulf assets belonging to the American allies including UAE. In this conflict, losers will be China, India, EU, Japan or any industrialized nation that imports energy. A war with Iran will be long and dangerous even for America. Because of these major trade issues the Somali waters will be the most important waterways in the world . Already more than 5% of world trade passes the Somali waters and would increase to 30% if Hormuz is closed. No wonder even landlocked Ethiopia want to build a 30,000 man navy to safeguard the sea lanes that doesn't belong to her. You might even heard IGAD led by landlocked Uganda and Ethiopia draft the Somali maritime policy. For these reasons, the powers that be want to settle the Somali issue ASAP. My sources told me that diplomats and officials landing Hargeisa for the last few weeks were not bringing only aid or the usual niceties. Most of them were bringing messages to resolve these issues. Unlike many people in Somaliland, the world doesn't have time for lecture or history lessons from these Somali nomads whether they are in Hargeisa or Mogadishu. They see how identical the Somali race is in terms of culture , religion , custom and habit. They even see how the Somali nomads have no actual borders to keep them out of the globe let alone in the Horn of Africa. A Somaliland minister in Hargeisa might leave the next morning and join the government in Mogadishu with the same capacity and no one will even notice except few people in the media. A judge in Somaliland would go to Mogadishu and even lead the supreme court of Somalia.The man who is running Jubbaland and his army had just crossed from the Somali region of Ethiopia just a decade ago and no one is debating his nationality. It is the only few freedoms we have , to room Hargeisa, Waamo or Wardheer; boosaaso or Borama without being asked a passport. Those Somalis who were officers in the Somali army who belonged to the Jesus clan in Djibouti had crossed to that country after the independence and became officers of Djibouti. No questions asked. Despite what we claim , the world sees us as a unique nomadic race who is united by destiny but divided by tribe. For the real world , a war in Hargeisa city that destroyed buildings and lasted just over four weeks is child's play compared to the eighth year of bombardment in Syria which killed 500,000 people and made six million refugees; the disastrous war in Yemen already produced a casualty of 100,000 while that starved millions, yet there is no sight to end. Half Million Ruhinga Muslims are in limbo with no where to return. Without minimizing the suffering of the civilian population of Hargeisa and Burco and the killings of those who were innocent, the Somali civil war was just an ugly skirmishes that refused to end one way or the other. If that was a real war, then wars usually end . The guns are blazing in Sool, Sanaag, Galgaduud, Bay and Kismaayo and Mogadishu. The naysayers will dismiss this just as another long Galbeedi drival, but , history had shown that the world had tried to end this Somali quagmire through Somaliland before. Just after 911, US Central Command Chief general Tommy Franks wanted to invade Somalia after Afghanistan before defense secretary Rumsfeld and the Neocons pushed the Iraq war. Top American officials went to Hargeisa and proposed to Mohamed I. Cigaal (AHN) to lead the whole nation from Hargeisa. By that time, Cigaal was diagnosed with terminal illness and was unable to push that issues. He excused himself by saying that , " it is difficult to organize and rule the south dominated by warlords combined with the powerful religious movements who were laying law" . Also, not only Mogadishu, but there was also C/laahi Yusuf (AHN) who was hell bent to be the next president (Mar uun madaxweyne I dhaha). cigaal couldn't do it. Then in 2011,, during the reign of Shariif Ahmed, Somali was not only suffering from the insurgency war of Al-shbaab, but also a devastating famine that killed thousands. Then UN envoy Augustine Mahiga went to Hargeisa and sat down with Ahmed Siilaanyo. He said, " in 1972 , when you were the minister responsible for the economy of Somalia, how much was the budget of Somalia?, he answered, " about $300-400 million dollars". well,he said, " how about if I offer you ten times that amount, about three billion dollars and rule the whole country with blessing of the UN". Ahmed Siilaanyo would have jumped about that opportunity if the offer had came earlier years. Now, frail and sick , he neither have the energy nor the oratory to sell his plans to Somaliland ( Markaan tabar hayeyna tala mahayn, imaka oon talo hayana tabar ma Hayo). The best he could offer was some relief money to Mogadishu by the civil society. Also, deep down, he thought the insurgency was difficult to subdue. To his surprise, in September 2012, the Somalis with the help of the world had produced a national government led by Hassan Sheikh. Its failure is another story. Anyway, it had been tried before. Now, the current leader, Muuse Biixi is neither sick nor old. He and the opposition both understand the opportunity to lead the whole nation. Prominent Somalilanders told me that the international community had enquired many times and want to resolve the Somali issue through Somaliland by peace initiative led by them. Some say their condition was independence after solving the issue, but others say it was a union proposal. Abiy even wanted to land in Hargeisa with Farmaajo, while Egypt and UAE proposed to finance the future army and the infrastructure of the future union. For the Arabs, the so called Arab NATO wouldn't be possible without Sudan and Somalia. A Somali trained army would crush the Houthis in half day. Pay the Somali soldier $1000/month and Somalis will take over Sana. Do you guys know Somalis joined the Iran-iraq war just for the money. You rather fight and make money than die in the high seas or sit idle in Hargeisa and Gaalkacayo. In order to push the issue President Farmaajo has done two major things that others might not do. First, he is willing to put his seat on the line and trade for unity and peace ( Kursigiisa in uu ka dego diyaar buu u yahay haddii midnimo la helayo); Second, he showed the world how the Northern Somalis were prominent in his government. In fact, the most important positions of the government is now held by Northern politicians. Farmaajo trusts more the ability and competence of the northerns compared to southerners. THe finance minister, who is one of the most prominent in his administration and the deputy premier who had shown both elequency and capacity are both from North. Crucial position like the speaker of the upper house, the supreme court justice, the bank governor and the constitutional minister are all from north as well as the minister of the Radio and Television. He is showing how fluid is the interchanges of somalis from the North to join here back and forth. This is not the Korean divide or even the old German divide. It is the decision of incompetence and tribal greed( waa mid Farsamo xumo iyo Fawdo keentay si looga baxana la garan laa yaahay). Yet despite all these moves, Farmaajo must first get out of the mess in the South and show peace in Mogadishu and surrounding region. There is no need to waste time to warlords like Xaaf and Madoobe who want to extend their term without elections. Push the national agenda without the regional men who have nothing to offer and concentrate to the pacifying of the two rivers and then focus Somaliland. If Hargeisa started talking openly, Muuse Biixi couldn't find enough jails to put everyone. Deep down Muuse is conflicted. Rather than arrest those who bad mouth him and debate with Xildhibaan Nacnac every day, he could be be the leader of the Somali free world which is big in our side. In conclusion, either the words of deputy premier Khadar Guuleed is correct by saying that Somaliland had missed an opportunity , or Somalis will think once in their life time and change direction. Either these opportunities might just disappear or we may find in a new down thanks to the geopolitics of our region and our strategic location. Hope for the best.

It already had. Why would a Somali president sit in a table and argue with likes of Xaaf, Madoobe and others for almost a week. It is very strange. He should have sent the constitutional minister or the " Wasiirka arrimaha gudaha iyo Federaalka" and come to Garoowe to sign the agreed upon document at the end. To debate the whole week with these guys will certainly diminish any stolks Farmaajo have. It is a shame.

Almost all tribes in Sanaag are armed. the tribal militia and technicals are rooming in rural area without the interference of the military. A guy who just came from Somaliland told me that the military attends only emergency clashes but mostly hides in their camps. Yet, no one is talking about these armed tribes. Other than the last few years, the Reer Bari never accepted a government system.