Apophis , how many times i told you I do not need a job. In order to prove that I am an independent man with no political association, I will take a hiatus from commenting these issues. All i want is a working and stable nation. I want a second fair election in Jubba. Is that too much to ask?

Shariif Ahmed knows that there is quagmire in JUbba where two or even three competing leaders are deadlocked. He knows that the federal government described those elections as null and void. Others are trying to find solutions including the international community. Why would he defy the conventional wisdom and become spoiler?. For politics, I guess. Furthermore, why would the national government assist these guys to use the national airport and undermine the policy of the government. Waar ha loogu dhaarto wadaadkan in dalka dawladi ka jirto oo aan qof walba siduu doono yeeli karin. Ma ahan in lagu gacan siiyo in uu dhibta Jubbaland sii kordhiyo oo mid ka mid ah taageero. THey should ban all flights to Kismaayo until October first.

Muqdisho (Caasimada Online) – Madaxweynihii hore ee Soomaaliya Sheekh Shariif Sheekh Axmed iyo wafdi uu hoggaaminayo ayaa maanta loo diiday inay ka dhoofaan garoonka diyaaradaha magaalada Muqdisho. Sheekh Shariif iyo wafdigiisa ayaa saarnaa diyaarad ku socota magaalada Kismaayo, oo dowladda Soomaaliya ay diiday inay halkaas ka duusho, sababo aan la shaacin. Sida aan xogta ku helnay, wafdiga Sheekh Shariif uu hoggaaminayo ayaa waxay doonayeen inay ka qayb galaan munaasabadda caleemasaarka madaxweynaha Jubaland Axmed Maxamed Islaam (Axmed Madoobe). Kadib saacado ay garoonka ku xanibnaayeen, ayaa Shariif iyo xubnihii la socday waxay isaga laabteen guryahooda, waana markii ugu horreysay ee madaxweyne Soomaaliyeed sidan loo bah-dilo. Dowladda Soomaaliya ayaa maanta soo saartay xayiraad cusub oo dheeraad ah, taas oo ku saabsan duulimaadka Kismaayo. Hay’adda duulista rayidka Soomaaliyeed SCAA ayaa soo saartay amar ah in shirkad kasta oo u duuleysa Kismaayo inay soo weydiisato Xafiiska Hay’adda fasax duulimaad 24 saac ka hor. Hay’adda ayaa ka dalbatay Diyaaraddaha aadaya Kismaayo inay soo weydiisato Xafiiska Hey’adda fasax duulimaad 24 saac ka hor, sidaas darteed waxaa lagu wargeliyay shirkad kasta fasaxii ay ugu duuli laheyd Kismaayo, si aan looga joojin duulimaadka. Ma cadda in Sheekh Shariif uu saameeyey amarkan iyo in amarka uu soo baxay kadib markii la celiyey, ayada oo isaga loogu talo-galayo, waxaana ay u badan tahay in amarka uu dambeeyey.

it has damaged his stock and image. But, He will survive probably due to his good record toward minorities and multiculturalism. Private rich academies are notaries using costumes to mock blacks and others. Imagine Trump saying he shocked.

It was 40 years ago tomorrow, September 22 1979 , that the long and bloody war between Iraq and Iran started. Two oil producing and developing nations who share culture and history went to war for stupid and useless reasons. Saddam abrogated the treaty that marked the border between Iraq and Iran at Shatt al-Arab river way that divided the two countries. In 1975 , as the vice president, Saddam Hussein himself signed the treaty of Algiers in Algeria. Yet, as Iran went through the turmoil of the Khomeini revolution, he saw a weakened state that could be invaded and tried to take back Shatt al Arab by force. As the result, a nine year bloody war left millions of casualties from both sides. It was the most devastating war since the Vietnam war. Two more wars involving Iraq had taken place since then , one in 1991 gulf war and the second gulf war which both involved Americans. Just like Ethiopia followed the strategy of bringing the war between Somalia and Ethiopia inside Somalia using angry Somali tribes, Israel and America had succeeded to encourage the clashes of two of the most advanced nations of the middle east. Ayatollah Khomeini declared the gulf Arab gulf monarchies as un Islamic and illegal institutions. In return , the gulf nations poured billions of of dollars to keep Saddam in the war and defeat Iran. At the end , with no winners and millions of casualties, the war stopped in 1988. Also, a large Wahabi and Saudi led religious propaganda campaign was initiated to make the Shia as the devil incarnate. Yet, when Saddam attacked Kuwait , a gulf state member, they couldn't resolve their internal problem. Rather than find solutions, they supported the American led coalition to remove Saddam. Bush senior expelled Saddam , but didn't want to weaken the balance of the power in the region and left both Iraq and Saddam intact. His immature son, who doesn't know history or the middle east , were led by the neocons to invade Iraq following false claims of weapons of mass destruction.The removal of Iraq made Iran the sole power in the middle east. With Syria and Iraq destroyed, Yemen starving with sectarian civil war, and Egypt chained by a bloody dictator, the only two remaining countries in the middle east are Iran and Saudi Arabia. For years the Saudis and their corrupt side kick, the UAE , were campaigning for the destruction of Iran. Without thinking the consequences of that kind of conflict, they finally reached the rubicon as they say in Rome. Years of threat of war and weapon procurement had reached its end game. The blood thirsty and war mongering necons in America were clamoring for war against Iran since 2001. It was David Forum who penned the axis of evil speech targeting both Iran, Iraq and North Korea. Bush Jr. refused to wage war against Iran seeing the deadly consequences of Iraq war, and Obama with advice of American military and policy makers had agreed to reduce any possibility of war against Iran and concluded a treaty for the Iran nuclear proliferation. The Neocons led by Netanyahu and his supporters in U.S congress tried to derail the accord but all failed. Finally, Trump , the crazy horse rider who claims to understand the danger of wars in the middle east became president. In order to survive, Trump is aligning himself with the neocons and Israel with its fast network of supporters. Coupled with Saudi contracts that offered billions of dollars to the american weapon manufacturers , this match made in hell is just waiting someone to ignite the fire. Trump had declared his disdain for new wars in the middle east. He had signaled his intention to withdraw from Afghanistan and Syria, yet unforeseen events , armageddon hoping allies, and his internal weakness might lead him to war. History had shown that despite the difficulty to push a new war, American pro war industry and the neocon warmongers always get their way. This war mongers are probably ahead of everyone else and might even get their wish. Rather than just destroy Iran and create unforeseen quagmire for America in the middle east, the neocons might double down and use one stone to kill two birds. THey might simultaneously create a war between Iran and Saudi Arabia and make the middle east the most dangerous place on earth. I have no idea how could this war will take place, but , if there is ever going to be another war in the middle east, it will be one that will definitely destroy both Iran and Saudi Arabia. The necons can';t wait another ten or so years for another big one , so they might as well finish off now that crazy Trump is at the helm. Everyone one is aware that the next American president will be wary of war with Iran and might find solutions for the nuclear issue. Now, if that war takes place , the consequences will not only affect the middle east but the whole world. The world consumes a 100 million barrel of oil a day, and 10% of that is produced by Saudi Arabia. With the gulf burning , both the Bahrain and UAE oil, and Qatar gas will be out of the market. Oil will hit one hundred or even 200 dollars per barrel. The local industries and economies of countries like: China, Japan, Korea, India, and western Europe , maily ITaly and France who import oil will collapse. North America, with immense oil production, will survive and Canada could became an energy superpower. With the second largest oil deposits in the world, and stable geopolitical location . Canada will replace Saudi Arabia in the western hemisphere and even Asia. Europe will absorb probably five to ten million refugees from the region. With 70 million Iranians and 30 million Saudis, even if 10% percent of population leaves , it will change Europe for good. Unlike the Syrians who have a five thousand years old civilization and traditional skills to survive, prosper and integrate, the Saudia haven't done an honest days work in their lifetime. Certainly they will have access with money which might make it easy for visa and foreign travel , but they will have hard time to settle among these nations with the their Wahabi tradition and lazy lifestyle. Expect culture clashes and conflict for those who would made the trip. With all this scary scenarios, the time has come for the Saudis to think carefully and find solutions with Iran. Despite firing missiles into Saudi territory, the Houthis control less than 30% of territory. The west, the south and even the east is controlled by others, so does all the main ports except the hudaydah port which is contested and controlled by the UN. The Saudis have done enough damage to Yemen infrastructure already. Also, unless they send full ground invasion, it will be difficult to destroy the local Houthis. While most local Sunnies have sympathy with the Houthis against the Saudis, they do not want to be ruled by them. By all accounts, the Houthis are ready for a deal. The Saudis must realize that they have failed all their political and military efforts in the region whether it is Iraq, Syria or Yemen. The time has come to change strategy and find solutions with Iran. For decades, the Saudis were not liked by the Muslim communities around rhe world, but at least they were respected since they never involved in wars or open conflicts in the region or other parts of the world. Their position as the custodians of Makkah and Madinah should force them to be neutral and arbiterer among the Muslim nations. This young Bin Salaan must be raigned and the Saudis must return to their old foreign policy of non confrontation. Also, Saudis must realize that their nation doesn't bode well among other nations, and if harm comes to them , they might not get any sympathy from the world opinion. They do not realize that they are one the most hated nations in the world. They had already made many mistakes in all the wars that took place since 1979. If this war with Iran comes, it will be probably the last one in the middle east which will finish off many nations. Besides, the only real nations in the middle east were always Egypt, Syria, Tunisia and Iraq. The rest were tribes that got some money and built prefabricated capitals like Riyadh, Dubai and Tripoli. They probably worse than our own tribes which had destroyed the only nation we were able to gain and could,t get up again. The Saudis should avoid the necon traps and avoid conflict with Iran at any cost. They must change course and make deal with Iran. Their evil partener, the UAE had already made the deal with Iran and changed course. Who knows,. Bin Zayed might have planned this all along to bury the Saudi Kingdom. If you need help talk to Turkey . THe Iranians are on the brink of economic disaster due to the American sanctions, and should be willing participants for any SAudi dialogue. How about UNited states of America. Empires are usually destroyed either by moral decay or wars in distant lands. The second world war had finished off the British empire for good and made America the leading power, seconded by the Soviet Union under the international communist ideology. Also, unlike the old colonial countries, America was seen as the shining city on the hill by the world. Everyone wanted to be an American until they took the mantle of the old empires and become the new empire. For the last 28 years America was involved with couple of major wars in the middle east. The last war in Syria to fight ISIS and Assad in Syria was the third , and if you add the one in Afghanistan it makes the fourth major war in less than thirty years. When the late Chinese communist chairman Deng Xiaoping visited America in 1979, China was a communist black water with no major industrial output. When he toured Houston, Texas, he said he want to see were the chips are made, not the potato chips. Since then, the communist China kept gaining and gaining while America was running in the middle east like a mad dog. In 1991, America expelled Saddam from Kuwait in order to make the oil follow to the Asian nations and Europe uninterrupted. Billions were lost. In 2003 when Bush Jr. decided to invade Iraq again, the Chinese abstained at the UN vote and flooded the American market with cheap goods while uncle Sam was chasing Arabs . They kept the surplus money in America and bought American treasury bonds which reached over trillion dollars today. It just took them twenty years to become the second largest economy. Obama reversed that policy and decided to realign American policy against China and Russia. He deployed troops to Australia and decided to leave the middle east. That shift continues under Trump. Yet, a new war in the middle east will give China a breathing room . A war with Iran will probably finish off America as the natural leader of the world. The coming disaster will allow both Russia , China and Turkey to take over the middle east and north Africa. Also, war waged by narcissistic leader who knows everything and overruled everyone will be the kind of leader who will finish off America.. The war with Iran will remove America from the world stage just as the second world war finished the British empire. We all hope that there will never be a another war in the middle east, but if one comes, the world will change forever.

Since the vice presidential candidate of Waddani is from this community, they probably helping their allies in Sanaag to put more pressure to Muuse. Will see how it goes in the next few days. It is Xaaji Xanjuf maternal cousins.

Holac, Saaxiib I am safe and sound in my good old Canada. The most peaceful nation on earth. Anyway, Jabhado are the new norms now in Somaliland to extract your needs from Muuse Biixi. The Awdal community is three clan blocks, and this Jabhad is a sub sub clan of one of them.It is the Ceel Bardaale , Dila and Wajaale community. I think most of the grievances are about farm lands in " Banka Wajaale" where the government is cultivating wheat both in the public land some land that belong to that community. I have no idea how serious it is.It could be some politicians pushing things to get ministerial posts or perks. I heard that the governor met two of city council members from that community and asked them about a hundred men who were assembled in west of Dila area, and they told him that these guys are not different than when Reer Berbera put some clan members in the mountain to protest about the port, or east Burco and Buurmadow technicals in Sanaag or even Caare boys roaming SAnaag. It is a clan looking after its right. Why our boys are different?. The next day they were arrested. The talk is Muuse had fired almost all the public servants from that community since they were the supporters of Waddani party. The last director in the service was removed this week. Sida ka jirta Somaliland Waa xaqayagii baan doonaynaa, dawladiina waa lanaga nadiifiyey. I think Muuse Biixi want to crush and eliminate those who support the opposition from government jobs.. He is courting trouble.

I mean how can they all invest Garacad?

Definitely this Ghelle guy is a player. What is going on with Assab port of Eritrea? Is the Tigray don't want to use? It is much closer for them.

By the way, despite its loudly proclamation of diversification , 95% of Ethiopia's export and import is with Djibouti

The world is becoming normal again. The most important Arab country, Egypt is in chains by bloody dictator. I think he might survive until 2020. If a democrat elected to America , most of the Arab dictators will go down. I hope these protest to continue and attract more world media attention. As the clip shows if people lose the fear and speakout SISI could be in trouble. Among The crazies who support Arab dictators one, Netanyahu is out and two more, Boris and TRump, will flow. The rich gulf boys will go back to their usual business of buying yachts and casino gambling and leave world politics aside.

Natural gas here in Alberta is $1.20 in September. Natural gas never surpassed $3 dollars for the last ten years. Anyway, with large population Egypt needs gas for electric generation and should not be exporting any gas. Mr OO, The Halane guy actually said that despite the parliament passing some rules on petroleum , Somalia doesn't have any rules to govern the oil. He said major players will not enter unless clear cut rules about royalty and taxes are set. Regardless , we have to drill and get the oil out. If the gulf saga continues " Safe" countries like Somalia has to replace them, and replace quickly before the oil industry becomes obsolete 2035. Just like Abiy said, Ethiopians will come to work for us In Somalia.

I am those who believe that a port in every 200 km is a good for trade and business. Every Somali community in these regions have enough livestock to ship to outside world. Fishing ports and fish processing industry alone is more than enough for couple of hundred thousand people in those regions. Yet, you can't have three huge container ports in one region. It is going to be a tough competition. In my opinion, Boosaaso port could lose business if both Hobyo and Garacad are activated. I think a medium size port invested by the business community and Puntland could serve well ro support fishing and livestock export to the close region. Besides, all this talk of Hobyo and Garacad invested by foreign money is just a hope. Mudug having to ports is strange. Which even builds first will be the Mudug port. OO, How can you put Somaliland, Qatar, Turkey and Djibouti in the same basket?

Old Observer, I really like these Danab forces. No army in the world would defeat a well trained and well paid Somali soldier. Last month Al-shabaab detonated a car bomb in one of those forward bases by Danab and tried to swamp and jump in as they did with Burundi and Kenyan soldiers. These forces held their ground a killed everyone who tried to enter the base. Furthermore, the next day they followed Al-shabaab to their place and killed a large number of them. Some of the Turkey trained soldiers were deployed in MOgadishu and Middle Shabbeele. But I agree with you that Turkish trained soldiers are not active like Danab. The Somali officers they trained were incorporated with the army, yet they are not that active like the American forces. It is probably all about money. I hope Somalia should not lose these Turkey trained soldiers. The Americans always use their own trusted officers and soldiers to achieve their goals. In Syria, they use the Kurds YPG against ISIS and even trained Sunni Arabs to defeat Al-qaeda. In Puntland , they have what they call PIS which is a well organized deadly force. I don't like the idea of foreign paid soldiers , but these guys are chasing Al-shabaab to the bushes. Air power and drones alone are useless if ground assault doesn't follow. Anyway, neither Danab or regular army are not after Ahmed Madoobe at the moment. It is useless to waste resources in Kismaayo while you battling Al-shabaab in both Lower and middle Shabbelle. It is just misplaced fear. I think the first bullet in Kismaayo will be fired by Madoobe. Bad actors and bad advice from certain sectors might convince him to take on his opponents and try to drive them out of the city. Fatmaajo could use legal means and diplomatic pressure, but can't use force. Why would you attack KIsmaayo while Al-shabaab is in Bakaaraha and Bacad. It doesn't make sense. I will let you know when Madoobe is either going to Nairobi or Mogadishu for good.

What you mean is probably cargo freight airline to serve landlocked countries like South Sudan, Ethiopia and Rwanda. That business opportunity is there for Somaliland. In fact, it was there for Djibouti for 30 years. While Somalia was in flames for 30 years, Djibouti was served by Daalo from Somaliland and Jubba airways from Somalia. They couldn't create or manage a local airline. The ruling tribe and their boys were chewing Qat. The truth is capitalism needs well educated workforce and high class management which is another level compared to Somaliland. AS you know in Somaliland, we are tribes , and tribes can't indulge to manage sophisticated enterprises which needs high degree of merit and independence from the corrupt ruling class.. The private sector guys like Dahabshiil could probably do it. Anyway, the whole Somaliland can't accomodate more than one good airport. I laugh when I hear people talk about airports in Burco or Borama. You need to build more traffic. Forget about Berbera, just make the Hargeisa airport better and bigger.

Suldaamka, War wanaagsan baad sheegaysa . That is good news. with all the fake universities producing nothing but clerks and useless liberal art degrees, these are the ones covering the needs of the people--nurses and doctors. THese doctors are not only serving Somaliland, but across the region. In Qardho, Puntland, there are two doctors from Amoud.

Do not count on Qurbo Joog. After the initial euforia it will be over. I know and have seen that . THat is why Somaliland took over the east --consistency and study salary. How about Puntland?

The most strange thing is the Saudis spent billions of dollars for anti missile batteries from America including the Patriot .If they can't defend the largest oil terminal why spend the money. Besides, the Houthis can't reach that far with 10 drones at once. THis is strange. Someone is cooking something. The treacherous UAE had made a deal already with Iran and left the Saudis dry. Friends like these you don't need enemies. I think this is the work of Iran. since their oil exports are halted they retaliating. Even Rouhani said that if we can't export oil through the gulf , no one will. THese crazy Shia are heating things up.

The exit of the SAudis and UAE from the middle east and Africa is good news. THere will be elections and peace in Algeria, Sudan ,Tunisia, and as you said Hafter could demoralize and disappear. The best news is the coming demise of Sisi. Because of Makkah and Medina, we cared the stability of that land, but the demise of the evil kingdom might bring relief for millions. Can you imagine just last spring they were dumbing Turkish Lira to bring down the economy of Turkey. THey are really evil.

I know. The usual suspects are coming out from their caves. Let us answer to those who had posted worthy comments. Holac, the surveyors are coming in the next few months. The money for the first 40 km had been released to Djibouti. Holac, these dinosaurs won't know if the real thing hit them. All we see in these websites and news clips are photo of people meeting and handshakes with no internal commentary. For example, Biixi asked Cumar Gheele to buy weapons from Djibouti, but Gheele refused for now for fear of breaking the UN embargo against Somalia. No one is reporting this . Bakhaarkii Tigreega ee hubka laga soo iibsan jiray wuu dhamaaday. Both Puntland and Somaliland do not have enough weapons to wage wars which is good news for the locals. Suldaanka, I for one, do visit Hiiraan once every few months. I do not read their opinion pages which is typical of known things. AS they say, " tell me something I don't know". I might read Faisal Rooble who could shed light on new things and the under current issues. Anyway, I will give you today a six million dollar worthy of advice for free. Take this advice and pass to your friends in Hargeisa. Here are the main points: Maxakamado ( Courts mean trouble) haddaad maqasho ka cabso. 1--I do believe that The extra judicial courts in Burco are illegal under Islamic law and within the rules of the modern state. In Islam, justice can only be dispensed by those who have mandate and fiduciary trust from the public(Dad beeca sharci ah dadku la galay oo masuuliyad la saaray). 2-Tribal courts are usually run by extremists who have political ambitions, yet, they try to hide behind the religion to reach their goals. They are usually used in the lands of anarchy where where there are no government sanctioned courts. In this case the Burco cell is the real court.Which means Burco regional courts do not operate. 3-Todays Al-shabaab are the illegitimate sons of the Mogadishu courts. In the early stages, they were all transformed from these tribal courts by claiming to be enforcing law and order, but they mostly convicted poor and weak people by cutting their hands or oppressing them while ignoring warlords and the powerful. 4- Closing restaurants is the beginning of selective enforcement. As you are aware, Al-shabaab had bombed innocent restaurateurs in Mogadishu by either claiming to be used by foreign spies or by trying to enforce bogus dress codes. The same can be said about those in Burco claiming the employees to be Ethiopian .Village restaurant of Mogadishu were bombed twice after they refused to pay ransom. 5-Sometimes, they target businesses to stop competition and enforce the monopoly of those who pay them. The Burco courts have all the hallmark of Al-shabaab courts in Mogsadishu. These sleeper groups might have clandestine agreements within the Kulmiye leadership since 2008. In fact, Siilaanyo released many who were convicted of murdering foreign workers and other innocent people.When Muuse Biixi was challenging the leadership of the party over 20 pipe bombs were thrown in Hargeisa without trace. There is also a large number of returning Al-shabaab from the earlier wars who reside within these cities and must be exposed. Anyone with meagre knowledge of intelligence can figure out the unwritten rules of agreement with Somaliland and these cells. Of course, as you said ,certain ingredients are missing for this to flare up , but they could be activated anytime. That is why it is important to weaken and flush them out now while you have capacity to confront them. It is clear that these are extremists sanctioned by the system and they must be stopped before it is too late. Do not be fooled by " Gudiga Xumaan reebida" . Hadday Xumaan reebayaan tuugada iyo boobka ummada ayey ka hadli lahaayen. Somaliland has real Sheikhs like Sheikh Aadan Seero who addresses real corruption , theft and other crimes of the ruling class. let us stop the future Ahmed Godane type before it is too late. Deal with these future Al-0shabaab now or face the consequences later. Since you are member of KUlmiye pass these to your superiors.

Mr. OO, it is nice to hear from you . You raised good points. Especially #3 and 4 I like this one. The Egyptian dictator is getting 75,000 barrels of oil a month from the Saudis , and since 2013 has received 25 billion dollar grants. My God , Al Sisi is the enemy of humanity. The skirt wearing fat gulf boys are done like a dinner. Saudi oil burning is money in the bank for all involved including the Saudis. Here in the Western Canadian oil country, the more it burns the more our wallets get richer. All in all, it is a blessing for everyone. Even the US of America had enough of these mess in the middle east. They had lost both prestige, blood and treasury by chasing these quagmire and listening the murderous and bloodthirsty neocons. Uncle Sam is tired of these wars and want to go home. It is agood analysis except, this : Isn't it Kenya playing games with Somalia? And this is your soft spot for the dying Dinosaurs of Somalia , the regional governments of Somalia. My friend those days are over. Cumar Ghelle will never meet Madoobe . Take my word. Dhag Dheer Dhimatoo Dhilkii waa nabad. We tried to save the Saudis from self suicide but they wouldn't listen. THey chose despotism and dictatorship.

While the internet and social media made news travel faster, they rarely dig the real news behind the curtain. As the American cable news proved, all they do is repeat the same thing while copying from one another. So, in order to sift out the real news from the propaganda we have to talk insiders. From time to I talk to this friend who resides in Halane compound in Mogadishu ro tell me what is going behind the scene in that part of the world. He generally supports the government efforts and he travels to Addis, Hargeisa, Baydhabo and Nairobi working mostly with USAID Somalia. Since he doesn't live among the people in Mogadishu, I mostly ask him about the angle of the international community who have huge stake in Somalia in terms of regional security, capacity building and economic aid to Somalia. Here is our conversation last night: Galbeedi :Is there any improvement in MOgadishu security lately.? Hallane Man: The security perimeter is expanding lately but there is still checkpoints which locals don't like but reduces the chances of car bombings. Also the government strategy is to target and secure the main brides leading to the city from both Lower and Middle Shabeelle. I heard six out of the seven bridges leading to Mogadishu are secured and manned by government soldiers. Galbeedi: Any new towns liberated so far? Halane man: I heard Aw Dhiigle and Barriire which are main crossing points to the highway were secured. Furthermore, the federal army is on the offensive now. The expectations in Lower Shabbelle is the local must be in empowered to deal with security issues. Certain groups might lose both power and privilege if law and order takes place in the region. The American try to put pressure in these parts but every time Al-shabaab is punished some people would say that it was civilians who were targeted. Galbeedi: I know you do not live within the public , but is there any reduction in Al-shbaab business and extortion activity within the capital?. Halane man: Not much. Their mafia style extortion continues an abated due to intimidation and murder. Also, the locals use their courts for quick court decisions. No one dares to ignore their court summon which became the favorite court for plaintiffs and victims. By collaborating with them the locals are giving them legitimize. Since it is an open secret the intelligence people must find ways to capture these courts and those who administer. In all , there is still a segment of the population who favor these clandestine courts and Al-Shabaab. Galbeedi: How big is the role of the international community? .Halane man: It is huge. In terms of capacity building, training and coordination, and economic growth. Somalia needs few more years to stand up in her feet. Glbeedi: Who is the leading nation among these many countries? Halane man: The EU is there so does the Amisom and the British, but the leading country organizing the military offensives against Al-Shabaab and regional security efforts is the United States America. Galbeedi: Other than Al-shabaab what is the American policy in Somalia and the region? Halane man: First of all , America want a secure and stable Somalia, and they want to build a professional Somali armed forces. In fact, I heard that America want to relocate its Africom base from Djibouti to Balidoogle air base in Somalia within the next few years. From Somalia, they can easily monitor the Red Sea and the whole region from there. They are forcing the old and traditional enemies of Somalia who exasperated the recovery --mainly Ethiopia, Eritrea and Kenya--to work closely with Somalia. They also support wholeheartedly the full sovereignty of Somalia. People might not believe this , but , America might even take the Somali side in disputes with Kenya. Galbeedi: What do you mean sovereignty ? and how is the maritime dispute with Kenya is going. Halane man: America believes the territorial integrity of Somalia without hesitation, and unlike the British who are playing chicken games on the Somaliland issues.. They also do not want to destabilize peaceful regions and want to keep the status quo both in Somlailand and Puntalnd. The Kenyans didn't even organize their case properly. They bet their main strategy on pressuring Somalia through through intimidation, delaying airline travel and using Jubbaland as stick and carrot to eventually force Farmaajo to back down and come to the table. THey even went to the security council to isolate Somalia economically by designating the country like ISIS infested Syria. Every effort from their part failed. Also, their whole argument is that this issue is between nations and should not be in the court. Furthermore, they can't reject a security council mandated court decisions.. Galbeedi: So, is there any push from America about the Somalia and Somaliland talks? Halane man: Not at the moment. Everyone in Somaliland that counts have been told plainly that the real talks and the eventual union will happen, but in due course. Biixi knows and even the opposition knows. But, America do not want to push any efforts that destabilizes these regions while the push for union is under way. The Americans also know that there is Al-shabaab sleeper cells that are very active in Somaliland ,especially in Burco and other places. THey might not collect ransom and taxes like Mogadishu and Boosaaso, but , they give religious directives both in HArgeisa and Burco directly to the government through their well connected Sheikhs. In Burco last week, a freelance Sheikh took a police pick up with soldiers and closed a restaurant without the knowledge of the mayor , courts, the police chief or any government , because some family members who were both female and male were sitting together among the public. Not only they closed the business, they took all the employees to the jail. So, they do not want to push the union until the south stabilizes in order to avoid spreading instability. Even hotels in Hargeisa can't hold events after 11pm. Galbeedi: Tell me about Puntland, Galmudug, the Hobyo port and the gulf issues ? Halane man: THe UAE was very active in Somalia for the last year and half. They were involved for almost everything that went on in Somalia whether it is elections, ports or regional conflicts. In Galmudug, the major issue with Xaaf wasn't because he disagreed with the government, but he blocked the Hobyo port development with direct orders from UAE. He took money and refused the process which was just an early planning stage. The development money allocated for the central Somlai was roads and communication upgrade for Puntland and medium sizer port for Hobyo. C/weli took the money from UAE and used it for re-election while Xaaf became the spokesman of the group. Galbeedi: How about Deni ? is he still following the UAE? Halane man: People will tell you that Puntland had bad leadership starting from Cabdi Weli and now Deni. He could have changed course and follow a new policy, but he failed Puntalnd by isolating both from the federal government , Ethiopia and donors. Somali leaders lack imaginations and innovation. The old system of visiting regional capitals , cashing in some dough and serve others at the expense of the nation is over. Galbeedi: Deni is a young guy and a member of the new generation trying to bring business and investment in Puntalnd, don't you think it is too early to asses his leadership? Halane man: He has plenty of time to change course, but his strategy to side with Kenya against Somalia has damaged him standing among Somalis. Also, his close connection with the Emirates alienates the federal government. Both the USAID and World Bank , two leading donors in Somalia want coordination within the federal government and regions, and any hostility toward the Farmaajo government means less money coming his way. Galbedi: So, is true that Farmajo is saying , you either with me or against me? Halane man: Farmaajo has declared war on UAE and her allies openly, but the international community can't allow anyone to wreck its efforts of capacity building either by by Farmaajo or anyone else. Certain degree of disagreements are allowed but it should never lead to destabilize or hurt the economy of Puntalnd or Somaliland. In all , regional governments can't challenge the federal government in the international arena at the moment. Galbeedi: Jubbaland is in stalemate. Ahmed Madoobe isn't going anywhere and the opposition are holding their ground while targeted killings are becoming the norm. What is the next move of the federal government? Halane man: Madoobe is done. An arrest warrant will be issues soon with the knowledge of the Interpol. His best hope is a golden hand shake and retirement in to a save place. Donor money to Jubba is drying up and the Kenyans do not have money to throw around. His days are numbered. Galbeedi: I heard a large number of Northern young men and women went to Mogadishu and found work there. Halane man: Most didn't get work, but there is a hope they might get something in the future. It is the hope that attracts them there, but also, the cost of living is 40% cheaper in MOgadishu compared to major northern cities. Galbeedi: Did Muuse Biixi agreed with the African Development Bank financed road between Djibouti--Borama--Jigjiga? Halane man: He has no choice but to accept. Somalia, Djibouti and Ethiopia had agreed the building of the road. Besides, this road from Djibouti to Borama was in the works for 40 years. Galbeedi: how about the debate about the routes of the road? Halane man: that is useless debate. The surveyors usually will decide following a well defined criteria which are mainly: populated area and towns, cheapest and the most effective routes and finally the most direct route. Galbeedi: Is it true Biixi is refusing money coming through Somalia from the donors? How about the military airport of UAE. Halane man: No. He is getting the money. He complained that Somalia is with holding donor money and using for political reasons,. The donors had just approved 100km of road by the world bank and 60km were given to south and 40km to the north. The money in the south will be 30km in Mogadishu city roads and the rest will be the road between Gaalkacayo and Garoowe for repairs and improvements. Somaliland is looted and destroyed institutionally by seven years of Siilaanyo rule. Muuse was trapped in a mess, but he can't dislodge from the Emeriti's useless business transaction easily. Galbeedi: Is re-election process on the way? how about the chances of Shariif Ahmed, Hassan Sheikh and Farmaajo? Halane man: Somalis in the parliament had showed throughout history to ditch the incumbent president and elect a new one. I do not think anyone of those three will be coming back, but if there is anyone to get re-elected of these three, it could be Farmaajo and company. Besides, everything depends what happens this time next year. At the moment, it seems the government might get two years extension to finish its term. Everyone is rooting to one man vote and that could only happen if south central Somalia stabilizes for the next three years. Galbeedi: That would be great. Anyway, if Farmaajo and company get two more years and in 2023 we all go to the polls to vote, that would be nice. There won't be any vote buying . Certainly the parliament people might not like that idea of people's power and direct voting.

Haatu, What I meant is if they don't join the Nation State Of Somalia and continue with current formula of using " Tribal Harmony" as substitute for institutions, I have no doubt the civil war will come. By the way, you raised good questions about the copying the colonial system. Will join that debate this weekend.

Warsame, If the Mogadishu quagmire continues without end in site, many Somalis might join the writer and look for exit. Personally, I want the current leader, Farmaajo, to succeed, but at the end of the four years , if all we see in Mogadishu is blocked roods , check points and rich oligarchs , then people will seek alternatives. In that regard, he may have some points. I remember in 2011, when I visited back home in Awdal, I had a long conversation with some wise elders . One of them told me that, " In 1991, most of Somalis went crazy, and we thought to medicate and help those who were close to us, and at the end, we expected to wait for others to gain their conscience and come together as a nation again" Soomaalidu mar haday wada waalatay, waxaanu is nidhi bal kuwan deriska aad tihiin, ee dadka waalan uGu horeeya marada ku qabta oo daweeye inta kuwa kalena soo miyirsanayaan" He said, we did our part of forming a semblance of a system and government. We have been waiting for South Somalia to come from the coma and restart the national project, yet there was nothing in sight. That was eight years ago. last week I met a guy which I didn't see for almost ten years. In those days, He was a fervent separatist, but since then things are changed and he is willing to amend fences with other Somalis. After few discussions he said, " Even if we decide to join the union today, where would we go?, do you want us throw the people to Al-shbaab infested region" Waar Muuse Biixi wax badabn naga qaadan mayo haddii aynu damacno in aynu tuurnee, dadka xageenu nageyn. Waan Go'aynaa aynuun baanu ku daalnay, laaakiin dad iyo dal laga go'aaba majiro" at the end he sarcastically said, " Waar dad kaama Jiro koonfur". Some people are disappointed that even if they desire a union , the southern politician is not fulfilling his duty to pacify one major city--Mogadishu. So, Mr. Warsame, if things do not improve soon, a whole lot of questions will be asked by this fellow and others. There is no need of complacency. I hope it is not just a game for the Southern man.