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Everything posted by galbeedi
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It is a political move to pressure the government to change certain military and economic policies. Nothing serious or more dangerous has taken place since the lifting of the arms embargo. Why America always trying to put down this country? There was some increased activity during Ramadaan which is always the norm in Mogadishu. We have been watching their modus operandi for years and this is nothing but but a pressure to force the government to change , especially the oil exploration and drilling rights given to Turkey. Few years ago, some oil companies who were basically formed to get the exploration rights in Somalia, but could not have any capacity whatsoever to extract any oil were given by the government . When I asked a member of the parliament, how come these 3 years old brokers were hired to explore offshore oil? he said they are front companies for big oil , the like of Shell and Exxon Mobil, and they will be holding the lease for them. Two years had passed and they did nothing. HSM and company took 7 millions for that contract. Fast forward 2024 and everything has been given to Turkiye to explore and extract the oil. I heard that the drilling of Galmudug offshore oil might start this coming fall and could be in the market in late 2025 or early 2026. Don't be surprised by this rapid schedule because Turkiye is capable of fast tracking extraction. In 2022, when Turkiye had found gas deposits in the black Sea , they sent their rigs, begun drilling, built the pipes to shore and as we speak some of that gas is in the market. Offshore extraction doesn't need security resources to protect. Ships could carry the gas from the sea to foreign markets. Uncle Sam can keep is arms from Somalia. There are other markets that could provide Somalia to defend itself. No. America can not tell us if Somalia is save or not. They always create the fake threat and encourage others to take advantage. How many people have been shot in Chicago, Baltimore and Los Angels last night? How many mass shooting a year is happening in America? probably 200 mass shooting. Why the UN would listen a country that vetoes a cease fire to save innocent lives?.
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It is the tactic of certain foreign powers. The moment they hear some political disagreements they pile on to make it worse. Mortars to Wardhiigley area usually happens ones in a while. Everyone in Mogadishu would tell you that Al-shbaab increases their campaign ten fold during the Ramadaan. Unlike three or four years ago, today you can drive to Jawhar by car. No one can deny things are getting better in Mogadishu. As I mentioned before, the departure of Mahad Salaad was in the pipelines since early February.I open this page and all I see Dhagaxtuur saying I told you so Somalia will go down. THis American panic mode will pass and things will get better. I wish HSM would have hired capable cabinet to tackle these major issues.
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AS president HSM said Al-shbaab no longer engages the national army directly. Usually, they abandon towns and villages, but regroup and attack the army in the early mornings. If the army keeps the pressure and pushes the insurgents until they finish them off whole region and push them t sea, victory is possible. To achieve that you need capable officers and constant supply of arms. Remember, MUdug and Jilib are where the main fighting force of Al-shbaab is located.
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Unlike Boosaaso, Hargeisa and Borama and Jigiga there are no Oromo labourers in Mogadishu. Every menial job no matter how dirt or tough is done by the Somali youth. I will tell you that if peace pravails we should all be moving to southern Somalia. I have doubt about that.
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He doesn't t need otal victory. All he needs to do is clear Galmudug, Hir-Shabeelle and Lower Shabeele. That will give a breather to the capital and enhance the economy of the two Shabbeelle river area.
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"Nin aan hal maalin dhahayn Khawaariijda ha lala degaalamo xaq uma lahan in la dhegeysto" Have you ever heard Biixi talking about Al-shbaab? never. Even those who part of the federal system like Madoobe, and Guudlaawe do not talk about defeating the enemy.
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Here are the main points. * The president said he is willing to discuss further the sticking issues among the four chapters. * The issue of one person one vote is probably the most important one. *. He declared to continue the war against Al-shbaab. * He will not wage a war against anyone other than Al-shbaab. * Somalia , Soomaali baa leh, and one inch will be given to foreign country. Now tell us why Puntland rejects the " Soomaalinimo" and saying they won't recognize the national government. No one has that veto power. This move by Puntland is aiding and abating the saperatists on the international state.Even the international media is talking about Puntland leaving the union.
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Ilriya, I was talking about security not real life. You seem to be jumping all over the place. In terms of cost of living issues and management of the capital, those issues do exist. In fact, I my future writing I will write about the disorganized manner the Bajjaaj , which is the most important public transport, which employs probably 20,000 drivers and their families, crisscross the city with an organized disorder, or the Waberi district streets full of garbage on the streets. This is Somalia, and there is a lot of bad news to talk about until the cows come home, yet things are getting better, and we should tell people the good news and the glad tiding on the horizon. Waa Ramadaan ee Ummadda Khayr iyo wanaag ugu bishaareeya. In terms to the coast of living, while inflation is making life difficult for everyone, the so called Mango juice you talking about is probably too much from high end hotels, but the regular people pay 80% less than the hotels. I went to Karamel restaurant in KM 5 and the meal was around $12 American dollars, then few nights after I went " Isgoyska Fagax" ate three loaves of Muufo, Suqaar, banana and Saliid Macsaro for just $3 dollars. The cost of living is always cheaper the more you go south and if Al-shaytaan are destroyed, the rich fertile land of Shabeelle would even make fruits and vegetables much cheaper. In terms of using dollars, it is the only way to fight rampant inflation and the crazy fluctuation of the American dollar. In Kenya, six months ago, one American dollar was 100 Shillings, in February it 160 Shillings, that is 60% increase.
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It is nice to be home. While in Mogadishu nothing has changed about the attitude of the diaspora. Youtube channels are usually for click and bait, but the Somali run one's and out of the ordinary. I like the partisan and clannish youtubers who bare everything and attack the weaknesses of their opponents. During the SSC liberation war, Kabtan Atuub was popular. He wasn't sentimental about others, but has practical partisan points that supported the base, what you get was what you see. His cause was just and he was very successful. These days I barely watch Somali Youtubers these days because they all got fake news and further analyze that fake news itself. Yesterday I did listen to Sheikh Abdi Hersy and was shocked about his peddling of some fake unreliable news. The Sheikh is very popular and does a good work in terms his vocal support for the restoration of dignified Somali nation in general and pointing out the greed of Somali leaders whether they are in Garoowe, Hargeisa or Mogadishu. He doesn't hide his affiliation with Nabad Iyo Nolol crowd and he is a proud member of the flag bearers of the Farmaajo group. Sometimes being a diehard supporter of a group could blind you your outlook in politics and the life itself. In his latest video, he is attacking the former NISA director Mahad Salaad for being Al-shbaab. As an educated Sheikh, he should be very careful how he frames these issues. I remember few years ago when HSM was bombed by Al-shbaab from left and right, some SOL residents accused him of being Al-shbaab supporter. Al-shbaab tried to kill HSM from day one when he took office yet, this crowd accused him of affiliation. Mahad Salaad seems to be the most successful NISA director since 2012. For the last 12 months, Mogadishu has seen three or four bombings only. Targeted killings have almost disappeared and if someone is killed the chances of being caught is 90%. Undercover officers room the markets and streets. CCTV camera have been deployed widely throughout the city, and even other crimes of banditry and extortions are resolved through camera. This week, the Heliwaa Police chief has been convicted of extension and murder. The prosecutors of the Banaadir region used CCTV camera to reveal his activity using his personal car, where he bought the face masks, up to the minute when the murder took and finally went to a hotel. The rule of law is shaping up great in Mogadishu. When was the last time you saw a police captain been tried in a court and found guilty anywhere in Somalia? Yet, Sheikh Abdi is saying Mahad Salaad himself is the bomber who works for Al-shbaab. How could the NISA director who is fight the group could be accused of aiding and abetting the enemy he is fighting?. HSM didn't fire Mahad, in fact, when I landed in Mogadishu in February, one official told me that he is planning to leave and run for Galmudg leadership. I said, " isn't NISA one of the most powerful agencies of the state, why is he doing this? I hope the sheikh should be very careful of his reputation and discuss the political issues after he verifies the veracity of what he is saying. Otherwise he would be like any other Fake Youtuber who want to be popular regardless of the facts. Furthermore, being an Imaam of a Masjid carries a heavy weight and integrity that must be protected.
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AL shabaab re captures Land from the Somali governent
galbeedi replied to Xaaji Xunjuf's topic in Politics
Xaaji is doing his best to lead his propaganda for the extremists. I do believe this was a desperation from their part. The truck was chased. First they tried to attack a checkpointed and all the attackers were killed, 11 of them. -
In terms of the constitution, I don't any regional election will take place without consensus and agreement. Everything we see is Xadhigjiid, or political maneuvering. I think The political moves of HSM have alarmed the opposition and they want to curtail his power. I am of the school that don't give him any excuses to abandon the current agenda of fighting Al-shbaab and let the real election challenge begin in late 2025 and early 2026. If he fails to defeat Al-shbaab despite hiring his own clan from military, intelligence and the alliance with Galmudug politicians, he won't have any chance to even contest the election let alone wining.
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SubhaanAlah, Warya MMA, do you want the Al-shbaab to bomb these hotels to save the girls that Al-shbaab say been abused? and kill hundreds of innocent people . My friend, be careful, this not a good language. Of course there are corruptions and those who have money and power abuse those who are in need including poor women, but don't generalize. I think the social order and family ties in Mogadishu are stronger than ever. I went to a restaurant called Caramel owned by guys from Minnesota and couldn't believe the middle class families with wives and husband, married couple with children and so on dining. Unlike Ethiopia or Kenya there are prostitutes on the streets or hotels. The descent culture of Somalia and modesty of our women is intact in Mogadishu. Hargeisa is probably the worst place in Somalia in terms moral corruption of women, and I am not saying this because I disagree with them politically. The only thing that I have observed is that the divorce rate among the young generation is high just like in diaspora. The big difference is that in Mogadishu young boys marry at early age which is good, but this divorce phenomena must be tackled by educating and mentoring the young couples like Malaysia did few years ago. They Qadi won't give marriage license or enter in to marriage agreement unless they take a course. By the way, MMA, I have another news from your neck of the woods. The Mifif, or I should say the Baydhabo/Bakool wing of D&M is only dominating everything, but also abusing power . from the presidency, to military limilia, cabinet and what not. The large hard working people of Shabeelaha hoose who are one of the most productive, hard working and good Somalis had been sidelined by your ilk and others from the other regions of Somalia. The Tuni, Geledi and Jareer Weyne should have their own Maamul of Shabeelaha Hoose and leave Batdhabo guys. Last time I checked they didn't even get the vice president. If I ever join a party it will be the party of the people of Afgooye, Qoryooley, Janaale and son. They are not even in the cabinet of Hamza. These are they people don't Shaxaad or beg like most Somalis, they work hard. So, Saaxiib goorma ayaad ka hadlaysaa Haqa dadka Shabeelaha Hoose?
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Will Ethiopian airline flights to Garowe & Hargeysa be banned? Also, the Puntland minister of information is speaking exactly like our own Xaaji Xanjuf. When I read I thought he was taking a page from Xaaji. He just said almost like " The bunker should pacify Mogadishu before talking to Puntland. The rebels had soft spot for each other as always. In terms Somali government stopping Ethiopian Airline , it is a matter just a letter to the airline and Kaboom it is over. No airline will risk to fly an airspace that is blocked from her, mind you there are insurance and other legal issues. Now we got two separatist administrations.OO Ethiopia u kala badinaya just like nineteen eighties.
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Also, the last SYL bombing hit very close to Villa Somali which just few hundred meters from the hotel checkpoints. Mahad Salaad filled most of the management positions with his own community and they might just leave and take the all files with them.
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This is bad according to the intelligence community. Mogadishu was getting better in terms of security, so why fix it if its not broken. As Maakhiri1 said, Galmudug is now the epicenter of many things including the offshore oil blocks and the fight against Al-shbaab. Qoorqoor wasn't doing good in terms of the war effort. Millions of dollars have been loss for the war effort and lately Al-shbaab retook many places liberated last year. IT is a shake up.
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In these pages, we have been criticizing every president who comes for the last 12 years and it didn't change much. The next one after HSM could be even more dangerous and more criminal that we might ever see. Omar Geelle might even bring his own son in law if don't win this war or move to one person one vote. Let us help HSM defeat Al-shbaab.
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Mr. qurac, the issue isn't about C/laahi Dani or HSM, it is bigger than that. In terms of Awdal support, Allah is my witness HSM isn't interested in Awdal or Khaatumo either. It is a fact. There are oligarchs and people whose HSM fears more than anything we have ever seen in Somali politics. The ruling class has unfounded fear of the D block taking power from them and might even sacrifice some fundamental values of the nation. The separatists have 35 votes combined 9 other from Omar Geelle and these 45 members are fighting us in Mogadishu with help of Omar Geele, and it seems HSM won't do anything Geelle didn't approve. Now, on the topic. I know Gracad was done without the help of the Somali government, yet now isn't the time to travel to Addis and kiss Ethiopia for business or other diplomatic reasons. While Abiy Ahmed has lowered his rhetoric about taking the sea, that threat didn't disappear yet, and the federal government is fighting him in diplomatic arena. Visiting Ethiopia for deals at the moment seems to be aiding and abetting the enemy, it is a no no in foreign policy affaires, unless you have the same mentality like the Hargeisa regime. It wasn't Gogol, but a political maneuvering by Farmaajo and Shariif to be relevant again. Dani could deal with his old friend HSM if he wishes. It's just a phone call away. Now let me move to the big picture. We all agree that HSM isn't the right president in terms integrity and avoiding clan animosity. It is who is and we can't change. Yet, those issues are not disqualifications for him to rule as he sees fit for the national interest. At the moment HSM and the super majority of the parliament thinks that the next two years should not be wasted on constitutional matters and the usual unending Somali debate. Farmaajo lost two years when Dani and company dragged his term until it is too late and then demanded he appoint a provisional government. Now, only two years are left of the four year term of HSM. Most us believe that rather wasting time , he should concentrate and finish the war on Al-shbaab. THese so called democracy in Somalia is nothing but a useless pickering of a people who born to talk until cows come home. I my experience , I have been to different political and non profit organizations and every simple issue that should have been debated and resolved half an hour takes four hours without resolving. That is nature of the Somali debates where everyone wants to be heard without saying anything meaningful. Let this guy clear Al-shbaab as much as he can and wait what happens and see how the next election plays out. If he fails to clear them from central Somalia and lower Shabeelle for the next two years, his chances of coming back is almost zero. Furthermore, if C/laahi Dani want to fight HSM, he should within the Somali political landscape. Find regional allies, convince your idea to others and try to improve things for the next year. Bringing foreign powers to the equation and weakening the state might help you in the short term to sideline HSM, but it's effects will be deadly for the future. We have seen how the TPLF took advantage of the internal divisions. If I were the leader, I wouldn't even debate a day with these useless regional leaders. My army would march to reach Raascambooni and Lawyacado without anyone's permission.
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Mr. Qurac, it is probably the later. It is Ramadaam and I would only say that after spending few months in the smelly Addis Ababa where people pee on the streets and Sawahili dominated Kenya , add that to decades of diaspora, it was a fresh air to intermingle Somalis of Mogadishi. The modest well dresses Somali women seem to be more beautiful than ever and the good scents of udug could be felt on the shops and the streets. Having a second wife is also easy with famous Mogadishu accent of " Aboowe Macaane" . Anyway, let us leave it there before I get trouble back home in Canada.
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Kacaankii Barakaysnaa, O God, we miss it too much , especially now. You know Illyria, if I make a party called 21 October, I have no doubt it could get the most votes. That fool called Farmaajo never understood why people across clan lines and diverse geographical boundaries supported him despite his weaknesses and lack of courage for tough decision making. Because " Waxaan ka urinaynay Kacaankii Barakaysnaa" We thought he might have seen when we were a nation, we thought he might have build the army and put fear to our enemies and so on. He wasted his chance and no should leave the arena next leadership, probably people like us who understand all the criminals who destroyed the nation ( USC, SSDF, SNM). Also, when I walk the old landmarks like schools, government ministeries, military bases and other agencies, I know the public owned the land not the oligarchs. You pass Dugisiga sareYaasiin Osman, Bartamaha, 15 May, and Saqaawadiin, and be shocked how huge this public spaces were for our students. Huge hospitals with gardens and open spaces. Igadaa Ha xasuusinine. Anyway, back to the topic, Yesterday, someone asked me how the Puntland leadership would react, and Lo, and behold, without even knowing this Addis travel by puntland officials, I said, " Knowing how power hungry and ruthless Puntland leadership are, I won't be surprised if Dani goes to Ethiopia and finds common ground ground with Ethiopia and then fly to Dubai and finish of the triangle alliance between UAE, Puntland and Ethiopia. puntland leadership has always been stealth sessionist ( Gooni goosato aan radaarku qaban), especially Faroole and Dani. The good news is the people of Puntalnd are some of the most nationalist among Somalis if not the most. When I was in Mogadishu , we met Puntland parliamentarians and other officials, unlike HSM who has tendency to appease the the Hargeisa separatists, they received us with open arms. You don't need to convince them about Awdal issue, they already understand it. I should say that Puntlanders are the natural allies of Reer Awdal, period. The Puntland public, Like most of us, they are disappointed about the Mogadishu leadership that has always under delivered and their local kings in Garoowe who always finds ways to create crises that drag the nation and allow foreign powers to exploit. I support Garacad to connect with Ethiopia, but this could be done nationally without by passing the federal government, especially while there is a huge diplomatic and territorial dispute with Ethiopia. Yet, for Dani he doesn't care since there is political fish against the national government has be to fried, and everything else is just a useless debate for him. Furthermore, during MOU between Muuse Biixi and Abiy, and grabbing of the land, not one single regional state people had demonstrated against Abiy Ahmed. Of course the people were against , but the Maamuls had discouraged any public showing except in Mogadishu were people had openly demonstrated. Now, let me say few points about the "Wax ka bedelka Dastuurka" I definitely don't want someone from Mogadishu to organize district elections, absolutely. Look I am not an arrogant who should insist when challenged by real logical argument, and I will agree with you on these points. I don't want some bought and paid bureaucrat to impose on us. On this case, it is up to the regions to propose a mechanism that allows political parties and local people to have a say how it should be organized, yet the most important and overbidding issue in any election is " an equal playing field". For example here in Canada the federal election chief is appointed by the parliament and reports directly to the parliament. Election Canada manages and registries political parties, districting and registering citizens . I agree with you that since corruption and power grab is the normal in Somalia, there has to be check and balances. Some might say, for example, those MPs sent from Jubbaland might represent the will of the people, yet it has shown once again that it is wishes of Ahmed Madoobe or Qoorqoor that is the overriding verdict. A parliament appointed national election commission might be diverse and based with different clans. Dani and Puntland should have been in the table to debate rather boycott the whole thing. Can you tell me the real reason Puntland refused last year's meeting of regional leaders and HSM other than stupid feud with HSM and Dani? Puntland should demand and ask some changes in terms of the management of the election, but threatening sessions isn't one of them.
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Iliriya, I wanted to illustrate the weaknesses Of HSM, especially the criticism that is openly debated in mogadishu. While his selling public land to oligarchs are known, some of the other allegations of incompetence in his army chief could be an exaggeration, because they are usually said by those who oppose him. Since it is Ramadaan, I don't want say something that is not proven. HSM has some weaknesses and his is involved in nepotism, but his toughness and hard work , especially his campaign against Al-shbaab and to pacify Somalia out weights his weaknesses. Madaxweynuhu dagaal markuu ku jiro waa in la taageeraa. Now forget about my criticism of HSM and let us debate about the current constitutional changes, especially the six key changes. 1- Amending the relationship between the elected president and the prime minister. Somali presidents campaigned for years through thick and thin, propose their platform and plans for their administration and get elected. Then They appoint a prime minister to manage their agenda and assemble his cabinet. Now if there is disagreement, the appointed premier could block the president that appointed him and create constitutional deadlock by bringing the parliament to the equation. Money has to change hands, parliamentarian has to be bribed to help dismiss the premier and so on. It is a mess. Rooble and Farmaajo is a good example for which we lost two years of squabbling. I agree the proposal of the president about dismissing the premier without the parliament and it is the best interest of Somalia. 2- Both the regional satiates and the federal government should hold one person one vote. I support this article and most Somalis support it. We have witnessed how the last election was done by the maids and drivers of Ahmed Madoobe. 3-Three political parties. I wish the government should have left this alone, but since they added , I don't see a major issue that should be an obstacle to the other important things. Sometimes you have to take the good and bad to move forward. 4- The election commission will be appointed by the federal government. Some places like America, states manage the national elections, but in Canada the election commission and the management of the national election is done by the federal government. THey hire directly the employees who should be working for the election. Personally, I don't trust a clan enclave led by the likes of Madoobe, Dani and qoor qoor to manage a national election. I support the idea of thhe federal government appointing the 18 member commission, so does most of Somalis. As I said before, there are no functioning federal states, they are all fake and in name, they can't manage national and they should not manage either. Ahmed Madoobe Kismaayo dhinac uma dhaafin 13 sano Miyaan Doorasho u dhiibi? maya. 5- The regional leaders shall be called governors or Hogaamiye. O Allah, I love this article. By far most Somalis like this. We the Awdal State had called our leader Hogaamiye not a president just like Khaatumo did. Somalis had rejected these so called 6 presidents. Somalia waa in ay lahaataa hal madaxweyne 6- The term of the regimes should be 5 years. I also support these.With the current dysfunction, the first 6 months are done while assembling cabinet and setting . The third year is consumed usually by constitutional debates or how the election should done, and the fourth year is electioneering. Now, with thie new system, the next president will have the confidence to appoint his prime minister and work four full years and do the elections the fifth year. Now please tell us which one of these C/laahi Dani is opposed. We the Somali people want president HSM to keep fighting Al-shbaab and finish the work. We don;t want C/laahi Dani and company to put this country to another useless constitutional debate for these 6 points and squabble for the next 24 months. . The Somali parliament including those elected from Puntland had voted. Case closed.
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Well Che, Before these changes, to fire the premier the president had to spend millions of bribes to the members of parliament, and the premier had to fight to stay on. now he will be working for the pleasure of the president. Also, it will be ugly for the preside to fire the premier like his shop keeper. Changes should only happen after the failure or inability of the government to achieve its goals.