OO, You keep talking about this country and that country being allies, or trying to be on the better side of someone. This is the geopolitics foundations of those who used to be puppets or accustomed to carry waters for others. Those of us who were born free believe that we have to accepted and be legitimate on the eyes of our people before anyone else, then and only then we look our foreign policy. You are throwing about a lot of contradictions on dealing with nations, yet modern geopolitics is about looking after your interest and co-habituating with multiple actors. The Somalia we are projecting not only in the future but at the present day will not live or die what Abiy Ahmed or others do. WE want to carve our own destiny. When we say that Puntland is following the federal government on the issues of national security and other issues, you always throw hopeless arguments by saying Ehlusunna might attack Puntland or Al-Shabaab might show up so , " Puntland needs Ethiopia". It uncovers your inner desire that unstable Mogadishu or war is the only hope to keep the relationship between Ethiopia and their regional enclaves in Somalia. By the way, Ehlusunna is created and backed by Ethiopia in Dhuusamareeb. I am not saying that the dismantling of the Tigray order will benefit me or other Somalis but, for these highlanders to be in power a lot of bad things must happen in the region. Meles was put in the ropes by the opposition as early as 2005, when tens of thousands stormed from the Addis Mercato to his palace and the only way to survive was shoot the protesters. No one had expected for him to survive another term, but the war in Somalia of 2007 gave him both an excuse to hold on power and hundred of millions to bribe his opposition. Legitimate and elected leaders with clear mandate does not need to be puppets like Hailemaruim Densely. I know you fear changes and democracy both in Ethiopia and Zone five but things must change. Finally, the crime family of Dubai hasn't done anything in Berbera despite this propaganda piece. No one is against progress but we are not willing to sell our sould unlike Illey and Biixi.

When we calling the replacement of the Tigray order in Ethiopia, you just dismissed the Oromo and others as losers and anarchists who want to destruction. I always argued that if Ethiopia doesn't change it will implode and destruct itself without reforms. We said that it must change or implode. Criminal means the likes of you plotting and pitting the Somali and Oromo people in Ethiopia. The first thread you posted here was calling everyone to spread the evil of the Oromo who want to eat our children. You told us many horrifying tales of the crimes of the Oromo. I was one of the first to reject your propaganda and the next day you changed your name and called yourself an Old Observer. if your plots with Tigray succeeded , God forbid what would have happened. Unless good people like us and the Somali businessmen in Jigjiga and others called for dialogue and brotherhood with the Oromo community, you and your ilk would have caused the death of thousands of Somalis in Ethiopia and disastrous civil war that would have uprooted millions of Somalis.

The Bebera military base by UAE might have saved the Somali government and people in general from a very serious plot to not only destabilize the country but also control it's military and parliament. UAE had sent both it's military trainers and army to Aden, Yemen to boost the government of Abdul Haddi Mansour. After two and half years, they built a separatist army that want to secede the south from the rest of Yemen. The toothless Arab league might protest, but the Emirates kept their trained army in Aden port. They pay their salary and their commanders answer only to them. Soon, they might declare a new state and take over the port. Folks, Somali has dogged a huge bullet and plot. Imisaan halkan ka sheegnay in Ilaahay inaga badbaadinayo waxyaabo badan oo aynaan ogayn. WAxa Mu'aamoro Ilaahay inaga badbaadiyey Qiyaas ma leh.

Also , there is huge elephant in the room in zone five that likes of you ignores. The Tigray got billion dollar aid to wage the war on terror on the behalf of the Americans, as the same token, Illey might throw around few dollars to oppress and control people in the region, but just like the WAyaane , he must give power back to the people or face a rebellion in the zone five. We are complaining about the domination of the Tigray, but the Illey tribe in Jigjiga is worst than any where in the Somali region in terms of looting, domination of economy, security and between. Unless he adresses these issues, we shall always speak out his overthrow. People should demand that that after almost a decade the Illey dictatorship must be over. I will advise Abiy Ahmed to change the leadership of the KIllil from Illey to the chairman of the Somali region party Mr. Mohamed Rashiid. The Time has come for Illey to give or power to a new generation or something bad will happen.

OO, I always support the good things and justice. At the same time , I do not clap for evil and tyranny against the Somali people every where. Unlike you, I even believe that in the near future, we will rule the land between Harar, Zaylac and Kismaayo.

Che, he must cut while the knife is hot. He could appoint them high places in the cabinet, but must purge them from the intelligence and the army. OO, all these issues you stated can only be done after he consolidated power. The geopolitics of the region is played by the leader who controls the country.

This is a god step. By the way, the Gabooye community in Jigjiga are the originals of the city just as they were the founders of the Ceelka Hargeisa. Cabdi Illey has done a great job in this social experiment which every region of Somalia must copy. The young generation does not care which tribe his pride or groom came from.

I this video, he praised the Oromo youth called Qeero which the zone five liaison officer OO said were Al-Shabaab.. As I said, if he want t survive, Mr. Abiy has to clean house as quickly as possible.

Addis(SBN)Wararka naga soo gaadhaya wadanka Itoobiya ayaa sheegaya in uu hirgalay mid kamid ah qorshayaashii Raysal-wasaaraha cusub ee Abiye Axmed Cali, kaas oo ahaa in qoomiyada Tigreega awoodeeda aad looga dhimo. Xog rasmi ah oo soo gaadhay Wakaaladaha Wararka ayaa sheegaysa in ay iscasileen qaar kamid ah Janaraaladii ushashay qoomiyada Tigreega ee awooda badan kudhex lahaan jiray wadanka Itoobiya, aadna looqadarin jiray. Sida xogta aan kuhelayno waxaa shaqadii iskaga tagay Puntlanders General Takelabirhan Walde’aragay iyo General Kinfe Dangew oo labaduba udhashay qoomiyada Tigreega, waxaana lasheegayaa in Janaraaladan culays lagu saaray in ay shaqada katagaan kadib markii lagu eedeeyay in ay lunsadeen malaayiin lacag ah oo ay lahayd shirkada korontadu. Sidoo kale xogo oo aanaan wali la xaqiijinin ayaa sheegaysa in ay shaqiidii katageen taliyihii ciidamada Itoobiya General Samore Yonis iyo taliyihiin ciidanka sirdoonka General Getachew Asafa, kuwaas oo sida lasheegay cadaadis lagu saaray in ay shaqada iskaga tagaan ama la eryo Halka wararka qaarna sheegayaan in maalmahan is casili doonaan ama shaqada laga caydhin doono labadan general ayaa ah kuwii wadamku gacatooda ku jiray gaar ahaana Kililka 5aad Is casilaada Samore Yonis iyo Getachew Asafa ayaa haday rumowdo qoomiyadaha Oromada iyo Axmaarada uga dhigan guul taariikhi ah waxayna ahaayeen awoodaha kaliya ee kuhadhay gacanta qabiilka Tigreega, waxaana meesha kabaxaya cabsidii ay kaqabeen dhinaca ciidamada. Janaraalada is casilay ayaa lasheegayaa in ay shaqadii katageen kadib markii culays lagu saaray in ay sidaas yeelaan isla markaana looban qaaday aduun lacageed iyo waliba amaan lasiin doono, waxaana lasheegayaa in ay shaqada iskaga tagi doonaan saraakiil kale oo Tigree ah kuwaas oo hadaba lagu daba jiro. Xukuumada Cusub ee Abiye Axmed iyo Dameke Mokonen ay hogaaminayaan ayaa utafa xaytay sidii ay xididada ugu siibi lahaayeen qoomiyada Tigreega oo in badan talada wadanka looga dambeeyay.

There is a full force campaign by the Jeegaan administration to not only weaken but also fragment and eventually destroy the Waddani party before the election of 2019. Mohamed Kahin, a warlord who runs the interior ministry in Somaliland , had publicly declared that the WAddani party is fighting within itself. Laba grab ayuu noqday. Others hired by the Jeegaan to spread disinformation have come out and declared their intension to fragment the WAddani party. Among those hired to fragment the party are central committee member Aadan Dhoolayare, and dismissed former secretary Mohamed Uurcade and probably Hirsi Hassan hiding behind the curtain. Non of these men except Hirsi were able to bring any votes to the party. The majority of the community of Uurcade were either voted for Faysal Waraabe or Ina Biixi . Uurcade, the man who was acting both as spokesperson and secretary of the part was unable to bring any meaningful vote from Hargeisa. Dhoolayare was one of the first to concede the election defeat before even the chairman and the party agreed on strategy. He encouraged Ina Biixi to cancel and arrest the leaders of the West Burco community who called a " Shir Beelled" to sort out things and comfort the Jeegaan tribal strategy. People like INa Dhoolayare had always acted like mercenaries who will do the bidding of those who pay him the most. He was minister during the regime of the Rayaale government , but changed party at the last minute to support Siilaanyo for tribal reasons. Last summer, he visited Alberta to encourage and organize the Waddani party members in the province. An Awdalite who was the chairman of the Alberta wing of the party, invited me at the evening event and told me to listen to the one of the top leaders of the party. I showed to the surprise of some people and sat In my corner and listened while people asked him questions about the inability of the Waddani party to fight back. When they asked him about the arrest of prominent Waddani members by Siilaanyo, and their inability to demonstrate for their grievances, he just shrugged off and gave answers that was befitting of a Jeegaan member. He said, "our country doesn't have insurance to cover property damages caused by demonstrations " he continued, " During the Rayaale administration which I was member , we even shot demonstrations and governments have a duty to do these things to keep the order". He was talking as a member of the Jeegaan. When people asked him about the corruption involved about the finance minister Samsam, he just shrugged off and said, " in our culture it is difficult to point the corruptions of a lady or call her names". Looking back, I come to realize that the reason chairman Cirro was reluctant to challenge forcefully the former Jeegaan administration was basically he was surrounded by people who were not only weak but also had ulterior motives within the party. These kind of people must be purged from the Wadani party. If the chairman gets tough and honest lieutenants the fortune of the party could even grow bigger. Chairman Cirro should stay now and lead the election of 2019. I was one of those who criticised chairman Cirro during and after the election due to his behaviour toward the departed old man Siilaanyo. Yet, at the moment , there is no one other Chairman Cirro to unify the party and organize the next face of the party. Premature party leadership contest or party convention at this juncture is a recipe for disaster. There is no one more honorable than chairman Cirro In Somaliland politics at the moment. For the last few months after the election, chairman Cirro had acted tough on both issues of inflation, Tukaraq skirmishes and the Berbera port issues. He demanded the disbanding of the former election commission who failed to hold fair and free election. The Waddani party should never allow those comminissioners to hold anymore elections. These public servants had failed and allowed the registration of tens of thousands of under age kids and other illegal means to take place at the last election.. He is the only credible force for real opposition in Somalilnad. Today, Biixi and company are scared to death from the Wadani chairman and are using paid operatives like Uurcade to weaken his standing and resolve. At this juncture, chairman Cirro , not only represents the real opposition, but he has the best credibility among the people, the region and the international community. For the last few months, Ina Biixi felt both the power and the prestige of chairman Cirro by trying to bring him on board to help his agenda. Ciroo has accepted some of the invitations to discuss the next elections, but also has declined when the weak Biixi tried to get a boost from the Waddani party to implement his weak agenda. Due to the fragmented nature of the Somali culture where everyone is his own chief (Keligii Suldaan) and the evil intensions of the Jeegaan, the Waddani party must keep it's unity and hold it's convention when all underlining issues are resolved behind the curtain. In the next few years, if a different strong leader emerges in the future to carry the flag, then, and only then you might think to replace chairman Cirro . Yet, the experience gained by chairman Cirro in the last election could be a great assets that will help him to win the next one. There is also another unique issue among the Somali politicians where every disgruntled, fired or fool who loses the inner party politics would cry foul and say, " the party is broken in two" (Marka uu arko in laga adkaaday ama awood waayo, waxa uu odhan, Baarlamaankii ayaa laba u kala jabay, ama xisbigii ayaa laba u kala jabay). It was Chairman Jawaari who claimed that the parliament was broken in two blocks. Now, this loser Uurcade, who is appointed as secretary, has no legal authority to hold a convention without the party executive. I do not know very well about the rules of the Waddani party, but in most party politics, the candidate of the party usually appoints his campaign team and the executive team that must answer to him. AS we speak, chairman Cirro, temporary chairman C/qadir Jirde and vice candidate Mohamed Cali , who form the senior core of the party want to postpone the party convention and rebuild the party while holding accountable the weak Biixi administration who is losing both on economic issues ans regional issues. Let Mr. Uurcade, Dhoolayare and those who are hiding behind the curtain to get out of the party and join Kulmiye or any other entity. I heard some people talk about Dr. Gaboose who was a member of the Siilaanyo cabinet. The doctor has no business in the throat cut Somaliland business. He was one of those used by Siilaanyo and promised to replace him. He was briefly a minister and was discarded immediately. While a member of the Wadani party during last election, he disappeared without helping the party. The god doctor is nothing but a vehicle to fragment the party at this crucial state before the 2019 election. Deja Vue all over again. in 2011, Cali Waran Cadde destroyed the UDUB party after he lost to Jamaal C. Huseen who fulfilled all the necessary requirements. After that, he sold the rest and joined Kulmiye. This fool, Waran Cade, is thinking that the Jeegaan would transfer the Kulmiye party from Biixi to him, but if he believes that, he is not only naïve but also a fool. Just like Siilaanyo and Waran Cade conspired to destroy UDUB once and for all, Uurcade and Dhoolayare are doing exactly to do the same. It seems those from South Hargeisa , and Waraabe family are always bought and sold people in the political market place of the Jeegaan in Hargeisa with no change in sight .Waran Cade destroyed Udub, Faysal Waraabe eliminated UCID of Jamaal and now Uurcade and Dhoola Yare are trying to destroy Wadani. Yet, this time they will fail miserably. The plot of the Jeegaan is to fragment Waddani like they did to UCID and then bring the whole issue to the Jeegaan controlled court(Kadibna Gar been ahMaxakamada Jeegaanta ha lagu qaado). Unlike UCID, the Waddani party is united under the current leadership and will not accept the false convention proclaimed by Uurcade and others. The party also must warn the Jeegaan not to interfere with the internal party issues or the whole system will be disbanded. No one would accept a Jeegaan managed chaos at this stage. Uurcade and others are not happy about the political and electoral moves done by the party executive especially chairman Cirro. This week , Uurcade, Shiine Dheere and others were replaced by the chairman. Shiine Dheere , who is from Awdal is a good man from an influential community, but his own close cousin is the deputy chairman of the UCID party and according to Somaliland tribal politics that would fragment their votes. I do believe that the WAddani party must keep the block or the last constituency that gave them hundred of thousands of votes and bring in more regions. On that note, chairman Cirro has brought in as the new deputy of the party someone from the Sool community. While keeping the last block , Waddani must bring Sool and Sanaag which could put them easily on the winning block. The short term strategy of the party . 1- Reject and never compromise the dismissal of the last electoral commission. The old way of electing the election commission must change. The seven commissioners were appointed by the parties (3), Guurti(2) and the president(2). That formula must change. You can't have the president and his party to send three members with multiple authority. Each party must choose two and the Guurti must appoint one. That is the only way to assemble a fair and balanced commission. 2-Do not make any leadership changes of the party at the moment. 3- Do not hold any conventions until all underlining issues are agreed and consensus found among members. 4- If possible, the municipal elections must be done first in order for someone else to form a third opposition party that could replace UCID. Having an opposition party helping the Jeegaan was the worst thing that prolonged their rule. Faysal must be defeated or forced to give up the leadership to someone else. You can not have two ruling parties and one opposition. 5-Hold Muuse Biixi and his group accountable and put fire on their feet. Do not associate with him. Muuse can not take the pressure well, so when he cries for help or useless pip artisan coordination, reject you must. 6- Keep and increase the Awdal support. Reach out Sool and Sanaag and keep the last block. 7- Reject the UAE base in Berbera which will endanger the people and put Somaliland in foreign conflict. Yesterday the Houthie missile had hit central Riyaad. A large number of residents could not go outside and the worst is yet to come. The billion dollar American anti missile patriot could not even intercept. So, never compromise on that issue. If one single missile hits Berbera port, no foreign ship will dock that port just like Aden, Yemen. 8-If Biixi and company break the law, arrest innocent people or steal public assets, Mobilize your supports and hold strong demonstration to show the public anger and frustration. 9- You must expose and defeat Muuse Biixi and company before the election ( Doorashada ka hor waa in aad dadka tustaa in uu ku fayl garoobay xaggii dhaqaalaha iyo maamulka. 10- The chairman must appoint educated , energetic and credible critics who must be ready to answer every government move. 11- Finally , create a powerful media branch of the party that must expose government corruption and Jeegaan nepotism within the public.

I do not need a foreign stooge to interpret for me the events in Somalia. I see some good signs but only time will tell. OO and company from Jigjiga are delighted to see these useless articles or any weaknesses of the state.

Exactly. THey kill the 15 years old boys who are forced to commit these crimes but reward those who had masterminded. Only in Somalia.

I hope Puntland and Gaas continue to cooperate with federal government. This kind of move sends strong message to UAE and others. The government in Mogadishu must pass some of the foreign aid to these regions for development. The UAE and others were allowed to bring weapons and other things without inspection. They had an agreement with Hassan Sheikh to fy in without no one knowing their intensions. Simple inspections at entry points could reduce the terrorism and extremist financing financial of the gulf countries in Somalia. I would put an army to control the entry points of BAy and Bakool region to stop Ethiopian weapons reaching Al-Shabaab in Somalia.

Putin said that ASsad is not an angel but the country must be structured in a way that can change safely to transition. He is also a reliable ally who keeps his word. Other than the middle east, there is no where in the world where people either win or destroy the whole country. Can you imagine in the Yemen civil war that is destroying the whole country, America is chasing and bombing Al-qeada within the civil war.

Israel is small overrated country. In the seventies and early eighties they were able to defeat Arab arms and location with superior air force. No more . Many countries have f-16 and everyone can build and maintain ground forces. Turkey is more powerful than Israel , so does France who manufacture their own ships and airplanes. India, Indonesia, Turkey and Brazil could be the next group..Britain with Brexit will be more isolated. OO, Canada and Australia are allies and part of the British monarchy, but they are independent countries with their own foreign and domestic policy. It will take some time before America goes second rate.

A week or so ago Trump wanted to withdraw from Syria and tonight he did strike few chemical depots. We all know how these decisions are made. Both the British premier and the French guy are in trouble at home and these kind of useless strikes might give them little break. Putin will eventually win and take over Syria, because he got all the cards including the pee tape of Trump in Moscow. In 1991, China was a communist bac water trying to build an economy. 27 years of American adventure in the middle east had weakened America and lifted China to overtake America as the largest economy in 2020. By the way, the Chinese had abstained from voting the security council debate between the west and Russia. One more adventure in the middle east and expect the US to become a banana republic with crazy people with guns coupled with dysfunction. THey could do better than this.

Guys, it is official. There were only limited strikes on chemical sites. The news is that general Mattis had won the day against the crazies of Bolton and Pompeo. The neocons are already crying foul. They wanted more escalation and blood. The liberal democrats are supporting the strike quietly, but large number of the right wing are opposed. Regardless of it's anti immigrant and racist action, the American right is dynamic. I do believe that if there is any changes In American foreign policy in the middle east it might come from the right wing section who are becoming anti war.

Holac, You right. Putin looks like a sitting duck. Bombs coming and doing nothing. Definitely the Russian bombers in Douma, Eastern Guetta and other places are horrible. I used to support the toppling of Assad but, I realized that the west wasn't serious about that, so we must accept Assad and the end of the conflict which could expand and destabilize Turkey and others.

If the attacks are limited to few places, Russia might not do much.

They will not hit Russian bases or even major bases. They will hit few air bases , go home and call it victory for Trump. Since the Wednesday tweet the media was goading Trump if he is just bluffing or not. He put himself a corner so , he have to send few cruises and declare victory. The main issue is why rush while the chemical inspection is supposed to reach Syria Saturday. We might not see soon, but America is going to lose it's leadership by keep bombing people with no apparent strategy or even affecting the war in Syria. This are the moves of desperate nations, especially the French and the British. For over a year, these nations were trying to bring Trump to their camp, but finally Macron be friended him, got close and Bum, the bombs fly.

A lot of chicken hawks are trying to join this useless war which is only intended to destabilize the region. Even the little Frenchman Macron who is becoming un popular at home is is trying to join the Frey. Bombing Syria will not achieve any thing. America and their Wahhabi wild dogs had lost the war. If the Americans want to help the Syrian people they should rebuild the Raqqa city devastated by their air bombardment. How can you help the victims by increasing chaos. The time to oust Assad was long ago and America blew it . No one had investigated yet where the chemical shells came from. Without conclusive evidence , this war will be another one waged by the Americans on false premises just like the Iraq war. We all thought that the devastation of Syria originally was to weaken the country and eliminate the last Arab threat against Israel, but now the west want to confront Russia in order to keep the American stronghold in the middle east. The problem is there is huge difference in bombing the fools of the middle east (The Arabs) and attacking nuclear power Russia, because the later might fight back. We all hope for cooler heads to prevail. By the way, the UN , the primary organization who supposed to mediate and avoid war is no where to be seen. Where is the UN secrtatery general? These are the same people who issue constant security counsel orders in Somalia. The time has come for Somalia to kick out Mikael Keating and his do nothing organization.

Warya Holac, Haddana ma waxaad rabtaa "Drone" ka Maraykanka in aad dul keento dadka reer Awdal ee aan waxba galabsan. please stop spreading these kind of false reports which are very dangerous.

ONLF must be reorganized to challenge Ethiopia more than ever. We must stop the oil and Gas drilling by the occupiers in our land. THey must shed their tribal characters and build a new credible force to take over the land for the future. The Tigray won't go down easily so we must be ready.

When I interviewed the former parliament member, he specifically mentioned about Dubai militia being paid and controlled within the Somali army , but some people dismissed that news. As I said long ago, these town, Mogadishu is awash with money, and a fraction of that goes to the essential services like the army. there are also thousands of bureaucrats who are being paid for doing nothing. In Hargeisa, during Siilaanyo times, there were people drawing salary from three different miniseries. The Somali government does not do any service outside Mogadishu. the so called $250 million budget must easily cover the salaries of the security agencies. Every soldier should be paid a minimum of $300 dollars. Waa Magaalo loo soo wada shaqatagay in wax lagu boobo.

I agree. They are not going back to Ethiopia. These are " Reer Hargeisa" Oromo . They even have the accent. It is true that there was a time that the Oromo could not freely trade or express themselves in Ethiopia which made them leave their home land. These Oromo in the news clip are people who are similar culture with the Somalis. There are approximately 100,000 Oromo in Hargeisa and other places and without them Somaliland will shut down. The local lazy Somalis had stopped doing in menial jobs long ago. If I even open a business back home, the first people I would hire will be the Oromo. By the way, the girl with Hijaab is just like our own Halimo's. These were the ones I was supporting in Ethiopia.