Jawar Mohamed is a hero to a nation, not to a tribe. There was no OLF in 1992. The first Somali regional government headquarters was Dire Dawa, the first offices were opened there, but the OG insisted and moved it to Godney. The Son of Suldan Ollol Diinle who was in this town last week, openly said that it was one of the biggest mistakes they made in early days. For the interest of the Somali community in the Kill, the OG community should leave the leadership to others. Some people believe that they shrunk the Somali territory for political purposes. They allowed the annexation of the most fertile land east of Jijiga to Dire Dawa for Oromo. Large Somali communities had decided to leave the oppression of the power hungry Geeljire to the welcoming Oromo. In fact, a friend of mine described the current war between the Somali and Oromo as a war between culturerly Oromized Somali and other Somali. Many of you here even dismissed and called them Oromo while full well knowing that they are Somali. The Jaarso community never fought other Somali in their history, yet as the war between the Tplf and Oromo started, they shut down their business and trucked them to the nearest Oromo town. In Baydhabo, people join the local tribes regardless of origin, I heard. Our friends MMA might correct me. It is similar system. Imobile farmers who spent three generations automatically become assimilated to the larger culture. No one will ask them their tribe. I was talking to the Awdal Ugaas few weeks ago, who had traveled the land extensively, and said he found over one and half million Somali in Hawaas, north Babili and other areas. There are tribes called Af Burinje and even Was Beeneeye from Puntland, Arab community from Hargeisa and Millions of Dir communities. Why would people who live in a stones throw from Jijiga decide to severe ties with the Somali Kill? Because of ruthless oppression from people who do not fear God or have any mercy. Crying about the Oromo will not solve the issue, Somalis, especially those who have greed and power has nesnerized must reflect and correct their mistakes. Babili and Harmaayo have more population than the four provances the OG community assigned it self. Awbare district have more people than combined Godney and Dhagaxbuur who are provincial capitals. For fear of other f population centres they decided to annex to Oromo and others. If you look the map, the land that is in danger of Oromo annexation doesn't belong to the Oogo region of the OG community. It is the same purpose they let it go Dire Dawa. Just look the effort that the OG community is making to preserve Cabdi Illey in order to hold to power. Ducaale from the Kenyan parliament speaker, Juba and even the ONLF and others went to Ethiopia to save the man who murdered thousands. Even when Illey ywas supposed to leave and transfer power to the vice president as the rules demand,, the tribe said, a woman does not represent us. So, Illey chose a kid who wasn't even in the cabinet few months ago. He was promoted to, added to the executive conseil and made minister few months ago. If Illey and his supporters does not change and unite the Somali, the whole Kill might go down in flames.

OO, Somali Kilil is not developed as you claim, it just one man and his emediate family dictating. Illey was the chairman and the president, his sister in law was the Vice President and he has his close family members both in security and government ministers including the finance minister who became the new leader. More than half of the Somalis opposes him as much as the Oromo . compare to other Kilil. Lema Magrasa refused to step down after the Oromo uprising and the leader of the Amhara Kilil chasedvthe federal police out of Amhara region. The other zones are led by grown men and mature counsel men who have the support of their people. The battle was lost in 2016 when The Somali zone joined the efforts to save and die for the preservation of the TPLF. If Illey had allowed the Somali people to join the uprising things could have been different today. He chose to crush the uprising more than TPLF. Now, thanks to Illey an emergency rule is imposed again and Somalia will get squeezed. In the meantime the Oromo will slow down. The new president must Change the old family style of government and transform the region to an inclusive enitity that must work to get the trust of the Somalis to face long and short term problems. Mr. Ahmed Cabdi has great opportunity to create a different system that could contrast that of his former boss.

Even boosaaso could serve the Kill interior.

Sorry, you are right. The intelligence chief is Amhara. By the way, oo you keep talking about the Djibouti trade life line for the Somali zone. Berberine e and Awda coast is ten times closer than Djibouti. The Djibouti route serves Addis and the container traffic. I know that you also work part time foe Djibouti but, the so called trade is red hearing. THEY COULD OPEN THE BORDER with Somali land with ten crossing points easily.

Oo, How about the military chief, I thought he was an Amhara?

I agree with Oodweyne the deep state with strong military structures are in the hands of the Tplf. Even the Tigray online guys are saying that the Tigray army and special forces could take out everyone. The Tplf had always plan be if things went out of their way, and they think that the Amhara are not people who can win any battle against them. They proudly claim to be those who liberated Ethiopia from the Derby. That sight of Colonel Mengitu being rehabilitated in probably the last thing they need.

Chief of the armed forces is an ethnic Amhara, the intelligence chief is a Muslim man called Mohamed Adam, both of them installed by Abiy.

By the way, the Liyu police is not entirely OG. Other comments from Moyale, Awbare and other have large numbers. They are very close group that is trained to stick to gather. They can easily defeat any forces . Moore, The Dire Dawa group is insignificant other than few districts in the Djibouti borders area, they do not have the population or the land. Most of the people in that region had already moved to Djibouti . It is the main reason Dire Dawa has has fallen to Oromo hands. Shiniile it self is shared with us and a large Dir group called Gurgure. The Awbare, Dambal, Dharwanaaje and others are organizing as we speak, we have other large Dir group who are also significantly, but at the moment , the Awdal community is allied with OG leadership, because they do not want to dismantle the existing order which could lead the collapse of the system. That is why the locals never risen up against Cabdi illey. We can also reach out the Jaarso Somalis who for political reasons abandoned the Somali Kilil. These are natural towns of the Somalis who left because of certain grievances. We must bring back the Jaarso and other Somalis who live in the middle of our region. We also believe that a fair election should be the only way to change the current leadership, and we reject those who are trying to sneak in from Dire Dawa .if elections are held the Dir can win easily by sheer number, they are not as homogeneous like the OG. Also, the ONLF is very significant in terms of the future negotiations. The Somali independent movement should be always around to comfort if Abiy starts the old order

Dahireeto, some Liyu police members fled in the Djibouti border regions for fear of retaliation. The non Somali residents of Jijiga had demanded that the Liyu to vacate the city and the federal police is keeping the peace in the city. The Amhara and some Oromo are pushing the disbanding of the Liyu but the Somali Kilil leadership has refused. If they disband the Liyu, a full fledged insurgency by a well trained and ruthless force might destroy any chances of Abiy rule in Ethiopia. This Abiy guy already mishandled this Jijiga issue, and if he targets the Liyu he would get a tough battle that is 100 times bigger than the ONLF. Also, he must remove the Tigray officers who might not be stopping communal conflicts, but fueling them. He must deploy troops to Dire Dawa and other flash points.

Khadaafi, He could have triggered the article 39 months ago or opened a debate inside the parliament which could have voted, but he was never been A Somali who had the interest of the Somali at heart. He was prison guard henchman who took pride in abusing his own people. The other issue is that Cabdi Illey is still the chairman of the party. That alone will handicap the new leader. They must elect a new party chairman.

The new temporary president is a close ally of Cabdi Illey. He was the finance minister of the outgoing government. Tobbe successful he must distance himself from his protege and build new bridges or he could face similar problems like Illey

Good riddance, rather than build alliances , Illey decided to serve the Tigray and gave away as much Somali territory. we hope the new leader to repair the damage and rebuild the unity of the Somali people

Over hundred non Somali ethnic victims are buried today in Jijiga. Most of them were shot Saturday by the Liyu police. Cabdi Illey went to the mass funeral and gave apologies. Tens of thousands mostly women and children had left Jijiga to the surrounding towns like Lafaciise all the way to Awbare and Wajaale.i did not report here but , over 80 people were liked in Jijiga for the first hour of the fighting . Since a third of the population is non Somali , expect more clashes even in Jijiga. There are credible reports that he may resign soon. Both his deputies and the parliament speaker might not replace him. After the clashes , they to the airwaves and called for war rather than calming the riots. If this despot stays another minute, things could get worse for both the Oromo and Somalis.

OO, do not address me like the regular people. Tolow ma shacabka ayuu Imoodayaa. The parliament just convicted last week and voted on motions by Cabdi Illey doubling the size of districts from 90 to 180 making every village or well a district. few moths ago he fired his cabinet and the Vice President and nominated his sister in law as vice presidential, whom I was willing to accept in order to avoid chaos. Again stop the propaganda and start acting before things got from bad to worse.

By the way, Ahmed Shide , former member of Illey cabinet and confidentl from Moyale could be the next leader.

Look , the Liyu Police is the target of many people, but on the issue of media, it is just a Tv that praises Illey 24/7, there are no independent media in the Kilil. It remained separate because most of Somalis do not belong to the Abssynian project. In fact 40 years ago there were no Amhara other than the government workers and few Oromo in Jijiga.

By the way , it was the Somalis who rioted and attacked business not he Oromia.

OO, If that is the case , no Somali will accept a forced change or parachuting someone from outside. When EPRDF wanted to change leadership they chose among themselves, they did not bring an outsider. The Somali regional government have the right to chose its next leaders. As I said before, the Dire Dawa conference has no teeth at all , and they have zero mandate. Neither Abiy nor Oromo can bring them in. If you are right , let Cabdi Illey speakout and tell us . He could simply convey that his intention is to resign and the Somali parliament will decide the next leader . In the meantime, he could transfer the power to his deputy which could make a smooth transition. The ball is in his hand, let him stop the false “ laba Kaclayn “ or what he calls “ Dib u Curasho “ to hold on power. Those of us who are old enough had seen the so called “ Laba Kaclayntii Kacaanka” of 1981 by late president Siyad Barre. And please drop the so called TPLF who put ten years of blockade in the region.hundred of millions are poured to build few symbolic reasons while the rest of the land starved. Who is going to fly to Qabridhahre while Jijiga itself has few flights a week. Any way, stop arguing and do the changes within the government as soon as possible.

Moore, Despite my antipathy to Illey I said he must finish his term or transfer power to his deputy for the sake of continuity. Regardless of his crimes , it is Somali issue and people were willing to stick with him, but he want out of his way and said “ it was TPLF who orchestrated the Oromo—Somali conflict and I was carrying orders” In order to maintain the Unity of the Somali people and avoid a long civil war between Somalia and the Oromo, a change of guard was logical . He could no longer defend Somalis 20 miles from east of Jijiga like Tulli Guuleed where Oromo is clashing with the Geri community. He became a great liability for the Somalis. I for one want him to retire like any other dictator in Ethiopia. Xaaji , I agree . The Shawa Gala were always the backbone of king Haile Salasie. Most of the generals and pilots were Ahmarized Oromo, they believe in Ethiopia more than the Amara.. The Sourhern and the Southeast Oromo are the masses that who have rebelled. There were no mass protests in Wellega or Jima where Abiyot is from, the epicentre of the Oromo revolution wee between Dire Dawa and Addis corridor that blocked traffic and movements . No army or security can crush the 20 million Muslims of that region

Xaaji Ciyaalkan aad nagu soo dayseen ee cay iyo afxumo nala daba taagan miyaad naga qabatid . If we want to separate in the future The Oromo should be our alliance. There is no reason to fight them. As soon as the change came , I said that Somalis should get a new leader and mend fences with the Oromo, instead Illey went to Addis and they tricked him and told him to confess your crimes and ask for forgiveness. As soon as he did , they said “you can’t rule since you have blood in your hands “ The battle in Jijiga is that Mr.Illey want a have a save passage like every other leader no matter what he did , but the Amhara are acting like their usual colonial way and want to keep the emergency situation they created in the Somali Galbeed since 1954. It was prime ministers Bevin of Britain who said that Somalis can’t be allowed to control that vast land and he gave the example of the Darwish and others. just like us Oromo want freedom and we must take advantage of that freedom as much as we kind. We can’t depict our future as an struggle against Oromo, but we must see it as a chance to throw out the Abyssinian colonial yoke.

I never met or spoken to Jawsr , but I know people in Minnesota who know him and they told me that he is close to Somalis in so many ways .The puppet who is using the Oromo name while he is technically Amhara is Mr. Abiyot,, as Amhara call him. Why we Somalis are carrying the water for others like Tigray, who will not lose one single person in any conflict in the Oromo -Somali neighbourhood. Everyone is saying “Oromo ayaa na soo weerartay “. It is Somalis who are burning Oromo business in Jijiga. Hundreds of thousands of Oromo had been displaced and left the Somali region for fear of retaliation. The Oromo doesn’t not believe in a centralized Ethiopia, it is the Amhara inside Abiy that want to crush Somalia and remake Ethiopia. Despite losing power, the TPLF has a unique geography that can’t be be dominated or subdued. They are using us. Jawar Migamed want a separate Oromo Zone. Rather than oppose the Ethiopian power that want to dominate us we are constantly bombard with Oromo.

OO, You are saying that Somalis have a replacement. What are you waiting. You had months for Illey to resign and appoint his deputy case closed. He is just a despot with zero intelligence. He could have helped the new leader behind the scene. I thought you were better than this. But since you serve the TPLF chaos is what you were seeking. The Dire Dawa conference is useless pressure group by elders that is used by few disgrantled former Illey party members maquarding as agents of change. For once stop blaming others and do something right . They defeated Illey already when they told him to confess publicly both in Amharic and Somali and used against him.the man is “Dead man walking “.

The Amhara are pushing to abolish the federal system while everyone else opened. By allying the old order of centralized Ethiopia with no ethnic federalism he is angering everyone. besides, the Oromo public might like the crushing of Illey by the federal forces , yet many are aware that this could be their fate if they try to separate. Who knows this Abiy guy might eventually finish of the old empire who should have been abolished long ago.

Holac, not yet. Bear with me I am writing with an I phone. The Iromo and the Amhara had agreed early to depose the TPLF and divide the power. As soon as he took power he appointed Oromo foreign, finance and other big minstries. Plus he appointed an Oromo mayor of Addis which is a city dominated by Amhara and Gurage . After that both the leaders of the Amhara and Tigray Kilil come to gather for alliance to oppose him . In order to confront the regional powers of these two groups he needed an alliance and he chose the banned opposition. He allied himself with Amhara intellegensia that was arrested and exiled outside for back up. That was the main reason he emptied jails. He sought to revive the order including the disbandment Ethiopian Orthodox Church that was exiled in America. Furthermore, he went to Aritrea to surround the Tigray. Even his ally and former prime minister Desalegn went all the way to Zimbabwe to meet former dictator Mengistu. On the eyes of Tigray, current Amhara zone leaders and Oromo Liberation Front, Abiy is reviving the old Ethiopian order, while others are saying that he had no Choice but to ally himself with Somalis and Iromo. A Somali Hunan right expert in the region told me that Abiy is looking outsiders to confront the Tigrai and Amhara order that is slowly opposing him within the Kilil. The OLF is demanding a referendum before any agreement. Folks no one is trusting the 500 years old Amhara order including the Oromo, Somali, Tigray and others. That is why many are trying to undermine while he is weak. I wish we had a strong Somali leadership who could have taken advantage of the current situation. Ethiopia could disintegrate if the right policies are implemented.

I think the TPLF was pushing the Somali region to use article 39 and declare independence. The Somali zone became the litmus test. As we speak 400 federal army is surrounded by 10,000 Liyu police. More helicopters and mechanized army is arriving and will be clashes soon. Afar state might follow soon. according to TPLF Abiy is empowering the old Amhara order and even the Oromo liberation Front want to add a referendum with their negotiations. Even Jawar Mohamed said that they will be out within five years. As I said, this Abiy guy might not survive this year. The bad news is the TPLF is using Somalis as a dry run