Price Ahmed , the youngest son of King Abdulaziz Ibn Saud, and brother king Salmaan had come back from London in early September. Rumors say that he might be the new crown price which was his before being over taken by Mohamed Bin Naif which was replaced by palace coup last year.

Well, the great Suldaan Erdogan want to get rid off the MBS. He told major leaders of the world how reckless he is. It seems that Erdogan will not let it go unless he gets huge concessions from America. the Americans must get rid off YPG Kurds in Syria, extradite Fathullah Gullen, and follow Turkey on the Syrian issue. Who knows, Turkey might evidence linking Jared Kushner and others on the murder. One thing I like about this Kid , Prince Salmaan is he is the only Saudi leader since the late king Faisal who realizes the power of the Saudi Kingdom. If he reduces oil by just few millions, the world economy will be shaken. Despite what the so called fools of the the new religion called global warming say, the oil is the engine of the world economy and those who have huge production capacity like the Saudis have the power. Price Salmaan has a lot of cards to play. He needs good counselors to advice him on the world affaires. He should know that as big oil power and the land of Makkah and Medina, he should act carefully and slowly. Kidnapping of the Lebanese prime minister, reacting irrationally against the tweet of the Canadian foreign minister and the Kashoggi murder were all bad moves. I blame these things to the bad Hombres he associated with like Kushner and Trump. The truth is the west is terrified of Salmaan becoming king. He might use his economic power intelligently and become powerful. The Saudi kingdom was dying slowly under king Cabdalla for the last ten years. A lot has happened in the region under his watch. Furthermore, the Saudis must conclude the Yemen war and defeat clearly the Houthis . I do not trust the so called peace talks which is intended to prolong the the war and make eventually another quagmire in Yemen like Syria. If Salmaan builds good relationship with Turkey, Canada and others, he might survive and rule for a long time.

I agree. It will never end . I also concur that having ministers doesn't help the average Somali. We the Awdalites have a minister and four deputy ministers , and these four were appointed after we complained. In fact, these appointments will not change the condition of the people. What we object is the manner in which one unelected man decides how to allocate resources and create his own districts while abusing the Ethiopian system. If a place becomes districts it gets millions from the budget federally and in order to create their own clan kingdom they created 60 districts of their own. I do not object which group is ruling, yet I want a system and institutions based on rule of law and well known mechanism to allocate funds, resources and development. I do not want to rely on the mercy of the dear leader to get justice, school or hospital. Ethiopia has done population censuses almost ten years ago, and the Somali leaders must follow these facts on the ground and allocate resources based on this. Another main issue if you do not speak out and stop these hungry Somali tribes where ever they might be, they will rob you in a day light and say, "Somalia ha Noolaato". I remember that in 1998 when Puntland was created, I asked a guy from Mudug , Puntland, why maintain a military force since that job is the responsibility of the national government?, he said, " Somalis in general do not have empathy for the weak, and the nomadic character of the people pushes them to take things that doesn't belong to them". In other words, he must protect himself from his fellow countrymen until order comes back.It is a delicate balance to keep the brotherhood and Somalinimo while guarding yourself from the hungry tribe that doesn't want to work or gain things lawfully. Furthermore, Ina Cagjar is from those who want to name a whole country for themselves while not even 20% of the population. So, my friends, we are watching these people and speaking out in order to avoid another upheaval. While it is too early , we ask him to create a Somali institution based on rule of law so. we might not need the protection of the tribe. The biggest threat for life and liberty in the Somali world is your own tribe or those who are your neighbors, and the best way to avoid these clashes would be to create a system where the state is the guarantor of the peace. If I feel a threat, I want to call the police not the tribe. If the police is the clan LIyu police, them may Allah help us. In Somaliland , the budget and resources are very small, while maintaining a civil servant, police and military. Other than the foreign aid which is looted, the budget is limited. Here in Somali region, they were getting hundreds of millions aid from the federal budget, yet that money is openly divided by the clan. If you speak out , they will arrest you and murder you in a day light. In Hargeisa, the government might be corrupt or incompetent but the people are honorable and free (Shacabku waa gob waana xor). They are creating their own business activity and parallel lives and systems from the government. Anyone can open business in Hargeisa and thrive without interference other the few corrupt city boys who delay things. In fact, if they let it go the separation issue , there is no one more honorable and worth living with than the "Habro". In Jigjiga, the whole OG community is for the loot. They federal government will allocate money for housing , and after the houses are built, all is given to the clan, 100%. This new guy must get rid of the old system and allow people to select their mayors, collect their taxes and build things. He should know that he can't follow the old Illey system allocating 90% of the budget to his bogus districts. Xaaji, I agree. This region is big from Gaashaamo to Harta Sheikh, Wajaale, Awbare , Lafaciise Jigjiga. We must work together and unite these regions. Don't you know that the world is bigger than Gabiley?. By the way, stop referring Awbarre as Teferibar, the Amhara name, and it is the largest district in the Somali Zone by the last census. OO OO, Saaxiib that 5 star is ingrained in our ancestors blood and should not be abandoned. " Xoolahaagu ama Xero ha kuugu jiraan ama Xeer hakaaga maqnaadaan" those regions were taken from us illegally and we might get them one day legally, including Djibouti stolen from us by the French and their evil collaborators, the Ghelle family. I was just sending the alarm that this new kid Mustafe must look the big picture and think beyond his clan which can't subdue Somalis as before. THe idea of Jaarse becoming Oromo should be a wake up call for all. I was just reporting what was going on in the region . There is a Somali saying that " Rag Ciil Cadaab buu ka doortaa", which is really very bad saying since there is nothing worse than hell. Yet, Somalis left the comfort of the republic and went to join the blood thirsty dictator Mengistu in order to fight another Somali oppression. If you look back for what took place in the Somali zone what Siyaad did would be considered a Childs play. I am not against the new leader but, I object his moves which is alarming. He just appointed seven member to work on the reforming of the Illey party and four out of seven were his clan. If that is the case, then others must form their own party and confront the Illey created party inherited by Ina Cagjar. Waxaan leeyahay, waar hooy, dalka iyo dadka hakala dirina , inta ay xaajo meel laga qabto leedahay.

Xaaji, Adinguna ma waxaad bilawday ku qabso ku qadimayside? Gaashaamo is the larger settlement of the Habro, but it is in Hawd , close to the Burco border, and Harta Sheikh is a village for trades to pass. Awbare is the largest district in all of Zone five except Jigjiga and Diridhaba. We will not accept the OG created 70 districts of their own where small wells of 100 people are made districts. Cabdi Illey Edadi meesha ay makhaayad ka furatay Edadii ee geedaka hoosyiisa ayaa degmo noqotay. This people has no shame. This Cagjar guy might talk Somalinimo, yet he is weak and corrupt. I am not buying the false blue flag he is carrying. I will never accuse Farmaajo of Qabyaalad . He might be weak but not tribal. This Cagjar guy is trying to fool us but we are awake. As they say, “ symbols are intended for the simple minded”. Abiy Ahmed appointment a lady from Caafar community as the Defense minister, Amhara lady as president and a Somali guy as the finance minister. This Facebook guy supposed to reform the system and bring Somalis together, yet he keep playing the same Illey card in different manner. He must disband or reform the old Illey Party rather than surround himself with his tribal henchmen. If he doesn’t change and share the pie with others and reform the system, he will be history. Every tribe will create their own Liyu police and clan militias if they keep their “ Qaadicu Dariiq “ mentality. Besides, Yaa Xaaji, you the Western Jeegaan is only interestted making few dollars from Wajaale and the trade. You do not care about othets.

If the OG boys doesn't change their culture of greed and robbery, the Somali zone will be divided to three or four zones. In fact, by judging the pulse of the Somalis in the region, almost everyone would welcome a break up.

Waad naga qoslisay. OO could be in Djibouti at the moment.

If he is from the Qandala Community I will support him , otherwise stick with Gaas.

, This is the same drivel I read at Tigrai Online. They keep calling Abiy as the Manchurian candidate or a puppet installed By America or Arabs. If the TPLF starts war now , they will be the losers because everyone is their enemy including as Somalis for what they have done to us for the last 25 years. They will be hunted by everyone. There is no where for the TPLF to run. Eritrea will hunt them down, so does the Oromo, Amhara, Guraage and Somalis. The TPLF is between a rock and hard place. If they let the new system take place , they will be a small group of highlanders that will not have any significant influence in the new Ethiopia, yet they stil can live in peace and enjoy the new Ethiopia.. If they try to fight back they will lose big time. I hope the weak man in Mogadishu is getting something out of this fraternity in Ethiopia. Everyone is talking about the regional government denied audience with the Addis government, yet those relations were becoming insignificant since 2014. As I wrote in these pages, about a year or so, evetone should expect that the demise of the TPLF will make a lot of Somali regions as orphans. Didn't I say while ago that if a right leadership comes and understands the game, Somalia doesn't need to beg no one. Ethiopia is weak, yet they are pretending as that indespensible power that want to take ove the region. Folks, we Somalis have the real cards today. I was surprised one Hassan Sheikh went to Jigjiga and try to help prop up Illey and the TPLF power that was collapsing. The same theory must be used today. Abiy is a man in transition. He must finish off the TPLf without causing chaos, he must prptect himself from the Amhara and Tigray officers, and at the end must face the Oromo who fought and won the revolution. The guy is in ahuge mess, yet he is talking high games and annexation of hostile Somalis who are awake. . The main issue is why would a Somali leader be just a by stander when this Abiy guy keep announcing from his a...s all kind of things. Few months ago he said he want to take over our ports, and now he want to annex Somalia and Eritrea. Farmaajo , just like any sequestered guest didn't even answer the enquiring minds of the Somali people who are shocked by these stupid announcements. Soomaalida ma Umul buu mooday, Ilaawsha dhawa. It is disrespectful and demeaning to destroy a nation through war lords and hungry tribes and then tell them all is well and let us kiss and make up. Ma intay Qarankii naga dumiyeen oo Qabaa'il haraadan. Xag jir, dagaal Ooge iyo Budhacad nagu soo hubeeyeen ayey imaka oo aanu talo hayno, hase yeeshee aanu awood lahay ayey yidhaahdeen aan dalka isku darsano. Ala Siyaasiyiinta Soomaalidu Aqli xummaa. Waar dalka Kubsiga ka daaya. In business, it is called hostile take over. Well, as the stake holders of this nation, we reject Abiy, Asaayas and the weak man in Mogadishu. First of all , we must get back the independence nd the state we lost in 1991 before we could join any false project.

Abiy is hastening the eventual show down with the TPLF security men who also control large military industrial complex. According to Ethiopian investigators, the so called Grand Dam was a huge scheme to embezzled money from the state. Most of the money for the Dam was raised through non conventional methods since the world bank and other western institutions refused to finance. That is why Abiy said that the Dam is unsustainable economically. It was a TPLF Biggy bank. Billions of Ethiopian Bir was stolen in the name of this huge Dam. As soon as Abiy took over, the TPLF intelligence had murdered the engineer who was in charge of the Dam in order to conceal their crime. The general arrested was the CEO of the firm. The TPLF might cry wolf, but their monopoly on military , intelligence and economy are targeted. They are losing the economic power and the intelligence influence, and the only thing remaining in their their military power. If they deo not use this military superiority soon, the TIGRAY will be history. Some are agitating to create the old Turkish style of generals who called themselves as the guardians of the system. The TPLf has cleaned the Ethiopian foreign currency for the last three years. Some of that money went through Somali run Hawala and other banks while forwarded to the gulf and Europe. If Mr. Getachew, the former intelligence officer had joined the TPLF regional leadership , yet he is indicted as everyone else.

If there is any place in Somalia that needs nurturing and uniting people, it is Galmudug. It had been the fault lines of internal and communal conflicts since 1991. For the first time in 2013/14, the Hassan Sheikh government brought them together that diverse community and formed the Galmudug administration. Also, for the last year and half, there have been harmony and good co[existence between Puntland and Galmudug. It is sad that the clock had been set back for Galmudug to have two leaders at the same time.

OOdweyne, I could be wrong by suggesting that Somalilands might not survive after Muuse Biixi, but on the cabinet shuffle, it is written in a big letters for everyone to see. It is nothing but the purging of south Hargeisa boys from Kulmiye party and the government. until today, that community had four major positions in the Kulmiye government. 1-Jaamac Shabeel, the chairman of the central committee of Kulmiye. He was fired three weeks ago by challenging the party. He tried to hold the central committee meeting of the party, but the police blocked and he decided to sue with no hope of succeeding 2-.Mohamed Yusuf Ismacil, Hargeisa airport manager. He was a young man who modernized the airport and brought many regional airlines to Hargeisa, yet he became the victim of the tribal purge. 3-minister of finance Yusuf Mohamed. was replaced today. 4-The governor of Somaliland bank is the only major position left for that community , and he could be replaced any time. who knows Yusur Abraar or someone else might take the post. If you remember, few weeks ago I wrote a headline about Faysal Waraabe being the most powerful politician in Somaliland. So, Mr. OOdweyne , we do not write these headlines just for fun, but we sense the pulse of where things are headed. It is just as simple as, "Waar kuwani Faysal ayey raacayaane aan dawlada ka saarno" It is the thinking of revengeful character of Muuse Biixi.

These statements are intended for the Amhara and Oromo constituents. Also, Abiy Ahmed is feeling the encroaching Amhara influence in Ethiopia. At the moment , he is buying time to consiladate power and fend off the eventual Amhara takeover. In 1974 when the king was deposed by popolar uprising, the then Oromo provisional president Tafari Bante ignored the Oromo mobs and others who were agitating , looting and the killings. The people demanded peace and change. Finally , a lowly Amhara Colonel called Mengistu Hailemarium came an took the power without mercy, and the rest is history. The Amhara is uniting and working with other minorities in major cities. Heck, they even agitated in Jigjiga to show their force. That is why Abiy is moving quick to satisfy the Amhara intelligentsia. He helped an Amhara woman to be president, and this week , he brought the Somali president and Asayas of Eritrea to Bahir Dar and Gondor the Amhara region major cities. The Tigray are sitting behind the scenes with their military, but the Amhara are the biggest threat. If Abiy really want to help Somalia, they must stop the weapons flooding to the insurgency between the two rivers (Hiiraan, middle and lower Shabeele, Bay and Jubba). I never get the idea of signing treaties while your nation is still bleeding. Mr. Farmaajo, go home and fix the problems in Hawl wadaag . As soon as this Abiy guy consolidates power, he could be even deadlier than Meles Zanawi. This guy want the UN, USA and others to forget about Somalia, Djibouti and other and deal with him directly. He must implement the old Amhara agenda or he will be history.

As usual an angry Muuse is uniting and building the ranks of the opposition. When some of us called this a Jeegaan government, many people among the ruling class and their supporters felt insulted and called us divisive and anti Somaliland. Yet, time and again they are proving us right by calling what it is. The man elected to the parliament might represent a certain region, town or county, but ministers appointed to the cabinet indicate to the public about good governance, integrity and inclusiveness (Dawlad Wadaag iyo dawlad Wanaag ummadda U Dhaxaysa). Only an angry and reckless fool would think that after a messy election he would be the president of only those who voted for him. Reer Hebel Inooma Footayn ee waxba ha siin , inagana Ilaaliya. I have written a lot about Muuse Biixi before and after the election, and my prediction is coming home to the point. His track record and his past is open in public records. He always created problems and never fixed them in his own history. I did not finish reading the book , From Rural to the palace , by the able and energetic former chief of staff of Ahmed Siilaanyo Hirsi Cali Hassan , who had written and showed us a glimpse of the political thinking of Muuse Biisi. In the late pages, he narrates a meeting in the cabinet attended by the ministers and president by Ahmed Siilaanyo. He said, " President Siilaanyo had informed his cabinet about the coming demonstration called by Parliament chairman and opposition leader C/raxman Cirro , and asked the cabinet what to do about in order to stop this demonstration for taking place ( waar maxaan ka yeelaa Cirro Mudaharrad ayuu ku dhawaaqee?). " As cabinet was delibrating, suddenly, Muuse Biixi who was the leader of Kulmiye , entered and Siilaanyo told him to take a seat among the cabinet. Siilaanyo repeated the same question and asked Muuse to add his few senses". Hersi said that he was expecting Muuse to brain storm and bring some meaningful suggestions to stop the demonstrations and resolve the matter in peaceful manner. " Muuse ayaa hadalkii qaatay markaasu yidhi, waar caawadan aynu Joogno aan gudoomiye Cirro soo xidhno oo soo qabano " The fool wanted to arrest chairman Ciroo at that same night. Hersi was shocked and said, " The person we are talking about is the chairman of the Somaliland parliament and the head of the opposition party, and not a petty criminal from the street, so we need to resolve the issue without confrontation". Hersi continued, " In fact many members of the cabinet laughed at his reckless suggestion without thinking". According to Hersi that was one of the major reasons he wanted to promote Mohamed Bihi Yoonis and others to lead the Kulmiye party than this renegade. As history has shown Hersi was correct. This narrative from Hersi shows also how Muuse Biixi interfered with the cabinet of Ahmed Siilaanyo. In fact the last cabinet of the Siilaanyo was hand picked by Muuse which sidelined the likes of Cali Waran Cadde in favor of Faratoon from Sool. Now, rather than fix the imbalance in the cabinet and the government to make more inclusive among the regions, he went ahead to double down and marginalize those he perceived as his enemies. Their crime is that the majority of them might have voted for the opposition. As a paranoid rebel, he kicked out the last meaningful cabinet member from Soiuth Hargeisa and the G/X community. AS we speak, there is no any meaningful cabinet member from one of the largest communities of Somaliland. The western Jeeagaan were already controlling the Berbera port, military, courts, deputy police chief and the foreign (Aid) affaires ministry. Since everything is measured on tribal terms certain members must be purged from the government for political reasons. In my humble opinion, the purging of the finance minister and the manager of the Hargeisa airport replaced with a western Jeegaan last week are motivated by politics and tribal moves. The chairman of UCID Faysal Cali Waraabe had decided to stop collaborating with Muuse and become a real opposition party. Rather than being a useful idiot used for whipping the real opposition, Mr. Faysal had decided to use his eloquent oratory and project himself for future leadership. In fact, Faysal Waraabe has a great ability to sway the public opinion and isolate Musse in his bunker. Everyone knows that Faysal has a lot of cards to play and sideline Muuse as a weak and angry leader as shown by his last press conference. Rather than isolate Faysal and bring his community to the fold of the Kulmiye party which had supported them for many years, the angry rebel, Mr. Muuse Biixi, had decided to purge the Sand dune dwellers from his government. The first move was to replace the airport manager and now fire the the finance minister. The foreign minister is replaced by Yaasin Faratoon from Laascaanood, a man whose community is fighting and killing each other in Sool. According to a lot of people, Mr. Faratoon is sent to the outside world t get some donor money while Mr. Sacad Shire is taking control of the finance for the western Jeegaan. This moves and others would completely unite the opposition and those who supported them. This man, Muuse Biixi, is not interested about mending fences or bringing people together, even if it meant secluding himself in Hargeisa. The nose is probably tightening and he want to hide and rule from the Hargeisa bunker for the next few years. He is desperate, yet he refused to compromise on main issues like holding of an elections. In order to hold elections and satisfy the opposition demands, he could easily create a new election commission just like Dahir Rayaale did in 2009, yet for the angry man, that is a matter of life and death. Yaasiin Faratoon doesn't have the diplomatic background or any other ability to get the elusive " Aqoonsi",. In my opinion that issues is probably dead and the main reason of the appointment is to use a different face from the east to persuade the donors to dole out some more aid. When the tough talking Adna Aadan said, " we are willing to unite with our southern Somalis if and when they get a government elected by the people", I knew things were not the same in Hargeisa. There is a lot of fertile ground in Somalia to fix the southern problem, yet we have children in charge of Mogadishu that is being baby sited by western donors. They are nothing but paper tigers who could not pacify one single city for two years. There are two governments in Mogadishu, one is sitting in Halane garrison to write the checks while the other is living in green zones and check points manned by foreign troops. They operate in shiny well equipped offices and most of the workers live inside hotels. Finally, we all know that Muuse Biixi will not progress politically, but will regress as times pass. The problem is four years are too long for his eventual exit. By the time he finishes his mandate, their won't be a Somaliland. What most people do not understand is that you can't run a system by using the old and out dated tribal system. Those who had a history of struggle like the SNM, or the elders who saw destruction and war, will be disappearing from the scene soon and will be replaced by young people who want to have jobs and other modern life amenities. Muddo intee leeg ayaad ku Jiri , " Waar reer hebel iga qabo ama iga xali". Thirty years is probably enough, and this is not only an issue for Somaliland alone. Puntland has probably four more years before it disintegrates with the under current issues that are been resolved by the elders or other people with knowledge of history and tradition. Puntland was founded mostly by people who were displaced in Mogadishu and forced their homes and business which they nurtured since early forties. Those people who desired to create a place to take refuge while the Somali state was missing are dying or retiring. The more the Somali problem of state rebuilding drags the more it will affect the cohesiveness of other parts, and Puntland will not be different. As I said before, in these parts of the world, the later leader is always worse than his predecessor. The population is growing and the resources are dwindling. Clan corruption and maneuvering is open in the media and people could see those who gained power status and money without merit. Yet, despite all of that people are patient and only want peace and basic services. In many parts of the country, they have no appetite for war or confrontation unless they are pushed or showed contempt by the ruling class. When you replace a public servant who is doing his job without just cause, people would accept. I am not talking about ministers , but a middle level bureaucrat who neither committed offense, negligence or incompetence, yet replaced to make way for clan henchman. That would mean the end of the system. Folks, we are entering a very interesting week in politics in Hargeisa. Let us see if the man comes out of the bunker or he fires more and more of his perceived enemies.

It is really useful for the next leaders and their aides to read this book. There have been many leaders and other than late president C/laahi Yusuf non of them wrote a book about their administration. Hirsi Gaab has a ton of information because he was literally running the government as the acting president. Many of us had written as early as 2014 about the incapacity of Ahmed Siilaanyo to remember things. In fact, a friend who met Ahmed Siilaanyo in DEcember 2010 told me that there was something wrong. Finally, our esteemed chief of staff Hirsi Ali Hassan has told the incapacity of Siilaanyo to run the government as early as one month after he was sworn in as president of Somaliland.. According to some excerpts of the book from Borama news , Hirsi wrote in page 181: " Some political events are more difficult than one another, in the early morning of August 30, 2010, the wife of president Ahmed Siilaanyo called , and I sensed sadness in her voice. She told me that there is some new development and I should be here as soon as possible. I reached the house of the president while feeling sadness , and the first lady met me and told me that last nigh there was some development in which the president wanted to resign from the office. While we were disucsing the issue, minister Mohamuud hashi also arrived at the house after he has been informed by the lady. After some discussions , we found out that the main reason of his resignation was that he worried of losing his memory or his capacity to remember things was diminishing. Finally, at the end , he rescinded from his resignation after the family consulted and agreed to stay." he continued: " After he emerged from the family meeting, I sat down with him and felt his worries about his responsibilities and the feeling of his disease .Personally, while working with him , I felt that his ability to memorize things were dimishing , especially when there was worries and stress in the job" We have to read and wait how others, especially Mohamuud Hashi tells his part. I heard that at the end Hersi clashed with the family and threatened to spill where the skeletons were buried ,but at the end he left and took a third of the cabinet. I also like the title of the book , " From rural to the palace" which despite all the talk of clan and other useless issues, showed how a boy from the rural hinterland made himself and became the defecto ruler of Somaliland. Good job Mr. Hersi, definitely we should learn few things from you book. Nin Gaaban ka cabso. Is it available in Amazon?

Cabdi Weli didn't declare his intensions yet. If there is no heavy weight challenging him , he might make deals and win quickly. If Cumar C/rashiid enters the arena, Gaas night save his money and just finish his term.

I think it will be postponed. probably as late March, 2019. At the moment Front runners are: Cumar C/rashiid Sharmaarke ( did not declare yet) C/weli Gaas Saciid Cabdulaahi Dani MOhamed Saciid Xirsi Morgan Cabdi Farah Juxa Cali Xaaji Warsame

OOdweyne, I sifted through your long useless drivel and the best quote from you is: I think that is a good quote and let us just leave at that and finish the debate.

Suldaanka, I really welcome your analysis and response. When I write these threads, some part of my articles are facts and accuracies that did take place. On the other hand , some are just my opinion that lean on certain direction. This is a good analysis that highlights the constant resource based clan conflicts which might be different than the one in Sool which has bot tribal bride , resource and political connotations in the same place. Yet, no one can ignore that these conflicts have roots on the political divide of the Sool community between Puntland and Somaliland. Any way, I welcome these kind of counter argument and responses from your side.

By the way, this fool called AAdan Ducaale has done nothing for Somalis in Kenya. Gaarisa and Wajeer need agriculture and help from droughts of last years. The governor of the Mera producing region is the same party as this guy and he wants a market for the Qat Meru. it is a simple as that.

Of course , no body likes the regional governments, but destabilizing regions will not benefit Farmaajo. It took a long time to bring the people of Galmudug to finally find a leadership and some kind of stability. If the leader is waging war or creating conflict within his region or the neighboring regions, you might try to help depose for the interest of peace and stability, but to depose him and fragment Galmudug because he disagrees with you , that is self serving and dangerous. Furthermore, to use the badly needed salary of the soldiers to use for political purposes I. Besides, if you want to get rid of them or build a united nation, do and finish your Mogadishu home work. Hawsha ku hor taal ka adkow. I thing Mooge is very generous by saying Mogadishu government. I wish they were in charge of Mogadishu. They are living like the old colonial governments who secluded themselves with their own zone while the natives live outside.

Waxaa la yidhi war la helaa baa tala helaa. I think our friend Mooge knows few things that I did not know before, and he is correct. I did talk a friend of mine who came from Mogadishu and I asked him about Bashir Goth and his stay in Mogadishu. He said Bashiir was hired by Khayre to consult him on the international media issues and build some bridges. He said, he spent four moths or so living in a hotel. His wife and family are in Virginia , USA. So, rather than hide and being secluded in a hotel, he decided to take a job in Washington close to his family. Since Bashiir is close friend of Ahmed Samatar, he might have recomanded by him to Muuse to hire him. Since Bashiir Goth is a prolific write, especially in the gulf and his hard hitting articles sometimes appear in the Somali websites, Khayre wanted to buy him and take him out from the public arena. Yet, how can one live in a hotel in 24/7 like most people who work for Khayre and Farmaajo. Nimankani qof kasta way gadanayaan si loo amaano. Waxay rabaan " Noolow ma Daale" iyago oon ceel qodin reekiina biyo waraabin. By the way, if you look the tone of Ahmed Samatar , he seems to be really mad and angry. I heard that when he discussed with the media about the failure of Somaliland foreign policy which some assumed of him targeting the weak Sacad Cali Shire, the foreign minister, some inside the cabinet of Muuse went straight to him and insulted him publicly. I think Samatar is out of that ship driven by Muuse. Personally, I do not doubt that story since I have seen their insults here in SOL for years. So, folks, Bashiir Waa nin reerkiisa u shaqo tegey.

It was the single biggest loss of life in a Somali tribal war probably for the last ten years. The latest report indicate that the war in Dhumay, southern Sool, has produced a huge causality--70 dead and 80 wounded--even seen in recent history. If you think this is just another misguided Somali tribal insanity, you are mistaken. It is purely a political , just as the one in Ceel Af weyn, Sanaag was. Political wars among tribes are usually ignited and inflamed by outside sources that doesn't live among the fighting communities. At the same time , the biggest culprit or the originator of this war is none other than Cali Khalif Galaydh. He personally started a Khaatumo project for a self rule for the inhabitants of the Sool region. Some say he did his best while others claim that he neither did have the patience nor the capacity to achieve that huge task. Some even say that he was never serious about the project in the first place other than punish his old political rivals. There is a humanitarian moto which says , If you can't help or alleviate a problem do not make it worse ( Haddadan waxba ka qaban Karin ha uga sii darin). As early as 2016, Galaydh had realized that he couldn't get the support of the people in Sool despite his fruitless efforts. He could not even get a quarter , 25% of the Khaatumo region. He was sidelined both from those who rejected his Khaatump project in Puntland and those who initially rode with his false caravan. On thing that Ahmed Siilaanyo and to some extend Somali leaders had learned of lately is that almost every thing and everyone is for sale including their souls. When cash payments and negotiations go hand in hand, expect a failure. Galaydh and his entourage were dining and celebrating and sleeping in Hargeisa hotels with the government check book while talking to the Sillanyo government. Since Galaydh was abandoned by both sides of the Sool constituents, the Hargeisa administration understood that as a non violent constitutional negotiator, he would not not pose a serious threat to the system. Further more, the third group of Soolers who were in Hargeisa saw him as a threat to replace them in their cushy jobs. On the military side, Galaydh encouraged the Somaliland government to arm his Bahararsame Sub clan as Galaydh's militia which is one of the fighting sub clans in Dhumay this week. Also, a lot of buying and selling of elders and politicians was going on in the Sool for the last seven years. A huge budgetary expenditure was allocated to militia commanders and their elders. A tribal or a sub clan commander might assemble 300 men and receive their salary on their behalf without registering to the Somaliland army. It is the same game going on in Somalia from Mogadishi to Gedo where tribal militia are masquerading as the national army. Some of you have seen in the media about militia from Sool going back and forth from Somaliland to Puntland. It is all about the militia not being paid or their commanders pocketing their salary, they get angry and take their pick up trucks to the nearest border in Puntland. Then after few months, they realize that the other side is even worse in terms of material benefits. Hundreds of millions were spent to fragment the people of Sool, and the division among the people is getting bigger while the main player like Ina Galaydh is sipping Latte in America. His own people are dying in useless conflict, yet did you hear anything from him? nothing. The war is moving from the south to the north. Some might think this as an exaggeration, but the shoe seem to be fitting in that direction. Today In southern Somalia there is no huge tribal clashes. Other than Farmaajo instigated political division , Things are dying down in Galmudug. There is no huge clashes in central Somalia. Few clashes might flare in Hiiraan but nothing serious. In Mogadish and the two rivers, the issue is political instability, Al-Shabaab, business related anarchy and other serious issues than can only resolved by competent leaders with tough measures to bring law and order. Yet, there is no huge tribal clashes or the desire to confront the other tribe with military force. A certain clan might oppose the government while the other supports, but there is no tribal clashes among these tribes. Of course , there is a low intensity tribal conflict in Jubba area that is simmering for a while. In other words, the biggest open clan conflicts are taking place in Somaliland. Some might be minor while others are growing by the day. Just this week, the Qardho based Colonel Caare rebels have crossed 150 kilometers to the interiors of Sanaag and raided Dararweyne district. These are not border posts between Puntland and Somaliland , but close to Ceel Afweyn district in western Sanaag. The southern Sool conflict is among two or more simmering in Sool, while the Tukaraq stand off is the biggest of all. It is the sign of times that these tribal conflicts did not exist in Somaliland few years ago. Those in Hargeisa are acting like the empires who tolerated the wars that were taking place in distant lands. Those who were in Landon were watching Shakespeare plays while the British soldiers were fighting in the Himalayas of the Indian sub continent. In Hargeisa they are debating where to build a new huge palace for the dear leader who never ventured outside Berbera since he was elected. It seems history is repeating itself. It was Mohamed I. Cigaal who in the year of 2000, discouraged NGO's from traveling outside the town of Sheikh for fear of their safety. While Muuse is angry at everyone including the media the, Southern civil war is slowly but surely moving to the North.

Don't waste time listening his speech, just listen the last 10 minutes of the question and answer. This man is an angry man. He is fighting and debating with journalists. Waar ninkan ha loogu dhaarto in uu madaxweyne yahay oo doorashadii la soo dhaafay. Doorashadii sax ma'aha ayay leeyihiin ayuu ku doodaya. Waar u sheega intaa laga soo gudbay. THe opposition are not debating his legitimacy but the composition of the national election commission. The demand to change the NEC is a demand of the opposition. He have to resolve either by disbanding or not renewing their mandate after it expires in 2019. Even the way this NEC is appointed is huge imbalance that favors the ruling party. Among the NEC officers, 2 are appointed by the president, 2 by the Guurti and the other three by the parties. You can not the president and his party appoint three while also influencing the two from Guurti. The election commissioners must be appointed by the parliament, or each party must appoint three each making it nine.

Che, you guys are correct. This a selection. Xaaji, I agree. One man one vote is a milestone experience for Somaliland that is difficult to achieve in the horn of Africa. Anyway, speaking of the Hagbad, don't you guys think that it is our turn in the Mogadishu selection.

He is correct. How can a parliament sit without election for almost 14 years? Muuse Biixi has no intension of holding parliamentary elections. If the opposition is opposed to the old election commission, why not change and a get a new crop of commissioners who got the trust of the people? Siilaanyo has delayed their election year after year for seven years, and Muuse want to follow him. That is unacceptable. Chairman Faysal has both the credibility and toughness to make these reforms. If he really acts like a real politician , he could seriously challenge Muuse Biixi. Maybe the time of Faysal as the next leader had arrived. Will see.