Also, Bayle could be a threat to the Facebook boys in 2020 as a candidate and they might want to disgrace him for a good. War jiraaba cakaara ayuu iman.

The Mogadishu business community do not like paying taxes. For example , There was a huge bag carrying one million worth of cell phones , and the basic 5% tax could have been $50,000, yet they wanted to pay 50 dollars or less. It is a well known issue. That issue does exist in Mogadishu, yet when I saw a poor soldier was arrested for double dibbing of just one hundred dollars I knew the Facebook boys were hiding something. In my opinion, C/raxman Bayle is not guilty of stealing any money. Yet, the Facebook boys might get rid of him for not playing ball . I have been looking where about of the Saudi money for a long time, and finally Bayle told us that it was deposited in Istanbul, Turkey bank. The question is why in Turkey and not the central bank? we need an explanation. Also, where is the Qatar money? and who is controlling that fund? We need answers.

Amisom troops are paid about $250 million dollars every year. Musafeni, Uhuru and others convince to keep paying these salaries pointing out the weakness of Somali security forces. There is no end date in sight, Some say 2020, yet nothing would change judging by todays standard. Just look at Afghaistan where a billion is spent every week. The insurgency is getting stronger year after year and there is no end in sight. What we need is Somali centered solutions. I never believe money as an issue in Somalia. The country is flooded with hundreds of millions of dollars from so many different groups. There are over 60 government ministers and each one is earning six figure salary with body guards and while sleeping high end hotels. for the last few days, the finance committee of the parliament has asked the finance minister how they dispensed through government accounts about the $50 million dollars donated by the Saudis. All hell broke lose and 20 ministers descended to the parliament and attacked everyone. When a committee asks you to explain discrepancies in the government finance, you respond with numbers not a sermon. Like a government trying to avoid a vote of no confidence, they told some of the members of the finance committee who signed the letter to recant and say that they we were not there when the letter was written. I know when someone is pressured . Mr. Bayle must stop his sermons and answer the questions by numbers from the bank and his ministry how the money was spent. It is simple. When he was elected almost everyone said that if pacifies the capital and builds few thousand non sectarian national army , his would achieve something. There is no army after two tears and the capital is more dangerous than ever. If people are judging how many capitals the president visits or the false carpet foreign leaders are throwing for him, then we are doomed. Hassan Sheikh visited more places with red carpets. Of course those foreign [powers that backs him up might talk him up as long as he is following the script, but as soon as he tries to change course and find Somali solutions, they will discard him and bring another with white horse. Ceel ma la qoday, reerkii biyo ma ka cabay. That is how we judge.

Let me say it again: Farmaajo is a good man, and he is not a tribal person, but Somalia needs a tough guy who can dismantle the entrenched special interest groups.

Maakhiri, Actually there are some people saying that the Ethiopian plan is a way out of the Amison and UN mission. In other words, an escape route to get out of this never ending UN mission. The problem is Ethiopia at moment will not go against the Amisom or UN mission until others decide. The Kenyans knowing the plan ahead had already declared that they will not leave Jubba even if Amisom leaves Somalia.

OO, You made some points. There were 100,000 troops between the borders of Ethiopia and Eritrea, and those soldiers could be used to earn cash. In Southern Somalia. There are oil blocks in Sool region and the hawd side Of Sool in Somali region and the only army that can do any oil extraction and security is the Ethiopian army. Turkey is trying to stay in Somalis without interfering the internal politics of Somalia, but if Farmaajo keeps pushing them and brings others to weaken Turkey , then they could be forced to back it is own faction. We will be the Turkish faction if need be. You right, he gave up on Mogadishu without big fight. With 20,000 foreign forces and thousands of militias, all they could do is patrol the green zone. Someone who came from Mogadishu told me that the Amisom and other foreign troops are active at night patrolling, and once the day breaks the Somali units come out while Al Shabab militants are active is 24 hours. What really bugs me is showing pictures of nurses building the theatre and ministers visiting and clapping in the green zone.

Many European nations had stopped paying Somali soldiers and prospect of trained Somali soldiers is almost Zero. He will either get the Ethiopian army or will take his cash and go back to America and retire as millionairee like most before him.

You could be right about Mudug and Sool since those who are paying the salaries are focused in Al Shabaab dominated inter river regions. The Ethiopian deployment is a way to make money from America and keeping the army busy out of he internall power. Insiders have shown us maps and plans for deployment, starting with Bay and Shabbelle. It all depends about raising the funds from Europe.

That move exposed Farmaajo and he never recovered since then. Waa Daa'uus boogi Ku taalo.

Lately, there was a lot of talk about the incoming union (probably economic) between Somalia and Ethiopia. let us focus the Ethiopian-Somalia issue and the new incoming union , albeit economic , plans of prime minister Abiy Ahmed and the reasons behind his political rhetoric.. Certainly Somalia, with huge coast and business oriented populace , could take advantage of any economic union if Ethiopia opens up its borders for trade. I was always one of those who believed that an open Ethiopia would create huge opportunity for Somalis to trade with the millions who are our remediate neighbors. Yet, opening the door for the people of Ethiopia to trade with millions of Somalis who are business oriented and free wheeling might expose their people with different concepts that could threaten their grip in power. Opening up means tens of millions of Oromo in the south east and west would be trading with Somalis and other and building connections that will weaken, and at the end, eliminate the old Ethiopia controlled by Orthodox highlanders. In fact, Somalis would be the winners of trade liberalization with Ethiopia. Open trade and intermingling from the Somalis will alter the Ethiopia trade and political landscape sooner than we might think. Trade will concentrate to the south eastern regions were millions of Oromo and Somalis live creating new wealth and opportunities. Also, the free wheeling Somali nomad who doesn't care about the value of the money will certainly influence the way of life of others in the region. Before 1991, the Kenyan trade and investment was dominated by British, Indians and others before Somalis arrived and opened this for the Sawahili. What soldiers and wars could not change or alter for centuries in Ethiopia will be dismantled by open trade, and like many people , I do not believe that Ethiopia will take that risk. Also, before that open trade, they must open the border just a little bit for the Somali border communities that badly needed to trade with their brethren from the other side. In my opinion, Ethiopia is broke. Abiy is going around the world to find cash to make the shortcomings of basic government operations. The TPLF had looted the country for the last four years sensing the upcoming change. Of course the fat gulf boys are throwing some money and he is planning to borrow from world bank and IMF. That foreign money is intended to stabilize the system, but the withdrawal of the Chinese investment , the dismantling of Mohamed Al-Amoudi empire, the drying of foreign aid by Trump and many sudden changes in foreign run companies will stagnate the economy for a while. Abiy is trying hard to recover most of that money with difficulty. In fact, an Ethiopian businessman told me that it was the division among the Tigray elite which was one of the major reasons that Hailemaruim Desalegn regime has faltered. The faction led by the wife of Meles was sidelined and purged, and now she is telling all the secrets to Abiy. The old ways of doing things are changing around the world. The new wars of the world will be mostly economic wars. Technology has changed the way we live and trade. For example, America want to ship its liquefied natural gas (LNG) with ships and sell to western Europe and reduce Russian dependence. In order to overcome these cash shortages, Abiy and his team had put their eyes on Somalia and the Somali region of Ethiopia. The Somali jewel and land has all the natural, mineral and the huge coast in both the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean. We are like a donkey who doesn't know the gold or the expensive valuables he is carrying. Abiy and Ethiopia want to access the natural gas and the oil inside the Somali region and export them while avoiding Somali waters and land. When you research and look back how the Somali region was transfer to Ethiopia in 1948 and 1954, you will be shocked that it wasn't all about horse trading between the Ethiopian king and the British empire about control of the land and Abyssinian expansion.. A little known oil exploration done by the British in early fifties had convinced the King to keep this land for himself. As soon as Meles consolidated power in early 1998, , he begun to drill the land that already been marked as block's of reserves long ago without any major exploration. Furthermore, the agreement reached between Mohamed Bin Sayed of United Arab Emirate, Isayas Afwork of Eritrea and Abiy Ahmed calls the building of a pipe lines that will carry the Somali region crude oil for export and refining in Eritrean ports. The UAE want to invest a pipeline that is stretched thousands of kilometers of mountainous trains in the north and crisscrossing rivers in the Ethiopia interior while a direct line to Berbera or Djibouti could cost a quarter of that distance and cost less. It will take less than five hours of highway drive to reach Bebera from interiors of the Somali region, yet, these guys had decided to by pass the Somali controlled regions of Somaliland and Puntland for pipeline investment and export. Even Boosaaso is less than 700km to the oil blocks north of Wardheer, while Berbera is less than 500km from these area. As you can see the main beneficiaries of these economic and political moves are not Somalis but others. Now, what would Farmaajo getting from these talk of future unions and the long term economic gains of both Ethiopia and Eritrea. As I said many times in these pages that there is no short cut for nation building and resorting the national sovereignty. We all know that we lost our independence and sovereignty in 1991, and that freedom of having your own state and live as a free men and women will not come back easily without sacrifices. Bribing, horse trading and cutting deals for the next regional leader , meeting of the parliament or replacement of one man to another will not cut it. At the moment, everyone is talking about regional governments losing the Ethiopian diplomatic and security guarantees. It is true that these new arrangements are some of the fruits and small gains that Farmaajo can boast about it, yet it doesn't change the security situation and the big picture. Ma maqasheen " ninbaa waxar, neef geel ah looga bedeshay". Galmudug , Hiiraan and South West governments already reside in Mogadishu. In Jubba, Madoobe was put their by the TPLF and with blessings of the Kenyans. In fact, those who are trying to replace Madoobe are based in Nairobi and would not change much about the Kenyan policy of keeping that land. The Kenyans had no intension of going any where even if Amisom withdraws from Somalia since they didn't came to Somlia with the UN or African union mandate in the first place. Also, do not be sidetracked by the departure of old TPLF rebels who were residing in these false diplomatic postings to make money. Most of them are aging and old rebel generals who were retired in these Somali regions to make some cash from the local Somalis . Nothing will change that. In Mogadishu , general Gabre left , yet he was replaced by more dangerous and insider Somali from Dayniile community who arranged the transfer of Qalbi Dgagax. He lives full time in Villa Somalia. So, please, do not get confused by these fireworks intended to mesmerize Somalis while advancing bigger agenda. I will be the first to admit that Farmaajo has done some good things. He created a competent civil servant and administrative government in the green zone controlled by the government , he brought certain prestige to the office of the president and people could be removed from office regardless of who they are if they fail their duties. Yet, The main issue is not about what Farmaajo has done , but what he hasn't done or what he was unable to do. For a government based in quarter of the capital with controlled check points, it can easily monitor what goes inside that manned green zone. It is like a manager circulating in his warehouse or visiting every booth. Khayre can visit government ministries like a principle that goes to classes and scolding the students which doesn't change much. His government is unable to improve the security situation in the capital or build a national army. The president is still guarded by the Amisom troops without no any significant Somali military personal in the horizon. Regardless of what we think, there is no Somali army to stabilize the capital let alone the country. Knowledgeable people told us that this shortcomings or the lack of building and organizing Somali security force isn't the fault of president Farmaajo. They say regardless of who is the president, the system that was set up by the UN and Amisom is expected to fail. IN other words, you can't have two governments in the country. In fact, it could be even bigger than a foreign trust ship Somalia had between 1956-60 in Somalia by the Italians. At least back then Somalis knew when the white man was supposed to leave. Folks, these hungry Africans are not going anywhere until they get the last dime. In a nut shell, Farmaajo has asked Ethiopia to deploy tens of thousands of forces, and he is asking the European union and others to fund it. He had decided that he can no longer be able to train mobilize and build Somali national army in the short term or long term. Despite the efforts of the Turkish army to train and equip Somali soldiers, Farmaajo had concluded that nothing meaningful will come out of that efforts. This could be even a ploy to oust the Turkish influence from Somalia. At the end in order to stay longer, he is willing to hold to power through the Ethiopian army. Like many of you guys had said, he want to be another warlords that want to be close to Ethiopia in order to rule Somalia. Ethiopia want to mobilize soldiers from the Eritrean front and deploy inside Somalia including hot spots like Tukaraq, Mudug, and Bay. Folks, a man who campaigned to restore Somalia and build national army want to travel the easiest route of allowing a foreign rival power to control Somalia in 2020. We are going back to more than a decade. When C/laahi Yusuf came to rule , he didn't had a house or Villa to sleep in. He built a make shift quarters both in Jawhar and Baydhabo. Of course he came through the help of Ethiopian tanks but has a Somali plan to bring back the nation. He didn't rely to the Ethiopia for his personal security, and Villa Somalia and surrounding area was secured by Somali soldiers. He had a security plan to build 15,000 Somali soldiers and take over the security of the capital and regions between the river. He clashed with general Gabre within months and had thrown him out of his office. We all know that those same Ethiopian forces who helped him had denied his plans to create his own Somali security which forced him at the end forced him to quit and leave the office if doesn't get his way of ruling the country. Since 1991, there was no one who was closer about restoring the national government than him. At the end, he died without one single penny in his pocket. Now, ten years after that event, along comes a weak man that can not even protect himself calling the deployment of tens of thousands of Ethiopian soldiers in Somalia. Yet, no one is calling him to account for his miss deeds. It was the cartoons of Amin Amir , and the constant propaganda that depicted Hassan Sheikh as Ethiopian stooge that brought Farmaajo to power, yet those same people are cheering as he prepares to ride the Ethiopian tank. Can anyone find today the likes of Zakariye Haji Mohamuud and others? No. "I could shoot someone in the middle of fifth avenue and I would not lose any voter" Those of you who followed the 2016 American election might remember who said that quote. For those who are outsiders, let me make it easy for you: It was said by the Orange buffoon in the white house, Donald Trump. In the land of Nomad--Somalia-- in different degree, we have a Teflon president that transgresses almost every time he faces any serious issue, yet certain people will say that he is the best thing that happened in Somalia since 1991. Some of these are either deplorables that doesn't care facts , paid trolls that disseminate the propaganda or just decent Somalis like who want to give him a chance to redeem himself. Imagine, If Qalbi Dhagax was handed to Ethiopia by a prime minister from Puntland , say C/weli Gaas or Cumar sharmaarke. The Somali uprising would have shacked the government and armed groups would have descended to Villa Somalia ( Waa maantana kuwii gumaysiga u shaqaynaayey miyaa muwaadin Soomaaliyeed Axmaaro gacanta u galiyey, waar warmaha iyo qoryihiina soo qata oo madaxtooyada inagu shuba ayaad maqli lahydeen, Qurba jooguna mudaharaado ayey dibedaha ka dhigi lahaayeen). C/raxman C/shakur signed a memorandum with the Kenyans about the future of the sea while discussion was continuing, yet him and Cumar C/rashiid are painted as traitors. In fact., that quite man behind the scene, Ina C/rashiid has done most of the time consuming issues of state building, selecting members of parliament, the Senate and all those difficult issues, yet he was attacked as weak and incompetent. I even discussed with some Somalis who said that since Mogadishu is a lawless place, it is fine to deploy Ethiopian forces to secure the capital. The main issue is why would all Somalis suffer and endure a new occupation because of Mogadishu. Why not move the capital to Hargeisa which is close to Jigjiga, Jabuuti and the land between. If the cause of the dysfunction of the nation is that city and it's residents, then let us debate that issue openly, but if it is the incompetence of the leader, then find better leaders. Somalia doesn't need the help of Ethiopia which is trying hard to keep it together. The western Oromo, despite the engine that brought the revolution , are agitating for change and sharing of the power. Today, both in Oromia and the federal level , the power is dominated by the Pentecostal guys from Wallega and the North. Mukhtar was removed in 2015 to make way for Lema Magrassa in Oroomia, and they have no voice in the federal government. These are the people who created the Oromo Liberation Front that came home few weeks ago. The main issue is that Somalia doesn't have a stable or well thought foreign policy to follow. THe man who is the chief diplomat is a mediocre minister who has zero influence within the government and the region. For the last six months , more than twice, the Somali foreign minister was rebuked and forced to change his press releases by the prime minister. He was one of those people brought to the government by Hassan Sheikh I favor of uncle Faroole. In fact, no one knows who is the Somali defense minister, interior minister is , or those who are responsible for major portfolios. The security minister usually doesn't discusses national security threats other than Mogadishu check points. Some even consider the journeys Khayre embarks to visit the ministries in the green zone as huge task that the national television broadcasts daily. Just like the colonial powers that resided in well fortified garrisons, the Somali government deals among themselves while the native Somalis live outside that premeter. It reminds me of Upper Town Djibouti (Guudka) where the French and those worked used to live while the natives crowded the lower part of the town. Even Sheikh Cali Dheere, the spokesman of Al-Shabaab visited Bakaara market and told everyone to pay their taxes on time. In conclusion, we argue Farmaajo to stop and think about these moves. Do not bring the struggling Ethiopia regime to the Somali political scene. It was Meles Zanawi who rode that war on terror and milked that cow for next ten years. Do not create another cash cow for Ethiopia. Trump has reduced foreign aid around the globe and many are looking ways to create new conflicts to keep the cash following. Mr. Farmaajo, If you follow that route, you could be impeached for treason. Somalia must do its job and build itself rather than re-introduce huge Ethiopian army that many Somalis oppose. I have no doubt that the new deployment of Ethiopian soldiers will only increase the insurgency. Experts say that while Al-Shabaab is less visible today, they have more at ease and presence in the land between the two rivers. Furthermore, look at the Taliban in Afghanistan where the most powerful army is deployed. They are more deadlier today than 2004. Hadaadan hawshan ka bixi Karin Soomaalida dib uGu soo celi.

Colonel Caare is getting dangerous. By the way, that picture of Muuse Biixi milking the camel is great. That is our tradition and we must be proud about it.

Maakhiri, Thete is no official source other than leaks from the Ethiopian officials. It is either the well guarded Ethiopian political and intelligence system is disintegrating or someone is leaking the secret on purpose. Like everyone, I was surprised to see Jamaal and Xoosh, in the list, yet espionage is a very mysterious art that is difficult to understand. Everyone knows that both Gedo and Jubba are dominated politically by Ethiopian agents since 1997. Sonetimes, people might work for someone unknowingly or his agenda and those planed by the mother ship could coincide. Eveywhere in the world those who committed heinous crimes , and those weakened the state or worked foe foreign agents are purged from power and influence . Yet in Somalia they have filled the chambers of parliament , especially the Senate.

The Farmaajo agenda in Ethiopia and his plans will be posted tomorrow Inshaallah.

I should add to the headline the word " Alleged" Somali spies under the TPLf payroll. A group of Somalis whom I have constant contacts in Jigjiga and Addis had passed to me a secret intelligence report circulated in Addis today. It is reported that a dossier containing he names of top Somali officials both inside the federal and regional governments who were under the payroll of the former TPLF government, were leaked to some officials and others. While most of them are non military officers, the dossier gives them military ranks for the purpose of their salary or other unknown reason. Each member has his name attached with his position in the Somali government and his clan name. For discretion reasons, I am posting just the names without their clans. Also, at the moment, I can't speculate the reason behind the release or policy behind the release. I will just pass them as they appear in my WhatsApp account translated to English. 1-General Darwiish , the interior minister of Jubbaland 2-General Fartaag , member of Somali Senate, From Gedo. 3-Hassan Huseen eelaay, Security minister of South West . 4-C/rashiid Xidig, member of parliament, from Af Maow. 5-C/laahi Sanbalooshe, former director of national intelligence, from Hiiraan.. 6-Minister Jamaal Mohamed, minister of national planning, From Eastern Sanaag 7-Cabdi Xoosh Jibrill, minister of constitution, from Galdogob. 8-Mahad Cawad, deputy speaker of Parliament, from Xeraale, Galgaduud 9-Mustafe Dhuxulow, member of parliament, from Dayniile. 10-Mohamed Sayid aadan, Vice president of Jubbaland 11-C/fataax Geeseey, minister of public works of the federal government. 12-Hassan Dhaqane,. The report says more names will be released from other regions.

Daahir, Our friend OOweyne is a cosmopolitan sipping late in London coffee shops. I could be wrong , but he might not like dirtying his hands and making a living in the hard way. Yet , times had changed. Those from Eatern side of Somaliland just like the reer Mudug used to look down on Agricultural and living off of the land.

More like “ Biciidkaan dili doono subagiisa ma dhami “ The African development bank doesn’t finance huge projects like that, yet it is a game and propaganda probably orchestrated by our good friend Dr. C/taxman Bayle, who used to work for that institution to make Farmaajo government attractive. This is becoming worse than the Soviets propaganda. The main take away of the speaker is that just like in the eighties Somali government is overwhelmingly interested developing the two rivers and and “ Gobolka Woqooyi Galbeed (Hargeisa iyo Berbera). Furthermore, do not expect any projects to be built by this regime. All those $200 million dollars donated by Qatar to build roads are used for higher purpose of bribery and preparations for the next term. Waa ummad wax aysan shaqaysa rabta in ay isku layso.

Folks, the biggest bombshell of all might come this week. Turkey could release the audio tape of the gruesome murder of Kashoggi to the media. CNN could get the exclusive that might bring down the kid prince and Trump himself. You know what, these Turks have mastered the art of diplomacy. I bet no one will mess with Turkey internally in terms of staging terrorism and other nefarious plans. Their internal security is second to none. History repeats itself the Ottomans are rising. https://youtu.be/pNgxqIZqhbA?t=14

Ninkani in uu reer Bari sax ah yahay waxaan ku ogaaday. Waxa uu yidhi " Dagaalku kow iyo toban waji ayuu leeyahay". Barigii ay AHN C/laahi Yusuf iyo Cadde Muuse Isqabteen, reer Barigii aanu kaftami jiray waxa ay odhan jireen C/laahhi iyo reer Mudugu dagaalka hal mid kaliya ayey ka yaqaanaan oo waa an isku soo boodno, anagu reer bariga dagaalkayagu waa 11 nuuc.

This Cagjar kid is going to be another Facebook leader if doesn't step up to the plate. He traveled to Sool and other places for tribal peace while there is tribal war in Jinacsani; daily Oromo attacks in Dhiredhaba, and other burning issues in his back yard. Now he goes to Godey and OG towns, yet never visited one single town close to Jigjiga. I think he is going to be " Madaxweynaha OG" not Somali Galbeed. I repeat, if he doesn't change his attitude, ' Qaybta reerkoodu dego Ayaan u goynaynaa, inta kalena Soomaalida kale ayaa gobol cusub ka samaysan.

Holac, Those of us who follow events in the region knew long time ago the involvement of Ethiopia in the dismemberment of Somalia. An Ethiopian general was present in Burco in 1991 when Somaliland declared the secession, and he advised to make a solemn declaration. We also knew that the dysfunction and instability of the south was the main symptoms and causes encouraging the separation. If the south settles down , things will be very different regardless of who is in charge of Somaliland. It is true that things look tough for Somaliland in terms of diplomatic cover from Ethiopia and the UN. Yet, these are short term victories for Farmaajo that might not change much on the issue of the restoration of the state. The regional governments and Somaliland might be isolated diplomatically at the moment, yet what counts at end is the reality on the ground. In the nineties and early 2000, Somaliland didn't even control Sool and the eastern region, and except Puntland there were no functioning regional governments, yet the Somali government of Carta could not even pass a Hotel in Mogadishu. I have a big news to share with you guys about Farmaajo and his plans in Somalia, and will share with Solers and Somalis as soon as I verify some details. Neither Ethiopia nor Eritrea will save Farmaajo from the Somali quagmire unless he does the real heavy lifting which he is not capable of doing at the moment. As they say, the more things change, the more they stay the same. In fact, we might go back to 2007.

As they say in business , it is not about whether the color is black or white, or even Tigray, the only color that counts is the green (money). The TPLF generals were all about the money , especially after the demise of Meles Zanawi. They had a weak puppet leader as prime minister after 2012 , and they took advantage. They created large military industrial complex that was making hard currency. In Ethiopia , despite the large population and economic growth, money has been always scarce. Selling weapons to Somalis was probably very lucrative. They placed TPLF military generals across the Somali territory to facilitate the transaction. Also, the regional commanders were free to sell the weapons whom ever had cash. Since Abiy was in the national security agency, he probably knew all these businesses. The fear is that since these generals had access to huge foreign currency, they might finance a coup or hire mercenaries to create problems.

I personally always respect those who succeed in the throat cutting and competitive private sector. It is the first time we have seen someone from the private sector run for office. Usually we encounter those who either run Somali organizations, activist who never earned a real pay check, NGO clerks or those who work for an established institution. To create something from scratch and succeed is a huge accomplishment here in the diaspora. If Mr. Jabiye is a self made man , he is definitely will do well in Somalia.

It is really sad that a mere visit by the president for a town just two hours drive from Hargeisa would involve that large entourage. When the Somaliland budget is $168 million it is unnecessary to spent that much resources spend on the visit by the dear leader . Waa cudur Soomalidu meel ay joogtaba laga kari laayahay. A big fish acting big in a small pond. Midakale degdegan loo socdo maxaa looga jeedaa ?

OO, Those who benefited from the TPLF policy for the last ten years or so would be suffering soon. Other than the good Sudanese who haven't committed any aggression against other, the rest are accomplices of the situation in the horn. Sudan and Ethiopia worked together to sideline the opposition from each country , and Djibouti was a life line for the TPLF while they were at war with Eritrea. At the same time the TPLF made billions on the war in Somalia. THey created huge multinational companies to loot the donor money and keep the war in Somalia. Even the DAm was a false enterprise to make billions. They killed the Amhara engineer to cover their corruption. Some even suggest that it was Israel who pushed the Tigray leaders to build an unnecessary dam in the great falls of the Blue Nile to put pressure on Egypt. A search for the office the general who was in charge of the MTech company found weapons transactions and shipments intended for the Somali regional governments. THe TPLF had a state within the state that controlled the economy and the intelligence. Furthermore, our fat dictator Ghelle doesn't have any meaningful opposition within Djibouti, yet his demise will be by his own making. He tried to swallow more than he can chew. He brought hostile powers China and the USA in the same bedroom while counting the cash and forgetting the consequences. When he opened the first ever Chinese base in Africa or in the world , I knew that he was playing with fire. Both of these players, the TPLF and Djibouti got rich of the war on terror. A peaceful Somalia coupled with Eritrean ports, Berbera and other places will shut down Djibouti. So far for us, Somalis, there are clear opportunities that we could take advantage of if we are brave and bold enough. Other than the good Sudanese, I will not shed any tears for the rest. Yet, deep down, I have a feeling that the TPLF might not go down easily and allow these changes. Abiy Ahmed must be very careful. Mob rule and instability could be a cover to make a coup . If a real coup comes, those agitating ORomo could be a sitting ducks that they can be over powered in a few weeks.

A basic and local transparent election will be enough for us. Just let the locals pick their mayor , council and governor. Then give them the basic powers of taxing and spending the revenue to local services. The Somali people do not follow the laws that they do not like. There were never any case in the country that was debated in court of law the ended with victims getting justice or the judge following the rules. If you are weak and commit the crime , it will be easy to convict and end in jail. Have you seen anyone from the government or the elite ever go to jail? never. Our best bet is a benevolent authoritarian leader who allows locals to deliver the basic services while keeping the nation together.