Illyria

Nomad
  • Content Count

    2,093
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    57

Everything posted by Illyria

  1. Public support for the troops continues. Badhan provides a new batch of 590 livestock.
  2. This is relevant re Hudson institute, a DoD outlet released its September report. Its conclusion: Consequently, the situation looks less promising than it did at the end of 2022, and al-Shabaab is unlikely to face a meaningful defeat in the coming months. Instead, the best-case scenario would see this military offensive degrade al-Shabaab over the coming months to the point that the terrorist organization partially fractures and loses some of its popular support, possibly opening up room for the FGS to negotiate with factions of the group. A more likely scenario, however, would see the conflict remain a stalemate, with the government’s current offensive bringing only temporary or superficial gains that do not meaningfully degrade al-Shabaab’s capacity. Given the improbability of a decisive military victory in the coming months or even years, the previously taboo notion of negotiating with the terrorists has gained traction in certain Somali political circles of late. President Hassan Sheikh has even oscillated between claiming that the objective of the current offensive is al-Shabaab’s complete battlefield defeat and claiming that the offensive aims to push the group into negotiations. [ ] In principle there is no reason to prefer an endless and fitful counterinsurgency to negotiations, but in practice it would be difficult to secure anything like an acceptable compromise at this stage. Some Somali security sources with knowledge of the group suggested that while al-Shabaab might enter negotiations with international powers, such as the US and Turkey (likely with mediation by Qatar, whose role in Somalia has proven controversial), it has no interest in speaking to the Somali government, which it sees as illegitimate and weak. [ ] At present this looks to be the best-case scenario, though unfortunately not the most likely one. But policymakers would do well to consider scenarios that might be acceptable to their interests rather than buy into unrealistic claims about the impending defeat of Africa’s most powerful jihadist group.
  3. Another video: Showing the concrete houses that the #ISIS terrorists had in the Buqa-Caleed base in the #Calmiskaad mountains, which were taken over by the #Puntland Counter-Terrorism Forces.
  4. The hunt for Dacish remnants continues.
  5. Garnaqsi, saadaal, milicsi, iyo hogatusaalayn: Axmed Madoobe.
  6. Official MAP: The operation covered 315 km from Kalabayr to Dhasan. It began in Kalabayr, moving through visible areas. Phase 1 included Kalabayr -Turmusaale, and Phase 2 ended in Dhasan. Today, February 28, 2025, the third phase of the operation has begun.
  7. Warbixin Wajiga Saddexaad ee Hawlgalka Ciribtirka Argagixisada ISIS Wajigaan saddexaad weli dawladdu warbixin rasmi ah kama bixin, mana sheegin meesha uu ku dhammaan doono, laakiin waxaa cad in uu yahay qaybtii saddexaad ee Hawgalka Hillaac. Masaafada uu Hawlgalka Hillaac, wajigiisii labaad, socday waxa ay ahayd Kalabayr illaa Dhasaan oo ah masaafo dhan 315 KM. Maanta oo ah 28-ka Febraayo waxaa biloowday wajiga saddexaad ee Hawlgalka Hillaac. Wajigaan saddexaad ciidanku waxa ay maanta gaareen deegaanka Dhaadaar iyo xarumo hore ay u duqeeyeen saaxiibada Puntland, waxaana laga helay meydad fuuray iyo hub ay kamidyihiin gantaalo, qoryaha fudud iyo diiradaha habeenkii wax lagu arko. Dhinaca deegaanka Uur Caleed iyo Dhaban Qooxle oo ahayd xaruntii ISIS Uur Caleed oo hore ayana loo duqeeyey waxaa sidoo kale laga helay meydad fuuray, dameero iyo saanad ciidan oo u badan hubka fudud. Wajiga saddexaad ayaa loo badinayaa in uu yahay qarar iyo buuraley, gaadiidkuna noqon doono awr iyo dameero. Daljir kala soco wararkii ugu danbeeyey ee Hawlgalka Hillaac, wajigiisa saddexaad. Daljir Media
  8. Hawlgalka Hillaac wajigiisa saddexaad oo gaaray qararka Uur Caleed Ciidamada Difaaca Puntland ayaa maanta gacanta ku dhigay awr tobeneeya ah oo u raran argagixisada ISIS, argagixisadiina ka dhigay wax cararay iyo wax la laayey. Hawlgalka wajigiisa saddexaad ayaa u badan deegaano aan gaadiidku mari karin oo wada buuro iyo qarar ah. FG: Muuqaalka waxaa duubay askartii qabatay awrta oo u badan askar ah reer Sool Daljir Media
  9. Al-Shabaab is gearing up to seize Mogadishu and establish its own government within the next two weeks, capitalizing on the ongoing political tensions within the Federal Government and the capital itself. Intel Briefing: 1. Al-Shabaab has stationed 3,000 foot soldiers and 200 elite units near the Dara Salaam, Afgooye, and Jaseera areas. 2. Their strategy involves capturing Mogadishu and enticing several ministers from President Hassan’s administration, as well as parliamentarians, to join them in forming a new government. 3. According to military intelligence sources, this operation is set to unfold within the next two weeks. Intel Judgement: Al-Shabaab has already taken control of several key towns in Middle Shabelle, and the President of Hirshabelle has fled Jowhar, seeking refuge in Ali Guduud village after striking a deal with Al-Shabaab to take over Jowhar and Mahadayweyne districts. Furthermore, Al-Shabaab has captured the Balcad district, just 30 kilometers from Mogadishu. They appear to be emulating the Syrian model, aiming to force the current government into negotiations and secure a 30% share of government ministers and the Prime Minister post. President Hassan Sheikh's administration is grappling with domestic political challenges, including the normalization of relations with Ethiopia and internal conflicts with Federal Member States and opposition parties. This turbulent environment has created a fertile ground for Al-Shabaab's maneuvers. If the Somali government fails to respond decisively, we could witness a dramatic downfall of the current regime within the next two months.
  10. This is technically the northern outskirts of Xamar.
  11. PL Counter-terrorism Operations thanks the public for their support. Thank you, our people The people of Puntland have donated 5,000 livestock in support of the operation to eliminate terrorism in Puntland. We deeply appreciate our people for standing by us and contributing in every way to this mission.
  12. Final hideouts of Dacish. Ending is near. 2,000+ rockets / missiles, motorbikes and fuel reserves.
  13. It is at its infant stage now and could be observed upon visitation. Slowly, but surely. Did you just clap for colonisation? And by the way, the wheel was invented 3500 BC, why reinvent it when you could replicate proved patterns. I see you are hunkering for colonisation by the worse of the human kind? You forefathers would have been so proud of you.
  14. My dear Galbeedi, I could not be content with a few regions, unless of course I am a nutter, which I am not, when in reality I want, and could have [all] Somali territories. I agree, and there is nothing I would want more than a strong, prosperous Somali territories from corner to corner. I see it coming, and am hopeful it'll come true in my life time. Having said that, for now, I think PL elites ought to play it local, and let Somalis simmer in their own bile for a few more years till they have arrived at the realisation of, and need for a true nation building initiative. Truth be told, we have come a long way, are in far better position today than 10 years ago, but are in desperate need of mature, competent political class. As for Deni, I think he has national aspiration, and all his work incl. implementation of local elections and show-down with al Shabab, secessionists, and Dacish had been a rehearsal for his eventual ascension to the coveted seat at Villa Xamar, and do think he'll run come 2026, but I am opposed to that, as I want him to remain in PL for a few more years to finalise a couple of pending critical projects namely Ceeldaahir - Ceerigaabo, and the GGG project for Garacad. Then he could fly off the nest to more precarious fronts. As a cudgel, I always chuckle when I hear the secessionist card being hurdled at reer PL, when in reality no one in PL desires secession, and even if some opportunist political hacks would court the idea, women and children would stone them to oblivious. Far from being a secessionist, remember, in the early noughties, when we would belabour talk of the bottom-up approach, which pro Somaliweyn nutters could not envisage, and would go insofar as favouring the secessionist project in its stead? And now everyone is enamoured with the FGS absent of the Kacaanist loony lot. Same is true today. We are just a few years ahead of the crowd. It is curse. Postscript: By the way, the Puntland First slogan is just an extension of Gaas's "Isku tashi" initiative, which laid the foundation for critical infrastructure projects. It was one of the cornerstone principles of the formation of the State, and its champion was Maxamed C Xaashi, who opposed his comrades Yusuf & Cashara in the Federalist adventure in Jawhar, Baydhaba, and Xamar till the birth of the current FGS. Now, when we bring up Confederacy, there is goodness in it, rationality to it, and reason for it. It is a building block strategy to serve the greater good of all Somalis in all our territories. So, bear with us whilst we incubate fresh ideas and strategies.
  15. Troops on the chase for Dacish remnants on land and sea having sacked their final bases in Dhadaar & Dhasaan. And where only camels could reach.
  16. Observations: a) The original plan was to weaken Dacish's man power in 6 months, and possibly eliminate their presence in the region for a year at a minimum. Phases I & II had been concluded in 8 weeks despite regional powers warning PL of being unable to defeat Dacish in the mountains, b) Size of Bari region is mind-blowing; to get a sense of its size, troops traversed a land mass equivalent to Beledweyn to Xamar ( that was not even 1/3rd of the region), c) Evident in the organisation & coordination of the campaign has shown Deni's leadership capacity, which his nemesis could not have imagined, and are still yapping about it, check Cawad & ina Sharma'arke, even after his successful execution of a) elimination of al Shabab in Mudug, and b) defanging of the secessionist project in Sool, and c) dismantling Dacish's grand plan of establishing Islamic State in PL, and by extension Somalia, d) The power of rallying people, both Diaspora and locals, behind the project was overwhelming, the first of its kind I have seen in Somali territories in recent years. I do not think it is unique to PL (we have seen it before in SSCKH), where people have shown remarkable generosity, care, and power under the right leadership, e) Dacish, and by extension al Shabab could be defeated, i) Other FMSs could replicate this pattern birthed, tested, and proven in PL (ku dayo PL), - No more Macawisley, but FMSs professional armies eventually representing a National Army, if ever the nation decides, and agrees to its formation, f) The irrelevance of the now defunct Fed. gov't, of which role has technically been reduced to that of spectatorship from the stands, a mere FMS in Xamar (a roughly 20 mile radius between Afgoye - Balcad), g) With institutions, there is no need for personalities, and as with this conflict, we have witnessed a semblance of institutional discharge of services from varying branches of the army / police to civil society to elected district Councillors all of whom delivered as much, if not more than the three branches of State gov't, h) The Puntland First project is a reality with sizeable followship, and I would be surprised if a political party has not been formed in the coming days, i) If never been clear to the talking heads, there is a distinct contrast between frothing in between ranting stints by legless civilians ( and costume-adorning dunderheads stampeding in between fleeing trips abroad) versus real boots on the ground led by army Commanders. j) Masterless. roaming pseudo intellectuals had been resigned to bordellos, spas, and shisha parlours. k) And finally, the loony crowd, who almost always camouflage their true colours under the Somaliweyn banner had been exposed as closeted pro al Shabab dunderheads in disguise.
  17. Cal Madow, Sanaag operation now begins. Al Shabab member of Cal Madow area surrenders.
  18. Hantaara, Bari hantaara_bari.mp4
  19. Goobweyn, J Hoose goobweyn.mp4