Libaax-Sankataabte

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Everything posted by Libaax-Sankataabte

  1. Lazie, why don't you explain how Hillary is going to win the nomination? Even if you give Hillary all the states that haven't voted yet as Jonathan Alter said! 1. Super-delegates -- if you let the SD's vote for their states, Obama will only loose 3 or 4 superdelegates to her after they are split. 2. Michigan and Florida -- if they have a do-over he will do better than he did before. Florida is hers. Michigan favors Obama. Either way, in the end they keep the delegate split very close. 3. Pledged delegats -- he is already ahead by 150 4. Popular vote -- This doesn't win you the election but he is still ahead on that front. 5. Number of States won -- He is ahead even if she wins all the remaining ones. What is it that makes you think Hillary will reach 2025 before Obama. Hillary's silly argument: The "rednecks" in the states of Ohio and PA have spoken and they have sent a clear message that Hillary should lead the nation. Forget the rest of America. All super-delegates must vote for me based on my "big state" wins. Off-Topic Here is a new "SurveyUSA" electoral college match-up against McCain.
  2. Posted here on Feb 22nd. http://www.somaliaonline.com/ubb/ultimatebb.php?/topic/9/14220/2
  3. Lazie, Hillary is the Huckabee of this race. But then again, Hillary was never good with math, was she? bummer.
  4. Interesting. Is it true that a large number of "off-the-boat" Somali girls are turned into prostitutes in Dubai by Somali "pimps" who are smuggling these young girls into UAE by the hundreds? Have we become just like the Ethiopians? I heard most Somalis in Dubai know about this sad story and they can't do anything about it.
  5. Hillary’s Math Problem Forget tonight. She could win 16 straight and still lose. By Jonathan Alter Newsweek Web Exclusive Updated: 11:23 AM ET Mar 4, 2008 Hillary Clinton may be poised for a big night tonight, with wins in Ohio, Texas and Rhode Island. Clinton aides say this will be the beginning of her comeback against Barack Obama. There's only one problem with this analysis: they can't count. I'm no good at math either, but with the help of Slate’s Delegate Calculator I've scoped out the rest of the primaries, and even if you assume huge Hillary wins from here on out, the numbers don't look good for Clinton. In order to show how deep a hole she's in, I've given her the benefit of the doubt every week for the rest of the primaries. So here we go: Let's assume Hillary beats expectations and wins Ohio tonight 55-45, Rhode Island 55-45, Texas, 53-47 and (this is highly improbable), ties in Vermont, 50-50. Then it's on to Wyoming on Saturday, where, let's say, the momentum of today helps her win 53-47. Next Tuesday in Mississippi—where African-Americans play a big role in the Democratic primary—she shocks the political world by winning 52-48. Then on April 22, the big one, Pennsylvania—and it's a Hillary blowout, 60-40, with Clinton picking up a whopping 32 delegates. She wins both of Guam's two delegates on May 30, and Indiana's proximity to Illinois does Obama no good on May 6, with the Hoosiers going for Hillary 55-45. The same day brings another huge upset in a heavily African-American state: enough North Carolina blacks desert Obama to give the state to Hillary 52-48, netting her five more delegates. Suppose May 13 in West Virginia is no kinder to Obama, and he loses by double digits, netting Clinton two delegates. The identical 55-45 result on May 20 in Kentucky nets her five more. The same day brings Oregon, a classic Obama state. Oops! He loses there 52-48. Hillary wins by 10 in Montana and South Dakota on June 3, and primary season ends on June 7 in Puerto Rico with another big Viva Clinton! Hillary pulls off a 60-40 landslide, giving her another 11 delegates. She has enjoyed a string of 16 victories in a row over three months. So at the end of regulation, Hillary's the nominee, right? Actually, this much-too-generous scenario (which doesn't even account for Texas's weird "pri-caucus" system, which favors Obama in delegate selection) still leaves the pledged-delegate score at 1,634 for Obama to 1,576 for Clinton. That's a 58-delegate lead. Let's say the Democratic National Committee schedules do-overs in Florida and (heavily African-American) Michigan. Hillary wins big yet again. But the chances of her netting 56 delegates out of those two states would require two more huge margins. (Unfortunately the Slate calculator isn't helping me here.) So no matter how you cut it, Obama will almost certainly end the primaries with a pledged-delegate lead, courtesy of all those landslides in February. Hillary would then have to convince the uncommitted superdelegates to reverse the will of the people. Even coming off a big Hillary winning streak, few if any superdelegates will be inclined to do so. For politicians to upend what the voters have decided might be a tad, well, suicidal. For all of those who have been trashing me for saying this thing is over, please feel free to do your own math. Give Hillary 75 percent in Kentucky and Indiana. Give her a blowout in Oregon. You will still have a hard time getting her through the process with a pledged-delegate lead. The Clintonites can spin to their heart's content about how Obama can't carry any large states besides Illinois. How he can't close the deal. How they've got the Big Mo now. Tell it to Slate's Delegate Calculator.
  6. Who would you prefer to have answer a White House crisis phone call at 3 a.m.? Hillary Clinton 25% 54503 Mike Huckabee 6% 13395 John McCain 32% 70887 Barack Obama 36% 79637 Total Votes: 218422 http://www.cnn.com Lazie, I see you are still at it getting all riled up for Hillary. You never give up on her, do ya?
  7. The "National Media" has decided to give Hillary another shot at this nomination. Check out MSNBC, FOX, CNN, ABC, CBS and the pundits are all salivating over Hillary today while every broadcast segment is negetive about Obama. Three days ago Hillary was the devil. It is all about the horse race fellas. It is about the ratings and the TV drama. The mainstream media will do anything to keep this fight going for months to come.
  8. Some of you may have seen this video a while ago but I still think it is hilarious. They found a white guy to play Obama. http://edstrong.blog-city.com/saturday_night_live_parody_of_democratic_debate_weve_got.htm
  9. It is very likely Obama will loose both Texas and Ohio. I am not convinced as to how the final delegate count will turn out after Texas and Ohio. The troubling thing is that conservative talk radio hosts are already urging Republicans to mobilize in Texas and vote for Hillary just to keep the "democrats fighting for months to come". Texas is an open primary and Republican votes can tilt this already-tight contest towards Clinton. Hillary is in the lead in Ohio already and I think it will be hard for Obama to thump her bearing in mind Ohio's demographic.
  10. Kenyan town plans demo over Obama Somali photo Reuters | Thursday, 28 February 2008 The picture, which appeared on a US website, showed the Illinois senator donning a traditional white headdress and robes during a 2006 trip to Wajir in northeastern Kenya. Aides to Obama, whose late father was from Kenya, accused his Democratic rival Hillary Clinton's campaign of "the most shameful, offensive fear-mongering" of the election season after the picture was published. Obama has fought a whispering campaign by fringe elements that say erroneously that he is Muslim. Clinton's camp denied officially approving the photo's release. Wajir residents plan to demonstrate in the town after Friday prayers to show their support for Obama, said Ahmed Sheikh Bahalow, an elder from ethnically Somali Wajir. The controversy made headlines in Kenya where many people support the Democratic front-runner in the way the Irish idolised US President John F Kennedy in the 1960s - as one of their own who succeeded beyond their wildest dreams. Bahalow, a retired teacher, said his community was offended by the insinuation Obama had done anything wrong on his visit. "The Somali community and in particular those living in Kenya have never been that interested in American politics," Bahalow told Reuters in the central town of Isiolo. "But we are following it keenly now because we have been provoked." Clinton needs to win next week in Ohio and Texas to keep her campaign alive after Obama's streak of 11 straight victories. Once the odds-on favourite to win the Democratic nomination to run against a Republican candidate in November's poll, she has lost big leads in public opinion polls in the two states as Obama has gained momentum and made inroads among her supporters. In an emailed statement, a St Paul, Minnesota-based lobby group, the Somali Justice Advocacy Centre, said it had demanded an apology from the Clinton campaign over the photo affair. http://www.stuff.co.nz/4419145a12.html
  11. Best night for Obama. He showed everyone tonight that he is ready to lead America. Hands down!!
  12. ^^ Lazie, don't hate. Just observe! Obama is up in Texas Poll. Both CNN and SurveyUSA polls show Obama leading Texas by 4 points. OBAMA THE COWBOY: Presidential candidate Barack Obama tips a cowboy hat given to him by a volunteer after a rally in Austin, TX, on Feb. 23, 2007. Between 15-20,000 people gathered at a concert venue and waited through drizzly weather to hear Obama speak.
  13. Originally posted by xiinfaniin: Obama’s campaign is being a bit sensitive on this pic! Xiin, awoowe, this is part of the Obama strategy. I thought you were a pundit. make noise, slam Hillary, scream "dirty campaign" and pretend you are the victim.
  14. Ilaajay ha u naxariisto marxuumka. I don't think Al-Shabaab was right on this one. This mere worker was as harmless as it gets.
  15. Garowe, Feb 24 - Eebe ha u naxaristee, waxaa dhaawac ka soo gaaray shil gaari u geeriyooday taliyihii ciidanka kulmiska Puntland, Col. Xiif Cali Taar. Col. Xiif Cali Taar oo ka tirsanaa saraakiisha hoggaanka ciidanka Daraawiishta Puntland isla markaana ka mid ahaa guutada afraad ee ciidanka xoogga dalka Soomaaliyeed ayaa saaka ku geeriyooday shil gaari oo ka dhacay deegaanka Tukaraq, oo ah meesha ay fadhiyaan ciidanka DG Puntland tan iyo intii maamulka Soomaaliland uu la wareegay gacan ku haynta magaalada Laascaanood ee xarunta gobolka Sool. Read more
  16. I am sure Obama will try everything to stop this Arab guy from being on the ballot on most of the states.
  17. Obama campaign slams Hillary over scare tactic. (Politico.com) - Obama campaign manager David Plouffe accused the Clinton campaign Monday of "shameful offensive fear-mongering" by circulating a photo as an attempted smear. Plouffe was reacting to a banner headline on the Drudge Report saying that aides to Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) had e-mailed a photo calling attention to the African roots of Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.). "The photo, taken in 2006, shows the Democrat front-runner dressed as a Somali Elder, during his visit to Wajir, a rural area in northeastern Kenya," the Drudge Report said. The Clinton campaign did not deny the charge, but did not comment further. Plouffe said in a statement: “On the very day that Senator Clinton is giving a speech about restoring respect for America in the world, her campaign has engaged in the most shameful, offensive fear-mongering we’ve seen from either party in this election. This is part of a disturbing pattern that led her county chairs to resign in Iowa, her campaign chairman to resign in New Hampshire, and it’s exactly the kind of divisive politics that turns away Americans of all parties and diminishes respect for America in the world," said Plouffe. The photo created huge buzz in political circles and immediately became known as "the 'dressed' photo," reflecting the Drudge terminology. http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0208/8667.html
  18. I didn't read that article, but the "lynching" story has been pushed by MSNBC in the last couple of days and they are still at it. HuffPo had the video the other day. Keith Olbermann seems to be enjoying this gaffe from BILLO and FOXNEWS. BILLO apologized "reluctantly" but Jesse Jackson said it is not enough. Lazie, it is good Obama is ignoring it. Avoid the "black candidate" label.
  19. I have met plenty of maryooleey joining the foray. The society is under attack. Kennedyd - Keenadiid Gmahl - Jamaal Abbedy - Cabdi Timmarh - Timiro Rhammann - Raxmaan Aways - Awees Joseph - Yuusuf Mymoon - Maymuun Casey - Kayse
  20. lool@ "If it is true" Translate the "waagacusub.com" article into Urdu and send it to Urdu newspapers as well. They will also publish without a question. Why not? We have become a nation of dimwits and desperados. Anything rubbish passes as "news" these days.
  21. Battle of the Books Why Obama whups Clinton in the war over word ownership. Post Date Friday, February 22, 2008 The New Republic by Jason Zengerle The Clinton campaign's latest tactic is to smear Barack Obama by claiming he plagiarized material in some of his speeches. As many pundits have noted, this was a move right out of Karl Rove's playbook--try to take an opponent's strength (in this case, Obama's eloquence) and turn it into a weakness. But when you consider the different approaches that Hillary and Obama took in writing their respective books, the Clinton campaign's attack is especially Rove-ian: When it comes to the issue of ownership of words, let's just say Obama is on much firmer ground than Clinton. For Clinton's two literary efforts--the 1996 book It Takes A Village and the 2003 book Living History--she used ghostwriters. That's no grave sin: Plenty of politicians use ghostwriters. But it should be noted that Clinton didn't exactly shower hers with credit. In Village, Clinton infamously failed to include Barbara Feinman--the ghostwriter Simon & Schuster paid $120,000 to help Hillary with the project--in her acknowledgements. Hillary haters subsequently made Feinman a literary martyr, alleging that she'd written the entire book. More recently, Hillary's advocates told the New Yorker that Feinman's work was so unsatisfactory that it was basically unusable and Hillary didn't credit her out of spite. The truth probably lies somewhere in between--which still doesn't make Hillary look particularly good. Nevertheless, Clinton did seem to learn her lesson from the episode and in Living History, she acknowledged the help of ghostwriter Maryanne Vollers. But Clinton didn't go so far as to list Vollers's name alongside her own on the book's cover, a gesture plenty of other presidential candidates--including John Edwards and John McCain--have made. As for Vollers's feelings about her work with Hillary, the novelist Walter Kirn--who lived in the same Montana town as Vollers--once wrote that Vollers came to conclude that "there was no Hillary, really, just a creature concocted by her people who was happy to be a concoction of her people." Vollers subsequently disputed Kirn's characterization, branding him a "delusional Clinton hater" and reaffirming her admiration for Hillary. When I called both Feinman and Vollers to learn more about their experiences working with Clinton, neither one was able to tell me about them due to the confidentiality agreements they'd signed. The editors of Village and Living History--Becky Saletan and Nan Graham, respectively--did not respond to phone messages, nor did Lissa Muscatine, a former Clinton speechwriter who reportedly helped with the writing of Hillary's two books. And Feinman's former literary agent, Flip Brophy, who brokered her deal for Village, refused to discuss the matter with me, branding it "old history." Obama's literary efforts, in contrast to Hillary's at least, are an open book. As a relatively unknown young lawyer with a smallish book advance, Obama obviously couldn't afford a ghostwriter for his 1995 memoir Dreams From My Father, so he wrote the book himself. But anyone familiar with the story of Raymond Carver and Gordon Lish knows that editors sometimes do more than just massage an author's prose--they can also rewrite it. So I called Henry Ferris, who was Obama's editor on Dreams, to ask him how many of the words in that book were Obama's. Ferris didn't have too many specific memories of the work he did with Obama more than a decade ago. "He and his book now are seen in such different ways than I was looking at them at that time," Ferris explained. "I didn't take on the project thinking he'd be a leading candidate for the presidency." But Ferris was absolutely adamant about one thing: "He wrote it completely and totally all by himself," Ferris said. "No one helped him." He added, "The manuscript needed shaping and focus, it needed editing, a lot of which he did based on suggestions I made. He was a terrific writer, a great stylist. ... This was not a job where I went in and had to completely redo this book for him. He needed the kind of guidance any first-time writer would need." For his second book, the 2006 The Audacity of Hope, Obama got enough of an advance ($1.9 million for a three-book deal) and was certainly busy enough with his work in the Senate--not to mention laying the groundwork for his presidential campaign--that no one would have blamed him for going the ghostwriter route. But, according to Rachel Klayman, the Crown editor who worked with him on Audacity, he didn't. "I get irritated when people ask, 'Does he have a ghostwriter?' because it's the opposite of that," Klayman told me. "Not only does he not have a ghostwriter, he's on an entirely different plane from most writers editors work with." Klayman said that Obama's writing process was similar to that of many authors: He'd write a draft of a chapter--oftentimes working at his computer late at night--and then send it to her and a group of other people (although in Obama's case these people weren't just friends but mainly political and policy advisors) for suggested edits. As for what Obama sent in, Klayman said, "I've never worked with any other writer who needed less line editing than he did. That's how clean his writing is. That doesn't mean we didn't do some editing. I did a lot of different things. But he's sort of a self-editing phenomenon. Sometimes my role was to stand back and watch him edit himself." She added, "Working with him was so much like working with someone whose day job is being a writer. He is a writer as far as I'm concerned. [slate editor-in-chief] Jacob Weisberg said he's more like a writer who became a politician than a politician who became a writer."
  22. It is not the message. It is the person delivering the message. It really is.