xiinfaniin
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'Breaking News'U.N. authorizes regional force to protect Somalia
xiinfaniin replied to Juje's topic in Politics
Lemme share a little story: Habar baa waxay aragtay baa la yiri laba wiil oo diriraysa. Markey kusoo dhawaatay bay labadii wiil midkood garatay. Say inta istaagtay bay tiri; war xoogga alla ku qabayey'e ninka inta qonof lugaha ka gelisid oo sinsaaryo ugu dartid dhulka iyo isaga isa sii! Kii kale eey jeclayd in dhulka la dhigo baa yiri: eeddo hadda ogow waad noo wada sheegtaye'e ! Analogous is UN’s(habartii wiilasha aragtay) recently passed resolution(tabtii midkood wax u lagdi lahaa) . -
BOOSAASO : Iskohor-imaad hubaysan oo dhexmaray Booliska Boosaaso iyo ...
xiinfaniin replied to Abdi2005's topic in Politics
Trying out methods that time has deemed obsolete, are we not ? Current admin in Puntland will either succumb to the popular demands of its subjects or it will be forced out and vanish in the ashes of history. Such would always be the fate of the mouthers-of-half-truths like the ones clearly manifested in Cadde’s character! -
Gaalkacyo siege continues, Puntland demands resident’s compliance!
xiinfaniin replied to xiinfaniin's topic in Politics
Originally posted by Caamir: Xiin, I agree with your points that the invitation of Ethiopian troops into Puntland territory was totally unnecessary but if that is a precautionary measure taken by the Puntland president to protect the city from harm by the maruading Islamist, why not be it. .... Caamir, nobody is attacking Puntland and you know it saaxiib. It's sham adeer. As for where the majority are on this issue you will hear soon IA. Ethiopians will have no chioce but to retreat. Isims of that region have already spoken out against it. Those who think they could get away with such a deciet will be greatly mistaken. Dagaal maan jeclayn dhiig gubtiyo dirirta soomaale Waase lagu dirqiyey reer tolkey daqarka qaarkeede'e Daandaansiga ********* ninkii dayaba qiirooye'e Jus wait and see! -
'Breaking News'U.N. authorizes regional force to protect Somalia
xiinfaniin replied to Juje's topic in Politics
Originally posted by Lieutenant-General Sakhar: ^The monitoring group will ensure, that no weapons go to anywhere else except where they're needed. Only for the protection of the government and subsequent peace-keeping related situation needed weaponary will be allowed into the country and by the way Xiin, I'm not talking about AK47's! Arms Embargo has only been partially lifted and endorsement and subsequent funds were released by the UN-Resolution in November to safeguard the weapons embargo by the new monitoring group, I'm sure they will do their job adequately. They're tasked with identifying possible transport routes whether it is the sea {possibley a no go area by those wishing to smuggle a few AK47's into Somalia), land (Kenya closed its borders, so did Ethiopia no go through there and forget about Djibouti) and the air! They could appose a no-flying zone and sanctions, what say you Xiin? I guess that will change the politial situation on the ground I guess inshallah? ^^ . You could've waxed few deep lyrics there to better capture your excitement, you Sakhar! UN resolutions such as this one would only provide brief diplomatic triumph! It will hardly change much on the ground as long our political impasse continues. If it’s war what you are celebrating for, however, then you will surely be disappointed. -
'Breaking News'U.N. authorizes regional force to protect Somalia
xiinfaniin replied to Juje's topic in Politics
Calm down guys! We all knew this one was comming. Surely it would complicate lives of the average Somalis but it's not going to change our status quo as far our political conflict goes! It will remain just that, political! One thing to keep in mind is the fact that weapons will also come to Berbera, Mogadishu, and Kismayo ports and not only to Boosaaso or Baydhabo! -
Gaalkacyo siege continues, Puntland demands resident’s compliance!
xiinfaniin replied to xiinfaniin's topic in Politics
Jananka, I pray for Ethiopia's defeat, and the rebirth of independent Somali government! Redka, wait and see is what left for us to do, i suppose. Pray for the folks who are doing the hard-lifting. -
ISLAMISM AS A POLITICAL TOOL IN SOMALIA:Another Road Pump to Reconciliation?
xiinfaniin replied to NASSIR's topic in Politics
A. Hirad is confused as ever. He forgets conveniently that Courts is a phenomenon brought by Western interference and steady Ethiopian intrusion! His analysis has never been holistic! To be fair he does well dissecting secessionist policies but when it comes to the [edit]big picture his take of things gets blurry. No body is using religion as a political tool. Religion happens to be Islamist’s platform. Majority of Somalis agree with a political platform that’s based on religion. Unfortunately he seems to fail to make that link and see a particular clan in this movement! -
Gaalkacyo siege continues, Puntland demands resident’s compliance!
xiinfaniin replied to xiinfaniin's topic in Politics
^^^^So you vote for war! This issue is beyond analysis phase now adeer, and unfortunaately for the likes of you who blindly support the TFG and fraudulently call Ethiopia regional ally, will only realize that we are indeed at a historical juncture after it is too late! -
Gaalkacyo siege continues, Puntland demands resident’s compliance!
xiinfaniin replied to xiinfaniin's topic in Politics
The Point, you are not doing hard reasoning here brother---you are merely singing Puntland’s official line! As far as we know Courts have not attacked Puntland—and yes Bandariidley is not a part of Puntland. Another piece of information is that the majority of Puntlanders don’t see this threat for which Ethiopians are called in to deal with. In the Mudug region, Cadde’s argument for a fight with the Courts failed to convince the elders to rally behind his war cries! One reason Ethiopia’s lackeys have argued that this ‘extra help’ was needed since Galkacyo’s residents lacked foresight to see Courts coming threat! Brother Ethiopia hardly needs an invitation from Puntland to come in. We all know that. But the reason they hastily come now is because Puntland’s internal conflict is so strong to the extent that those who run the show now were forced to seek help from the Tigre boys! Tigre boys are not your typical clansmen---they come to serve their country’s national interest--they are not there to merely tip the balance of this nomadic squabble that you are having in Mudug! As for ceding Galkacyo’s authority to them, that’s hardly in dispute. Their presence is felt everywhere in the city---they are in the airport and manned checkpoints! I can’t believe that you are willing to argue that Ethiopian troops just come to serve Puntland’s interest and will act as a guest while they are there! It just doesn’t work that way brother! Tuuji maxkaxdaada walaal, I may be biased toward Courts but I am not against Puntland and her existence! As long there is a group of us who wants to singularly own it and decide its destiny single-handedly, however, I doubt it will survive the next storm. The old man and his policies are becoming quite consequential---it transcends tribal blood and challenges our consciousness and loyalties. Generale, the gist of your latest write up is for Puntland to be deposited for the old man’s experiment in Baydhabo! Shacab dhan baad rabtaa in odoga loo rahmo; that’s beyond insanity adeer. It’s that simple! But to convey that simple point is not easy, I must admit, for the very reasons you have delineated! There are hundreds of Puntland sons waiting to take bullets for the TFG. Majority of them are innocent clansmen who came to serve for their country. They are not to blame. Needless to say Puntlanders are emotionally attached to these soldiers---after all they are their sons in a distant land. But my head tells me their mere presence in Baydhabo is not adequate enough of a reason for Puntland to enter a conflict with whom these soldiers happen to be fighting. Aside from its emotional appeal, that logic has gaping holes in it. It’s not practically supportable for Puntland to fight with TFG’s enemies everywhere. TFG is a national entity now. Its policies and regional agendas could create many enemies that are not Puntland’s typical foes! There are Puntlanders who could be classified as TFG opponents---there is no hard evidence of armed opponents yet but I wouldn’t be surprised if there are some! Historically there were incidents where communities, who count themselves as an extended family of Puntland, were wrongly occupied and military defeated. Kismayo is a good example of that. There you find people who endured hardships brought by the civil war in a different forms and names. Clannish wishes aside, Puntland couldn’t do much to their fate. Now if that was the history then, what’s so especial now with the old man’s case? The federal framework is one. Certainly. Another is the large collection of Puntland soldiers there. Sure. So what? Accuse me utter indifference of our elder politician in Baydhoba, if you will, but I don’t see any reason why an entire region is sacrificed for an entity whose policies it can’t influence, technically. Some people may feel very strong about this issue and want us all to be wood burns for the TFG, but Puntland masses should know better. Actually they seem to know better, and I like their early reactions to this. ps:As for what you termed core issues, you are clever saaxiib but we are not talking about the south. And you know my positions about that issue anyway! -
Gaalkacyo siege continues, Puntland demands resident’s compliance!
xiinfaniin replied to xiinfaniin's topic in Politics
Employing words slurred with negative adjectives don’t necessarily lend strength to your argument (or rather to your assertions), yaa Point! Disingenuous I am not. You suffer me say that. Fact remains that peaceful city is invaded by Ethiopian soldiers to defend it against imaginary enemy whose threat is not realized by the majority of that city’s residents! You are of on a tangent when you used refugees caused by civil war to refute my point saaxiib. There is a long history of inner clan fighting among Somali clans. It happens all the time. Sadly. What does not happen that much often, good The Point, is to call in Tigre boys, concede the authority of the city to them, and have their first casualty to be your own soldiers. I have not seen any protest from that regions admin. But they have been very loud about Bandariidley skirmishes. I insist that Courts have no evil design to demolish Puntland admin. But that’s a side issue here really because even if we agree that these courts are aiming to invade us, I still see no justification why Ethiopia is allowed to be in Galkacyo! Puntland has been in a undeclared war with Somaliland. Somaliland is a much stronger foe than courts are to Puntland if I am not mistaken. Yet we don’t see Tigre boys roaming in Lasanod to strengthen our defense! Give me a break yaa the Point! Generale, yours is no creative writing any more! You are raising germane points that need thoughtful considerations. Still I see you are making a limp handshake with the truth as it were in your attempt to set up a grand showdown between courts and Puntland. I shall address your points especially the fact that Puntland’s sons are shepherded in Baydhabo’s military camps as a sacrificial lamps for the old man broken policies. I got to leave now though and when come back I shall do justice to your points. -
Men who escape from the Clan Court tell of their plight...Pics + audio
xiinfaniin replied to General Duke's topic in Politics
Che & Generale, cut it guys! You're a knee deep in clannish argument that's even too low for somali standards! Debate points raised on thier merits but stop this back and forth tribal arguments that you are having! It's not pretty saaxiibayaal! -
Gaalkacyo siege continues, Puntland demands resident’s compliance!
xiinfaniin replied to xiinfaniin's topic in Politics
Originally posted by General Duke: Xiin, Puntland is part of the TFG governemnt, it is the only state that fully recognises and has had dealings with it. Any attack on Baidoa is one on Puntland. ^^Marra waaxida yaa Generale! That’s not however a popular position to take in Puntland. Waa meesha sarta ka quruntay adeer. To be sure some people, and a minority of them at that, hold such a view. The notion that Puntland would sacrifice its existence for the survival of the old man is quite faulty. When Cadde (a man whose share of intelligence is increasingly becoming a moot point) came to Gaalkacyo intending to wage a war on Bandariidley, the elders of that city has voiced strong objections against that whole scheme! The reason was simple: Gaalkacyo was not attacked and Bandariidley does not fall under Puntland’s jurisdiction. Cities like Boosaaso, Garoowe, Laascanood, and Baran had already signaled more strongly a negative sentiment toward entering unprovoked conflict with the Courts. Now the reason you have Ethiopian troops is because Puntlanders have resisted the policy of fighting with the Courts simply because they are from a particular clan. I have no doubt in my mind that they will resist the presence of armed Tigre boys in their midst. The lampoon is now on you yaa Generale; calling in foreign troops to fight with a familiar clan (if we even assume Courts are aiming to invade Gaalkacyo)! But by having your above quote simplifies our discussion. Because, as you put it, a war on Baydhabo constitutes a war on Puntland! The reason you said is because Puntland supports the TFG! That part may be true but you forgetting that Puntland has no control over all the factors that could cause a major conflict to erupt between the TFG and any opposing entity! According to your reason if Gedo or Bay goes to war with the TFG, Puntland would promptly declare a war on them! All of that because the old man is from the region! Is it not that the peak of confusion yaa Generale? This is the crux of the matter, and Puntlanders seemingly have already decided against this notion. So the issue is no longer Courts did this and that in Bandiiradley, but rather is whether Puntland enters a conflict with Courts based on their policy about the TFG. And as you can see, good Generale, that’s where I draw the line and I fail to see the value of Puntland initiating a war that could exasperate its latten internal conflict simply to put the old man in Baydhabo in a favorable position with Mogadishu Courts. That I find unwise. -
Gaalkacyo siege continues, Puntland demands resident’s compliance!
xiinfaniin replied to xiinfaniin's topic in Politics
^^Duke, i like when you stick your script and stay with official line! As I say before Puntland is not facing a threat from Mogadishu's courts. Baydhabo is! The only relationship between the two is Puntland's former president happens to be the leader of the current TFG. The question i asked how far would Puntland go to support him in his quest. Midda kale, there's no validity to the Abukar Caddaani tale in Kismayo! Ask me about that city saaxiib! The harbor is open and managed by that city's native sons! Again although you admit Puntland is having its share of internal politiking (and i agree that it's expected), you are not however willing to discuss it independent of Courts. You just want to repeat Cadde position of Courts are coming and hence we will do every thing to defend ourselves! An assertion which even Galkacyo elders found quite unconvincing! -
Men who escape from the Clan Court tell of their plight...Pics + audio
xiinfaniin replied to General Duke's topic in Politics
LOL@Horn, Gedonet too reported it so he obliged to post ! Yaan lagaa tegin adeer! -
Gaalkacyo siege continues, Puntland demands resident’s compliance!
xiinfaniin replied to xiinfaniin's topic in Politics
C'mon Jananka, don't be in denail now. Puntland is having internal conflicts now, and no matter how hard you try to sidestep the core issues, they just aint gonna go away. And believe me, Xasan Dahir has nothing to do with it. These are main issues: 1-Chronic corruption; Cadde and his close ilk are percieved to have embarked a milking project of Puntland's resources! 2-Misplaced policies/priorities; does Puntland state go to war not because it was attacked but becuase its former leader is in danger and his TFG is besieged? -
^^Duqa, your reasoning is defective. You support this man’s detention on the basis of him voicing his opinion on a one single thing! The man did neither kill nor caused any harm, yet he was promptly incarcerated by the very entity whose policies you seemingly support. It’s some thing to disagree with his ideas, but arresting people because of what they think, and not of what they have done, sounds quite primitive to me! There is no subtlety to what you’re spewing here, a police state! If that’s your idea of effecting stability and peace among residents of Somaliland, then clearly you are wildly off the mark here!
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December 5, 2006 The Stability Problem, Solved by Patrick J. Buchanan During last summer's Israeli-Hezbollah war, Condi Rice assured us that we were witnessing the "birth pangs of a new Middle East." Condi may be right. But that new Middle East appears to be one in which U.S. influence is visibly waning and America is on the way out. Consider the returns from November. Bush's war was repudiated in a Democratic triumph. Our NATO allies begged off sending more troops to Afghanistan to fight the resurgent Taliban. After a leaked White House memo insulted him as ignorant or incompetent, Iraq's Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki stiffed Bush by refusing to join him and the king of Jordan for dinner. Cheney was summoned to Riyadh to assure the king that the United States was not going to scuttle Iraq – else the Saudis would have to intervene to save the Sunnis in the sectarian civil war sure to follow. The king was telling the veep: If you go, a regional and sectarian war will follow you out. In Somalia, the Union of Islamic Courts is consolidating control. In Bahrain, the Sunni-ruled sheikdom that is home to the U.S. Gulf fleet, elections brought Shia victories in 16 of 17 legislative races they contested. Liberals and women were routed, with 17 of 18 woman candidates defeated. The lone victor ran unopposed. King Abdullah of Jordan warns of the prospect of three simultaneous wars – in Lebanon, Palestine, and Iraq. The king did not include the five-year war in Afghanistan, where opium exports have reached record highs and British troops, following Pakistan's example, are concluding local armistices with the Taliban. In Lebanon, Hezbollah is demanding the government cede it veto power, or it will bring down the regime with the kind of street action our protégés used in Beirut, Belgrade, Kiev, and Tbilisi. Anbar province has been virtually ceded to the insurgents and their al-Qaeda allies. Hundreds of thousands of Christians have fled Iraq to Syria and sanctuary. The Kurds are carving out their own country, including Kirkuk, in anticipation of a breakup. U.S. forces are being moved into the capital for what appears to be a final Battle of Baghdad to prevent a takeover by the Mahdi Army of Moqtada al-Sadr, our old nemesis, now said to be the most powerful and popular figure in the Shia provinces south of the capital, whence our British cousins will soon be departing. Bush's meeting with Abdul Aziz al-Hakim, the Shia cleric who heads the Supreme Council of Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI), which runs the Badr Brigades, is not unrelated to the rise of Hakim's bitter rival, Sadr. There may soon be a whole lot of shakin' going on in Baghdad. As for the Israeli-Palestinian "peace process," it is as close to comatose as it has been since before Oslo. Israel's economic blockade of Hamas, following Hamas' election victory, brought rockets down on Israeli towns north of Gaza and a bloody re-intervention by Israeli troops. Ehud Olmert's war to smash Hezbollah ended in smashing Lebanon and a moral victory for Hezbollah, which withstood five weeks of air strikes and a feckless Israeli invasion. Diplomatically, America has never been weaker in the Middle East, Israel has never been more beleaguered, the Hezbollah-Syria-Iranian axis never stronger, and our friends in Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and the Gulf states never more apprehensive. Nor are the trends hopeful. The Afghan and Iraqi wars Bush launched never looked more certain to end in U.S. defeats. What is the cause of the impending collapse of the U.S. position across the Middle East? We put democratist ideology ahead of national interests. We projected our ideas of what is right, true, and inevitable onto people who do not share them. We tried to impose our will with our military power, which is more effective at killing Arab enemies than winning Arab hearts. America is failing in the Middle East because our leaders of both parties will not look at the region through Arab eyes. What Bush saw as a glorious liberation of Iraq, Arabs saw as an invasion. Where Bush sees in Israel a model of democracy, Arabs see a pampered agent of U.S. imperialism, persecuting and dispossessing the Palestinian people. "For 60 years, my country, the United States, pursued stability at the expense of democracy in … the Middle East, and we achieved neither. Now, we are taking a different course. We are supporting the democratic aspirations of all the people." So Condi Rice hubristically declared in Cairo in 2005. Since then, those elections that Rice demanded have advanced toward or into power the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, Hamas in Palestine, Hezbollah in Lebanon, the radical Shia in Iraq, and Ahmadinejad in Iran. But at least Bush and Rice have solved the stability problem.
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Gaalkacyo siege continues, Puntland demands resident’s compliance!
xiinfaniin replied to xiinfaniin's topic in Politics
^^^Courts are not coming to Puntland, so no concern is warranted from my side on that account! What’s alarming though is the length some are willing to go to exact failed policies of before! As for the issue regarding the presence of Tigre in Galkacyo, its getting redundant saaxiib, is it not? People are concern for a good reason and if Puntland collapses blame it on the old man being in the game too long, and not on the Courts fixing and cleansing their regions from filths of warlords who are hosted in Gaalkacyo as we speak! Some times you defy the basic logic of examining things yaa Duke! But again you told me before that you disagree with me on this issue! -
Gaalkacyo siege continues, Puntland demands resident’s compliance!
xiinfaniin replied to xiinfaniin's topic in Politics
^^Generale, you are not being honest here! I have received enough emails from Galkacyo to confidently discuss Tigree being in it without relying on Mogadishu media. People who are vehemently apposed to the courts are both confirming it and against it. The threat of Courts invading Puntland is an imaginary one! You know because of the old man policies, Puntland worked overtime to provoke Courts militias in Galgaduud! You can’t wage proxy war intended to release some pressure from the TFG in Baydhabo and try to mislead masses that Courts are coming to get them. That’s beyond dishonest saaxiib! Ethiopians are there in Gaalkacyo and they are not hiding. In fact they already started to whip city’s residents in line and killed two of Puntland soldiers. I just cant swallow the raw notion that says Tigre bullets casualty is tolerable but some clans whom we share both blood and faith are to be fearlessly contained! Midda kale, you, as a regional political analyst you are, know the crux of the matter very well. The practice of dual policies is over for Puntland. Either the state stays true to the objectives for which it was created and reflect its peoples sentiment or it will die trying to achieve two diametrically opposed goals: its survival as an entity and that of its former ruler, the old man! -
Gaalkacyo siege continues, Puntland demands resident’s compliance!
xiinfaniin replied to xiinfaniin's topic in Politics
Jananka, this brand may not sell in Puntland but desperate measures and the policies of confused folks aint gonna cut it either adeer! the logic of bringing Tigre boys to fight a distant clan is beyond absurdity saaxiib! I think Baydhabo promoters in Galkacyo have committed a fatal plunder this time. We will see if the sons of that city watch Ethiopian troops rule over them and buy into current admin’s bogyman! -
GAALKACYO : Maamulka Puntland oo jawaab ka bixiyay bayaankii ay shalay soo sareen qaar ka mid ah Issimada gobolka Mudug Posted to the Web Dec 05, 16:38 GAALKACYO:-Wasiirkuxigeenka Wasaarada Arimaha Gudaha iyo Amniga Faarax Cabdi Doorshe ayaa Issimada dhawaan bayaanka soo saaray ee gobolka Mudug ku sheegay kuwo shaqadii dawlada soo faragashaday islamarkaasna galay hawl aan hawshooda ahayn wuxuuna sheegay in aan Ciidanka Ethiopia aan la oran karin ka baxa dalka. Doorshe wuxuu Ciidanka Ethiopia ee ku sagan gudaha Puntland ku tilmaamay kuwo tababarayaal ah oo laga warqabo sidaas-darteedna aysan Issimadu ka hadli karin joogitaankooda. Dawlada Ethiopia ayuu sheegay in ay leeyihiin xiriir wanaagsan oo soo jireen ah ayna iska kaashadaan dhinacyada ammaanka labada dal iyo ganacsiga sidaasdarteedna aysan jirin cid ka hadli karta joogintaankooda dalka. Joogitaanka Ciidanka Ethiopia ee gudaha Puntland gaar ahaan magaalada Gaalkacyo ayay dad badan oo horay u dhaliilsanaa Maxaakiimta ay ka caraysiisay , waxayna sababtay in ay Maxaakiimtu ay dad badan u galaan oo ka mid noqdaan Ciidankooda ku waa soo horay xaga afkaarta aad uga soo horjeeday Maxaakiimta kadib markii ay dalka soo galeen Ethiopian-ka. Source.
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I hear you loud and clear yaa Baashi! Laakiin weli far baa ii taagan awoowe! Before I get in to this let me announce my ignorance about Egypt’s reported disappointment in Courts politicking! That I simply don’t know. First lets revisit how it all started: Qanyare and co declared a war on all Islamists and formed a terror fighting (with America’s finance) coalition. Sahwa leaders like Aweys and Turkey secretly appealed their brothers around the country (and abroad) to help them fight this war. In a few weeks time, excited shabaabs from almost every region and clan flocked to Mogadishu and undertook one of the most interesting military operations in Somalia’s recent history. Mogadishu warlords, unorganized and unaware of this newly mechanized army of shabaabs, were handily defeated and driven out of the city. The masses, impressed by these shabaabs’s superb fighting ability and attracted by the appeal of the religious slogans employed by Mogadishu’s preachers, totally embraced and welcomed the winners. Aweys and co accepted, I dare say enjoyed, this newly found power and made policy pronouncements—you can’t really blame them, or can you? Who wouldn’t like the power authority brings? Needlessly to say it was easy to see Allah’s hand in all of this as yesterday’s hunted became victorious in a matter of weeks! At times faithful's share of emotional eruptions is more difficult to control than perceived! As you can see the ^^whole thing was an accidental win. This is not a resistance army who, after fighting many years in the jungle, finally overrun the national seat. If that were the case you would at least have an entity with an agenda and a leadership structure that’s ready to assume headship and accept the responsibility that comes with it. What you had here instead is a hastily formed movement to compensate anomalies built-in in the initial planning! Simply put yaa Baashi this is (the Court is) an ad hoc organization that suffer from a great inadequacy of both managerial capacity and military foresight. Neither its leaders nor their informed supporters deny this. Yet I hope you would agree they generally represent a positive development in the current Somali politics. Because of them, as you correctly noted, the Somali equation has fewer variables to solve today than it had before Court’s emergence. Because of them the culture of looting and robbery is gone, and arguably the expulsion of warlords from the capital will remain their chief contribution to take Somalia closer to its nationhood again. I perfectly know that you know all of these but I have revisited them to put things in a context. When we are talking Mogadishu courts we need to keep in mind how young this movement is and how numerous its enemies are. A user who knows, if I hazard to draw an analogy, the history and the development of the system he uses is less prone for disappointment. Some times high expectations yaa Baashe are the cause of the failure itself as a great and functional system go unused because it doesn’t somehow meet user’s benchmarks! I know that you are not suggesting forgoing the whole movement. By blaming them for the lack of progress and the current political stagnation, you are echoing, I hope, Jamil ibnu Mucamar’s verses to his beloved Buthayna: law kaana fii qalbii ka qadri qulaamatin lighayriki, ma atatki rasaa’ilii! You would have never received my love letters, he wrote to her, had I been consumed by another affair! Given that little background lets see what the courts did or did not do to advance their interest. Recognizing that this is an accidental victory they invited scholars all over the country and sought their counsel and advice. From Burco to Boosaaso to Jigjiga scholars came to Mogadishu and gave their advice and suggestions. Courts didn’t invite these scholars to stir trouble in their respective regions as northern entities attempted to depict but they invited them to seek their genuine advice as to how to proceed and take the next step. The consensus has been to not intervene in the two northern regions namely Puntlnad and Somaliland, to never compromise on warlords bid to return to power but to negotiate with the TFG on clear terms. In the first meeting with TFG at Khartoum, negotiations quickly hit impasse as TFG showed no interest in reaching a genuine deal with the Courts. Surprisingly the issue was not about shariicah implementation as you would have suspected but about the foreign troops. Courts future role in the government was also a contentious issue as well. What happened good Baashe was Courts conceded to TFG by announcing that they recognize it as a legitimate entity and accepted its top two leaders but TFG refused to move one inch and gave no ground to these wadaads. To add insult to the injury, TFG welcomed and at times rearmed defeated warlords to continue the fight against Courts. These two issues are very important to the courts. As far as Courts are concerned the notion of foreign troops is an idea whose time has expired. For them (and I agree with them whole heartedly on this) the issue in the south is no longer a one of law and order. They have effectively taken care of that one. The issue for them in the south is about arriving a political understanding that could lead to a negotiated settlement between them and the TFG. They think they have removed roadblocks and opened Mogadishu’s airport and harbor. TFG has no legitimate reason, it stands to reason, to waste donor’s money on foreign troops! On the second contentious issue, Courts made clear that they would like having a proportionate say and influence on the members from the regions under their authority. In other words politicians and former warlords who came to power as the result of clan based distribution from regions (read: clan) that currently fall under Courts direct authority would risk loosing their current positions. This includes big names like Geedi and Aydid. Again TFG dismissed the whole notion and insisted that they won’t revisit agreed political arrangements in Nairobi! Now what yaa Baashe? Would you still suggest Courts meekly submit and practice TFG’s courtesy in light of this unrealistic and admittedly hostile attitude? If the TFG decided to reduce Courts to no more than a clan courts who replaced their clan’s warlords then you cant reasonably blame Courts to proof them wrong and show that they are indeed different in both composition and conviction. And so Hasan Turk captured Kismayo and Buurhakabo fell under Courts influence. And so the spiral continues! In principle I agree with you that any responsible political entity in Somalia should strive to avoid war. But avoiding war should not come at the expense of reversing positive changes made during last few months and it shouldn’t force the hands of these courts to accept inherently unfair and unreasonable formula that’s proposed by the TFG and it’s regional backers. Granted Ethiopia has an organized and standing army that could march and invade by the mere orders of its superiors, but in the final analysis one fights with whatever army it has and the lack of organizational capacity from courts side should never cause them to give in for Ethiopia’s unreasonable demands. Mintad fara yar mirihii battaa kama macaashaane Mar hadday mashiinadu qarxaan mawdka loo simane'e .
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