Let of people doesn’t know that Somallia population is growing faster than Ethiopia for now half century with all the problems Somalia had. 1960 Somali population was estimated 2.5 millions 1960 Ethiopia population was estimated 25 millions 1960 Ratio was 1:10 2023 Ethiopia 120,000millions 2023. Somalia poor 18,000 millions 2023 Ratio 1:6 Not including NFD + Jigjiga population Ethnic Somali population will surpass Amhara populations in two years and 10-15 years, there will be more Somalia population than Oromo. Jabuuti going the opposite way. All that Area Issa tribes resides from Deridhaba to Jabuuti will be annexed by others.

Elite Somaliland politions are not interested going to Moqdisho, they rather stay Hargeisa and steal.But it seems a lot of poor landers understand the dire situation they are facing. But people like Biixi can still manover them. The world is changing very fast and not any better soon. The old empires will clopse and new ones will born but unfortunately things will not better and Somalind has to make a choice.

The reason is Iisa population is not growing any more even living peacefully without wars unlike other Somalis. Since they adopted French culture their birth rate is continuously declining. Ethiopians doesn’t even need to take Saylac which luck infrastructure they will take over Jabuuti by immigration and eventually Somaliland. Jabuuti birth rate vs Somalia birth rate https://www.statista.com/statistics/977237/crude-birth-rate-in-somalia/ Djibouti Birth rate, 1950-2022 KNOEMA.COM

Abiya is very broke and weak right now. The west want to replace him after they sided with Tigray. However he does have enough forces to reach less populated the Somali cost in the area Saylac. but he has to find an sponsor from west. they already have Hasan Sheikh who signs what ever they asked. He already signed free sea access for west. Somali oil and other fake companies are owners of the whole sea for minerals and fish. They are not done with Hassan yet, he did not signed any new base officially. It could be one of western countries first and ethiopia joining later.

https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ethiopia-becomes-africas-latest-sovereign-default-2023-12-26/ And They are waiting ethiopia to invest

Ethiopia to "invest what they default their l International loans. They can not even borrow. Both Abiya and Biixi are desperate to stay power and find something to tell the poor. Ethiopia became Africa's third default in as many years on Tuesday after it failed to make the payment on the $1 billion Eurobond. While the payment was due on Dec. 11, a 14-day grace period clause meant it technically had until Tuesday to provide the money

This is probably the reason. In Jabuuti meeting, Biixi was offered a confederation with South Somalia by Geele and Xasan sheikh, just few days after Hassan canceled the Khaatumo team to join the regions game in moqdisho. He asked money but they did not offered him anything for him. He was already planning to go Adis and Biixi decided to accept the Abiya sea option instead. In 1887, the Somalialnd elders signed a protection treaty with British and Khaatumo people paid the highest price to save somalis in the region. For this time the matter of sea should stay between Somalilanders and Ethiopia. Let them sort out for their mess

For many years I was comparing and contrasting here Somaliland and Kurdistan. Now those hired lawyers in west who support Somaliland are comparing Kosovo and Somaliland after Iraqi Kurd lost their hope of independent state. As some Kurd will always be a tool and victims for neo colonials who eager to use them, there will always be same policy in Somaliland. And now Hassan Sheikh in villa moqdisho , those policy had been signed and implemented already. For Somaliland they will always hope that somehow foreigners will help them to achieve bigger goals in exchange for their services. The latest attempt of reaching Oromo groups are great example. Now that SSC-Khaatumo achieved a military victory in laascaanood, Jamaahiirta movement must reach Ceerigaabo. Somaliland was very successful cleansing local people in that area and encouraging pro Somaliland tribes to move deep in the heart land of Sanaag, building goojacade style camps with settlers. Or at least Khaatumo administration must reach Ceerigaabo. This only will bring hardcore Somalilanders on table, moving forward. They do not have plan B. They are still working on plan A

They can not understand the West ended the so call war on Teror. Dawaco meeley baruur kubaratay ayay macaluul ugu bakhtigaa. The idea of functioning as Kurdish or Taywaan not gone bring any more fruits for them. West or Ethiopia do not need their services whether Adna and Waraabe cries in the churches or synagogues. The global geopolitics is going a different direction. It is in fact going to the Indian Ocean.

This was predicted and it is just beginning of destruction what remained the gorgor and Danab units. Instead of continue where Farmaajo left, focusing on Shabelle regions and go beyond. He focused on empowering H clan melesia in central regions and allowed H mellessia to come back in Baraawe and Marka. Now he lost the trained units and clan mellesia is free to establish their roadblocks. The militants are weak and their time has expired but Hassan doesn’t have a plan. Before end of his term there will no be national s army left, just few Hag mellessia with roadblocks.

They tend to not like their own unique people or good people. “Ma anoo aarsankara ayaan duco qaataa” that was the old Biixi. The old guy Saleebaan Gaal knew how this will end but never did anything to stop it. His first reaction of news of laascaanood for first day war was very much telling. End of the day is about their strength. As long as they have teeth they can use to bite they’ll.

It doesn’t really matter. They don’t have independent clan melessia rather government controlled clan malessia which they call national army. The Somaliland national army is comprised. Only some of HJ and HY knew the way back home. Some of them are still lost in the Doodi region. Some of them were captured close to Eyl district. The time is not their side and they put themselves in spotlight. Of course they want fight back but they don’t have much choice for right now. Time has caught up. They’re lucky if they keep what they got whether political, economicly and area of control.

The momentum is with united SSC. The front line is 100 km away from Laascaanood. People will come back to city and the live will come back normal. Remember Somaliland did not come to Laascaanood themselves. In fact the two army have distance of between 5 km between Gumays and OOG. Somaliland has not any capacity to attack SSC right now, Even a small successful attack will help them to present something. Somaliland and SNM do not have a tradition and experience of planning large scale attack. They will not take that risk with speed of SSC forces, they could be overrun again. They may attack some area with small unit of SSC forces and hope capturing some trucks to present as a victory. Some type of SNM style of fighting to attack one village and go back home. I do not see anything else the defeated army capable of doing. They did not fight last week and their moral is very low. They lost any advantage they had militarily. Before the last week defeat , you could see they were already exhausted, their formation and attacks were weak compared to the beginning of the war. Where SSC forces were gaining strength and experience. I am not expecting any large scale of attack from Somaliland army. These emotions will die and it will be a frozen conflict with a define SSC victory.

I am afraid they will not separate themselves from Biixi any form. They gave him one more year and asking compensation for the dead soldiers. That is Somaliland. They never make sense. I think what Garaad Jama is saying is that, the next time it will be pure clan war.

I was making appoint here that Somaliland needed this defeat. They never released they got more than they deserved. In 1950 only small part of Togdheer, Sool and Sanaag were occupied by SNM tribes. Much of the north flat land is occupied by SSC even today . 1991 they came up a new country and the idea that they are closing the colonial borders. With that dream failed they can start a friendly approach to their neighbors. They are and always be traders. A trade can not fight his neighbors.

As you said it look like one side is completely defeated. Do you accept the fact and change your mind?

It took almost 8 months but it ended with complete destruction and defeat of Somaliland army. This army was equipped with 8 very good shape tanks owned by Somali army. 5 tanks are captured and two are destroyed. Only one missing right now. We wanted this to be done earlier but total defeat is what needed to shot up those hardcore SNM people who believed they won the civil war. This defeat was needed for the peace in the region and the future of the Somali nation. It also a reality check for those who occupied moqdisho and hitchhiked Somali political settlement

The road is open for SSC forces to go all the way. Only Sheikh mountains could stop. SSC elders and new leadership stopped SSC forces to enter OOG and villages inhabited Somaliland tribes. To stop looting and killing civilians population. The defeated Somaliland army left most its heavy weapons and remaining groups went different directions.

It failed quickly than expected. Somaliland army did not offer any meaningful resistance. And had zero coordination.Crazy Biixi waited and waited but finally he forces collapsed. Somaliland army is done.

Today was the biggest day the fight in Laascaanood. A very bloody day for both sides. But a tactical victory for locals. Th next few days the battle of Laascaanood maybe over.

Was not the “army” want to capture the city badly? They were forced to hide their bunkers in Goojacade.

Fake photoshopped video. This video was proved to be photoshop.

I remember when this man was deported. He was not in Laascaanood. Laascaanood is very conservative city. He hired house in Hargeysa where he was bringing women and recording them. This was going for long time before he was deported. The tapes was confisticated by Somaliland government. A lot of victims unfortunately, that the Hargeysa women for months were asking each other "Naa makabad baaday" meaning are you in recoding of the German man. This qoomoluud has been part of Hargeysa specific culture. It originally started when Isaaaq tribes signed a treaty with British colonial not to have kids in their land. Which means British children can no born in that region. If the a British female became pregnant she have to leave the land. With these arrangements the British brought what they are known in that part of Somalia. Now the NGO and many other foreign agency spread the liberal culture with local tolerance.

You just little ignorant uninformed SNM dreamer. I am telling you the SNM days in Laascaanood are about to end. You are not a local person who knows that place. It is all about SNM bunkers in Goojacade which is only 6km from the city. Godey style bunkers where SNM forces are hiding. I grantee you it It will cleared sooner rather later. This is it.