1q1c - I don't see that possible any time soon for South Somalia. Because the ingredients are not there. If 1q1c is ever undertaken, then what took place in the recently farce elections would be a child's play when you consider what will take place in 1q1c setting. The following is required for a 1q1c elections 1. A government that has monopoly on power and can exercise that power in all regions where 1q1c is taking place 2. That 'monopoly' on power should be one that is bestowed on the government by the people not the other way round - i.e. a dictator has monopoly on power but if the people are unwilling, then it is a DOA. 3. There should a power that is opposed to that Government that is able to keep it accountable and make sure it delivers the promises. If you don't have the above, then it is will either become a farce like the one we just saw

The new alliance might have already happened: Saciid Deni, Sheekh Shariif iyo Khadiijo Diiriye oo dhabar jabiyay Jubbaland Xog ay heshay Caasimada Online ayaa sheegaysa in doorashadii guddoomiye ku-xigeenka koowaad ee golaha shacabka oo ay ku tartamayeen toban murashax ay ka abuurmeen isbaheysiyo siyaasadeed oo cusub. Doorashada ayaa waxaa wareeggii koowaad ugu cod batay afar musharax oo codadka u kala helay sidan: 1. Maxamed-weli Cabdalle Axmed: 59 cod. Waa xildhibaan ku cusub baarlamaanka islamarkaana ku fadhiya kursigii C/weli Muudeey oo loo diiday inuu u dhoofo magaalada Baraawe ee deegaan doorashadiisa, taageerana ka helayay Villa Somalia 2. Maxamed Cali Cumar (Caanonuug): 58 cod. Waxa uu kasoo galay maamul goboleedka Jubaland, taageerayayna Axmed Madoobe iyo Deni, taageeradaas oo ku dhisneyd heshiis hoosaad horay u dhex maray labada maamul in Puntland qaadato Guddoomiye ku-xigeenka Aqalka Sare, iyo in Jubbaland ay hesho guddoomiye ku-xigeenka koowaad ee aqalka hoose. 3. Sacdiya Yaasiin Xaaji (Samatar): 52 cod. Waxay deegaan doorashadeeda tahay Puntland waxayna si lama filaan isugu soo sharaxday guddoomiye ku-xigeenka koowaad ee aqalka baarlamaanka, taasoo meel ka dhac ku aheyd heshiiskii ay horay u gaareen Puntland iyo Jubbaland, kana hortimid dalab uu Saciid Deni hordhigay oo aheyd ineysan is-sharxin. 4. Khadiijo Maxamed Diiriye: 21 cod. Waxaa dhisayay Kutlo uu hoggaamiyo Aadan Saransoor waxayna ka goosatay Nabad iyo Nolol. Waxaa dhacday in Maxamed-weli Cabdalle Axmed oo ku horeeyay cododka ugu badan ee xildhibaanada ayaa si lama filaan ah ugu tanaasulay Sacdiya. Deni oo diidan sideey wax u socdeen, xadgudubna ku ah heshiiska siyaasadeed ee Puntland iyo Jubbaland ayaa wuxuu xiriir lasoo sameeyay Khadiijo maxamed Diiriye isagoona u balan qaaday 300,000 dollar si ay cododkeeda ay ugu tanaasusho Caananuug oo Jubbaland ka socday isagoo ugu talagalay inuusan burburin heshiiska labada maamul. Khadiijo Diiriye oo ogolaaday dalabka Deni ayaa waxay u tanaasushay Caananuug iyadoo kaamirooyinka qabanayaanna waxay cod dheer ku tiri iyadoo farta ku fiiqeyso “Aniga iyo Beene Beene cododkeena waxay aadayaan Caana-Nuug.” Nabad iyo Nolol oo meeshaasi fursad qaali ah ugu soo baxday ayaa u wareegay xildhibaanad Sacdiyo Yaasiin oo taageero ka heleysa Xisbiga Himilo Qaran ee Shariifka. Guuldaradaasi Caananuug ku habsatay oo sababteeda laheyd Khadiijo Diiriye iyo Saciid Deni ayaa dhanka kale xildhibaanada Himilo Qaran ee Shariifka waxay dhankooda caddaawad u arkeen in Caananuug oo Axmed Madoobe taageerayay uu soo baxo codkoodana u wareejiyay xildhibaanad Sacdiyo. Isku soo wada duub natiijadii doorashooyinka Aqalka Sare iyo Aqalka Hoose ee kusoo gabagabowday in xildhibaanno kasoo jeeda Puntland ay ku wada guuleysteen guddoomiye kuxigeenada labada aqal inkastoo siyaasad ahaan aysan madalin Puntland laakiin deegaan doorashadoodu ay tahay Puntland. Waxayna taasi guul u tahay Nabad iyo Nolol iyo xisbiga Himilo Qaran oo meel bannaan fursad qaali ah ka helay, lamana dhihi karo guuldaro usoo hoyaday Nabad iyo Nolol.

In South Somalia, Cash is King. There is no tribal affiliation or political or anything whatsoever. If you have the $$$, you can do whatever you want. If Qatar is willing to go hard, they can bring Farmaajo back the brink. Hands down. So don't count Farmaajo or Fahad Yassin out. Specialy considering the current indivituals who make up this parliament is the most corrupted and all know they came through in a questionable and highly unfair process. The people did not vote for them and they know they have only this chance in life to make $$$. The Speaker of Parliament is good to have him on your side but it is not the whole story. All Farmaajo needs is a mandate for another term and these so called Speakers and Deputies will be removed in heart beat.

His administration will be remembered primarily for two things: security and financial reforms. They have managed to professionalize the SNA and decrease the dependency on regional and clan militias. There's now a core professional force including the officer Corps that can be built on. The administration also managed to diversify the recruitment process. SNA has individuals from every part of Somalia though the majority is still from the central and southwest regions. Fahad reorganized NISA and turn into a functioning and professional agency. In actual confrontations, SNA defeated Al-Shabab or repulsed their acts. Of course, their numbers are still limited and the arms embargo is not helping. More importantly, the lack of unified politics means they will always fight with one hand tied behind their back. I do honestly believe a combined SNA and regional forces can defeat AS, but that requires leadership. His rigidity meant there was no possibility of a unified security plan that would involve SNA and regional Darwish. AMISOM is still here in the form of ATMIS. That said, the administration has managed to change the mandate despite enormous pressure from many groups. There is now a framework for ATMIS exit. The next leader if sincere can manage to use this mandate for ATMIS exit by continuing to build on the SNA improvement. ATMIS framework includes a pathway to lifting the arms embargo. The financial reforms the administration instituted allowed steady salaries for all civil servants including the SNA. The civil service and SNA got their salaries even when some countries stopped their budgetary support. The reforms facilitated the loan forgiveness process. The admin improved the revenue collection process which allowed an increase in the tax collection. The Central Bank assumed its rightful place. Deloitte & Touche LLP gave the bank a clean bill of health following an audit of the bank’s 2020 Financial Statements. For the first time, the incoming government might actually have funds in the bank. It must be noted that SNA soldiers used to be paid 100 dollars. It is now 450. Finally, Farmajo's admin was comparatively less corrupt. And as a person, his even opponents admitted he has not amassed personal wealth at the expense of the public and government. No hotels and villas in or outside Somalia. The stability he and Hassan Kheyre created allowed things to happen. It had an unfortunate end as we know, but that's something the next admin can learn from. That was the longest relationship between any Somali president and his PM